Is Disney’s Chart Forming a Bullish Pattern Ahead of Earnings? Walt Disney Co. NYSE:DIS is set to report fiscal Q2 results next Wednesday (May 7) at a time when the entertainment giant’s shares have shed more than 20% since February and some 55% from their 2021 peak. What does the company’s technical and fundamental analysis tell us?
Let’s see:
Disney’s Fundamental Analysis
Looking for earnings growth? Investors might not find much here.
The Street is currently looking for DIS to report $1.21 in adjusted earnings per share and $1.05 of GAAP EPS on roughly $23.15 billion of revenues for the quarter, which ran through late March.
That would compare to an identical $1.21 in adjusted EPS in the year-ago period on $22.1 billion of revenues (representing sales growth of less than 5% year over year).
Meanwhile, investors will want to see if a recent slide in Disney+ subscribers has continued, or even expanded. Management reported in February reported that Disney+’s customer base sank by roughly 700,000 in fiscal Q1 to 125 million users.
On the bright side, the company also said that combined Disney+ and Hulu subscriptions increased by 900,000 to 178 million during the same period.
Direct-to-consumer advertising (excluding India’s Hotstar streaming service) also rose 16% year over year fiscal Q1. But when including Hotstar, advertising contracted by 2%. So, this is a metric that investors will closely watch as well.
Of course, with forward-looking economic activity in some doubt both domestically and globally, Disney’s “Experiences” segment (theme parks, cruises, etc.) will be key to the firm's ability to traverse the future environment.
This segment has been an absolute driver of corporate performance for several years now, but last quarter, Disney’s domestic parks and experiences finally showed some slowing down.
The unit’s operating income contracted 5% year over year overall, although non-U.S. parks and experiences did better, growing 28%. y/y. However, the non-U.S. segment is a smaller business.
Will families be willing to splurge on a Disney vacation or cruise in a tougher economic climate? Disney could soon find out.
Elsewhere, the company’s Entertainment division will also be in focus when Disney reports its latest results.
Disney’s linear cable-TV networks continue to lose market share, while the recent live-action-movie version of "Snow White" was an absolute embarrassment in terms of dreadful financial performance. Forward guidance for this segment will be crucial.
Disney’s Technical Analysis
Now let’s look at Disney’s chart going back to last fall:
Readers will first see the well-developed “double-top” pattern of bearish reversal that spanned from November through early March, as denoted by the “Top 1” and “Top 2” boxes above. This pattern led to a sell-off for Disney that bottomed out in early April.
Now, I might be getting ahead of myself, but I think I also see a partly developed “inverse-head-and-shoulders” pattern under construction at the moment.
Readers will see what looks like a “left shoulder” and “head” pattern in the chart above denoted by purple curving lines at right.
Now Disney was struggling to retake and hold its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted by the green line above) as I wrote this. A hold above the line could bring some swing traders over to the long side.
And if DIS does hold its 21-day EMA, the stock would next aim technically to make a run at its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted by the blue line at $97.30 in the chart above).
After that, reaching the 200-day SMA (the red line above) would complete an inverse-head-and-shoulders pattern and serve as a bullish sign.
This would put the pattern’s “pivot” or “neckline” almost precisely where Disney’s 200-day SMA currently sits, adding more gravity to the seriousness of retaking or failing at that level.
Meanwhile, Disney’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) is currently neutral and literally hints at nothing right now.
That said, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indication (or “MACD,” marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is improving.
The histogram of Disney’s 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) moved above zero on April 2 and has remained positive ever since. That’s usually a good sign, but not yet bullish on its own.
Bullish investors would also want to see the 12-day EMA (the black line at the chart’s bottom) move above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both above zero.
The 12-day EMA is , in fact, above the 26-day EMA in the chart above. However, both lines must be above zero (as must be the 9-day EMA) to represent a truly bullish signal in historical terms.
Right now, the 12- and 26-day indicators are both below zero, but are moving in a northerly direction.
Am I saying that this is a bullish chart? Not necessarily; we might still be early.
But this chart seems to have great potential. A bullish set-up looks close to being in place. The rest might be up to Disney’s earnings release and guidance next week.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in DIS at the time of writing this column.)
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DIS trade ideas
Disney Stock Pops on Strong Earnings Data. Turnaround Working?The Magic Kingdom just pulled a rabbit out of its hat — and Wall Street’s loving it.
Disney stock NYSE:DIS surged 11% on Wednesday, not just for its best day in a year, but for the kind of earnings beat that makes analysts reconsider their entire valuation model while retail traders tweet “ NYSE:DIS to the moon.”
Is the House of Mouse finally finding its footing? Just a day ago, Disney shares were languishing 60% below their 2021 record. Let’s break it down.
