TSLA....Symetric Triangle....Earnings Rally?Could we see the bulls step in and leads us into earnings?
TSLAD trade ideas
Tsla below 288 ?I see an H&S pattern forming if we break below 288 we could see it drop to 280 ish imo. Can play out this week. Lets see
Tesla: Ticking Higher on Consolidation Breakout Potential
Current Price: $315.35
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $322
- T2 = $330
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $310
- S2 = $305
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla’s stock has been consolidating within a narrow range of $305–$320, reflecting investors' cautious optimism ahead of potential catalysts. Technical resistance at $322 is acting as a key breakout point that could open the path to higher price levels. The bullish sentiment is fueled by improving production efficiencies, ongoing expansion in international markets, and Elon Musk’s ambition to transform Tesla into a broader technology conglomerate. However, concerns surrounding increasing competition in the EV market and potential headwinds from regulatory changes remain significant risks.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla’s recent price action has showcased volatility while maintaining key support levels around $301.11. The stock has demonstrated resilience, holding firm during tech sector corrections. Over the past month, Tesla has seen short-term rallies driven by positive speculation about its EV lineup, alongside broader optimistic movement in the S&P 500. Investors have stayed engaged, with trading volumes suggesting sustained interest despite external pressures.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts underscore $322 as a critical resistance level that serves as the decision point for renewed momentum. The stock's recent consolidation pattern signals a possible breakout, assuming macroeconomic conditions remain favorable. Analysts have also cautioned about rising competition from other EV manufacturers like BYD, which intensifies pressure on Tesla's pricing strategy and market share. Nevertheless, Tesla’s ambitious pipeline, including autonomous driving technologies, remains a significant source of long-term investor confidence.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s near-term outlook is influenced by competing factors. On one hand, reports of a lower-cost EV could dramatically increase its addressable market, while ongoing advances in AI and battery technologies enhance the company’s competitive edge. On the other hand, upcoming expiration of federal EV tax credits and increasing geopolitical scrutiny over Musk’s public statements may weigh on investor sentiment. Despite this, news of expanded production capabilities in Gigafactory Nevada has bolstered optimism regarding Tesla’s capacity to scale effectively.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Taking a long position in Tesla appears favorable as price action signals bullish momentum within its established range. The short-term trade targets $322 followed by $330, with stop-loss levels placed at $310 and $305 to manage downside risk. Traders are advised to monitor any developments in macroeconomic conditions and competitive activity, which remain key influences on price trajectory.
TLSA Catalyst Ranking and Market Update: June 2025Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary
catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments
🔋 1. EV Demand Growth
Strength: 9/10 → 9/10
Global electric vehicle adoption remains the dominant pillar. Tesla faces softer comp in Europe (–40.5% drop in May) wsj.com, but overall trend remains firmly upward. 🌍
🚗 2. Affordable Entry Level Model
Strength: 8.5/10 → 8.5/10
Tesla still on track to launch a < $25K EV in first half of 2025. Any delays or execution issues could pressure sentiment.
⚡ 3. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement
Strength: 8/10 → 8/10
Margins saw slight relief Q1, driven by cost cuts f, but macro headwinds persist.
🤖 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Rollout
Strength: 7.5/10 → 8.5/10
Robotaxi debuted in Austin in June, sparking a ~10% one-day stock surge. Benchmark raised its target to $475/buy on the rollout—strong tailwind.
🚩 5. Competition
Strength: 7/10 → 6.5/10
Rivals like Xiaomi’s new YU7 are gaining ground. Tesla must maintain differentiation.
📉 6. Trade Policies & Tariffs
Strength: 6.5/10 → 6.5/10
Still relevant due to Tesla’s global footprint, though less front-page than before.
💰 7. Incentives & Subsidies
Strength: 6/10 → 6/10
U.S. IRA tax credit policies remain supportive; evolving eligibility remains a swing factor.
🛢️ 8. Commodity Costs
Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10
Raw-material swings affect margins. Inventory hedges help but not wholly mitigate.
