MSFTCL trade ideas
Overtrading: The Fast Track to BurnoutThere was a day in my trading journey that I’ll never forget—and not for a good reason. It started like any normal day. I had my plan, and the first few trades went well. But then, I saw what I thought was another good opportunity. Without thinking it through, I jumped in.
The trade didn’t work out, and I got frustrated. Instead of stepping back, I started trading like crazy, trying to get my money back. One bad trade led to another, and before I knew it, I had made over 30 trades in a single day. Each one was worse than the last. By the end, I had lost thousands of dollars.
Even worse than the money, I felt drained, frustrated, and embarrassed. That’s when I realized: I was overtrading, and it was destroying both my account and my mindset.
What Is Overtrading?
Overtrading is when you make too many trades, often because you’re emotional. Maybe you’re trying to chase every small market move, recover a loss, or just avoid feeling bored. Whatever the reason, you’re not sticking to your plan—you’re just clicking buttons and hoping for the best.
How to Spot Overtrading
Here’s how you can tell if you’re overtrading:
- Too Many Trades: You’re constantly jumping in and out of the market without thinking it through.
- Ignoring Your Rules: You forget your plan and take trades that don’t fit your strategy.
- Trading on Emotions: You’re trading out of frustration, boredom, or desperation.
- Feeling Exhausted: By the end of your session, you’re completely wiped out.
- Losing More Money: Your account keeps shrinking because your trades are rushed and sloppy.
What Overtrading Does to You
Overtrading isn’t just bad for your account—it’s bad for you, too:
- You Lose Money: Bad trades add up fast, and your account takes a hit.
- You Burn Out: Staring at screens all day and trading on emotions will leave you mentally drained.
- You Lose Confidence: Watching your mistakes pile up makes you doubt yourself.
- You Break Discipline: Once you’re out of control, it’s hard to stick to your strategy.
- You Feel Tired and Unhealthy: Long hours and no breaks make your body and mind feel worse.
How I Fixed It
After that awful day, I knew I had to change. I took a break for a few days to clear my head. When I came back, I made some rules for myself:
-Only trade setups that match my plan.
-Set a limit on how many trades I can take in a day.
-Take regular breaks so I don’t burn out.
-Journal every trade so I can spot my mistakes and improve.
It took time, but these small changes helped me stop overtrading and focus on making smarter decisions.
Are You Overtrading?
If this sounds familiar, you’re not alone. Overtrading happens to a lot of traders, but you can fix it with the right approach.
If you’re feeling stuck, frustrated, or burned out, send me a DM. I’m here to help you figure out what’s going wrong and how to turn things around. You don’t have to do it alone!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Microsoft (MSFT) Found a Bottom - Long Trade Setup🖥️ Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - 15-Minute Chart
🚀 Trade Setup:
- Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): Watching for a bullish reaction near the current support at $428.00 - $426.26.
- Entry Plan: Waiting for confirmation of a bounce from the support zone.
Targets:
- Target 1: $432.92
- Target 2: $435.83
- Stop-Loss: Below $426.26 to protect capital.
📈 Key Notes:
Expecting a potential ABC correction to complete, followed by an upward move toward the targets.
The risk-to-reward ratio aligns well with this setup.
Watch for bullish candles or a volume increase to confirm the entry.
⚠️ Risk Management: Trade responsibly and adjust position size to maintain proper risk based on your account balance.
#Microsoft #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MSFT #TradingView
post 2/2... MSFT Microsoft levels of worry or Cheer?Microsoft has some interesting Fib Channel levels going back to the 90s...Those pure vertical trends turned into flatness in the 2020's..shows you how parabolic it went
post 1/2... MSFT Microsoft parabolic to flatMicrosoft has some interesting Fib Channel levels going back to the 90s...Those pure vertical trends turned into flatness in the 2020's..shows you how parabolic it went
Next post is todays action...notice line angles between 90s and now.
Microsoft at a Critical Zone: Will It Break or Bounce?🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $433.50. A breakout clears the path to $440 and $445, fueled by potential bullish recovery.
🩸 Support: $430.00. A breakdown exposes $425 and $420, signaling further weakness.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $433.50, aiming for $440 and $445. Watch for increasing volume to confirm the breakout.
🩸 Short: Below $430.00, targeting $425 and $420. Strong bearish momentum favors this scenario.
🩸 Microsoft’s MACD reflects ongoing bearish pressure, while the price hovers near critical EMA and Supertrend levels. Bulls must reclaim $433.50 to regain control, while bears can exploit the downside below $430.00. Volume remains key to validating either move.
👑 "Only those who act decisively at pivotal moments shape their financial destiny." — LucanInvestor
27-12-24 MSFT 426 USD - strong sell.
For me, MSFT is no more longer focussed on their core business.
Technical absolut incredible:
Negative divergence on RSI
Flat on OBV
Diamond head formation.
Bear market for 12-18 months.
Target around 300 USD with gap filling.
27-12-24 MSFT 426 USD - strong sell.
For me, MSFT is no more longer focussed on their core business.
Technical absolut incredible:
Negative divergence on RSI
Flat on OBV
Diamond head formation.
