TSLA shortsRejection from Weekly FVG. The run up earlier was to trade into the weekly fvg. With confirmation on H4 and 15m entry the TP was hit today.
TSLAD trade ideas
20.4.2025 What should we expect? Will Elon's magic number play a role in the change in market direction? 4. 20.
What should we expect?
Price is never random! TSLA Tesla nice bounce. Did you eat?✅Nice bounce off Tesla. 👌
ℹ️Remember PRICE is just one point and in my opinion always second to TIME.
🟢When the WHERE (price) matches the WHEN (time) that is when it all comes together and the magic happens.
TSLA Entry Strategy391: Analyze sales behavior at this level.
Market Entry: Execute your first purchase at the current market price.
341: Consider a second entry if the price retraces.
312 & 297: Additional entries may be used to improve your average entry during deeper corrections.
Profit Target: 473
Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders and maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
TSLA Week Feb 17th PlanDaily chart looks very bearish to me still.
We closed the the week with a perfect hammer candle. Same for the daily chart. Hammers are great fro trapping newbies. I will be looking to short (Buy TSLQ) when TSLA breaks the 362 area. Keep buying until we reach the 370 - 375 area with a stop around 380. By the time we reach the 370 area, I will sell a collar to protect my position
Maximize Returns: Consider a Long Position on TSLA Next Week
- Key Insights: Tesla's current support levels around 340.80 to 344.44 are
crucial for maintaining investor confidence in the face of declining sales.
The anticipation of autonomous driving features and Optimus robot
developments creates potential growth catalysts that could positively impact
stock performance in the near term.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=375, T2=387.
Stop levels are S1=340, S2=338.
Following price level rules for a long position, these targets
provide a strategic entry and exit point that aligns with the technical
analysis and market sentiment.
- Recent Performance: TSLA's stock is experiencing heightened volatility, with a
significant recent sales decline in major markets including a 15% drop in
China and a 59% decline in Germany. Despite these challenges, the stock
appears to be supported above the critical low 340s, suggesting potential
for recovery.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts' sentiments regarding TSLA are mixed, reflecting
caution due to recent sales drops yet maintaining optimism about product
innovations. The potential for a rebound in stock performance exists,
especially if the anticipated launches materialize successfully. Predictions
indicate a possible stock price trajectory toward the lower 500s by year-end
if positive momentum is sustained.
- News Impact: Tesla’s strategic responses to competitive pressures, including
price adjustments affecting margins, remain a focal point for investors. The
company is closely monitored for advancements in autonomous technologies,
and upcoming earnings reports are expected to create further volatility as
analysts assess financial performance and broader operational strategies
within the evolving electric vehicle market.
TSLA 4H Update
The continued grind to the downside led me to a count change. I'm now considering we're in green IV, and still expect a new ATH before any major reversal.
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for TeslaMarket Overview:
Trend: Tesla is in a corrective phase after a strong rally, attempting a rebound.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $365 - $375
Support: $340 - $343 (weak), $333 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Weak bullish crossover, suggesting a potential short-term recovery.
EMA: TSLA is below the 200 EMA ($376.98), signaling bearish pressure.
RSI: At 55.87, showing neutral momentum with room for further upside.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? Price is consolidating below resistance but showing recovery signs.
How?
Buy near $350 - $352, aiming for a scalp to $365 - $370.
Sell near $370, as resistance remains strong.
Stop-loss below $348, in case of a breakdown.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Momentum Increases)
Trigger: A breakout above $375 or breakdown below $343.
Execution:
If TSLA breaks $375, scalp long targeting $385 - $390.
If TSLA drops below $343, scalp short to $333 - $325.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TSLA is testing the 9 EMA ($352), meaning a breakout could provide a short-term push.
Execution:
Buy on EMA bounce (~$350 - $352) for a quick move higher.
Short if price rejects resistance (~$370 - $375).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Neutral → Slightly Bullish
Why?
Recovery attempt underway, but must reclaim $375+ to confirm bullish continuation.
MACD turning positive, suggesting momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
If TSLA fails to reclaim $375, expect a pullback to $343 - $333 before another move up.
Only a break above $385 confirms further bullish extension.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Tech stocks showing strength, supporting TSLA’s recovery.
EV demand trends remain a key factor in mid-term direction.
Watch overall Nasdaq sentiment, as TSLA often moves in sync with market risk appetite.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is viable, but watch resistance at $365 - $375.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless TSLA fails to hold above $343.
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp long on dips but lock profits near resistance.
👑 Final Verdict:
Tesla is recovering, but a pullback to $343 - $333 is possible before a breakout. Above $375, expect $385+ next. 🔥
Tesla: I will buy some Call options, todayWill buy some call options today.
Read my signuture, I am not responsible for your losses. Do your own analysis. This is my point of view.
Fractals dictate the futureIf you learn from this lesson, then you will know what happens to tesla stock going for the next two years. We will be getting a magnificent buying opportunity one day, like no other.