📈 9. Fed & Interest Rates
Strength: 5/10 → 5/10
A higher-rate environment still limits valuation multiples for growth-tier companies.
🎭 10. Musk Profile & Governance
Strength: 4/10 → 5/10
Analysts (e.g., Bradley Tusk) warn of being “massively overvalued” tied to Musk’s persona. Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla vs. other ventures (DOGE, SpaceX) will be watched.
________________________________________
🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings
Rank Driver Score
1 EV demand growth 9
2 Affordable model 8.5
3 Battery costs/margins 8
4 Autonomy/robotaxi execution 8.5
5 Competition 6.5
6 Trade & tariffs 6.5
7 Regulatory incentives 6
8 Commodities 5.5
9 Fed Rates 5
10 Musk reputation/governance 5
________________________________________
📊 Latest Analyst Ratings & Targets
• Benchmark / Mickey Legg: Buy, target $475 (from $350) — cites robotaxi safety-first rollout, automation upside
• Wedbush / Dan Ives: Outperform, target $500 — labels TSLA as an “embodied AI compounder”
• Morgan Stanley / Adam Jonas: Buy, target $410 — bullish on AI/self driving positioning
• Cantor Fitzgerald / Andres Sheppard: Overweight, target $355 — optimism rooted in robotaxi and FSD rollout
• UBS / multiple: Sell, target $215–225 — skeptical on demand and valuations
Consensus snapshot (FactSet):
• Mean price target ≈ $311–$312
• Mean rating between Hold–Buy (~2.7/5)
________________________________________
🗞️ Recent Headlines
• “Tesla completes first fully autonomous Model Y delivery ahead of schedule”
• “Tesla robotaxis launch in Austin” boosting momentum
• “EU Tesla sales slump” May registrations down 40.5%
• “Tesla fires longtime insider as Europe slump deepens”
________________________________________
🔍 Summary Outlook
Tesla shares are navigating a volatile interplay of strong tech promise and unfolding execution risks:
• Overweight view (Legg, Ives): Robotaxi rollout and AI thrust fuel upside. Automation transition seen as transformative.
• Bullish base (Jonas, Sheppard): AI, FSD rollout, affordable model support core thesis.
• Skeptical view (UBS, Tusk): Slumping deliveries in Europe/China, heavy valuation, Musk's external focus seen as emotional dampener.
Upcoming triggers to watch:
1. Q2 delivery and production results (mid July).
2. Robotaxi rollout execution/regulatory clearance.
3. Margin trajectory as costs evolve.
4. FSD reliability and expansion in new markets.
________________________________________
✅ What This Means for You
• Bull case: Robotaxi + AI momentum may drive TSLA back toward targets in the $475–500 range.
• Bear case: Weak deliveries, macro and competition pressures could cap shares or trigger pullback toward prior support ($330–350).
• Neutral: Watch near-term delivery and autonomy news to shape next move.
The price will drop to at least $230The price will drop to at least $230. after that can goes to $200. but i have to re-check at $230
If you are thinking of investing, this is not a good place to buy at all.
I recommend entering in the $200 range after getting the necessary confirmations.
If you would like to follow me to see the rest of my analysis.
TSLA at the Edge of Breakdown? Here’s the Options PlayGEX-Based Option Strategy Insight:
TSLA’s GEX landscape reveals heavy negative Gamma Exposure lurking below $305. That’s a red flag — dealers are likely to short more as price falls, amplifying downside. The highest negative NET GEX zone sits around $310–315, right near the current price, indicating a major PUT support zone — if broken, could trigger a volatility spike.
* PUT Walls: Stack up at $310, $300, $295, with max pain potential down to $285–290.
* Call Walls: Far above at $325/337.5/340 — little gamma resistance above, but TSLA would need a strong reversal to challenge those.
📌 Options Sentiment:
* IVR is 29.7 (lowish), IVx avg is 72.3 → options pricing isn’t cheap anymore.
* Calls 44.3% vs Puts 55.7% → leaning bearish.
* GEX suggests downside acceleration under $300.
➡️ Trade Idea (GEX View):
If $300 fails, consider buying 295 or 290 PUTs (weekly or next week expiry).
