#TSLA🚘 Tesla
Timeframe: Daily (D)
The scenario is gradually unfolding as the price has broken out of the triangle to the upside. The most likely target is 580.00. Afterward, I expect a deep correction.
#TSLA
TSLAD trade ideas
TSLA Testing Key Levels! Critical GEX Insights for Jan. 3, 2024
Current Trend:
TSLA is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour and daily charts. The price is trading below key EMAs, indicating bearish momentum. A descending trendline and lower lows formation further confirm the downtrend.
* Key Observations from Indicators:
* MACD (1-hour): Shows a potential bullish crossover as the histogram shifts upward, suggesting momentum could favor a short-term bounce.
* Stochastic RSI (1-hour): Oversold with a slight uptick, indicating the possibility of a short-term recovery.
* Volume: Recent sell-offs were accompanied by high volume, showing strong bearish sentiment, but lighter volume during the consolidation phase hints at declining selling pressure.
Key Support and Resistance Levels (Daily Chart):
* Support Levels:
* $383: Immediate support, with GEX data showing strong PUT activity at this level.
* $370: Next major support, aligning with a significant GEX PUT wall.
* Resistance Levels:
* $410: First resistance level, also a significant CALL wall with high GEX activity.
* $425: Secondary resistance, marked by historical rejection points and GEX CALL concentration.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Negative GEX Zones: Strong negative gamma below $390, indicating heightened volatility in the downside region.
* Key Gamma Walls:
* $383: The highest negative net GEX, aligning with support.
* $370: Critical PUT wall, where sellers could regain dominance if breached.
* Options Activity:
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) is at 61%, indicating moderate options pricing relative to its historical range.
* A high CALL/PUT ratio signals an imbalance, with a focus on bearish positions dominating near $383-$370.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $397.
* Target: $410 (initial), $425 (secondary).
* Stop-Loss: Below $383 to avoid downside risk.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $383.
* Target: $370 (initial), with potential extension to $355.
* Stop-Loss: Above $397 to limit upside risk.
Conclusion:
TSLA remains under significant selling pressure but shows signs of short-term stabilization near $383. Traders should monitor volume and momentum at critical levels ($383 and $410) for potential breakout or breakdown setups.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk responsibly.
TSLA to 350Tsla had a strong rejection around 490, just short of a massive psychological level that is 500$. I have long since expected some level of a pull back but the stock just kept ripping. A reasonable zone for this to bounce is around 350$. This is the golden ratio, a golden pocket correction. Very likely during such a bullish trend, an opportunity. The stochastic RSI hit a top that it has hit a very times in the recent past.
My plan: I am short until 350 ish.
I bought back my TSLL covered calls and locked in a nice win. I will sell another 6 month put on TSLL here, and possibly buy more shares.
Technical Analysis for TSLA Jan 2, 20251-Hour Chart Analysis (Trading Perspective)
Key Observations:
1. Price Action:
* TSLA is in a short-term downtrend, with the price respecting the downward-sloping trendline.
* A key support zone is around $401–$403, which aligns with recent consolidation levels.
2. Indicators:
* MACD: The MACD is bearish, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line and histogram bars increasing in the negative zone, indicating downward momentum.
* Stoch RSI: The Stoch RSI is near the oversold zone, which might suggest a potential bounce if supported by price action.
3. Volume:
* Volume has picked up during the recent bearish candles, confirming seller strength in the short term.
Trading Strategy:
Bearish Continuation:
* Entry: If the price breaks below the key support at $401 with increasing volume, enter a short position.
* Stop Loss: Place the stop above the previous swing high or near the downward-sloping trendline (~$410).
* Targets:
* Target 1: $395
* Target 2: $390 (psychological level and historical support).
Reversal Opportunity:
* Entry: If the price holds above $401 and forms a bullish reversal candle with confirmation from MACD flattening and Stoch RSI crossing upwards.
* Stop Loss: Place the stop just below the support level at $399.
* Targets:
* Target 1: $410 (trendline resistance).
* Target 2: $420 (major resistance and upper channel boundary).
Daily Chart Analysis (Options Perspective with GEX)
Key Observations:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Key Levels:
* Call Wall at $455: This is a significant resistance level, indicating where call sellers might exert pressure.
* Put Wall at $380: Major support level where put buyers may defend.
* HVL (Highest Volume Level): At $403, aligning with support on the 1-hour chart, making it a critical decision level.
2. Options Oscillator (IV and GEX):
* IV Rank (IVR) is high at 73.1, indicating elevated implied volatility, which could favor premium-selling strategies for options traders.
