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GOOGCL trade ideas

Google trading I deaAs you can see even Google is been buttomed during tarrif am very excited because in stocks if it left you it takes time to slow down if they are growing soo guess what we are going to make alot of money trump is not lying when he said market will explode like you never seen before as a longterm trader I see everything clear,the only thing that is left that am scared of is world war lll that can start mouths end,the person who can stop everything is trump if he can manage to talk with Iran n Israel n also Ukraine n Russia this wars got many tension now n many countries are getting involved in this fights soo my prayer is to find solutions not support of troops,Russia got China n north Korea back up now as saying India n Pakistan can start a.serious war too if they won't have better dealt water supply soo all this matter is a serious things that will slowly down global economic as a trader you can't depend only on analysis but in everything that is going 0n you must be updated thank you.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by mulaudzimpho
GOOGL Alphabet Inc (Google) Opportunity After the Breakout?The stock's recent breakout from a descending channel pattern indicates potential for continued upward momentum. Monitoring the $155 support level is crucial, as a drop below may signal a trend reversal. 📊 Technical Analysis Current Price: $161.96 52-Week Range: $140.53 – $207.05 Recent Breakout: Surpassed descending channel resistance Key Support: $155 🎯 Entry Points: $158 (ideal pullback) $155 (support confirmation) $145-132 (aggressive long-term entry) 📈 Targets: First target: $168 Second target: $182 Third target: $196+ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
NLong
by Robert_V12
Google - Fantastic Bullish Break And Retest!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) just looks amazing: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than a decade, Google has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly respecting all market structure. Now, Google is about to retest the previous all time high once again and with a sharp correction of about -25%, this offers a significant bullish reversal setup. Levels to watch: $150 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NLong
by basictradingtv
23
Google stock oscillates below $170 after earnings releaseGoogle's stock managed to post a bullish gap of more than 3% in the last session, shortly after the company announced its quarterly results. Initially, it was reported that total sales for the last published quarter reached $90.23 billion, compared to the expected $89.12 billion. In addition, the company posted earnings per share of $2.81, beating expectations of $2.00. This positive outcome initially triggered a spike in investor confidence, but for now, the market sentiment has stabilized, and the stock is closing the week with a bearish candlestick on the chart. Previous trendline break: The recent consistent bullish movements in Google have been important in breaking a downward trendline that was previously dominant on the chart. For now, this has paved the way for a new bullish bias, and a new upward trendline could be forming, potentially becoming the most relevant technical structure for the stock in the coming sessions. However, it is important to note that this early bullish trendline still requires new price highs to confirm its strength. ADX: Although ADX oscillations remain above the neutral 20 level, the slope of the line has started to turn negative. This suggests that, despite the positive earnings, volatility may be beginning to decline, which could eventually lead to a sideways bias in the stock’s movements in the short term. MACD: The MACD histogram continues to show oscillations above the neutral 0 line, but it is becoming increasingly necessary for this to be sustained to confirm the buying strength reflected in the moving averages. If the MACD starts to decline, it could be interpreted as a bearish correction signal that may weigh on Google's price. Key Levels: $175: A relevant resistance aligned with the 100- and 200-period moving averages. Buying oscillations reaching this level could reactivate bullish momentum and give way to a new relevant uptrend. $160: A nearby support zone aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. It could serve as a tentative barrier where potential short-term downside corrections might occur. $143: A definitive support that coincides with the recent lows of the stock. A pullback toward this level could reactivate the previous bearish trend in this market. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
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by FOREXcom
1
Google Wave Analysis – 25 April 2025 - Google reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 161.75 Google recently reversed sharply from the support zone between the long-term support level 147.30 (which has been reversing the price from September of 2024) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The price previously broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February – which strengthened the bullish pressure on Google. Google can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 161.75 (top of wave 2 from the middle of April).