♫ Earnings That Deserve Their Own Theme Song
Starting with the headline: adjusted earnings per share clocked in at $1.45 , stomping the $1.20 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $23.62 billion, a 7% jump from last year’s earnings performance and another beat that sent traders racing for their mouse ears.
After a year of streaming skepticism, cost-cutting, and investor hand-wringing over whether Bob Iger’s encore CEO tour could work magic, this quarter delivered. Bigly.
💪 Streaming Had No Business Going That Hard — But It Did
Wall Street was braced for a Disney+ subscriber drop. Instead, the company added 1.4 million new subscribers to 126 million, easily topping expectations of 123 million.
Not only are people still subscribing despite price hikes, but the direct-to-consumer segment (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) posted revenue growth of 8% to $6.12 billion, powered by both higher prices and surprise stickiness. Operating profit in streaming? A cool $336 million, up from $47 million a year ago.
Disney even raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.75, a 16% gain from fiscal 2024 — a confident flex in a market where most companies are still managing expectations with surgical pessimism.
⏫ Mickey’s New Best Friend: Margin Expansion
It wasn’t just top-line fireworks — the net income boom was one for the books: $3.28 billion in profits, compared to a $20 million loss a year ago.
Operating margins in streaming are on the rise. Profitability, once seen as an elusive dream for all the big streaming platforms, is suddenly in sight. Disney is guiding toward $875 million in streaming profit for this fiscal year — and based on this quarter, that may end up conservative.
🎡 Parks Still Pay the Bills — With a Sprinkle of Magic
Now let’s talk about the real engine behind Disney’s machine: the parks and experiences division.
Domestic parks posted a 13% profit increase, powered by higher visitor spending and the launch of a shiny new cruise ship.
That’s important in an economy where every other headline screams “recession imminent.” Disney’s park guests are ignoring macro headwinds and enjoying the fantasy — and that’s music to shareholders’ ears.
Worried about tariffs? Sure, but they haven’t shown up on Disney’s balance sheet just yet. And until they do, Disney’s parks remain a cash printer with castles.
🏟️ A Park in Abu Dhabi — Why It May Be Big
Tucked in among the streaming buzz and EPS upgrade was something that made global investors raise an eyebrow: a new Disney theme park in Abu Dhabi.
On the surface, this sounds like a headline for 2031. And sure, it’ll take a few years to plan and build, and a few more to create the commemorative popcorn bucket. But long-term investors should pay attention.
Abu Dhabi isn’t just a tourist destination — it’s a capital backed by one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds and a keen interest in diversifying the revenue streams beyond oil. A Disney park there isn’t just another expansion — it’s a geopolitical bet on premium travel.
As Iger put it, it may seem modest now, but it’s quietly huge for the brand’s future footprint.
👀 What’s Behind the Magic? And Can It Last?
So the big question: is this a one-time sugar rush, or the start of a sustained turnaround?
There are reasons to be optimistic. Disney's streaming growth looks increasingly sustainable. Its content pipeline (including ESPN's evolving digital presence) is improving. The parks continue to defy economic gravity. And Iger seems to be rebalancing the business with a more profitable, investor-friendly mix.
But let’s not forget: content costs are still high, competition in streaming hasn’t gone anywhere, and park margins may come under pressure if consumer sentiment shifts. The macro backdrop remains complicated, and even Mickey can't outwit the Fed forever.
Still, this quarter wasn’t just “less bad than feared.” It was actually good — and that's a narrative shift that could power momentum.
🐭 The Mouse Still Got It
Disney’s earnings report, delivered in the heat of the earnings calendar , could be interpreted as a signal that the entertainment giant isn’t just navigating the new entertainment landscape — it might actually be mastering it.
And in a market starved for upside surprises, Disney just reminded investors that storytelling is its business — and this one’s finally got a happy twist.
The question now is whether traders and long-term holders believe in the next chapter. For now, with the stock back above $102 and the Magic Kingdom delivering financial magic, the bulls are back in the castle.
Your turn: Are you buying into Disney’s turnaround? Holding for the next golden age? Or still side-eyeing that subscriber chart? Let’s hear your play on NYSE:DIS below.
Walt Disney LongWalt Disney
Fundamental:
+ Trading at 10Y P/E low = 27 ($86), while average P/E >50 ($180)
+ Expected EPS is likely double, making with average P/E the price to reach $280
+ EPS and Revenue is steadily growing
0 Fair P/E (Lynch) 15x ($45) however the price almost never goes there.
0 # of Shares is fluctuating but no major dilution
Technnical:
+ Below 200D VWMA
+ Bullish volume increase, while Bearish is less
+ At Yearly ATR low
0 Oscillator: 1W Reversal although further downward move possible
- Volume profile: Below PoC, Potential downside to 50 is possible
Entry:
- E1: 80 = $1x
- E2: 60 = $2x
- E3: 50 = $1x
Take:
- 125
- 150
- 200
- 250!