Target $285–290 zone for exit.
Above $310 = exit.
1-Hour Chart Technical Setup (2nd image):
TSLA has been in a clear downtrend, marked by:
* Break of Structure (BOS) followed by lower lows.
* Price is hovering inside a potential accumulation zone, but has shown no bullish confirmation yet.
* Volume is weak, and we are still sitting under a steep downtrend resistance line.
📉 Bearish Play:
* Break below $300 = confirmation of continuation.
* Entry: $299.50–300.00
* Target: $293.21 > $290 > $285
* Stop: Close above $305 (tight).
📈 Bullish Risk:
* Only valid if price breaks $310 and flips the BOS area at $317.
* This could trigger a squeeze toward $320/325, but that’s lower probability for now.
Final Thoughts:
Until we reclaim $310+, TSLA leans heavy. GEX confirms dealer pressure below $300. Use tight stops and don’t chase — volatility will increase fast on a breakdown.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always confirm your thesis.
TSLA Bearish Breakdown in Progress – $322 or Bust? TSLA Bearish Breakdown in Progress – $322 or Bust? Monday Puts On Watch 🔻
🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment:
Tesla is currently trading right at a critical GEX flip zone. The $330 level used to be gamma support but has now broken, leaving TSLA vulnerable to a drop toward the high-risk gamma pocket between $320–$310.
The Highest positive GEX zone was stacked near $330–$340, but that structure has failed. The gamma walls above—like $347.5 and $350—now serve as resistance, especially with no strong call flow to support a squeeze.
The downside gamma structure is open. $310 is a soft magnet, but $300 is where the largest negative GEX sits, along with the 2nd and 3rd Put Walls. If TSLA continues slipping, a drop into the $300 zone could be swift.
Implied Volatility Rank is at 25.2, with IVX above 68 — meaning options are expensive, so spreads are safer than naked calls or puts. Flow is still 8% call-heavy, but that can flip hard if Monday starts red.
🔧 Options Trade Setup (for Monday–Wednesday):
Bearish Scenario (favored setup):
If TSLA opens weak or rejects $325–$327.50 area again, consider buying a PUT debit spread, such as 322p/310p or 320p/300p (July 3 expiry).
Target zone: $312, then $300 gamma flush.
Stop: reclaim of $331 with bullish momentum.
Bullish Scenario (lower probability):
If TSLA reclaims $330 and breaks trendline toward $335, consider a CALL debit spread like 335c/345c (Jul 3).
Target zone: $345–$350.
Cut if it falls back under $327.50.
📉 Intraday Technical Breakdown (1H Chart):
The price has confirmed a CHoCH + BOS combo, rejecting from supply and pushing below the rising trendline. Friday’s recovery attempt stalled right under that broken structure, and sellers took over late day.
The 1H chart is forming a bearish descending channel, with price currently trying to bounce off short-term demand, but failing to reclaim the key mid-zone.
This current setup favors continuation lower unless bulls can pull off a breakout early Monday. Otherwise, the path of least resistance is down.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$330.00 – Former GEX support, now resistance
$331.10 – Trendline and bearish trigger flip
$322.00 – Key support line (last defended Friday)
$320.00 – Gamma pivot zone
$310.00 – GEX magnet and low-volume shelf
$300.00 – Highest negative GEX and major PUT support zone
$345.25 – Upper trendline + prior supply rejection
✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan:
TSLA is sitting on the edge of a breakdown. The gamma structure supports further downside as long as price stays below $330. Watch for early rejection at $325–$327.50 to initiate puts.
If bulls manage to gap and reclaim above $331, reassess for a reversal setup — but for now, structure, volume, and GEX are all pointing down.
This is a reactive trade — wait for early confirmation on Monday and ride the wave, especially if SPY opens weak.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management and do your own due diligence.
Big fat cup & handle on the weekly My instinct tells me today was the last dip buying opportunity before parabolic move. The daily chart is showing wedge consolidation and big institutions are buying. Elon just needs to focus
Pull-back Post Austin LaunchNot quite a dark cover cloud candlestick today but given how strong the Nasdaq was today and NASDAQ:TSLA slumped is a fairly pathetic price action on day 2 post Austin launch.
