222 Crucial area to get a 20 point profitWith a delightful area that offers all or more chances for candles to start spinning and end up here, it is an excellent area for a swing trade - no emotions, no gimmicks, just a fun area to exercise.
TSLAD trade ideas
TSLA Setting Up for the Next Big Move?🚘Tesla's been cooking up some serious price action — and now it’s getting interesting. After holding above key supports, bulls might be eyeing their next shot. Here’s the plan I’m watching:
📥 Entry zones:
• 240 (aggressive)
• 215 (ideal support zone)
• 195 (deep discount territory)
🎯 Profit targets:
• 265
• 290
• 355+ (if momentum takes off)
TSLA has been showing signs of accumulation — and if buyers step in near 215–195, we could be looking at the early stages of a powerful move. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The EV space is competitive, and macro volatility can flip the script fast.
🔍 Keep an eye on volume, trend confirmations, and news that could push sentiment one way or the other.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal analysis and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your own strategy.
$TSLA will we see the breakdown?TSLA – Watching for Main Short Setup
📉 1H Chart Breakdown
Tesla is approaching a critical area. If the market starts to unwind, this could offer a main short opportunity.
Price is currently hovering above a key support zone (highlighted on chart). A confirmed break below this level could accelerate the downside.
🟣 First Target: ~$216
🔻 Main Target: $180 if momentum builds and support fails.
Indicators and EMAs suggest increasing bearish pressure. Keep an eye on volume and broader market sentiment to confirm entry.
TSLA at an inflection pointNASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shown wirh Mcginley indicator (a trend following indicator) and cycle oscillator. Whilst price currently shows a negative bias, I believe price has reached an inflection point as the market seeks direction. Those waiting to buy the dip should wait patiently for entry opportunities upon confirmation of momentum and volume.
Tesla Braces for Q1 Earnings: Will Q1 Results Trigger a sell-offMounting Delivery Pressure, Global Boycotts, and Revenue Misses Leave Tesla at a Critical Turning Point
Overview
Tesla shareholders are on edge ahead of the automaker's Q1 2025 earnings report, set to be released on Tuesday, April 22. The results will cover financial performance from January 2024 to March 2025, a period already clouded by deteriorating delivery volumes, narrowing margins, and rising geopolitical headwinds.
Despite once being the undisputed leader of the EV revolution, Tesla's recent track record paints a troubling picture. The company has missed revenue expectations in five of the past six quarters, raising questions about its ability to maintain market dominance as competition intensifies and global sentiment turns increasingly hostile.
Tesla's Earnings History – The Pressure Is Mounting
Quarter Reported Revenue EstimateSurprise (%)
Sep 2023 $23.35B $24.19B –3.46%
Dec 2023 $25.17B $25.60B –1.67%
Mar 2024 $21.30B $22.22B –4.14%
Jun 2024 $25.50B $24.52B +3.99%
Sep 2024 $25.18B $25.47B –1.12%
Dec 2024 $25.71B $27.26B –5.69%
The $1.55 billion miss in Q4 2024 was the worst in over a year and may signal a more systemic weakness in demand. With every disappointing print, the pressure on Tesla's valuation grows—and investors know it.
Global Factors at Play: Boycotts and Geopolitical Fallout
Tesla's earnings concerns are not only internal. A growing global boycott, fueled by rising international tensions and political backlash against Elon Musk's affiliations with U.S. defence and surveillance initiatives, threatens to cut deeper into global sales—particularly in key markets like Europe and China.
China, once a growth engine for Tesla, is showing signs of resistance amid tightening regulatory pressure and rising national preference for domestic EV manufacturers like BYD and NIO. Similarly, European sentiment toward Tesla is deteriorating as the company becomes entangled in broader geopolitical narratives surrounding U.S. industrial policy.
Stock Price Structure: A Technical Breakdown
Technically, Tesla's stock has formed a disjointed channel since early April, a structure often interpreted as indecision or quiet accumulation/distribution by institutional players.
Key Resistance: $244 (22-month support-turned-resistance)
Immediate Support Levels: $213 → $194 → $182
Upside Targets if Reclaimed key resistance: $263 and $275
The price closed at $241 ahead of the Easter break, down more than 50% from the December 2024 peak, a staggering reversal for what was once Wall Street's darling.
What to Watch Ahead
Delivery Volumes: Investors will focus on whether Tesla can stabilize global deliveries amid mounting competition and boycotts.
Margin Compression: Rising costs and aggressive price cuts have weighed on gross margins for several quarters.
Outlook and Guidance: Any hint of softness in Q1 guidance could trigger further downside.