* Net Gamma is negative, suggesting that the market is leaning bearish in the short term.
Options Strategy:
Bearish Strategy:
* Entry: If TSLA breaks below $401 (HVL) with momentum.
* Option Play: Buy $395 strike puts expiring in 1–2 weeks for short-term bearish exposure.
* Targets:
* First target: $390 (Put Wall).
* Second target: $380 (next major support).
* Stop Loss: Exit the puts if TSLA reclaims $405 and holds above this level.
Bullish Strategy:
* Entry: If TSLA bounces off the $401 support and breaks above $410 with confirmation.
* Option Play: Sell $380 strike puts or buy $420 strike calls expiring in 2–4 weeks.
* Targets:
* First target: $420 (resistance level).
* Second target: $455 (Call Wall).
* Stop Loss: Exit if TSLA breaks below $399.
Conclusion
* For trading, watch the $401–$403 support level for either a breakdown (short entry) or a reversal (long entry).
* For options, leverage the Gamma levels by playing the Call Wall at $455 and Put Wall at $380 as key targets.
* Always monitor volume and indicator confirmation to ensure alignment with the setup. Use disciplined stop-loss and risk management for all trades.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
Support created strong rsi daily and 4 hours creating a nice wedge for a pullback after breaking the previous wedge at 420 410 all the way down to the actual level we could see a reversal if cross 410 if no could be a death cat bounce interesting trade
good buying opportunity on weekly chartDear All,
as indicated in my previous idea 415 was a key level and once broken the next level was 380 and now are around new demand zone which is good buying opportunity after the market priced the Q4 delivery which in not very far from the expectation thus its good opportunity to buy and watch 375-380 as S level and 415 as R leve
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Analysis and Price Projections for 2025Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Analysis and Price Projections for 2025 (3-to-5-Month Outlook)
Below is my analysis for each chart with a focus on Elliott Wave patterns, Fibonacci levels, and potential buy-the-dip opportunities.
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
Current Price: $403.84
Key Levels:
Resistance: $488.54 (Wave 5 high).
Support: $340.81 (38.2% retracement), $295.17 (50% retracement).
Outlook: TSLA has likely completed Wave 5 and is in a correction. Expect pullbacks to $340.81 or $295.17 before a potential recovery.
Projection: TSLA could rebound to $420-$450 by Q2 2025. Now, a huge factor is FSB and Robo Taxi's. TSLA could very well reach $1,000.00 by year end 2025 if those factors materialize in the first and second quarter 2025.
Tesla Inc. (TSLA): Testing Key Support Amidst Downward Pressure🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $416. A breakout could push the stock towards $435 and $450, reclaiming momentum.
🩸 Support: $403. A breakdown targets $380 and $360, increasing bearish sentiment.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $416, aiming for $435 and $450. Momentum and volume confirmation are critical.
🩸 Short: Below $403, targeting $380 and $360. Watch for increased sell volume.
🩸 Tesla has been under consistent selling pressure, with MACD reflecting strong bearish momentum. The 200 EMA at $360 serves as a potential target for bears. A decisive move above $416 could reinstate bullish control, while a break below $403 signals deeper corrections ahead.
👑 "Navigating volatility requires conviction and readiness for the unexpected." — LucanInvestor
$TSLA Possible Move over the next 7 daysIt looks like NASDAQ:TSLA has several paths to go over the coming week. Not financial advice.
Tesla's Bull Trap A False Breakout and the Battle AheadTesla's stock delivered a textbook bull trap, leaving traders on edge. After testing a strong resistance level at $423.71, the stock sharply reversed, pulling back to $413.82 before ultimately closing at $396.20. This kind of price action can confuse both bulls and bears, as it gives the appearance of a breakout without follow-through.
The session started with an opening at $414.44, and bearish momentum followed. The bounce off $396.20 during the day likely lured in short sellers expecting a continuation downward. However, the stock wicked up to $423.71, briefly testing resistance, which likely forced many bears to cover their positions. This led to a spike in volatility, only for Tesla to retrace to close back at $396.20, setting the stage for the real battle ahead.
This setup could be classified as a bull trap because it gives the illusion of a potential rally or stabilization, only to leave both bulls and bears trapped. Moving forward, the key resistance remains $423.71, with $396.20 acting as immediate support. If Tesla breaches $396.20 decisively, it could trigger another leg down to the range of $375.56 to $359.42. On the flip side, a sustained move above $413.82 could bring $423.71 back into play.