NLong
by FxProGlobal
Alphabet Shares Surge 6% In Premarket Amid Earnings BeatShares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) spike 6% in Friday's premarket session amidst earnings beat. Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) reported first-quarter revenue and profit that exceeded analysts’ expectations, sending shares higher in extended trading Thursday. The tech giants reported revenue of $90.23 billion, up 12% year-over-year and above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha.1 Net income of $34.54 billion, or $2.81 per share, compared to $23.66 billion, or $1.89 per share, a year earlier, also topping Wall Street’s estimates. Google Cloud revenue rose 28% to $12.3 billion, while Search & Other segment revenue grew 10% to $50.7 billion. Alphabet also raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to 21 cents, and announced an additional $70 billion in stock buybacks. Alphabet's Class A shares rose close to 5% in after-hours trading. The stock was down about 16% for 2025 through Thursday’s close. Alphabet Reiterates Spending Plans as AI Features Expand Reach and Engagement CEO Sundar Pichai said Search growth was driven by "engagement we’re seeing with features like AI Overviews, which now has 1.5 billion users per month" after launching in May 2024.2 “We do see a tremendous opportunity ahead of us across the organization,” CFO Anat Ashkenazi said, adding that Alphabet ended the quarter with more Cloud demand than it had capacity. Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, shares of NASDAQ:GOOG are up 5% in Friday's premarket trading, bouncing off from the critical support zone of $146. NASDAQ:GOOG 's next top is the $200 resistant a move that will deliver a stunning 29% in gains. All present metrics are pointing to a bullish campaign, the asset is already trading below key moving averages giving NASDAQ:GOOG room to capitalize on this technical to make a comeback.
NLong
by DEXWireNews
GOOGLE: Attention!!! Bullish force assured!!Alphabet, Google's parent company, presented its results for the first quarter of the year this Thursday, in which it obtained a profit of $34.540 billion, representing a 46% increase compared to the $23.662 billion obtained in the same period of the previous year. The company also exceeded expectations with its revenue figure, which stood at $90.234 billion, after registering a year-on-year increase of 12%, while the consensus expected it to be $89.120 billion. For its part, operating profit grew to $30.606 billion, with a margin of 34%. In summary: VERY GOOD RESULTS, and if we add to this the favorable moment we are experiencing due to the TARIFF issue... it WILL go up, no doubt! ---> What is the technical aspect? If we observe the H1 timeframe chart and its summary table, its trend was clearly bearish, but showing THE FIRST BULLISH SIGNALS. On Wednesday, the bullish force (Bull) signal appeared on the H1 chart, and yesterday, Thursday, it appeared on the H4 chart. Although its trend is still bearish, since its FORCE is now bullish, we can start thinking that its trend could change to BULLISH in the coming days if there are NO NEWS that get in the way. ---> Where do we make the entry? As the results were published at the close of the American market, today it is most likely to open with a bullish GAP. Here we can do 2 things: 1) If the gap is small, enter at the opening. 2) If the gap is VERY LARGE, wait for a pullback during the day to enter at a better price. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions in the current zone or taking advantage of a pullback in price (depending on the market gap). POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 183 zone (+12%) --> Stop Loss at 148 (-8%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-8%) (coinciding with 148 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (183). ------------------------------------------- CLARIFICATIONS OF THE SETUP *** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by 1 a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price makes a downward movement of -1%, the position will be closed. If the price goes up, the Stop Loss also goes up to maintain that -1% on the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position enters profits. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be exploited, maximizing profits.  
