AAPL: Sell ideaHello traders!!! On AAPL we would have a high probability of having a drop over a time unit of one (01) hour. This decline will be confirmed by the forceful break of the vwap and the support line by the sellers.
AAPL trade ideas
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Forming a Potential W-Pattern – A Bullish SignApple Inc. (AAPL) Forming a Potential W-Pattern – A Bullish Signal
Apple Inc. (AAPL) appears to be shaping a significant W-pattern, a well-known technical formation often associated with bullish momentum. From a psychological standpoint, this pattern suggests a potential buying opportunity.
Should fundamental factors align with this technical setup, I anticipate a strong upward move, targeting my 3 TP levels at $245, $250, and $260.
To maximize profitability and maintain a disciplined approach, traders should consider managing risk effectively.
Holding positions for optimal gains becomes easier when avoiding excessive leverage—or better yet, trading with no leverage at all.
Trade with caution.
Always align technical insights with fundamental analysis before making investment decisions.
AAPL Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for AAPL
* Current Price Action: AAPL is forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, which is typically a bearish pattern if momentum weakens. However, the stock remains in an uptrend.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $245 - A key level that aligns with the 66.1% Call Wall.
* Next Resistance: $250 - This is the Gamma Resistance Zone where a rejection is possible.
* First Support: $242 - If AAPL pulls back, this zone should be watched for a potential bounce.
* Major Support: $234 - A breakdown of $242 could lead to testing this lower support.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $226 - Losing this level could trigger a significant downside move.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Slight bearish divergence forming, indicating slowing momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: In overbought territory, signaling potential short-term weakness.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $250 → This is the strongest resistance zone.
* 35.91% Call Wall: $255 → Another major resistance area.
* 66.1% Call Wall: $245 → AAPL is currently testing this level, meaning a breakout could fuel a strong move towards $250.
* Put Wall Support: $225 → If AAPL drops, this level could provide support.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 28.4 → Moderate implied volatility, meaning options are priced fairly.
* IVx Avg: 30 → Slightly elevated but stable.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 4.6% → Slightly bullish, but nothing extreme.
Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $245 with strong volume.
* Target: $250 (Gamma Squeeze Potential).
* Stop Loss: Below $242.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $242.
* Target: $234 or $226 (Put Support).
* Stop Loss: Above $245.
Final Thoughts
* AAPL remains bullish but is approaching key resistance at $245 and $250.
* A rejection at $245 could trigger a pullback to $242 or lower.
* Options flow suggests a potential squeeze to $250, but traders should be cautious of a pullback if momentum weakens.
* Best Trade Approach: Watch for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown before committing to a trade.
🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
Apple: Ready to see new highs!!The technical aspect of Apple is clearly bullish and everything points to it being on its way to new highs.
On Monday, December 30, the DAILY timeframe chart indicated that the MOMENTUM was turning bearish (Bear), and as expected, the price began to fall until it reached the 219 zone, just when the oscillator showed an oversold signal (January 22). Since then, the price began to recover until last Friday, when TREND, STRENGTH and MOMENTUM aligned bullish (Bull), clearly warning us that the price will most likely attack the highs.
In addition to the technical aspect, Apple has an accumulated fall of -2.32%, which makes it easier for us to see new highs in the coming days.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the price exceeds the 247.5 zone
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the maximum zone of 259 (+5%)
--> Stop Loss at 234 (-5%).
--> Ratio (1:1)
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 234 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (259).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
AAPL LONGNASDAQ:AAPL sweep of bullish O.B. internal liquidity - External liquidity (ATH) remains unmitigated, signaling potential upside. The macro orderflow remains bullish as there are no clear signs on CHoCH and good accumulation volume, with Apple’s dominance in both hardware and services like Apple TV+, Apple Music, and Apple News+ continuing to drive confidence. Analyst Aaron Rakers from Wells Fargo maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of $275.00. I’m targeting $266.52 if $248.08 holds on lower timeframes, with the potential for further upside if these levels hold.