TSLA: Bullish Momentum and Upside Potential🔥 LucanInvstor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $404.78, targeting $390 and $380. The MACD remains positive, but a breakdown below support could lead to a short-term pullback.
🩸 Long: Above $411.53, targeting $420 and $430. The price is above both the 9-day and 200-day EMAs, suggesting continued bullish momentum, though a breakout is needed to reach higher levels.
🔥 LucanInvstor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $411.53 — A critical resistance point; a break above this could trigger further upside.
🩸 Support: $404.78 — A key support level; a breakdown below this could lead to a pullback.
Tesla is in a strong bullish trend, confirmed by the MACD and EMAs. A breakout above resistance could lead to significant gains, while a breakdown below support may cause short-term weakness.
👑 "Decisive action ensures victory."
TSLA: Gap fill then POPNot a bull trap if the retest is successful, we should see a quick move to $460
TSLA: Buy ideaOn TSLA, looking at the configuration on the chart, we would have a high probability of having an uptrend in the event of a strong break of the resistance line by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Comprehensive AnalysisOverview
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point of market activity, showcasing significant volatility and creating substantial opportunities for both short-term traders and long-term investors. The current price is $411.58, with the stock trading below its absolute high of $488.54 recorded on December 18, 2024. This represents a deviation of approximately -15.75% from the peak. This technical and fundamental analysis will leverage advanced tools, including VSA patterns, price action analysis, and volume dynamics, to project future movements.
Technical Analysis
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $383.30, $376.04, $358.62.
Resistance Levels: $420.00, $430.50, $448.00.
Moving Averages
MA50: $394.08
MA100: $397.55
MA200: $413.63
The price currently trades above the MA50 but below the MA200, suggesting consolidation within a broader bullish trend. The RSI (14) at 70.76 signals overbought conditions on shorter intervals, necessitating caution for immediate buy entrie.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and Patterns
Recent trading data reveals patterns indicative of institutional activity:
Buy Volumes (Jan 13): Closing at $391.96 with increased buying pressure, marking a 14.61% movement from its three-bar low of $380.07.
VSA Manipulation Patterns: A confirmed "Buy Pattern 3" formed on January 13, showcasing a potential bullish continuation with a high of $396.95.
Predicted Scenarios
Short-Term (1 Week):
Tesla appears poised to test its $420 resistance level based on bullish volume patterns. A break above $420 with significant volume could target $430 as the next level of interest. However, failure to breach $420 may result in a retracement to $400-$405 support.
Medium-Term (1 Month):
Given the observed bullish manipulation patterns and technical support at $383, Tesla may aim for a recovery toward its MA200 at $413. If sustained buying interest persists, the stock might challenge its December highs.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Tesla’s trajectory could see it revisiting the $450-$470 range, contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and its quarterly earnings surpassing market expectations. The psychological level of $500 remains a potential long-term target if the broader market maintains bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Proposed Trade Setup:
Entry: $412.00
Stop-Loss: $400.00
Target 1: $420.00
Target 2: $435.00
Target 3: $450.00
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla remains a key player in the EV market, with growing adoption of its vehicles worldwide. Its latest production numbers exceeded market expectations, signaling robust demand despite economic headwinds. Recent initiatives in energy storage and AI-based technology further diversify its revenue streams, underpinning its premium valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla's technical and fundamental indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook. While short-term retracements are possible, the stock's overall trend aligns with upward momentum, supported by strong institutional interest and robust fundamentals.
For further inquiries or personalized trading setups, feel free to contact me directly. All relevant indicators and tools used for this analysis can be found in the profile header.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Scientific Basis
Fibonacci proportions, underlying the construction of rays, are observed in nature, physics, and financial markets, making them a universal tool.
Geometric angles and trends are based on mathematical analysis of historical price behavior.
The principle of minimizing subjectivity in analysis is also applied: rays are constructed strictly algorithmically, excluding human bias.
Why It Matters
My name is Denis Mikheev, and my method does not offer magical solutions or "predictions" of exact price movements. Instead, it identifies key interaction zones where market participants, as well as automated market-maker algorithms, are likely to make decisions. This allows you to act based on probabilities, not guesses.
Example Visualization
On a chart with rays already constructed, you can see:
How price reacts to intersections or proximity to rays.
Where current interaction points may signal potential changes in movement dynamics.
Trade Safe!