Bear market for 12-18 months.
Target around 300 USD with gap filling.
Can Giants Maintain AI Dominance While Pursuing Independence?In the ever-evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, Microsoft stands at a fascinating crossroads that challenges conventional wisdom about technological partnerships and innovation. The tech giant's recent strategic moves present a compelling case study of how market leaders can simultaneously strengthen their AI capabilities while reducing dependencies on key partners. This delicate balance could reshape the future of enterprise AI.
Microsoft's remarkable journey is highlighted by Wall Street's growing confidence, with Loop Capital's target price increase to $550 reflecting strong market optimism. This confidence isn't merely speculative – it's backed by substantial investments, including a staggering $42.6 billion allocated to cloud and AI infrastructure in Q3 2024 alone. The company's financial performance reinforces this positive outlook, with earnings consistently exceeding expectations and revenue growing at an impressive 16% year-over-year.
What makes Microsoft's strategy particularly intriguing is its nuanced approach to partnerships and innovation. While maintaining its strategic alliance with OpenAI, the company actively diversifies its AI portfolio by developing internal models and exploring third-party integrations. This sophisticated balancing act, combined with strong institutional ownership and strategic insider movements, suggests a company that's not just adapting to change but actively shaping the future of AI enterprise solutions. The remaining question isn't whether Microsoft will maintain its market leadership, but how its strategic evolution will redefine the boundaries between partnership and independence in the AI era.
Microsoft - We Will See A Correction!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can actually create a correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Microsoft is one of the strongest stocks over the past decade and also over the past couple of months, there was no clear sign of weakness. Therefore, it is actually not extremely likely that a correction will happen, but if it does, this will offer a long term texbook trading opportunity.
Levels to watch: $420, $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Potential Bounce from Support📈 Day-Trade Setup:
- Entry: $434
- Stop-Loss: $432 (tight risk management)
- Target 1: $439
- Target 2: $445
Rationale:
Microsoft is showing signs of a potential reversal after hitting key support levels around $432-$434.
This level aligns with prior demand zones, and a recovery is anticipated based on Elliott Wave projections and Fibonacci retracements.
- Target 1 ($439): Represents the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and aligns with interim resistance.
- Target 2 ($445): Aligns with the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, completing Wave C.
Risk Management:
Position size is adjusted for a 1% account risk.
Outlook:
This trade leans on technical patterns and tight risk-reward dynamics. Microsoft continues to be fundamentally strong, with its cloud and AI initiatives fueling long-term growth.
Let's see if this rebound materializes! 🚀
MSFT Bearish Trade Setup: Key Levels to Watch!📉 Entry: $437.04 – Price action shows rejection at a resistance level, confirming bearish momentum. 🚨
Stop Loss: $441.26 – Protect against invalidation above this resistance. ✋
🎯 Targets:
T1: $432.27 – Immediate support and first profit zone. 🛑
T2: $427.54 – Extended downside target for further profits. 💰
Key Details:
📊 The breakdown below the ascending trendline confirms weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Price rejection near $437.04 signals a high-probability short trade opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
📌 Strategy:
🔻 Enter short at $437.04.
🔒 SL above $441.26.
✅ Take profits at $432.27 (T1) & $427.54 (T2).
Why This Chart is Important:
⚠️ MSFT’s price action highlights a clear bearish breakdown, offering an ideal setup for short trades.
Conclusion:
Rejection at $437.04, combined with downside targets at $432.27 and $427.54, confirms bearish momentum for this setup. 📉🔥
#Trading #MSFT #StockMarket #BearishSetup #RiskReward #StockAnalysis #ProfittoPath
Microsoft - H&S Fake Out to Make Out! 16% Upside🖐️ H5 TRADE - NASDAQ:MSFT
There was to much going on to call out my exact entry on this at the retest area but to be fair I put it on everyone's watchlist a few weeks ago and said a retest would be a perfect entry. This will be different once the H5 Community is up and running as I will have a whole trade alerts channel were I post my trades and buy/sell notis right as after execution!
With this trade we still have over 16% to run upward from here. So, up to you friends! Them and other Mag7 names held up really well during that flash crash and that is very bullish to me! Also, to throw in a learning lesson for all: Just because a charting pattern forms (H&S on MSFT) doesn't mean it's a trade you should enter! Always wait for breakouts and retest! If you struggle with that then you better beat it into your head and tape you hands underneath your desk!
-H5 indicator is GREEN
-Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout and retest
-Launching off Volume shelf back to ATH and beyond
-Bottom of the two year rising channel
-Williams CB forming and believe we create support next week
I consolidated the account yesterday into the best trades and saw this OLD SAFE n RELIABLE trade and chose to buy some options!
🔜🎯$466
🎯$512
⏲️Before 05May2025
2 Contracts -$420 Calls for May 16th 2025
CB: $40.03 - Currently $43.75
Not financial advice.
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for:
If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control.
If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility.
Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for:
If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control.
If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility.
Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
MSFT Analysis in Three Trading Strategies for Dec. 201. GEX Analysis for Options Trading
Gamma Levels and Key Insights:
* Support Levels:
* $432.5: Major put wall, indicating strong support for downside protection.
