BA could test the $120 level in weeks to come Labor union, issue with the starliner, engineering problem, the looming debt, factory shutdown are the factors that will reflect in the next release of EPS.
I will wait for this level before going LONG.
BACL trade ideas
BA most of the troubles solved Strike with workers settled
Financing Settled
Order book a massive 1/2 Trillion USD and more I think it is $587 Billion
Supply, in inventory they say $300 Billion in ready made planes.
Older factories closed.
The rate of obsolescence of the global passenger airplane fleet is fast especially fror riveted fuselages.
BA now makes almost all carbon fuselages, durable rivet-less mostly. and 46% more efficient than Airbus....
What do you think - and I think that BA can benefit from the implementation of AI more than anyone. I wish Elon would buy it or even Buffett - I find these shares way to cheap, but that is me , what do I know.....
The thing is, buying great companies when their stocks are molled to a pulp is something that world well in the long term.
I home I have explained the play well, and the number where the arrow goes is a fibonacci impulse number as you all should know and require no explanation nor hand holding.
Boeing’s Bullish Prospects: Eyeing New All-Time HighsIn our technical analysis of Boeing (BA), we currently favour a bullish scenario. We believe that wave 5 of 5 is now in progress, following a prolonged consolidation phase from Boeing’s all-time high of $450, which developed into a bullish triangle (ABCDE). The recent low indicates that Boeing is poised for a breakout, potentially reaching new all-time highs. However, should the price dip below $113, this bullish outlook would be invalidated. For now, our expectation is that a robust bullish trend will emerge, driving Boeing higher in a five-wave sequence before a significant correction takes hold.
Reverse Head and ShoulderTL;DR: Boeing’s stock may be showing a head and shoulders pattern—a classic chart formation that often signals a potential downturn after an uptrend. With the recent end of the union strike, Boeing could face new price dynamics. Here’s what investors should know about this pattern and how it could impact the stock’s direction.
That's definitely a positive development! The end of the union strike could ease concerns about production delays and help stabilize Boeing's operations, which might improve investor sentiment. This could also counterbalance any technical indicators suggesting a downturn, like the head and shoulders pattern.
With the strike resolved, Boeing might gain momentum as it catches up on production and meets demand, which could positively impact the stock's short-term outlook even if the head and shoulders formation suggests caution.
$BA - Elon Musk is saying nice things about the new Boeing CEONYSE:BA Weekly chart. Elon Musk is saying nice things about the new Boeing CEO: "The new Boeing CEO spends time in the factory and understands engineering, which are big improvements. Hopefully, he turns around a once great company". I believe it's time to buy a call option for a swing-long trade. NFA
BA Massive Move Expected $220 easy ... my opinion...As of July 2024, Boeing's backlog and inventory figures are as follows:
Backlog and Orders
Total Backlog: 6,184 aircraft (before accounting adjustments).
737 MAX Backlog: 4,754 aircraft, which constitutes approximately 77% of the total backlog.
New Orders: Boeing booked 228 gross orders in 2024, but after cancellations and adjustments (including the ASC 606 accounting standard), the net new orders stand at 186.
Deliveries
Year-to-Date Deliveries: Boeing has delivered 218 commercial airplanes in 2024.
Recent Monthly Deliveries: In July, Boeing delivered 43 planes.
Financial Implications
Boeing's backlog represents a significant amount of future revenue potential, estimated to keep the company busy for several years at current production rates. The ongoing adjustments to its order book highlight challenges in maintaining order levels against deliveries.
This data underscores both the opportunities and challenges Boeing faces as it navigates production and demand fluctuations in the aerospace market.
how much is this in dollar value
To estimate the dollar value of Boeing's backlog, we can use an average price per aircraft based on recent sales data.
Boeing's Backlog Details
Total Backlog: 6,197 aircraft (as of September 2024).
Average Price per Aircraft: The average selling price (ASP) for commercial aircraft can vary significantly, but a common estimate for Boeing's commercial jets is around $90 million per aircraft. This figure can fluctuate based on the model and configuration, but it serves as a reasonable baseline.
Calculating the Dollar Value
Using the average price:
Total Backlog Value
Total Backlog Value=6,197 aircraft×90,000,000 USD aircraft
Total Backlog Value=6,197×90,000,000=558,730,000,000 USD
Conclusion
The estimated dollar value of Boeing's backlog is approximately $558.73 billion. This figure reflects the potential revenue that Boeing could generate from its current unfilled orders if all are fulfilled at the average price.
Boeing BA why $220 as a minimum? read and see the chart !Massive Order Backlog
Boeing boasts an impressive order book of over 5,600 commercial jet orders, valued at an astounding $529 billion. This substantial backlog guarantees years of steady revenue and production.
Inventory Advantage
Boeing's significant inventory of aircraft and parts serves as a valuable asset:
It provides a buffer against supply chain disruptions.