IMO a lot of shorts were on the sidelines until robotaxi commenced. They waited for the pop and now feel more confident in entering short since they were able to assess launch. Buy the rumor sell the news if you will...
Correcting below the pre-launch price back to the lower wedge trend line around low 300s is my target.
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry.
At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout.
I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward.
Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
One more drop. Another dip incoming — I just hope we don’t establish below around 260, that would turn bearish.
If we drop down to 260, I’ll be looking to buy again.
TESLA falling down to 250 USD?Tesla is consolidating in a tight range, showing bearish pressure near the lower boundary of the formation. Moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum, while the Wavetrend oscillator has issued a sell signal (bearish crossover below the zero line). A downside breakout from this range projects a potential move toward the $250 level, as illustrated by the measured move. This bearish scenario gains validity if price breaks below the $315 support level.
Possible TP: 250 USD
TSLA (daytrading) break out and retest1. Still watching here (down trend is too strong)
We can see break out patterm
2. And came back to restest. But i worry about that tsla usually doesnt restest like that.
3. Hit sma 200 h1
Tesla: Back on Track?Tesla has resumed downward momentum, aligning with our primary scenario and moving away from resistance at $373.04. As part of the ongoing turquoise wave 5, we expect continued selling pressure: it should break below the $215.01 support. This would complete magenta wave (3) of the current bearish impulse. A reversal back above $373.04 – and especially a breach of $405.54 – would force us to adopt the 38% likely alternative scenario. Under this count, the correction low of blue wave alt.(II) would be already in, and Tesla would now be rallying in wave alt.(III) .
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Musk-Trump Feud Sends Tesla (TSLA) Shares DownRenewed Feud Between Musk and Trump Drags Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Lower
The US Senate yesterday narrowly approved Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful budget bill.”
Elon Musk, who had previously criticised the bill for potentially adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt, warned that Republican lawmakers who supported it would face political consequences. In a post on X, Musk wrote:
“Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth.”
He also reiterated his intention to establish a third political force under the name “America Party.”
In response, President Trump issued sharp threats:
→ to apply federal pressure on Musk’s companies by revisiting existing subsidies and government contracts (estimated by The Washington Post at $38 billion);
→ to deport Musk back to South Africa.
The market responded immediately to this renewed escalation in the Trump–Musk conflict. Tesla (TSLA) shares fell by over 5% yesterday, forming a significant bearish gap.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart
Eight days ago, we analysed the TSLA price chart, continuing to observe price action within the context of an ascending channel (indicated in blue). At that point:
→ In mid-June, when the initial Musk–Trump tensions surfaced, TSLA managed to hold within the channel. However, as of yesterday, the price broke below the lower boundary, casting doubt on the sustainability of the uptrend that had been in place since March–April;
→ The price breached the lower channel limit near the $315 level — a zone that previously acted as support. This suggests that $315 may now serve as a resistance level.
As a result, optimism related to the late-June launch of Tesla’s robotaxi initiative has been eclipsed by concerns that the Musk–Trump confrontation may have broader implications.
If the former allies refrain from further escalation, TSLA may consolidate into a broadening contracting triangle (its upper boundary marked in red) in the near term, ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings release scheduled for 29 July.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Tesla LongCurrently hanging around at the Golden pocket of the uptrend.
Would be interested in a long if we got a retrace to the whole move golden pocket, which sits on the current range VAL. Would also sweep liquidity from the recent lows.
Would need to see a good reaction to take the trade.
TSLA : Technical Analysis Report - 30 June 2025Trend:
The primary trend (big picture) is upward. Bullish momentum is weak.
Short Term Trend : sideways / consolidation. Regardless of the larger trend, momentum within a sideways range is typically neutral or flat, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
Pattern : Symmetrical Triangle Patte rn
A symmetrical triangle is like a market catching its breath. It's a temporary pause in a trend. Once the price breaks out of the triangle, it usually continues in the same direction it was going before. Until that breakout, it's a neutral pattern.
