Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 13/7Apple has faced prolonged downward pressure from bearish investors. Despite its best efforts and some dips, the stock has steadily maintained a baseline price of 200 USD. The flag pattern required some adjustments along its path to break out, primarily due to geopolitical issues and economic variables. Ultimately, Apple broke out to the upside in the week of June 30th, as predicted in my earlier posts. This breakout resulted from end-of-Q2/H1 sell pressure, delivering a 7.56% gain or 15 USD. This is a very bullish sign for Apple, and with the tailwinds forming for September product releases, we can expect further gains as traders return and volume increases.
If Apple follows its historical profit trajectory (see pink line), we could see a new all-time high (ATH) in the region of 270 USD in September. The green resistance and support levels are highlighted, and I may use these to adjust my position, considering whether to short or go long once confirmation is established on the daily timeframe.
Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions.
The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back.
While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly.
Apple has continued to trend along its predicted trajectory, and with the exception of economic headwinds driving the price down, this trend is expected to continue. Strong support has been observed at 210 USD, with further support at $208.50, providing solid technical support for potential upside while reducing the risk of a downturn below $208. However, a short correction could occur if overall market confidence is shaken due to new policies. Nevertheless, Apple has demonstrated resilience to new tariffs, and its underperformance compared to other tech giants indicates plenty of upside potential. The target price remains set at over $260.
My large long position is still intact, and my target price will depend on how we manage supports and resistances. I am looking to take profits at over 260 USD.
