Cypher Pattern setup on WBA! 80+% Win Rate on this ticker!I trade WBA 0.25%on a regular basis as I am a fond believer in understanding what you are trading. I have a hand full of stocks that I refer to as my "bread and butter" (this is one). as you mature as a trader, you will realized that consistent profitability boils down to-
1. Solid Trading Strategy that has been back-tested thoroughly!
2. A detailed set of rules and conditions that must be met in order to trade your back-tested strategy.
3. A trading plan that consists of Entries, Targets, and Stop-losses derived from your back-testing results.
4. A hand full of stocks that you know inside and out. You have watched them for long enough to almost sense there next movement. You have thoroughly back-tested many different variables in order to figure out what the best way to trade those stocks may be.
Of course there is more but I find these to be very important especially if you are just starting to trade.
I am bullish on WBA 0.25%moving forward however I have had great success with the cypher setup on this ticker and we are due for a retracement.. I have set targets at the . 382 retracement of leg C to D
(use Fibonacci retracement tool to pull a retracement from C to point D)
My entry was around 85.90 with a stop loss in the area of X. this trade typically averages 5-10 days on this ticker and hits a .618 more often than not however due to the recent retail sales numbers and the strength in the markets, I have chosen to take a . 382 retracement as opposed to a .382 for target 1 and .618 for target 2. I will be following this trade on the hourly chart as well. You will notice that we are currently forming a triangle pattern on the hourly chart and I will use the break of that triangle to manage my trade. if we break up out of the triangle then I will look for price to stall out around 86.50 and head down to targets..
P.S I might be looking for a long if targets are met on the current cypher pattern and we reach a price of 83.50 so be sure to keep and eye out for another idea if targets are met on this trade..
I hope this was helpful! Good luck trading and
$$MAKE SOME MONEY$$
WBAD trade ideas
Consolidation before another move to the topside? $WBATechnically Speaking
For me, the 76 level seems fairly important. As noted on the chart, earnings come out on Thursday, so I would be very careful with this stock. If the 76 level goes the 200 WMA is the next spot I would look for demand followed by the 60 level.
Fundamentals
Walgreens supports a div yield of 1.92%. Link: www.google.com
For div history check out: www.nasdaq.com
WBA EARNINGS PLAYSWBA announces earnings tomorrow before market open, so look to put on a play before today's NY close.
Here are the metrics for defined/undefined risk setups:
WBA July 15th 76.5/90 short strangle
POP%: 76%
Max Profit: $106/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: Undefined/$1031/contract
WBA July 15th 74/78/89/93 iron condor
POP%: 67%
Max Profit: $104/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $296/contract
Notes: Shoot to take these off at 50% max profit and move on. For the short strangle, the buying power effect metric is quite "ugly." For the iron condor, I had to bring the wings in to squeeze $100+ out of the setup, which lowers the probability of profit (POP) of the setup heftily. There are always trade offs between max profit potential, buying power effect (defined vs. undefined), and probability of profit ... . To gain with one metric, you inevitably give up ground on another ... .
$WBA forms a bear flagBig Picture:
Market is hovering around major resistance and curling down. Index for biotechnology is lagging.
The company posted an earnings and reaction of investors was negative. No, it is building nive bear flag and with today's close it was resolved.
Trade Management:
Entry near $80.70 with respective stop at $82.20 make this trade very attractive from risk/reward point of view.