Key levels :
R2 - 366
R1 - 356
S1 - 315 -The price is facing the support 215.
S2 - 275
Tips for Trading
Wait for a confirmed breakout (e.g., a daily candlestick close above/below the trendline) to avoid false signals
-----------------------
Note :
If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your investment decisions.
Tesla-Heading For A New ATH?NASDAQ:TSLA is looking good!
Robo-Taxi, Optimus Robots...and so more to come!
Tesla to $692 in the next years? Or months?
#stocks #tesla #stockmarket
TESLA CORRECTION ON THE WAY? + MY WATCHLIST FOR JULY 2025In this video, I run through a couple stocks that look very interesting going into Q3 2025, all stocks listed below!
NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:CELH
NYSE:EL
NYSE:NKE
NASDAQ:SOFI
AMEX:SPY
NASDAQ:QQQ
NASDAQ:AMD
NASDAQ:CAKE
Short setup TiqGPT MARKET NARRATIVE:
Analyzing the Tesla Inc. charts across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent downtrend from the daily (1D) to the 1-minute (1m) timeframe. The price action shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a bearish market structure. The 1D chart reveals a significant bearish momentum with recent candles closing near their lows, suggesting strong selling pressure. This trend is echoed in the 4-hour (4h) and 1-hour (1h) charts, where price has failed to reclaim higher levels, instead forming bearish continuation patterns.
The 15-minute (15m), 5-minute (5m), and 1-minute (1m) charts provide a more granular view of the selling pressure, with price consistently making new lows. The absence of significant bullish retracements across these lower timeframes indicates that liquidity is being taken rather than created, as sellers push the price downward without substantial opposition.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a distribution phase, offloading shares which is evident from the sustained downward movement and lack of significant pullbacks. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend with potential further downside.
LEARNING POINT:
The consistent lower highs and lower lows across all timeframes highlight a strong bearish momentum engineered by institutional selling pressure.
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: TSLA
ENTRY PRICE: $317.60
STOP LOSS: $322.00
TARGET PRICE: $310.00
CONDITION: Sell on a slight pullback to $317.60, which aligns with recent minor resistance levels on lower timeframes.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum & Exhaustion: No signs of exhaustion in selling, with candles closing near lows.
Liquidity Behavior: Continued push lower without significant retracements suggests ongoing institutional distribution.
Pressure Analysis: Strong selling pressure evident from the lack of bullish counter-moves.
Context Awareness: Price is trending down with no significant areas of demand observed that could halt the bearish momentum.
STRATEGIES USED:
Multi-Timeframe Bearish Continuation
Distribution Phase Trading
URGENCY: HIGH
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = $322.00 - $317.60 = $4.40
Reward = $317.60 - $310.00 = $7.60
Ratio = $7.60 / $4.40 = 1.72
RECOMMENDATION:
The calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.72 does not meet the minimum requirement of 2:1. Therefore, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better risk/reward setup or further confirmation of institutional activity that could provide a more favorable entry point.
6/25/25 - $tsla - Buying all dips going fwd6/25/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
Buying all dips going fwd
- "successful robotaxi or not successful robotaxi"
- elon's clearly won the vision game
- scaling hardware (cars, infra, optimus, solar) is m-o-a-t
- so is a humanoid and robotaxi robotics company that doesn't burn cash worth a trilly in today's world if the upside is perhaps 5-10 tn in the coming decade (worst case) and your downside here is what? 30... 40... 50%? Is it more? unlikely.
- so "yes" we remain entering consumer recessy. yes "tsla" shares r not cheap. and that's for a reason.
- buy scarce paper.
- buying all dips here.
- i like the dec '27 deep ITM leaps. allows me to wrangle size with a bit more flexibility in the coming months.
- but this rocketship has yet to make any meaningful moves.
- $1,000/shr is the 2Y tgt.
V
super sell on the run for TSLAwe looking for sells on this pair as you can see there is a trend moving up but there is likly to have a short sells going on now
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone.
Target is Take Profit line.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