Apple 2-17 (scalping + forecast) 🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Apple (AAPL) is in a strong bullish uptrend, rebounding from recent lows and approaching resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $246–$250 (potential breakout zone).
Support: $238–$240 (Supertrend support).
Indicators:
EMA 9: $241.81 (acting as dynamic support).
EMA 200: $235.79 (long-term bullish confirmation).
Supertrend: $238.62 (trend remains bullish).
MACD: Bullish crossover, confirming strong momentum.
RSI: 75.38 (overbought conditions, signaling potential short-term pullback).
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping:
Buy near: $242–$243 if momentum sustains.
Target: $246–$250.
Stop-loss below: $238.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping:
Long if price breaks above: $246, targeting $250+.
Short if price rejects $246, targeting $240.
🩸 3. Range Scalping:
Sell near: $246–$250 resistance.
Target: $240–$238.
Stop-loss: $251 if breakout occurs.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If AAPL breaks $246, a rally toward $250–$255 is likely.
A rejection at $246 could trigger a pullback to $238–$235.
RSI is overbought, indicating a possible retracement before continuation.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Product Cycle Strength: Apple remains strong on iPhone demand and AI integration.
Tech Sector Rally: Apple follows the broader tech rally but is near critical resistance.
Macroeconomic Factors: Any Fed policy shifts could impact tech momentum.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Look for a breakout above $246 or a rejection for shorting opportunities.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish, but extended. A pullback would be healthy before continuation.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy on dips near $242, or short if price struggles at $246.
👑 Final Verdict: Apple is in a strong uptrend but facing resistance at $246. Bulls need a breakout for continuation; otherwise, a pullback is likely.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote: "Momentum fuels the rally, but resistance tests conviction."
APPL – Daily OutlookStudy sales behavior at this range for potential market signals. - Profit Targets: 244, 242, and 239 (with potential gains of 2%, 3%, and 4.9%, respectively). Use proper risk management practices to protect your capital. **Disclaimer:** This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
Sales Zone (248-250):
Monitor sales activity in this range to gauge market strength.
Profit Targets:
244: Approx. 2% gain
242: Approx. 3% gain
239: Approx. 4.9% gain
These levels serve as potential exit points in a bearish scenario. Always manage risk appropriately and adjust your stop-loss according to daily volatility.
APPLE Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 244.56
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 234.19
My Stop Loss - 250.52
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for AppleMarket Overview:
Trend: Apple is in a recovery phase, pushing above key resistance after a recent downtrend.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$245 - $250
Support: ~$240 - $243 (weak), ~$235 - $236 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Bullish momentum increasing, supporting short-term upside.
EMA: AAPL is above 9 EMA and reclaiming the 200 EMA, confirming bullish recovery.
RSI: Overbought (80), indicating potential consolidation or correction ahead.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? Apple is facing overbought conditions, but bulls remain in control.
How?
Buy near $240 - $243, targeting $245 - $247.
Sell near $245 - $250, as resistance is forming.
Stop-loss below $238, to protect against fake breakouts.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Volatility Kicks In)
Trigger: A breakout above $250 or breakdown below $240.
Execution:
If AAPL breaks $250, scalp long targeting $255 - $258.
If AAPL drops below $240, scalp short to $235 - $230.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? AAPL has reclaimed the 9 EMA, making dips to EMA a good long entry.
Execution:
Buy pullbacks to 9 EMA (~$243 - $244).
Short only if AAPL breaks below the 9 EMA (~$240).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bullish → Neutral
Why?
Strong bullish recovery, but RSI overbought signals a potential pause.
Breaking $245 opens the door to $250+, but a rejection could lead to a $240 test.
If AAPL holds above $240, expect a push to $255 - $258.
Losing $240 would signal a deeper pullback toward $235 - $230.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Recent bullish momentum suggests strong institutional interest.
