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VALE3 trade ideas

I am bullish on Vale stock; here’s why Iron ore prices can rise due to tariffs for several reasons: 1. Supply Disruptions – If a major producer or exporter faces tariffs, it may reduce supply in the global market, pushing prices higher. 2. Higher Production Costs – Tariffs on raw materials, equipment, or transportation increase the cost of iron ore mining and exporting, which can be passed on to buyers. 3. Trade Restrictions – If tariffs are imposed on competing materials (e.g., steel imports), demand for domestic production rises, leading to higher demand for iron ore. 4. Shifts in Trade Flows– Countries affected by tariffs may seek alternative suppliers, creating inefficiencies in the market that drive up prices. Weekly chart and my previous entry
NYSE:VALELong
by YoloVanCoin
4
Position trade with 50%+ upside potentialTrading near 8-year lows (not considering COVID-19 drop) VALE seems way undervalued both from PE - PS ratio standpoint and also when comparing with its peers. The stock price has reacted three times in $9.75 - $9.80 level. The period of November-December is the starting point of price appreciation since 2021 (although each time the rise in price was not as great as in the previous year). There is a significant resistance at the $12 mark (a level that acts as a strong support also). The stock is in a downward channel, with lower highs since the summer of 2021, where the stock hit a 12-year high of $22.50 approximately. The stock drops steadily on low volume and that signifies an exhaustion in selling power. If buyers step in and the $12 resistance breaks, first target will be $13 and the next one will be near $16 which is my goal for that trade. When analyzing the options market, volume and open interest, as well as the call vs put sentiment, show that bullish sentiment dominates with 72% (approximately) of trades reflecting optimism, mostly through calls targeting higher future prices. Iron ore prices and demand (mainly from China) might pose a threat, but at these levels I cannot see the price sliding further.
NLong
by Orestis_KO
3
VALE: Elliott Wave AnalysisWe're looking at an Expanded Flat correction in Wave 2, with Wave C forming a Complex Corrective ABCDE triangle pattern After breaking down from the triangle pattern, Wave C is likely to terminate near major support levels (~$7.50-$6). Implications for Wave (3): Once Wave (2) concludes, a powerful impulsive Wave (3) is expected, with targets around: $27-29 (161.8% extension). ~$40 (261.8% extension). The triangle within Wave C suggests exhaustion of the bearish trend, setting the stage for a multi-year rally. Based on Vale's goals in producing and expanding on their "energy transition" metals like nickel (currently the second largest nickel miner in the world) and copper, and the demand for EV batteries. It's likely that Vale will benefit. This is a long projection so Vale will have to execute on all its timelines and goals for production capacity. Best of luck all.
NLong
by HassiOnTheMoon
Vale - Breaking Trade 12/3/2024There was a great breakout trade opportunity on Vale's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key support level where the price struggled to break through. Eventually, a breakout occurred with a strong bearish candlestick, confirming sellers' strength. However, instead of entering immediately at the breakout, the ideal entry point would be on the pullback to the red zone. After the breakout, the price retraced back to the support zone, which then acted as resistance. Notice how the price tested this zone but failed to close above it, indicating that sellers remained in control. The optimal entry would occur when the price breaks below the low of the retracement candle, confirming the continuation of the bearish move. This approach allows for a more precise entry, reduces risk by setting a stop-loss above the resistance zone, and offers a better reward-to-risk ratio as the trend resumes downward. It’s a textbook example of a breakout-retest setup with confirmation. Thank you for reading! If you found this content helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and share the idea. Follow me on TradingView!
BShort
by Alexandre_Saldanha_
A case for long term investment and DCANYSE:VALE Is at an inflection point. It is a stock I have been watching for a long time as it has a nice Elliott wave pattern (If correct) Here I present the Weekly chart as I consider it for my long term portfolio (3+ years BUY and Hold) Although the chart presented here looks great (Read: Phenomenal), as an analyst utilising multiple methods, the story does not unfold as easily as I'd like. As can be seen in the snapshot below there are multiple 'anomalies' still outstanding at those green zones on the magnified weekly chart. They may or may not be filled, but our awareness of them should cause us to move forward with caution. On the Elliottwave side of things, there are two ways of looking at this. Either the recent top at ~$23 was wave i of 3 of (3) or the top of Primary w(1). If the latter is true then we will likely drop lower in to one of the green bands. So the question remains - how do we take advantage of this given a drop to just above $3? 1) You can Dollar Cost Average in at each stage distributing your allocated capital 2) Wait for a bounce in a five wave move and enter at the correction for w2 of that bounce. Use the low for a stop loss. There is no perfect way to manage the unknowns, you can only manage your primary objective, which should be to safeguard your capital - If you want to know my thoughts on NYSE:VALE and other names give this a boost and follow. best of luck!