TSLA Scenarios These are the most likely scenarios for TSLA. Really needs to hold here to go higher. But if it doesn't we have potential for my second option. It might bounce of the red level in option 2 and go to all time highs or it will fail on support lost. I expect lower if that happens. Just a couple ideas. Ill post more ideas as this develops. Not taking option 1 as it is more risky and I already missed getting in lower so its not worth it for me now from a risk management standpoint. Thanks for reading.
TSLA - UPDATE LONGWe inverse this displacement and close, we can see us back above ATH. Buyside liquidity targets in chart.
Tesla 2025: Bull vs. Bear – Opportunities and Risks Bullish Thesis :
Tesla is looking incredibly bullish for 2025! 🚀 Strong EV demand keeps growing, and Tesla remains the market leader.
FSD & AI breakthroughs could unlock massive revenue through robotaxis. The energy business is expanding fast with solar and battery storage.
A new affordable Tesla model is set to drive major market share growth.
Cybertruck production is ramping up with strong demand. Manufacturing efficiency is improving at Giga Texas, Berlin, and Shanghai. Optimus, Tesla’s humanoid robot, could tap into a trillion-dollar market.
Government incentives and energy credits continue to support Tesla’s growth. Advancements in 4680 battery tech improve efficiency and cut costs. Global expansion into markets like India is fueling further growth.
The Supercharger network is opening to other automakers, creating new revenue streams. The Dojo supercomputer and Tesla AI innovations could redefine multiple industries.
Stock buybacks may boost investor confidence, and Tesla’s strong balance sheet ensures continued innovation. With all this momentum, 2025 could be a huge year for Tesla!
Bearish Thesis:
EV competition is heating up, with legacy automakers and Chinese brands like BYD gaining market share.
FSD and robotaxi ambitions face regulatory hurdles that could delay adoption. Margins are under pressure due to price cuts and rising production costs.
The global economy and high interest rates could slow down EV demand. Tesla’s reliance on Elon Musk’s leadership is a risk, especially with his focus on multiple ventures.
Cybertruck production challenges and potential delays could hurt expectations. Scaling 4680 battery cell production remains a hurdle. China, one of Tesla’s biggest markets, poses geopolitical risks and increasing competition.
The energy business, while growing, still lags behind vehicle sales in profitability. Stock dilution from employee compensation plans or capital raises could impact share value.
If Tesla fails to meet its aggressive AI, FSD, and Optimus robot timelines, investor sentiment could turn negative. With these risks in play, Tesla's 2025 outlook isn’t without challenges. ⚠️
$TSLA yieaahhhliterally a year ago on Feb 2024 I posted a beautiful chart that we nailed precisely.
Coincidence we meet again one year later? I hope yieahhhh
Strong confluences
1. 50% fib retracement
2. mid line on the parallel channel dating to stone age
3. RSI on weekly at 50
4. RSI on daily closed right at 30
Gamma exposure is heavy into the negative side - reason of the big selloffs vs other names that buy the dips - making this risky but I will stop right there, I only know how to draw lines.
IMO if this support doesn't hold, we might see 246 uff.
Yieaahhh
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or Further Downside?Market Structure & Price Action:
* TSLA has been in a strong downtrend, breaking multiple support levels.
* It has rejected the descending trendline, continuing lower.
* Current price is hovering near $327, testing a key PUT support level.
🔍 Key Levels:
* Support:
* $327 – Strong PUT support (highest negative NETGEX).
* $295 – 2nd major CALL wall support.
* $250 – Long-term support if downside continues.
* Resistance:
* $360 – Heavy resistance from PUT wall.
* $380 – 3rd CALL wall resistance.
* $400 – Strong CALL resistance (37.69%).
📊 Indicator Analysis:
1️⃣ MACD:
* MACD is deep in negative territory, showing strong bearish momentum.
* A possible crossover could indicate a short-term relief bounce.
2️⃣ Stochastic RSI:
* Oversold conditions, indicating potential for a relief bounce.
* Needs confirmation with price action.
3️⃣ 9/21 EMA:
* TSLA is trading below both EMAs, confirming strong bearish structure.
* Needs to reclaim 9 EMA for any bullish reversal attempt.
🔥 GEX & Options Sentiment:
* PUT Support at $327: This is a critical level; a break below can accelerate selling.
* Call walls at $360 & $380: Resistance levels where buyers may struggle.
* IVR 51 / IVx 66.6: Moderate implied volatility, suggesting steady options activity.
🛠️ Trading Plan:
📉 Bearish Scenario (Break Below $327):
* If TSLA fails to hold $327, expect a drop towards $295.
* Ideal PUT entry: Break below $327 with volume.
* Stop Loss: Above $335.
* Profit Target: $300-$295.
📈 Bullish Reversal (Above $327):
* If TSLA reclaims 9 EMA & holds $327, expect a bounce towards $350-$360.
* Ideal CALL entry: Reclaim of $335 with strong volume.
* Stop Loss: Below $320.
* Profit Target: $350-$360.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
* TSLA is at a key decision point.
* A break below $327 triggers more downside.
* A bounce above $327 could offer a short-term relief rally.
🔔 Trade carefully & manage risk!
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
Tesla a buy opportunity?Tesla: An Opportunity?