Tech sector strength supports continuation, but short-term RSI signals a cool-down.
Earnings season could bring volatility—watch for key resistance breaks.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping long on dips is valid, but RSI is stretched.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless AAPL loses $240 support.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy dips, scalp resistance, and monitor volume strength.
👑 Final Verdict:
AAPL is recovering strong, but a short-term pullback is possible before higher levels. Holding $240 → $255 next. 🔥
APPLE: Bears Will Push
The price of APPLE will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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APPLE, will we see 200$ again ?Hello traders, Hope you're doing great. What are your thoughts about NASDAQ:AAPL ?
for upcoming weeks, I expect an upward correction at first and after that I expect a SELL OFF situation in the market that causes a huge drop in stock market, my first Target is 200$.
This post will be Updated.
Trade Safe and have a great week.
AAPL: Momentum Heating Up! Is This the Next Big Breakout? 📈🔥 Technical Overview:
* Trend: AAPL is moving within an ascending channel, indicating bullish momentum.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: $241.50 - $242.00 (Gamma Resistance, potential breakout zone)
* Support: $235.25 - $233.99 (Key pullback areas)
* Stronger Support: $230.34 (Critical demand zone)
Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Positive crossover suggests continuation of bullish trend.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought, signaling a potential short-term consolidation before another leg up.
Options & Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* GEX Zone: High positive gamma around $240-$245, indicating strong resistance.
* Put Walls: $230, $225 (act as supports).
* IVR & IVX: Volatility slightly decreasing, favoring controlled upside moves.
Trade Plan:
* Bullish Scenario: If AAPL breaks $242.00 with volume, next upside target is $247-$250.
* Bearish Scenario: If AAPL rejects $241.50 and loses $235, a pullback to $230 is possible.
📊 Traders should watch volume confirmation at resistance before entering a position.
📢 Conclusion: AAPL is gaining momentum! With strong institutional interest and a defined breakout zone, traders should keep this stock on their radar for a potential move beyond $245+. 🚀
🔎 Stay sharp, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading.
AAPLAAPL is the stock ticker symbol for Apple Inc., one of the largest and most influential technology companies in the world. It is traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market and is a key component of major stock indices, including the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100. AAPL is closely watched by investors due to Apple’s strong brand, consistent product innovation, and financial performance. The stock price is influenced by factors such as iPhone sales, new product launches, earnings reports, global supply chain conditions, and overall market sentiment. It is considered a major player in the technology sector and a core holding in many investment portfolios.
APPLE ($AAPL) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT APPLE ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT
(1/8)
Revenue: $124.3B (+4% YoY) – A new all-time record! Services soared +14% to $26.3B, offsetting a slight dip in iPhone sales. Let’s see how Apple’s holding up. 🍎📈
(2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT
• EPS: $2.40 (beat by $0.06)
• Gross margin: 46.9%, topping estimates 🔥
• Despite China sales dropping 11% to $18.51B, Apple still racked up big gains elsewhere 🌏
(3/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Market cap $3.5T+, P/E ~30
• Some call it pricey vs. tech peers, but brand strength + services + potential AI expansions = possible undervaluation 🤔
• Compares favorably to Microsoft, Samsung, etc., given stable product + services synergy 🌐
(4/8) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Geopolitical: China manufacturing & sales reliance → Trade tensions? Tariffs? 🏭
• Innovation Pace: Competitors could leapfrog Apple in AI or other emerging tech 💡
• Regulatory: Antitrust cases (App Store) could pinch profitability ⚖️
• Economy: Premium pricing in downturn—brand loyalty helps, but can’t ignore recession effects 💸
(5/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Legendary brand loyalty & huge install base
Growing services revenue (+14%!)