Institutional Positioning: Watch for post-earnings volume spikes to reveal if big money is unloading or accumulating.
Final Take
Tesla is teetering on the edge of a critical earnings report. If Tuesday's release disappoints, the stock could break down below $213, opening the door to levels not seen since mid-2024. While a bullish recovery isn't off the table, it hinges on a strong beat and improved forward guidance—neither of which is guaranteed.
$TSLA trading opportunitiesObjectives:
- Trade objective is to build a full position into TSLA before market recognises FSD revenue
- Happy to accumulate more, to lower average cost
What happened:
- Market structure for TSLA remains bullish in the mid to long term with Market Bias indicator maintaining green
- Observed weaker BX-trender indicator on daily basis, suggesting weaker purchases from market movers
- short term topped at $290s
- expecting some pull back to smart money buy zone at $260s - $270s
Next steps:
- i will take long position into TSLA at smart money buy zone
TSLA daily trading (option)1. Key Level: TSLA was at a risky spot — it hit resistance and has been moving sideways, with about a 50/50 chance of going up or down.
2. Strategy Triggered: It dropped and then retested the 50 SMA on the H1 chart.
3. Pattern Observed: An uptrend breakdown.
➡️ I think TSLA could go up in the long term (next 1–2 weeks), but we might see a red candle tomorrow or Monday
TSLA | Buy @LTP | SL below 240 | 1st Target 360⚡ Tesla (TSLA) – Breakout from Demand Zone, Big Upside Potential
TSLA recently respected the strong demand zone around $220–$240 and has bounced sharply with increasing volume, signaling renewed buying interest. Price has now cleared immediate resistance and is forming higher lows a bullish sign.
📍 Entry: $282.16
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $330 (mid-level)
TP2: $367.34 (major resistance zone)
❌ Stop-loss: Below $242.79
This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio with a potential breakout rally if broader market sentiment supports tech.
Volume spikes confirm accumulation, and momentum indicators are likely flipping bullish. Keep an eye on price action near $300 for further confirmation.
TSLA 4H chart analysisPrice: 275.59, down 3.28%.
Trend: Bearish (red TrendShift), confirmed by MACD (bullish momentum fading).
Support: 222.79 (strong, multiple tests).
Resistance: 274.68 (recent high, failed breakout).
Volume: 11.2M, declining on upticks, suggesting weak buying pressure.
Indicators: MACD bearish crossover, TrendConfirm bearish.
Outlook: Likely to test support at 222.79; break below could target 200.00. Resistance at 274.68 caps upside.
Price Action with S/R and MACD
TSLA Bull or bearish NASDAQ:TSLA 28-04.2025
TSLA is looking suspicious, but the market is still bearish until proven otherwise other words until price moves back and above the fair value gap in the S&P 500 and re establishes up trend. Price can add on to the confirmation of the newly broken resistance and then rebound for further confirmation and then add on upward. Or this will turn out to be a more likely false break out and then bounce back into then consolidation chamber.
Tesla trading planTesla is also in my list and is the most hit during trading War n most heated were by even cars n stations were burning down by that it lead musk to lost more than 130 billion dollars in his networthy but it looks promising for further growth as you can see I trust my work and is always put smile in my face n growth,try by all means to position yourselfs in one of the stocks I've sent and note that we don't control the market,no matter clear structure can be we trade responsibly n risk very smart all the best
TESLA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 260/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Understanding Market Types in Drummond GeometryThe 5 Market Types:
1️⃣ Congestion Entrance – The market slows down after a trend and starts moving sideways.
2️⃣ Congestion Action – Prices oscillate within a range, with no clear trend direction.
3️⃣ Congestion Exit – The market breaks out of congestion, starting a new trend.
4️⃣ Trending – Prices move in a clear direction, either up or down.
5️⃣ Trend Reversal – A trend suddenly shifts in the opposite direction.
🔥 The 3 Close Rule for Trends
A trend is defined when the PL Dot (a short-term moving average) remains on one side of the close for three consecutive bars. If this happens, the market is in a trend until congestion begins.
📌 Congestion Entrance: The First Sign of a Trend Change
A congestion entrance occurs when the PL Dot switches sides relative to the close. This signals that the market is entering a sideways phase. Until the next trend establishes itself, the market will stay in congestion.
🔹 How to spot it?
If a trend slows down and price closes on the opposite side of the PL Dot, it is the first bar of congestion.
The market remains in congestion until a new 3-close trend forms.
📌 Congestion Action: The Market Moves Sideways
During congestion action, prices move back and forth between support and resistance without breaking out. The PL Dot is often flat, and traders look for signals of continuation or breakout.
🔹 How to trade it?
Identify strong support & resistance levels.