NLong
by jmesado
$GOOG Possible Demand Zone 155-143 Targeting 178 By earning!One of worst weekly candles and 3 bearish soldiers pattern made it extremely bearish but now entered the demand zone between 155 to 143 expecting accumulation into this range then possible bottom by mid of April then moving higher after earning targeting upper gap but we keep the target more secure by targeting 178 as closing trade. 161-164 is strong resistance . so the idea bye with weakness and accumulate during coming days with stop loss below 140 approx. Earning estimate 1.6 which is a drop from 2.4 last quarter by 30% - P/E at 19.98 EPS at 8.12 - Average analyst rating at 215 (+60$) from last close at 156. these fundamental make this idea is much likely to succeed. Good luck - please like and share . thanks
NLong
by WinnerTrader99
1
GOOGL | Long | Strong Fundamentals | (April 2025)GOOGL | Long | Strong Fundamentals + Technical Support | (April 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: Google (GOOGL) is showing strong fundamental performance with healthy earnings, a growing outlook, and a technically supportive zone. It’s currently sitting at $159, and based on both macro trends and chart structure, there’s potential for a move higher. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry: Around $159 Stop Loss: $140 TP1: $160 ✅ (light partial) TP2: $200 ✅ (major target) Ultimate Target: $250 🏁 Partial Exits: 25% at each target level to manage risk and lock in gains. 3️⃣ Key Notes: 🔹 Fundamentals are solid: Google has a net income of $100B and EPS around $8, with a growing outlook. 🔹 Dividend yield is modest at 0.51%, but it's backed by $28B in debt and strong cash flow. 🔹 Technically, GOOGL is trading in a supportive zone and could revisit previous highs around $200+. 🔹 Market cap sits at $2T, showing investor confidence. 🔹 Watch the broader market (e.g., SPX, NQ) for sentiment shifts that could impact tech stocks. 4️⃣ Follow-up: Will review this trade setup and update if price approaches $200 or reacts at key levels. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Google - Last earnings call before tariffs affect revenue?Hi guys please find below the analysis we did for Google (ALPHABET) ​Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is poised to deliver a robust Q1 2025 earnings report, with analysts projecting revenue of $89.22 billion—an 11% year-over-year increase—and net income of $24.71 billion ($2.01 per share), up from $23.66 billion ($1.89 per share) a year ago . This anticipated growth is largely driven by Alphabet's strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing, which have bolstered its core businesses, including Google Search and YouTube . Resilience Amid Tariff Concerns While recent U.S. tariffs have disrupted global supply chains, particularly affecting hardware-dependent sectors, Alphabet's business model is predominantly digital and service-oriented. Its primary revenue streams—digital advertising, cloud services, and AI-driven platforms—are less susceptible to such trade tensions. Analysts from Citi and Morgan Stanley have expressed confidence in Alphabet's ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges, citing the company's AI-driven innovations as key growth drivers.​ General analyst Confidence and Stock Performance Despite a 20% decline in Alphabet's stock value earlier in 2025, the company's strong fundamentals have led to bullish sentiments among analysts. Price targets have been set as high as $195, suggesting a potential upside of up to 29% from recent levels . The company's continued focus on AI and cloud services positions it well for sustained growth, even amidst global economic uncertainties.​ In summary, Alphabet's upcoming earnings call is expected to highlight the company's robust performance and resilience, underscoring its ability to thrive despite external economic pressures. 📌 Trade Plan 📈 Entry: 155.41 ✅ Target: 181.30 ❌ SL: 121 We are looking for +-20% increase in the upcoming days/weeks!