Massive cash reserves for R&D & buybacks
Weaknesses:
Heavy dependence on iPhone sales
China manufacturing concentration
Opportunities:
AI, AR/VR expansions (Vision Pro, maybe more)
Emerging markets → untapped smartphone penetration 🌍
Services sector continuing to expand ⚡
Threats:
Fierce competition (especially in China) 🦖
Trade tensions & supply chain hiccups 🌐
Shifts in consumer tech tastes or new disruptors
(6/8) – CHINA SALES DENT
• China down 11%—that’s a chunk given its importance
• Local giants (Xiaomi, Huawei) are snapping at Apple’s heels 🦾
• Will Vision Pro + AI upgrades woo Chinese consumers back? 🤔
(7/8) – Is Apple undervalued at a $3.5T market cap & P/E of 30?
1️⃣ Bullish—Brand power + AI = unstoppable 🍀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but watch those China risks 🔍
3️⃣ Bearish—Too expensive, competition’s rising 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
$AAPL targeting new ATHs into February month-endHarmonic, good economic data for stonks, retail sales Friday likely hot and good for Apple and big tech, tariff worries fading and china heating up! Watching Feb 14/21/28 ITM/OTM calls.
AAPL is Heating Up! A Must-Watch Stock on Traders' Radar! 🔥 Apple Inc. is showing strong momentum, breaking key resistance levels. Is a breakout coming? Here’s the breakdown!
📊 Technical Analysis for AAPL
Trend Overview
* Uptrend Structure: AAPL is trending upward within a rising channel.
* Strong Bounce: The stock has rebounded from $230, pushing higher towards resistance.
* Current Price: $237, near critical resistance at $240.
Key Levels to Watch
* Support Levels:
* $233.99 – Short-term pullback level.
* $230.34 – Previous support, crucial for maintaining the trend.
* $225.96 – Key demand zone.
* Resistance Levels:
* $240 – Major breakout level (Gamma resistance).
* $245-$250 – Next bullish targets if the breakout sustains.
📈 Trade Setups
Bullish Scenario 🟢
* If AAPL breaks and holds above $240, it could squeeze towards $245-$250.
* Entry: Above $240 with confirmation.
* Target: $245 / $250
* Stop Loss: Below $230 (invalidates the trend).
Bearish Scenario 🔴
* If AAPL rejects at $240, expect a retracement to support zones.
* Entry: Below $233 if selling pressure increases.
* Target: $230 / $225
* Stop Loss: Above $240 (breakout invalidates the short setup).
🛠 GEX & Options Flow Insights
* Highest Call Resistance at $240 → Breakout level for bulls.
* 2nd Call Wall at $245 → Potential gamma squeeze target.
* Put Support at $225 → Strong buying support if AAPL dips.
* Current IV Rank: 29.9 (Moderate), with CALLS at 4.4% → Bullish sentiment building.
💡 Final Thoughts
* AAPL is approaching a critical breakout level at $240.
* A confirmed breakout could lead to a strong rally to $245-$250.
* If rejected, watch for a pullback to $230 for a potential dip-buy opportunity.
🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly! 🚨
APPL longsAPPL stronger asset today and showed bullish order flow. Supported by H4 bisi and invalidated the bearish 15m FVG. This is exactly my model, as simple as it gets. Draw on liquidity was previous day high which obvious.
$AAPL needs to break above 235 for me to be a bullBig money sold at $232.70 since earnings.
I prefer going with the Whales that make the waves in the market.
Let's be a barnacle and capture their move. Until above 235 then have to be cautious for positioning to take it lower.
Morning Pullback ReportThis is the first one but throughout this video, I explain what I am seeing in certain stocks. I am a big fan of pullbacks and that how I trade. I think here you can get a feel for my thought process as I page through a bunch of stocks.
Apple’s Stock Crash: Panic, Predictions & Lessons🔰 Greetings, Traders & Investors!
Welcome to this insightful deep dive into one of the most dramatic moments in stock market history—the Apple stock crash of September 29, 2000. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting your journey in the financial markets, understanding past market events is crucial to making informed decisions today.