Despite mixed results in several of its quarterly reports, there are several catalysts that could indicate that the recent price pullback might be a buying opportunity.
Revenue Growth: Tesla is expected to continue its revenue growth, driven by the expansion of its product portfolio and the adoption of its North American Charging Standard (NACS) by other automakers.
Innovations and Launches: Tesla plans to launch several new models in 2025, including a more affordable vehicle with a base price of around $25,000.
Challenges and Competition: Although Tesla remains a leader in the electric vehicle market, it faces increasing competition, especially from Chinese manufacturers.
Financial Outlook: Despite some uneven financial results in recent quarters, analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. Revenue is expected to grow steadily, and gross margins are expected to stabilize as the company reduces costs.
Impact of AI: Tesla is investing in artificial intelligence technologies, which could further drive its growth and solidify its market position.
Bonus: Tesla is expected to launch its robotaxi service in Texas in June 2025 and the Optimus humanoids in 2026.
Tesla Battery Running Flat? Recharge Incoming at $300 Continuing from the previous Tesla breakdown, we can see price has respected the green zone, aligning with the previously called full-swing projection. As price approaches its high, it’s likely to face some retracement before the next significant move.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Point of Interest (POI): The Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $300 zone presents a high-probability area for price to recharge and gather momentum.
- Next Upside Target: After the retracement, expect a push higher to retest the green zone and potentially make new highs.
Tesla’s price action remains dynamic, with opportunities for both retracements and breakouts. Always ensure proper risk management when navigating these setups.
Conclusion:
Short-term: Retracement to the $300 FVG zone.
Medium-term: Continuation upward targeting the green zone for new highs.
DYOR!
TSLA, BUY THE DIP, right now, right here...We are filling the gap, right now.
If we go fill the second gap at 275, keep some money to DCA... ;)
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 305/2x315/320 BWB*... for a 1.25 credit.
Comments: I don't do these very often, but decided to putz with one here. The setup consists of two parts -- a long put vertical (the -315P/320P) and a short put vertical (the 305P/-315P), one of which is wider than the other. I wrapped it around the 30 delta/expected move strike at the 315 and erected wings out from there.
Although the ROC at max is sexy and alluring, it is illusory, since it would require a finish between the break even at 308.75 and 315 which is a fairly small landing pad when you've launched your rocket from 38 days out in time. Consequently, you generally want to look to take profit either at 50% max of the credit received or for something decent, but far less than the max if presented with the opportunity.
From a trade management standpoint, these generally work or they don't, although I will consider rolling up the 305 put to the 310, assuming I get an opportunity to do so for a debit that is less than the credit received. This would convert the setup into a "free fly," since both wings would be of the same width (i.e., the max loss of the short put vertical would be equal to the max loss of the long put vertical).
Metrics:
Max Profit: 6.25
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 3.75
ROC at Max: 167%
Break Even: 308.75/share
* -- Broken wing butterfly.
24/12/13 Tesla 427 USD - volcano erupted Tesla actually as an high flyer. Since end of october, the value has been doubled.
Are there any fundamental reasons, to substantiate such a move?
100% for sure not. Why?
Musk will launch next year another cheaper car. This may help to keep the piece of the market, but not to increase very higher sales in total. 2024 tesla sold end of Q3 not more cars than in 2023. last quarter .- we will see. But chinese Market is blocked by there own. See, in what a velocity china creates new companies in EV. They do it in the same way how they did it with PV Moduls.
Musk also will push the robotaxi. But he has neither a requires functionality nor a permission for such vehicles. And dont forget, amazon and google have already such cars driving. Google with her daughter with 50000 bookings per week, which will generate a lot of datas, Tesla does not have. And lot of important Tesla people in this technology leaved the company this year.
But overall: the US taxi market revenue per year is roundabout 22 B USD. Maybe 10% net earnings. Even with driverless vehicles the net earings are 30%, maximal net earnings for Tesla will be in 3-4 years maybe 70 Million USD, 10 years maybe 800 Million USD (USA, europe). Discount it with 4% and you will see …
If this robotaxi are good enough, not to buy an own car… we will see. Every man liked his own car. And if not, this business model will cannibalize the own business.
So - Tesla is fundamental overrated.
Technical side see chart.
Maybe actually prices are driven by short covering (remember Volkswagen and Mr. Merckly was driven in suicide).
So, prices now on upper bollinger boundary.
Prices extrem above SMA 40 Weeks, which was a sign for sharp correction.
And - I guess, some Short Sellers are coming onto to the floor.
But - richest man in the world is naturally at any time aible, to buy for private, for several billions. That means: Hedge funds as short sellers must have min. 10-20 B USD to fight or covered.
Dan 13.12.24
Tesla's trending channelWatching NASDAQ:TSLA on the monthly chart, there is a clear RSI divergence trail that the stock is following, and the trend right now is down. Correction down to $160 makes sense, before a rebound off the trending line and the bottom of that RSI trail. Time will show.
$TSLA with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for NASDAQ:TSLA after a negative over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift C with an expected accuracy of 57.14%.
TSLA bounce now or head lower TSLA is now a support area.
Needs to bounce back at 357, otherwise it will head lower!