NLong
by DG55Capital
GOOGL: A Resilient Bounce Sets Up the Next WaveGOOGL DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND — Price has rebounded off the April low with increasing bullish pressure, now holding above key short-term moving averages. A potential trend reversal is underway if momentum sustains above 155. 📉RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 207.05 — PIVOT HIGH | SELL STOPLOSS 🔴 203.76 — SELL ORDER II 🔴 197.10 — SELL ORDER I 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🟢 193.74 — EXIT BUY & TP 4 🟢 181.64 — BUY ORDER & TP 3 🟢 173.79 — BUY ORDER & TP 2 🟢 140.53 — BUY ORDER & TP 1 📈SUPPORT ZONES 🟢 150.92 — BUY ORDER 1 🟢 143.85 — BUY ORDER 2 🟢 207.05 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW 📈MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY ✅ Short-Term MAs (10–50) — Bullish crossover confirmed, supporting upside ⚠️ Mid-Term MAs (100) — Still bearish, price must sustain above 156.70 🔴 Long-Term MAs (200) — Bearish, still weighing on broader structure ✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES Price recently flipped bullish across 10–50 SMA/EMA clusters Volume confirming strength, but needs follow-through above 162.48 Stochastic RSI (95.93) is overheated — expect short-term pullback or consolidation MACD, Momentum, and AO all signal increasing buy-side control Ichimoku Base Line (153.25) being tested — reclaiming it is bullish confirmation TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📈 Bullish bias holds above 150.92 and especially above 155.63 🎯 Upside targets: 162.48 → 173.79 → 181.64 📉 Short-term rejection possible near TP1 — RSI and StochRSI nearing exhaustion 👀 Watch for a decisive break above 162.48 with volume for continuation 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following): — Buy Entry: 155.63 — TP Levels: 162.48 / 173.79 / 181.64 — SL: Below 150.92 HIGH-RISK SCALP (Momentum Pullback): — Buy Dip: 150.92 or 143.85 — TP: 155.63 / 162.48 — SL: Below 140.35 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
NLong
by ProfessorCEWard
Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Hover Near Psychological LevelAlphabet (GOOGL) Shares Hover Near Psychological Level Ahead of Earnings Report On 31 March, we noted that bearish sentiment could push Alphabet’s (GOOGL) share price towards the psychological level of $150. As the current price chart suggests, GOOGL is now trading close to that very level. Moreover, the price is approximately equidistant from the recent highs and lows (marked A and B), which may be interpreted as a sign of balanced supply and demand — and a wait-and-see stance from market participants ahead of Alphabet’s Q1 earnings release (scheduled for tomorrow, 24 April). Awaiting the GOOGL Earnings Report With the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) having fallen by around 13.5% since the beginning of the year, investors are approaching tech earnings with caution. According to Barron’s, three key themes are expected to dominate the narrative: → management forecasts amid continued uncertainty around the White House’s tariff policy; → plans for major capital investment in AI-related infrastructure; → signs of softening consumer demand. Given the current climate of uncertainty, Alphabet’s earnings report could prove particularly influential — serving as a benchmark for shaping market expectations ahead of other major tech company reports. Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL) The $150 level has served as key support throughout 2024, and over the coming days it may act as a springboard for a new price movement, potentially driven by the earnings results. From a bearish perspective, the market remains in a downward trend (indicated in red) following a breakout below the lower boundary of a previously active rising channel (marked in purple) that had held since last autumn. However, if Alphabet’s management maintains an upbeat outlook for 2025, this could give the bulls the confidence to challenge the upper limit of the red channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
GOOGL Coiling for a Breakout? Gamma Walls Say 160+ in Sight 🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insights GOOGL is setting up for a potential gamma squeeze. The current price is inching just below a critical gamma transition zone between 155–160, where we see: * High GEX levels stacked at 159.5 and 162.5 (73% and 70% respectively) * Call Wall alignment across 159–165 levels — dealers may be forced to buy to hedge if we break 155 * HVL (High Volume Level) sits at 148 — marking key put support and invalidation IVR is 60.5, which shows there’s still premium left to be sold — but it’s not overpriced. That’s a great environment for directional call spreads with gamma flow support. 💡 My Options Strategy Idea (Bullish Bias): * Play: Bull Call Spread – Buy 155c / Sell 160c * Rationale: 1. Risk is capped and affordable 2. Profit range aligns perfectly with GEX targets 3. The spread benefits if dealers fuel a move toward gamma wall pressure zones The GEX landscape suggests upward dealer flows, not resistance, as long as we stay above 152.5–155. 