In this publication we’ll explore why Apple lost 51% of its value in a single day, the market's reaction before and after the crash, and most importantly, the key lessons modern investors can learn from this event. Markets are unpredictable, but history often repeats itself in different forms. By analyzing past stock crashes, we can better prepare for future volatility.
The Apple Stock Crash of September 29, 2000: Lessons for Today’s Investors-:
On September 29, 2000, Apple Inc. (AAPL) experienced a catastrophic stock crash, plunging nearly 51% in a single day. This massive drop shocked investors, raising concerns about the tech industry’s stability. The event remains an essential case study for understanding market volatility, investor psychology, and risk management.
Let’s explore why Apple’s stock crashed, how analysts and investors reacted, and the lessons today's traders can learn from it.
📉 Why Did Apple Stock Crash?
Several factors contributed to this sudden collapse, ranging from earnings warnings to broader market conditions.
🔸 Earnings Warning & Slowing Demand
On September 28, 2000, Apple issued an earnings warning after the market closed, stating that revenue and profit would be significantly lower than expected. The main reasons were:
Lower-than-expected demand for Power Mac G4 computers.
Weak back-to-school sales of iMacs.
Overstocking of components, leading to inventory issues.
This negative news spooked investors, leading to a massive sell-off the next day.
🔸 Tech Bubble’s Bursting Effect
The dot-com bubble was already deflating in 2000. Many tech stocks were overvalued, and any negative news led to extreme reactions. Apple's warning came at a time when investors were already nervous about the sustainability of tech sector growth.
🔸 Investor Panic & Mass Sell-off
Once Apple’s warning was announced, institutional investors dumped millions of shares, triggering a panic. Retail investors followed, leading to a downward spiral.
📊 Market Predictions & Reactions
🔹 Before the Crash: Optimism in the Market
Before the warning, analysts were bullish on Apple, predicting strong sales for the holiday season. The stock had been performing well, driven by the success of the iMac G3 and the upcoming release of Mac OS X.
🔹 After the Crash: Chaos & Downgrades
The aftermath was brutal:
Apple stock fell 51%, wiping out billions in market value.
Analysts downgraded Apple, slashing price targets.
Investors lost confidence, and Apple became a "high-risk" stock overnight.
However, long-term investors saw this crash as an opportunity to buy shares at a lower price.
💡 Lessons for Today’s Investors
✅ 1. Market Sentiment Can Change Overnight
Apple was seen as a rising star, yet in just 24 hours, it lost half its value. This teaches us that market sentiment is fragile, and even strong companies can face extreme volatility.
✅ 2. Don't Ignore Earnings Warnings
When a company lowers its earnings expectations, it often signals deeper issues. Investors should analyze the warning carefully before making any investment decisions.
✅ 3. Panic Selling Leads to Missed Opportunities
After the crash, Apple recovered and became one of the most valuable companies in history. Investors who panicked and sold at the bottom missed the long-term gains.
✅ 4. Diversification is Key
Many investors had put too much of their portfolio into tech stocks. When Apple and other tech companies crashed, they suffered huge losses. A diversified portfolio helps reduce such risks.
✅ 5. Crashes Create Buying Opportunities
Legendary investors like Warren Buffett always say: "Be greedy when others are fearful." Those who bought Apple stock at its low in 2000 saw massive gains in the coming years.
Conclusion-::
The Apple stock crash of September 29, 2000, serves as a valuable lesson for investors today. Stock markets are unpredictable, and even the best companies can experience short-term downturns. However, by staying rational, avoiding panic selling, and focusing on long-term growth, investors can turn a market crash into an opportunity.
Best regards- Amit
Please boost this idea if you like it.
AAPL Technical Analysis & GEX for Options Trading📉 Market Structure Overview
* AAPL has broken out of a descending wedge pattern with a sharp rally.
* Price reclaimed key support at 230.59, indicating strength.
