VALED trade ideas
Should we keep an eye on China?Sorry guys, but I need to open this debate.
Will VALE3 really make a double bottom in the region of 53.64?
I honestly have a big doubt right now. I'm starting to question my previous review for only one reason . Is this the real price for the company, that is, is your market valuation the current one?
I, looking to the left of the graph, realize that it is not.
The fact for this is quite simple.
Look at asset prices before the pandemic. It has always been working below the historical top region formed at the time (43.06) in September 2018.
Then, of course, you will come up with the following question.
-Ah, all commodities had a significant increase in the post-pandemic, so this is the main reason for the increase for iron ore and consequently the share price.
And I will answer: -Okay, I completely agree with you, but answer me a question, because the answer you will give me will answer your argument and consequently defend mine: “-Who is the biggest consumer of iron ore in the world? ” You will surely answer me: -China, of course. I will say. - Well then, who controls the price of this commodity is China itself, therefore the valuation of the VALE company is completely linked to the value of iron ore in the international market (ops Chinese).
Another factor I'm going to put on the table.
Look at the price of iron ore in the pre-pandemic Shanghai market. They are falling, right? Therefore, I believe it to be the recession (real estate) that was approaching and that was confirmed in the sequence with the collapse of the main Chinese civil construction companies (Evergrande and others - recently we had Country Garden).
Based on these assumptions, I'm going to kick the bucket and say the following: We will not have a double bottom (BRAZIL) (lol) , because I think that prices will seek two steps below, more precisely the region of 43.06, that historical peak of the time of 2018.
Is it too much of a trip for me to think that the asset will not fall, but rather collapse in the coming months? Because if I consider that China's economic power is shrinking, I can have this daydream of seeing VALE's role in seeking the informed region!
-Unfortunately for us, only time will tell if my daydream will be correct or not!
Then look at the bearish pivot of my daydream's monthly chart! (lol)
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Conscious. If Buy, Use Stop Loss!
-See below for other graphic reviews!
Vale or Yale? Brics or Books EPS winning streak, Dividends Paid
Business Summary
Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw materials in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Ferrous Minerals and Base Metals segments
VALE3 Week of 13/08 to 17/08 2023VALE3 in a possible buying point, if points described on video respected.
Please see video for exact points.
Thanks.
VALE3/PETR4 Week of 07/08 to 11/08Spread in a critical point.
Please see video for exact explanation.
Thank you.
VALE3 Week of 07/08 to 11/08VALE3 in a waiting mode to resume to the upside if it holds in it's supports.
Pease see video for exact numbers.
Thank you
VALE a junior miner can rise on the Gold bullrunNYSE:VALE as a junior miner could be reaosnably expected to follow spot gold.
The bottom line is quite simple. With fixed costs to mine gold, VALE can easily
expect to increase its margins when stop gold rises will above the breakeven
on a spreadsheet. The 2H chart shows price has descended into the support of
the long term anchored mean anchored VWAP line after a VWAP breakdown.
The PMO and ZL MACD are confirmatory for a consolidation sitting on dynamic
support.
Overall, the analysis is that of VALE setup to make a reversal for a bullish move
reflecting the gold run at large. I will take this trade long now.
VALE3 / PETR4 Week of 31/07 to 04/08 2023The spread is in a make it or break area.
Please see video for better comprehension.
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VALE3 Week of 31/07 to 04/08 2023VALE3 in a important support.
Depending on the reaction to the points described in the video.
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VALE3 week of July 24 till 28 2023VALE3 in an early stages of an bullish mode.
Exact points of support and resistance, please listen to the report.
Thank you.
VALE3/PBR4 week of 17/07/23 to 21/07/23Spread over sold suggesting a short up momentum.
Please listen to the recording to exact points.
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VALE3 week of 17/07/23 to 21/07/23VALE3 in a short term up move to a intermediary double bottom target.
Please see recording for precise levels.
Thanks
An introduction to Wyckoff Theory using VALE WHello! VALE is in a consolidatory phase, and is set to increase in volatility soon. Going to take a miracle. The current trend is bearish. Time cycles show confluence as October 2023 being the next POI. This is not meant to determine price so much as it is to softly introduce you to a 4-step cycle: Up, retrace, revisit highs, selloff. This is NOT a suggestion of price, length of cycle, but serves to only give you an idea of what the market psychology is in the respective cycle that you are in.
This phase way of thinking is derived from a market psychology framework known as Wyckoff theory. No two patterns are the same. I simplified it with Up, Retrace, revisit highs and Selloff. This is a simpler way of a distribution pattern in Wyckoff theory. "Selloff" can flip to break out in a reaccumulation. It's important to note anything can happen in markets and there is no 100% way to determine the future.
I see a confluence between psychology, trend, and time cycles that indicate a likely bearish case for VALE. It will likely take years, but it looks like it might capitulate during that time. Not the best play out there right now, but one that I like to introduce new traders to market psychology
VALE longVale S.A., formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce is a Brazilian multinational corporation engaged in metals and mining and one of the largest logistics operators in Brazil. Vale is the largest producer of iron ore and nickel in the world.
VALE - a senior gold miner LONGVALE is a long-established gold miner with global assets and is well positioned to leverage
rises in spot gold and futures in its overall operations. On the 1H chart, I have added two
sets of VWAP lines and their standard deviations anchored at the beginning of both May and
June. They have similar line trends. Price is crossing over those mean VWAPs a classical
sign of predominating bullish momentum The Lorentzian machine learning indicator issued
a buy signal two trading days ago. This indicator uses RSI, CCI, moving averages and directional
indices to produce high-quality algos and trading signals. It has no psychology and issues alerts
on purely mathematical criteria. The MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF line crossed over
both the higher TF line in black and the 50 level one day ago. The 3 in 1 indicator is green
for all three including money flow and bullish momentum and confirmatory on RSI. Overall,
given the rise in gold on the forex and futures market, I see VALE moving higher and the
TA supports that view. I will take a long trade of stock and consider a call option if I
can find one with enough volume to trade and a reasonable spread.
VALE3 Florença 260623 a 300623Vale3 good risk return at 63 with a stop bellow 63 on daily close.
It is in a bottom part of the accumulation/distribution of 3 yrs.
VALE LONGI am long on VALE!
there are huge levels within the triangle pattern. this stock moves perfectly between these levels. I estimate in the long term this stock reach $16.2s and break above. the last close is $14.44
VALE ANALYSISwe can clearly see a bullish trend on vale, the triangle pattern we have that has last 2 years is nearing completion after which the market will resume the bullish move.
VALE with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for VALE after a negative over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift C with an expected accuracy of 60%.
Vale needs to bounce from here or $12 in playChart is self explanatory. If this does not hold or bounce aggressively, save some dry powder for 12ish or below…even with all signs pointing to a massive market crash.
$VALE with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for $VALE after a Negative under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D with an expected accuracy of 83.33%.
VALE SA Support and Resistance LinesWhite lines on the top and bottom are the major range lines. The yellow lines represent swing levels and trends. I placed a pitchfork analysis and you can see VALE is in a long term uptrend. I expect a break to the upside out of the triangle pattern and continue up inside the upward pitchfork. The next swing line, should it break to the upside, would be the next yellow swing line.
Aside from technicals, you have money flowing out of tech and commodities benefit from high interest rates. I expect with the technicals and macro trends for commodities to go up. However, the global economy and markets are on thin ice, so be cautious.
I made this analysis April 2022.
A clear title that describes my idea TA BLABLA further researchA clear title that describes my idea TA BLABLA further research 9