📊 Smart Money Technical View From a price action perspective, GOOGL has flipped bullish after reclaiming the CHoCH zone. We’re hovering just beneath the key breakout level. * Trend Bias: Strong Bullish on 30m and 1h * Volume Note: Very thin (0.04x) — price is rising, but it needs conviction candles soon * Structure: Bullish CHoCH formed → BOS confirmed → Setup forming * Target 1: 159.54 (aligned with GEX #1 wall) * Target 2: 164.31 (near GEX #2 zone) * Stop: 150 (under structure + below HVL) 🎯 What I’m Watching for Trade Confirmation: * Hold above 152.5 = bullish continuation * Break and close above 155 with volume = BOS confirmed → RUNNER potential * Fade or stall below 151 = caution — wait for re-entry 🧠 My Thoughts & Why This Setup Matters This is one of those setups where both the options market and smart money price structure are talking the same language — bullish, but not impulsive yet. What makes it powerful is the layered confluence: * Dealer gamma exposure creates a pull toward 159.5–162.5 * The technicals show a textbook CHoCH and BOS pattern * The entry risk is defined, the structure is clean, and volume is the only missing ingredient If we get confirmation through volume and momentum, GOOGL could become a high R/R long into the end of the week, especially if the market holds up. 📌 Final Summary: * Direction: Bullish Bias * Options Strategy: 155c/160c Call Spread targeting 159.5–162.5 * Entry Trigger: BOS above 155 with volume * Risk Zone: Below 151–150 (HVL + SL) Let price and flow confirm. This one could rip with the right spark. ⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence. Manage risk and never trade based solely on external suggestions.
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by BullBearInsights
Google's Q1 Earnings:Tariff Shock and Tech SlowdownAlphabet's stock is down 26% since December 2024. With a fragile technical setup and mounting macroeconomic headwinds, Q1 results may confirm investors' worst fears. Market Position: From Leadership to Uncertainty Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is set to report its Q1 earnings and revenue on Thursday, April 24, 2025, in what could be a decisive moment for the stock. After eight consecutive quarters of beating both EPS and revenue estimates, cracks have finally begun to emerge. Since posting a modest surprise in Q4 2024—only $0.031 above EPS expectations and a rare $230 million revenue miss—GOOG's stock has fallen over 26%, plunging from its December 2024 high of $208.70 to a pre-Easter close of $153.36. The technical rejection at the 10-month supply zone between $163 and $169, followed by a short-lived bounce off $143, signals ongoing bearish momentum. Alphabet is now testing a crucial 8-month support band between $154 and $149, with $143 as the next downside line of defence. A break below could expose the stock to $140 and potentially $134. Fundamental Headwinds: Tariffs, AI Spending Cuts, and Margin Pressure While GOOG's fundamentals have held up in previous quarters, the macroeconomic backdrop is deteriorating rapidly: U.S.–China Tech Tariff War: Alphabet is among the U.S. tech giants most exposed to China's retaliatory tariffs. Although Alphabet has limited direct hardware exposure compared to Apple, its ad revenue, cloud services, and Android device licensing in China and APAC could face indirect blows. Chinese firms may opt to reduce dependence on U.S. platforms amid rising regulatory barriers. AI Investment Oversaturation: Alphabet's aggressive AI expansion—particularly in training large language models and server infrastructure—has led to ballooning capital expenditures, reportedly over $40 billion in 2024 alone. Analysts now question whether this spending is delivering sufficient monetization. With global economic growth slowing, Alphabet could face challenges converting AI hype into meaningful revenue gains in 2025. Digital Ad Market Maturity: Advertising growth, the backbone of Alphabet's earnings, is showing signs of plateauing, especially in the U.S. and Europe. Major advertisers are cutting budgets, with global marketing spending expected to decelerate to 2.1% YoY growth in 2025, the slowest pace since the pandemic recovery in 2021. Margin Compression Risk: Labor costs, data centre energy prices, and regulatory compliance have all contributed to margin compression, which is a key reason behind the modest EPS surprise in Q4 2024. Technical Outlook: Make-or-Break Levels into Earnings From a price structure standpoint, Alphabet remains within a well-defined 5-month descending channel. The failed breakout at $163–169 reinforced the bearish setup. At present: Support to watch: $154: Key mid-channel level. A break likely triggers a retest of $149. $143: A line in the sand—a break below opens the path to $140 and $134. Resistance to clear: $160: First barrier to regain upside momentum. $163–169: Must be reclaimed to reverse the medium-term bearish trend. If Q1 results disappoint or forward guidance is downgraded, this structure could rapidly break down. Conversely, a strong report that beats the estimated EPS of $2.008 and revenue consensus of $89.23B may spark a short-term relief rally, especially if AI monetization or YouTube ad revenue surprises to the upside. Looking Back: Earnings Consistency—But Cracks Forming Past 8 Quarters – EPS Performance: Largest upside surprise: March 2024 (25.09%) Weakest: December 2024 (1.45%) Past 8 Quarters – Revenue Performance: Largest beat: September 2024 ($1.88B) First miss in 2 years: December 2024 (–$230M) This signals a trend reversal that may now accelerate under economic pressure. Investor Takeaway: Don't Ignore the Macro Shift Alphabet's Q1 report is more than a corporate update—it's a benchmark for Big Tech's resilience under mounting global stress. With equity markets increasingly sensitive to tariffs, yield curve dynamics, and rising economic fragmentation, Alphabet's results could reverberate across the Nasdaq and broader tech complex.