Allows for swift fulfillment of orders as market demand increases.
Represents immediate potential for revenue generation.
Optimized Operations
With the existing inventory and order backlog, Boeing can streamline its operations:
Reduced need for active factory space, leading to cost savings.
Lower overhead and operational expenses.
Increased profit margins on existing inventory sales.
Future Investment Potential
The combination of the order backlog and inventory creates a powerful financial engine:
As Boeing delivers its existing inventory, it will generate substantial cash flow.
This "gravy" from inventory sales can be reinvested into cutting-edge technology.
Opportunity to build state-of-the-art factories with the latest manufacturing innovations.
Technological Leadership
By reinvesting profits into new high-tech facilities, Boeing can:
Position itself at the forefront of aerospace technology.
Develop more advanced and efficient aircraft designs.
Maintain its competitive edge in the global aviation market.
In conclusion, Boeing's strong order backlog and valuable inventory position the company for significant financial success. By capitalizing on these assets and reinvesting in next-generation technology and manufacturing processes, Boeing is set to dominate the aviation market for years to come. This strategy of leveraging existing resources to fund future innovations makes Boeing an attractive long-term investment opportunity in the aerospace sector.
is the worst over for boeing? chart looks interesting.
the 45 degree angle could be used as a stop loss.
BA BOEING LONGER TERM TECHNICAL TREND VIEWIt's start to hit a really need spot when it comes to price target.
These trends are the same on my previous ba chart, this entire chart is pretty much unchanged from that view. However, I wanted to update it because I feel there is a really key support trend about to be tested, which if it gets under that, look out for some buying to step in which is typically seen on a trend break like that.
The next line of support comes in at this ultra low zone of mid 80.
However, there is still a trend, that can take the price down lower in an overall market dip.
it's the most unlikely option as it literally takes the price to $45, however, I guess anything is technically possible, BUT UNLIKLEY IS KEY to take away from that. Still feel it worth mentioning, not because I want to be right, but because I would rather you see that it was a price target identified as support and buying into fear if things start to look favorable, could be profitable. Again unlikely scenario.
Overall, I added some lines I'm curious to see how they play out longer term, don't follow these specifically (red arrows).
Extended the green buy zone below trend to show the extend zone if price gets under a major trend line.
Boeing rejected my idea of outdoor seating and a more open feel like restaurants did with outdoor seating. I submitted the plan drawing and they were all like science and measurements and stuff, but honestly, I was like ok, fine, I'll take my plan to spirit airlines. Okay obviously I'm joking. But boring stock charts need drawings. They did however tell me to come back for a longer meeting to talk about my idea about relaxing the corporate environment with wear your super hero suit to work day. Obviously I'm going to double down on my pitch about outdoor seating. I made an all text power point that should get them pretty happy, it has letters and they form sentences. I didn't check if all the sentences make any sense, but I figure it's all show to really razzle dazzle them with the outdoor seating.
okay back to serious. but personal opinion. Conspiracy, not respectful of the death linked to the outbreak and those sick, call it whatever you want, but is it really outside of reason to ask a question on the timing.
Until proof is out there obviously I fully would accept the view, it's related to the e coli outbreak, it will cost a lot of money to recover, my investments were better spent in other places.
overall, if bad news shows up similar to mcdonalds, maybe something else isn't being talked about enough. Especially should price respond well to support lines on the way down and into bad news. Often times when a major trend like this is in play (rejection/support) it comes with seemly the opposite news that it should get per the movement. I think there are times when there are always things happening to a company and if it's beneficial, it's not outside of the box thinking to say, are "ethics" being followed and what would it look like if yes/no or whatever your question leads you to ask. In a sense, could I limit exposure to most of the bad my company does and maximize the exposure of a "bad" thing should I suddenly need to leave a big position with news of say, minimum wage or something that might affect a company like it could with mcdonalds.
Politics can get nasty. Why do I link the auto industry, because I happen to like Michigan and the Great Lakes and Detroit is a pretty cool place.
You can't stop people from doing terrible things but you can seemly get a group of people who like the stock and buy the dip. So, as Michigan becomes a key battleground state, it's not at all crazy to ask, what would be an easy target to manipulate the news in my favor, given enough planning, knowledge and money. Personally I love the potential for a huge comeback in the car industry with tesla and self driving. Tesla will have spent so much money taking the first steps through legal and AI challenges, at what point would it just be easier to say hey Tesla, if we can make some awesome cars, can we like maybe contract some software within our brand.
Brings the company more back to the roots where they were designing some really cool looking cars for the brand, not just a new model every year so the loan machine keeps going.
I'm not all doom and gloom as I come across in this post. I think it's important to ask these questions as politics start to really get pushed to people in Michigan who have no idea why their long term companies could be on the brink of bankruptcy.