* Currently consolidating after a strong move up, forming a possible bullish flag.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels
* Immediate Resistance: 233.99 - 235.23 (prior high)
* Major Resistance: 240 - 250 (Gamma & Call Walls)
* Immediate Support: 227.65 - 230.59
* Strong Put Support: 220 - 225 (High put positioning)
📈 Indicators Analysis
* MACD: Bullish crossover, but momentum is slowing.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought, indicating potential short-term consolidation or pullback.
* Volume: Strong buying volume led the breakout, but needs continuation.
🛠️ GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Insight
* Highest Call Resistance: 240 - 250 (Major gamma wall)
* Put Walls: 225 & 220, acting as support.
* HVL at 227.5 (03/21 Expiration): Significant positioning around this level.
📌 Trade Plan & Scenarios
1. Bullish Case:
* Hold above 230-232 → Potential push toward 235-240.
* Entry: 233 Breakout, Target: 240, Stop: Below 230.
2. Bearish Case:
* Rejection at 235-236 → Possible retest of 230-227.5.
* Entry: Fail below 230, Target: 225, Stop: Above 235.
🔹 AAPL is showing signs of strength but needs confirmation above 235 for continuation. Options flow suggests strong resistance above 240, while downside risk is limited near 225. Monitor price action and volume closely for a directional move.
AAPL Bearish For NowAfter putting in the recent high around $260, many insiders and politicians alike began to sell Apple stock and it has been dropping since.
At the moment, I am open to a potential ABC correction here with a rejection at the textbook 0.618 zone, where I will use a the pivot for the 1-1 trend based fib extension.
I have set some alerts at $210 for potential long trades and will be observing the reaction. We have confluence of the Value Area Low which may drop slightly as price moves into the lows.
Only time will tell!
AAPL Technical Analysis & GEX InsightsMarket Overview
Apple's price has shown signs of consolidation after a recent decline, trading near a critical support zone. Options gamma levels suggest a pivotal area around $225-$228, where market makers' activity could influence short-term price movement.
Technical Analysis
1. Trend Analysis:
* AAPL is in a short-term downtrend, respecting a descending trendline while testing local support.
* The current price action hints at a potential consolidation phase near $225.
2. Support and Resistance:
* Immediate Support: $225 (highest negative GEX / critical put support).
* Secondary Support: $219 (2nd put wall).
* Resistance Levels:
* $230 (local resistance / HVL zone).
* $234 (key breakout level based on call OI and prior structure).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish momentum is decreasing, indicating a potential shift if the MACD line crosses above the signal.
* Stochastic RSI: Recovering from oversold levels, suggesting a short-term bounce could occur.
* Volume: Declining, reflecting reduced trading activity as the price nears support.
4. Price Action Insights:
* A close above $230 could signal bullish momentum, while a break below $225 may lead to further downside.
* Buyers are likely to defend the $225-$228 range aggressively due to gamma positioning.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis
1. Critical GEX Levels:
* Call Walls:
* $240: Moderate resistance at the 2nd call wall.
* $247: Significant gamma resistance, marking a strong overhead barrier.
* Put Walls:
* $225: Highest negative GEX zone, providing critical support.
* $219: Secondary downside target if $225 is breached.
2. Options Oscillator Metrics:
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 33.8, indicating relatively low volatility.
* IVx (Implied Volatility): 33.5% average.
* Call/Put Dollar Ratio: 1.1% heavily skewed toward put dominance.
3. Implications:
* Strong put gamma at $225 suggests a pivotal support level where a breakdown could trigger increased volatility.
* A close above $230 would align with positive GEX flows, opening the path to $234 and beyond.
Trade Setups
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $230.
* Target: $234, $240.
* Stop Loss: Below $228.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $225.
* Target: $219, $215.
* Stop Loss: Above $228.
Conclusion
Apple's price action is at a critical inflection point near $225-$228. While the short-term trend remains bearish, oversold conditions and gamma positioning at $225 suggest potential for a bounce. Traders should closely monitor breaks of $225 or $230 to determine directional bias.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