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by Rotuma
GOOGL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17GOOGL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17) Below is our integrated analysis for GOOGL weekly options trading based on the current options data and the multiple model reports: ────────────────────────────── Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report  – Observes that although the 5‐minute chart shows a hint of short‐term bullishness, the daily chart is clearly bearish (price below the 10 EMA and RSI around 41) and news catalysts (antitrust concerns) add further downside bias.  – Highlights a significant concentration of put open interest around the $150 strike and recommends buying the $150 put at a premium of about $0.24 with an entry at open.  – Suggested profit target at roughly a 50% premium increase and a stop loss if the premium falls by about 25% (or if the price fails to break key resistance). • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Confirms a moderately bearish bias with price trading below all key daily EMAs and negative regulatory news intensifying the downside.  – Points to the heavy open interest in the 150 puts and emphasizes that although max pain is at $155 (a theoretical pull toward higher prices), the aggressive negative catalyst trumps this signal.  – Recommends a put trade with guidelines for profit-taking (roughly a 100% premium gain) and a 50% premium stop-loss; entry to be made at market open. • Gemini/Google Report  – Notes the strong bearish daily setup (price clearly below the 10/50/200 averages and near key supports around $150) combined with negative antitrust headlines.  – While acknowledging some short-term consolidation on the 5-minute chart, the report favors a bearish play and selects the $150 put (even though its premium of $0.24 is a bit below the “ideal” $0.30–$0.60 range).  – Recommends entering at open with specific targets (aiming for around a 100% return on premium or an exit if the underlying fails to break levels) and strict stop-loss discipline. • Llama/Meta Report  – Summarizes that the technicals (including MACD and RSI on both timeframes) and high volatility (VIX ~32.64) combine for a moderately bearish setup.  – The heavy put open interest at $150 further reinforces this view.  – Recommends buying the $150 put at market open with a modest profit target (around a 50% gain on premium) and a stop-loss if the underlying rallies above key resistance levels. • DeepSeek Report  – Emphasizes that despite the max pain at $155, the technical breakdown below key moving averages and significant negative news support a bearish trade.  – Recommends buying weekly (0DTE) $150 puts at the current premium of $0.24, with exit parameters tied to breaching immediate support or achieving a 50% gain in premium.  – Notes that risk management is crucial given the 0DTE nature and high volatility. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Between Models • Agreement:  – All models share a moderately bearish outlook driven by a combination of:   ○ Price performance below key moving averages and declining daily RSI.   ○ Negative news catalysts (antitrust issues and breakup concerns).   ○ Heavy put open interest at the $150 strike, aligning with technical support.  – Each model favors a single-leg, naked put strategy on GOOGL weekly expirations, with an entry at market open. • Disagreement:  – There is some variation in the selection of profit target and stop loss levels:   ○ Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward a profit target near a 50% premium gain and a tighter stop loss, while Claude/Anthropic and Gemini reference a slightly larger profit target (up to 100% gain) paired with a 50% stop loss.  – There is a mild conflict with the max pain theory (which is bullish at $155) versus the consensus technical and news story indicating further downside. However, all models agree that the negative catalysts outweigh the theoretical pull toward max pain. ────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation • Overall Market Direction Consensus:  – The integrated view is moderately bearish. Although intraday charts hint at short-term consolidation, the dominant daily technicals, high volatility, and strongly negative news set the stage for further downside pressure. • Recommended Trade:  – We recommend buying a single-leg, naked put option.  – Selected Instrument: GOOGL weekly option with a $150 strike (0DTE expiring on 2025-04-17).  – Premium: The current ask is $0.24 per contract. Although this is slightly below the ideal range, the risk/reward profile is favorable given the strong technical and sentiment bias.  – Entry Timing: Enter at market open.  – Profit Target: Aim for a premium increase to approximately $0.36 (a ~50% gain).  – Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss around $0.12 (roughly a 50% reduction in premium), or exit if the underlying rallies decisively above the intraday resistance levels (around $152).  – Confidence Level in the Recommendation: Approximately 70%. • Key Risks and Considerations:  – The max pain level at $155 could introduce some intraday upward pressure.  – High implied volatility (VIX at 32.64) means rapid moves could quickly hit stop-loss triggers.  – The 0DTE nature of the option calls for strict monitoring; if GOOGL fails to break below key support levels early on, exit the position promptly.  – Overall market reversals or unexpected news can rapidly change the trade dynamics. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "GOOGL", "direction": "put", "strike": 150.00, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.36, "stop_loss": 0.12, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.24, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NShort
by quantsignals
GOOGL GEX Alert: Sitting on a Gamma Cliff! 🔮 GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Analysis 🚨 Key PUT Pressure Zone at 155–152.5 * GOOGL is currently hovering above its highest negative GEX level at 155.14, which aligns with a thick PUT support wall. * A breakdown below 155 could trigger gamma-induced acceleration to 152.5, then quickly toward 150, where another major PUT wall sits. 🧱 Resistance Cluster Overhead at 157.5–162.5 * GEX shows a dense band of CALL resistance forming between 157.5 and 162.5, topped off by another CALL wall around 165. * Dealers will likely hedge downward moves aggressively below 155, while upside attempts could struggle to break through the 160–162 band unless sentiment flips. 💡 Options Data Summary: * IVR: 54.6 → Elevated implied volatility rank, indicating heightened option premiums. * IVx: 46.6 with a –10.67% drop, suggesting traders are de-risking or volatility is being absorbed. * PUTS make up 15.8%, which is moderate but growing — enough to trigger strong downside gamma flows if breakdown happens. 🎯 GEX Scenario Outlook: * Bearish Trigger: A flush under 155 likely unlocks 152 → 150 → 145 range targets fast. * Bullish Reversal: Needs to reclaim 157.5, then challenge the 160–162.5 zone, where CALL hedging could stall any rally. 🕰️ Technical Analysis – 1H Chart Summary Trend Weakening: * GOOGL is breaking down from a rising wedge and has lost VWAP and short EMAs. * Selling volume is increasing while momentum fades — confirming short-term bearish bias. MACD: * Bearish crossover confirmed, histogram widening on the downside. RSI: * Sliding under 40, no sign of bullish divergence — momentum supports further downside. Key Technical Zones: * Support: 155.14 (GEX support), 152, 149.96, 141.78 * Resistance: 157.5, 160, 162.31 🧠 Final Thoughts: GOOGL is resting on critical GEX PUT support at 155 — a break here could act like a trapdoor to 150 or even sub-145 levels. On the other hand, bulls must break through layered CALL walls up to 162.5 to regain any control. With IV cooling, GEX dominant to the downside, and technicals aligning, caution is key. Wait for confirmation — this is a gamma-driven battleground. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
N
by BullBearInsights