$BA The One, The OnlyNYSE:BA has 2 interesting scenarios playing out on the Monthly chart. NYSE:BA is nearing the completion of a double top patter that will result in a powerful move in either direction.
At the end of these double top patterns the market tends to reverse by consolidation and then moving away from the break point area, or fall much further with a failure of support at the break point area.
Given this is the monthly chart it could still take some time to develop, but the move here will be worth while.
Options buyers seek minimum 4 to 8 months of time.
Boeing $BA #BA - Wedge resistance breakoutAfter bouncing off demand zone, Boeing NYSE:BA has now reached its wedge resistance where it has been trending down for the past few months. I am now looking for a break above this wedge resistance aimed at $154.98 to reach a target of $161.27.
The $146 demand zone has seen a strong hold since the beginning of October. Before that NYSE:BA has been trailing down forming many ranges and creating a strong rising wedge on its weekly frame.
This analysis leads me to believe that we may see a potential short term trend reversal till its upcoming earnings schedule on the 23rd of October.
BA worst year for headlines but on major weekly supportIt's hard to be bullish on a company who is top of headlines all year with bad news. The support is covid lows. Safe risk reward at this point. Below this trendline I wouldn't touch it but at the moment it looks like a good long especially when they end the strike.
$BA 1D Idea🚨 Boeing (BA) Analysis 🚨
🔻 Falling Wedge: BA is in a falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential reversal soon.
📊 Key Levels:
Support: $146
Resistance: $165-$170
Current Price: $152.35 (-25.88%)
🟢 Oscillator: Currently oversold in the green zone, suggesting a possible bounce.
📈 Watch for a breakout above the wedge for a move toward $165. Failure to hold $146 could lead to further downside.
BULLISH ON BOEING to $250BEOING in a falling wedge. Potential upside $100 to $250 in the coming weeks to months. next 2 quarters.
The Boeing Company (BA) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
# Trend | Time Frame Conductive | 15 Minutes Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
Boeing demand zone.After analysis by market structure probability price is going up.
I am apology my grammar is not good.
BA Long1) Duopoly
2) $400B in backlog orders
3) Government backed
4) US Premier aviation company
5) Technicals are in alignment for a bounce at the monthly Golden Fib level.
6) Fear is spreading quick due to recent layoffs. (Buy when others are fearful, sell when others are cheerful)
BA Thin Structure Retracement# Boeing's 2024 Outlook: A Bearish Perspective
**TL;DR**: Boeing's 2024 is plagued by crippling labor strikes, production defects, delays in its aerospace programs, and a CEO drawing a massive paycheck despite mounting losses. With no clear solutions in sight, the company's stock is suffering, and the outlook remains bleak.
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### Key Issues Facing Boeing in 2024:
1. **Prolonged Labor Strikes**: Since mid-September, 33,000 skilled workers have been on strike, demanding higher wages and the reinstatement of pensions. Boeing's factories remain largely idle, costing the company $50 million a day. Negotiations have made little progress, and the strike shows no signs of ending
2. **Production Defects and Supply Chain Woes**: Ongoing problems with the 737 MAX, including engine defects and supply chain breakdowns, continue to delay production. These issues are driving away key customers and worsening Boeing’s reputation
3. **Starliner Space Program Failures**: Boeing’s Starliner spacecraft has failed to meet NASA deadlines, missing another opportunity to transport astronauts to the ISS. This has further tarnished its credibility in the space sector, leaving SpaceX to dominate
4. **Financial Instability and Credit Downgrade Risk**: Boeing’s stock price has nosedived, and analysts are warning of a potential credit rating downgrade due to weak financial performance and rising operational costs
5. **CEO Compensation Controversy**: Despite the company’s deepening struggles, CEO David Calhoun continues to receive a significant paycheck, raising outrage among striking workers and discontented shareholders
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Boeing’s problems in 2024 are compounding, with its future looking increasingly uncertain. Investors hoping for a recovery may have to wait far longer than expected as the company grapples with major operational and reputational crises.
"""
BA Boing still going down. This is my channel on boeing. its still going down. there is some small areas of consolidation on the 1 hr chart But it is still going down. Maybe a good options play to the down side. you could trade in the channel. we will see what happens.
BOEING, TIME TO FLY AGAIN BIRDIE (MONTHLY CHART)BA bulls got shafted from the double top sell off at 265.
It is now breaking down through the monthly bull trend support. It is hanging on for dear life before the drop to $120.
rumors of BA having to dump shares to raise capital for the strike would be a great bargain for dip buyers.
Forgot if it was Peter Lynch or Munger. Maybe Howard Marks - one of them said one of the best deals is when someone is forced to give up shares, that is the best time to come in.
BA - Just a sneeze awayBA is on a thin ice here, just a sneeze away and breaks the bottom to touch 120's
I'm not trading this, this is a very volatile name with so many news events every other day.