Stop:
< 50
Long-Term Opportunity Amid Volatility: Buy DIS on Weakness for R
-Key Insights: Disney faces near-term headwinds from weak consumer discretionary
performance, inflation risks, and macroeconomic uncertainties. However, its
strong intellectual property portfolio, diversified revenue streams, and
historical resilience in downturns make it an attractive long-term investment.
Investors should consider dollar-cost averaging to build positions during
valuation dips while monitoring quarterly updates for operational strategies and
park performance.
-Price Targets: Based on current market conditions and professional insights,
next week trading levels are as follows:
T1 (Target 1): $85.50
T2 (Target 2): $88.50
S1 (Stop 1): $78.50
S2 (Stop 2): $76.00
-Recent Performance: Disney has historically traded in line with consumer
discretionary sector trends, which have been under pressure due to inflation,
geopolitical risks, and reduced discretionary spending. Although recent
performance is not explicitly noted in the transcript, its stock tends to lag
during recessions before regaining momentum as macroeconomic conditions improve.
-Expert Analysis: Analysts emphasize quality stocks with durable fundamentals
amid volatility; Disney fits this profile due to its global brand dominance and
vast intellectual property portfolio. Recession expectations and housing
weakness may dampen consumer spending, affecting theme park attendance and
streaming subscriptions. Long-term investors will likely benefit from Disney’s
recovery driven by international market growth, cost management improvements,
and strong franchise popularity.
-News Impact: Trade wars and tariffs, especially in China, pose operational
challenges for merchandise and streaming expansion. Rising costs and consumer
spending constraints could impact hospitality revenues and park attendance,
particularly in key domestic locations like Florida and Texas. Geopolitical
developments and earnings updates will play a crucial role in dictating near-
term stock movement.
DIS: Does it deserve its 26x valuation?We’re in what feels like a bear market, where stock ownership demands sharper scrutiny. Valuations are under the microscope, and I want the companies I invest my hard-earned money in to take actions that boost earnings. My investments need to outpace inflation, not lag behind.
Disney’s current P/E ratio is around 27, based on a share price of $83 and trailing twelve-month EPS of $3. I question whether an entertainment company, struggling with money-losing content—contrary to what an entertainment giant should do—merits such a premium. A business with declining margins, stagnant growth, and unprofitable projects doesn’t scream “27x multiple” to me.
Looking back, Disney’s P/E was as low as 12-13 in March 2019, with a share price of $111 and EPS of $9. Over the past decade, Disney’s multiple has inflated while earnings growth has lagged. A P/E of 27 today feels rich compared to its 10-year median of ~23 especially given weaker fundamentals.
If sentiment sours further, I can see Disney’s share price sliding below $80, potentially to $55 (implying a P/E of ~19, assuming EPS holds) or even $45 (P/E of ~13). These levels would align better with a company facing headwinds.
That said, nothing is set in stone. Businesses pivot, and markets shift. Disney could course-correct with sharper strategies or cost discipline. However, after a decade of trading in this range with little earnings progress, I’d be cautious. As a shareholder, I’d consider looking elsewhere for better opportunities.
No trade advice.
DISNEY for sale?Under the 1974 trend line there’s absolutely no bullish argument. Already retraced a 62% of the whole upside movement since the 70’s. Once too big to fall, now maybe it’s a too big to move company. I am aware of the whole books to market ratio, but still see it as a value trap: over exposed to Asia and Europe, streaming isn’t going that well, parks suffering from slowing demand caused by inflation…
Disney in 6M chart (an update for the previous idea).Hello
Please read this article.
I posted my first and last idea of Disney symbol about 6 month ago and I told that this trend is bearish (exactly when there was a powerful bullish candle) and I got "welcome" comments for that. I do not care about your sarcastic comments my friends and I'd told you that I am not ganna to continue this page and I have already terminated my subscription because I am so busy (not for the sake of your comments or TradingView problems).
From the first day of this page I have been trying to change your mind set because this platform is not good place for trading courses and the idea of this forum is to share ideas and not a place for show off.
To be short, please change your beliefs because market never and ever care about what you think and you believe and most of the time trend goes where you do not expect and is not possible.
Note: I am not saying that you should get in sell positions, and please consider that a monthly chart like this is not a good place to decide about daily trades. It can give you a bigger view of what may happen (probably) in the future.