Trade within the range (buy low, sell high).
Watch for signs of congestion exit (breakout).
📌 Congestion Exit: The Breakout Phase 🚀
A congestion exit happens when the market leaves congestion and starts a new trend. This is one of the most profitable trading opportunities.
🔹 How to spot it?
Price breaks above resistance or below support.
The PL Dot starts moving in a clear direction.
The market closes outside the congestion range.
🔹 How to trade it?
Enter after a confirmed breakout.
Use PL Dot & support levels to manage risk.
Pyramid your position if the trend continues strongly.
📌 Trending Market: The Sweet Spot for Traders 📈
Once the market has exited congestion, it enters a trend. This is when traders can ride momentum and maximize gains.
🔹 How to trade a trend?
Enter early & stay in as long as PL Dot supports the move.
Pyramid your position for bigger profits.
Monitor resistance & support to determine exits.
📌 Trend Reversal: Spotting the Shift in Direction 🔄
A trend reversal happens when the market suddenly changes direction. This is confirmed when three consecutive closes appear on the opposite side of the PL Dot.
🔹 How to spot it?
PL Dot pulls back into the range.
Resistance/support levels start breaking.
A major higher timeframe resistance level is hit.
🔹 How to trade it?
Exit your position before the reversal is confirmed.
Look for a new congestion entrance or a trend change signal.
If reversal is confirmed, trade in the new trend direction.
🎯 Key Takeaways for Drummond Traders:
✔️ Know the 5 market types. Each phase requires a different strategy.
✔️ The PL Dot is key. It signals trend strength and potential reversals.
✔️ Congestion action = patience. Wait for clear breakouts before entering trades.
✔️ Ride the trend. The best profits come from early identification of trends.
✔️ Monitor resistance & support. This helps determine potential reversals.
🚀 Master these market types, and you’ll be able to trade with more confidence, better timing, and higher accuracy.
📌 Do you use Drummond Geometry in your trading? Drop a comment below! 👇
TSLA: An alternate (bullish) viewMy primary count on TSLA is still bearish. On my primary view, this move is supposed to be wave Y of Primary wave 4. If that is still in progress, then the current consolidation is only wave b of Y and TSLA should fall back more towards the lows of $100 area. But we cannot ignore the other side altogether. In this alternative view, Primary wave 4 was complete back in Jan 2023 and since then TSLA has been making a gigantic ending diagonal wave5 to complete the cycle wave 3. If that is the case, then we should see some kind of a bottoming pattern to complete wave Y intermediate wave 4 and resume wave 5 upward.
So, how can we prepare for whichever direction things play out? If price to follow the bearish count, price would break below the $214 low and continue on a strong 5 waves C down to complete the correction. If price to take the bullish route, should not create any lower low from $222.79 and ultimately break above $291.85.
TSLA GEX & Price Action Outlook – April 23🧠 GEX Sentiment (Options Flow Insight):
TSLA is showing bullish options sentiment, with the HVL (high-volume level) pinned at 240, acting as short-term support. GEX shows strong call resistance at 260–265, with the highest positive NET GEX wall just below that zone. We also have significant put walls stacked down at 220 and 225, forming a clear risk floor.
* GEX Status: Triple Green ✅✅✅
* IVR: 58.9
* IVx Avg: 106.6
* Flow Bias: CALLS 26.5% — moderately bullish
The options oscillator is still trending upward, giving bulls the upper hand — but not an aggressive breakout just yet.
📊 Price Action & Trade Setup (1H + SMC Analysis):
TSLA just fired an explosive bullish move from the 220s, reclaiming 240 and running up toward 250 into resistance. However, the SMC dashboard suggests “No Trade Suggested” yet. Why?
* The price is now entering a premium zone, where R/R becomes unfavorable
* We have no CHoCH/BOS trigger from this zone yet
* EMA9 and EMA21 have not confirmed a full retest yet
* Strength Meter is bullish but not at full momentum
What to Watch:
* If price can hold above 249–250 and break through 252 with volume → 260+ is possible
* If price stalls or rejects around 252, a pullback to 240–241 could be a high-RR dip entry
* EMA9 and EMA21 are critical — volume reactions there will set up the next clean move
* If volume fades below 240 → be cautious of a rollover into 225–230 demand zone
📌 Summary / Thoughts:
TSLA bulls are reclaiming territory fast — but the move is reactionary and volume-driven. For now, I’m waiting for a confirmation BOS/CHoCH in this premium area before committing. Risk is elevated at these levels. I’d prefer a pullback into the 240 zone with EMA confirmation for a cleaner long setup. If we break and hold above 252, targets toward 260–265 open up fast.