N
by investornomics
3
Vale S.A. is riding the wave of optimism as the Brazilian stockVale S.A. is riding the wave of optimism as the Brazilian stock market rebounds, buoyed by China's economic stimulus and rising iron ore prices. Vale S.A. has emerged as a frontrunner in the recent upswing of the Brazilian stock market, with shares soaring over 4.5% thanks to an increase in iron ore prices driven by renewed demand from China. As the world's largest iron ore exporter, Vale stands to benefit significantly from China's stimulus measures aimed at revitalizing its economy. This positive momentum underscores Vale's vital role in Brazil's economy, reflecting broader trends in the commodities sector and showcasing investor confidence in the company's future performance amid ongoing global challenges. Rewards Price-To-Earnings ratio (5.3x) is below the BR market (9.9x) Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29% Risk Analysis Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.8% per year for the next 3 years Dividend of 11.58% is not well covered by free cash flows
NLong
by Maximus20000
1
The stock (VALE S.A.) Analysis 1. Price Range and Trends: The stock (VALE S.A.) has been in a downtrend since early 2024, falling from highs around $15.50 to current levels near $11.20. There's a clear long-term downtrend, but we're seeing signs of potential reversal. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: - Strong resistance: $13.04 - Key support: $11.20 - Secondary support: $11.00 - Potential resistance: $12.61 3. Recent Price Action: The price has recently found support around $11.20-$11.24, forming a potential bottom. This level has held multiple times, suggesting it's a strong support zone. 4. Buy Point and Take Profit: The chart indicates a "Buy Point" around the current price levels ($11.20-$11.24) and a "Take Profit" target near $12.61. 5. Potential Trade Setup: Based on the chart, a long (buy) position could be considered with the following parameters: - Entry: $11.20-$11.24 - Stop Loss: Below $11.00 - Take Profit: $12.61-$13.04 6. Risk/Reward Ratio: Assuming an entry at $11.24, stop loss at $10.95, and take profit at $12.61: - Risk per share: $0.29 - Potential reward per share: $1.37 - Risk/Reward ratio: approximately 1:4.7, which is favorable 7. Volume Analysis: Without clear volume data, it's difficult to confirm the strength of the potential reversal. Ideally, we'd want to see increasing volume on up days to confirm buying pressure. 8. Timeframe: This setup appears to be targeting a medium-term trade, potentially over several weeks to months. Risks and Considerations: 1. The overall trend is still bearish, so we're trading against the main trend. 2. There's potential resistance at $12.61 before reaching the main take profit level. 3. Lack of volume data makes it harder to confirm the strength of the potential reversal. Conclusion: The chart suggests a potential buying opportunity at current levels, with a favorable risk/reward ratio. However, traders should be cautious due to the overall bearish trend and confirm the reversal with additional indicators and volume analysis before entering a position. It's crucial to adhere to strict risk management practices, given the stock's volatile nature and the uncertain market conditions.
NLong
by Trustscore
1
VALE is just hanging togetherVale S .A. (VALE), one of the largest producers of iron ore, recently posted controversial financial results. On the one hand, the company was more than successful in executing its strategy, largely led by record iron ore prices (a 22% increase YoY in Q4 2023). Both revenue and EBITDA exceeded consensus estimates, however, EPS was a large miss. Vale’s adjusted net earnings have been thwarted by the increase in provision for environmental settlements. Brazilian company reported a 35% drop in fourth-quarter net income, missing analysts' expectations due to a 40% increase in provision for environmental settlements totaling $4.21 bn from $3 bn announced previously. This will have a devastating effect on the company’s FCF in the coming quarters. VALE stock is notches towards the lower end of the support channel, bringing hopes of a rise in stock prices. The stock price, however, is subject to fluctuations in iron ore pricing, which has recently hit 3-year high, while the stock price has been in a downtrend since 2021. A further slump in iron ore prices could thus trigger VALE selloff.
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by barneysimps_on