Denis MikheevTheWaved™ Team
Setup: TSLATSLA : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
A bullish outlook for Tesla next week as market sentiment shifts
- Key Insights: Investors should watch Tesla closely for potential rebounds as
the stock approaches key support levels. A breach above $400 may signal
bullish momentum, while maintaining above $373 is crucial to avoid further
declines. The upcoming advancements in autonomous technology and robotics
may positively impact earnings.
- Price Targets: Next week targets: T1= $404, T2= $414; Stop levels
(S1, S2): S1= $371, S2= $365.
- Recent Performance: Tesla's stock has experienced volatility recently,
navigating a bearish trend with support at $373. While the bears remain in
control below this level, signs of resilience and cautious optimism are
being noted among investors.
- Expert Analysis: Experts present a mixed sentiment with a slight bullish tilt
at 55%. A sustained close above $400 could lead to a price target near $504
in the upcoming weeks, contingent on technological advancements and positive
regulatory developments.
- News Impact: Tesla's focus on ramping up Optimus robot production and expected
regulatory credits from European automakers may significantly enhance
revenue potential. Announcements regarding the expansion of supercharger
networks and production improvements are pivotal and could shift investor
sentiment favorably.
TSLA LATE ENTRYFor Inner Circle Members. Timely put entries occur on green candles off resistance, or red wicks off resistance, not after a series of red candles. Ideal scenario now is to want for retrace to the MAs or fib level at 388
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): Battling to Regain Momentum🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $411.53, targeting $440 and $457. Bulls need strong volume to push past key resistance levels.
🩸 Short: Below $394.94, aiming for $380 and $360. A break below could intensify bearish sentiment.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $411.53. Breaking this level can trigger upward momentum.
🩸 Support: $394.94. Losing this level risks a drop to lower targets.
Tesla is consolidating near critical levels after recent volatility. The MACD reflects fading bullish momentum, with traders watching for volume confirmation to determine the next move.
👑 "Momentum is the battlefield of traders. Adapt and dominate." — LucanInvestor
Tesla in next few dayshello traders i think tesla path in next few days be like this base on price action I read. and it have to decide where its going to continuing up or down. we should wait and see i think odds will be in favor of down trend after that but till then we should do no thing. myself as day trader will trade by risking 2% of my account base on this idea till it rech my destination and then decide to risk more or not.
Is Tesla testing support?From a short-term perspective, it is a significant decline from the peak, down 18%. Below the 20-day moving average, below 0.236 fibonacci. More significant support is the 50-day moving average, the 0.382 fibonacci and the 360 price level. In terms of the turnaround, it would be positive if the bullish trend channel were to exit and the MACD were to give a buy signal.
Tesla (TSLA) Trade: Maximize Gains with This Strategy Hi traders, welcome to a new analysis! Today, I’m sharing my trading strategy for Tesla (TSLA), ready for when the stock market opens tomorrow.
I’ve set a Buy Limit order at $380, near a key support zone supported by the 50 and 100-period moving averages. I’m expecting a potential rebound from this level.
Take Profit: My target is set at $403, a significant previous resistance level where I plan to secure my profit.
Stop Loss:To manage risk, my Stop Loss is set at $325.58, positioned well below the support level to avoid getting stopped out by false breakouts.
Moving Averages: The 50 and 100-period moving averages strengthen the entry zone.
RSI: The RSI is currently at 49.83, indicating a balanced market with room for an upward move.
This analysis is on the 4-hour timeframe. If the price reaches $380 when the market opens tomorrow, my order will trigger automatically.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
A bullish outlook on TSLA as key levels approach
- Key Insights: Tesla shows resilience with year-over-year auto sales growth,
despite recent delivery shortfalls. Analysts are optimistic, with strong
endorsements from significant investors like Ron Baron and Cathie Wood
highlighting Tesla's long-term potential due to its innovation in full self-
driving technology.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=423, T2=428. Stop levels are S1=410,
S2=400. This setup reflects the potential for upside momentum provided that
Tesla maintains its support levels above $400.
- Recent Performance: TSLA has rebounded by over 8% recently, indicating strong
bullish sentiment following a sell-off. This recovery is critical as the
stock faces mixed signals in the tech sector, but has shown substantial
resilience compared to its competitors.
- Expert Analysis: The sentiment among analysts is largely positive, with
projections suggesting a bright future for Tesla driven by technological
advancements and strong leadership. Industry experts emphasize the
importance of breaking through key resistance levels to strengthen bullish
momentum.
- News Impact: Upcoming advancements in Tesla's self-driving technology are set
to bolster investor confidence. However, mixed delivery figures and
increased competition from traditional automakers present challenges that
could influence short-term performance.