Wait for your confirmations/Invalidations.
Thanks
A short discussion in Disney ChartHello
Please take time and read it.
The notice I want to explain is crystal clear for most Elliott and technical chartists but it is so important that needs to be mentioned again.
Most of you know that a hard time in trading is when you do not know this trend that has started to move wants to stop here or there (or where).
VERY VERY IMPORTANT:
when a wave 3 wants to correct with an ABC its target is wave 4 in lower degree.
It means when traders want to cash their shares and get their profits make a correction (wave 4) that usually has the power to correct just last powerful stops in the wave 4 of lower degree.
It is easier to clarify it in this DIS chart.
As you can see our bullish trend in Millennium counting ended as wave (3) in 203.02 price and then we went to a correction. The question is that "How far will we go down in this declined correction?"
The answer is very easy:
There 2 scenarios :
1- If sell power is not to much so correction wave will go just to the level of last wave 4 in lower degree.
2- If sellers (Buyers for bearish trend) tend and have enough power to break the powerful support zone (Last wave 4 in lower degree) so just wave A of this correction stops in the area of wave 4 (of lower degree) and after wave B this correction will continue its direction more down (commonly to the last wave 4).
In our trend now, it seems that sellers are powerful enough and only wave A of ABC of wave 4 stoped in the area of last wave 4 and wave C (for now we are in wave B of ABC of wave 4) will break down the support level and go more down (potentially to the level of wave 4 Sub-millennium.
I promise you if you consider what I explained you will be more confident in the control of your chart.
Thanks
DIS is already at $96.… Don’t miss the train!🚨 🎢✨Disney (DIS) is pushing up and showing strength — are you watching this move? 👀 We’ve been eyeing entry levels between $91 and $81, but with the price at $96.30, this setup is heating up faster than expected! 🔥
Sometimes the perfect dip doesn’t come — and waiting too long can mean watching the rocket 🚀 from the sidelines. If you’re still tracking DIS, this might be your sign to stay alert and have your strategy ready. 🎯
Potential targets? Still aiming for that juicy $100–$120 range if momentum continues! 📈💰
Let’s see how it plays out — keep your plan tight and emotions out. Are you in, or still waiting? 😎👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Snow White's very low ratings - Bullish Disney stock ?The SnowWhite IMDB rating can't get any worse - could the same be said of Disney stock?
Price is the ultimate proof but buying the shares of a well established company when sentiment is at a low point can be a fruitful endevour.
The poor box office showing + very weak ratings for Snow White - maybe a contrarian buy signal ?
A) The stock is attempting a long term double bottom via is 2020 + 2023 lows
B) A breakout over the downtrend line (orange) could confirm a bullish trend change
Bottom of the ratings ➡️ Bottom in the stock? NYSE:DIS
DIS in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $105.63
Target is upper channel around $112.50
Looking for the $90 level on DIS?🚀 Looking for the $90 level on DIS? 🎯
Disney (DIS) could be gearing up for a solid move! If you're looking for an entry, key levels to watch are $90, $85, and $80—potential opportunities for those waiting for a dip. 📉💡
On the upside, targets are set at $100, $105, and even $120, offering an exciting profit potential if momentum kicks in! 📈💰
With market conditions always changing, keeping a close watch on price action and overall trends is key. Will DIS find support and bounce back? Stay sharp and trade smart! 🔥✨
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting with a financial professional before making investment decisions. 🚨
DIS entering the buy zonehi traders
DIS stock faced a big price decrease, but the price is about to enter the buy zone where we expect investors to step in.
Normal correction in a long-term uptrend that has been started in November 2023.
The price may drop even to 85$ , make a new higher low, and still be bullish long-term.
For the time being, the upsloping support is still intact.
RSI oversold but has not created the bullish divergences yet so I expect the price to go a little bit lower before pushing higher.
See the chart for the reference.
Disney is giving you a second chanceDisney presented a HISTORIC buying opportunity on the monthly chart as it approached the lower part of the bullish channel that has been forming for decades. That purchase in the 90s zone was ideal and had minimal long-term risk.
Today, Disney has confirmed the bullish breakout of a flag pattern, which is a clear continuation of the trend and should lead to substantial profits in the coming weeks. This, combined with the long-term bullish trend, makes it an ideal entry with a stop that can be tightly adjusted, right within the flag pattern.
Breakout on DIS! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
DIS 108 PUT Exp March 7 (Win)Made a consolidation box, broke a downtrend line, broke below weekly level, made a head & shoulder pattern, broke below, filled a gap and pushed back down, broke below my daily key level while also respecting the fibonacci level, while also fulfilling the same range it created for the width of the head of the head & shoulder pattern.