* $435.0: GEX9 level, minor support within the current range.
* Resistance Levels:
* $440.0: Significant call wall, indicating resistance for upward movement.
* $450.0: Highest positive NET GEX and a key resistance level above.
* IV and Sentiment:
* IVR: 37 suggests moderate implied volatility.
* Calls %: Low at 16%, showing bearish sentiment in the options market.
Options Strategy:
* Bullish:
* Long calls above $440. Breakout targets $445 and $450. Use $435 as stop-loss.
* Bearish:
* Buy puts below $432.50, targeting $430 and $427.
2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading
Key Observations:
* Trend: Clear bearish trend on the hourly chart with lower highs and lower lows.
* Support and Resistance:
* Immediate support at $435.0.
* Resistance at $440.0, aligned with GEX and trendline resistance.
* Indicators:
* EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with EMAs trending down.
* MACD: Negative histogram and bearish crossover confirm selling pressure.
Swing/Day Trading Setup:
* Bullish:
* Entry: Above $440 with volume.
* Target: $445, with $437 as stop-loss.
* Bearish:
* Entry: Below $435.
* Target: $432 and $430, with a stop-loss above $437.
3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping
Key Observations:
* Trend: Downtrend with immediate rejection near $437 and weak bounce attempts.
* Scalping Levels:
* Resistance: $437.85.
* Support: $435.0.
* Volume:
* Increased selling pressure near the close suggests continuation of bearish moves.
* Indicators:
* EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish structure.
* MACD: Bearish divergence near resistance confirms downtrend.
Scalping Strategy:
* Bullish:
* Entry: Break above $437.
* Target: $438.50.
* Stop-loss: Below $436.50.
* Bearish:
* Entry: Break below $435.
* Target: $433.50.
* Stop-loss: Above $435.50.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
Microsoft (MSFT): What’s Next? Will It Break $455.34 Morning, Trading Family! Let’s Talk About Microsoft (MSFT): Will It Break $455.34 or Head Lower?
Microsoft’s stock is at a key level, and the next move could set the tone for what’s ahead. The magic number right now is $455.34. Will we see a breakout to new highs, or could the price dip lower before bouncing back? Let’s break it down step by step so everyone’s ready!
If Microsoft Breaks Above $455.34
If the stock moves above $455.34 and holds steady, it could signal that buyers are in control.
What could happen?
The price might head up toward $460 or even $465. These levels could be the next spots where the stock takes a breather.
What should we watch?
Look for strong movement above $455.34 with good trading volume (lots of action). If the price quickly dips back below, it could mean the breakout isn’t real yet.
How can we trade it?
If the price holds above $455.34, it might be a good time to think about buying with a target around $460. Just make sure to use a stop-loss in case the trade doesn’t go as planned.
If Microsoft Drops Below $455.34
If the stock struggles to stay above $455.34, we could see a pullback.
The first key level:
Watch $449. This is the next area where buyers might step in to stop the price from falling.
If $449 doesn’t hold:
The price could drop further, landing somewhere in the $443–$438 range, where stronger support is likely.
How can we trade it?
Be patient! If the price dips, wait for signs that it’s stabilizing at a support level before making any moves.
What If the Price Drops Below $438?
If MSFT falls below $438, it could mean the stock is turning more bearish. At that point, we’ll need to step back and reassess the trend.
Tips for Today’s Trading
If you’re bullish: Wait for the price to break and hold above $455.34 before jumping in.
If you’re bearish: Watch for a clean break below $449 for potential short opportunities.
Always: Use stop-losses to protect yourself and trade with a plan!
Bottom Line:
The $455.34 level is the line in the sand. If we break above, it’s good news for the bulls. If not, we could see a dip to $449 or lower.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
MICROSOFT 460 BY 2025 ?TOP 3 REASONS WHY !!
Earnings Growth: One of the most important factors for any growth Astock is earnings growth1. Microsoft has a historical EPS growth rate of 21.3%, and it’s projected to grow 13.2% this year, outpacing the industry average. This consistent and robust earnings growth is a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and future prospects, which could drive its stock price higher.
Cloud Services: Microsoft Azure, the company’s cloud platform, has been a significant driver of growth. Demand for cloud infrastructure services is higher than ever, as organizations seek digital solutions in a post-COVID-19 world. With Azure’s revenue increasing by 48%, it’s expected to exceed both Office and Windows in annual revenue by next year. This growth in the cloud sector represents a massive opportunity for Microsoft and could be a major factor in boosting its stock price.
Productivity and Gaming: Microsoft’s productivity and business processes segment, which includes Office 365, has shown solid results with consistent revenue growth. The transition of Office to a subscription service has been beneficial for Microsoft’s core software business2. Additionally, the gaming sector, particularly Xbox, is another area where Microsoft is seeing significant growth2. With the successful launch of the Xbox Series X and Series S, and the rapid growth of the Xbox Game Pass subscription service, the future looks bright for Microsoft’s gaming business.
MSFT to $485 by 12/312024 year-end santa rally over next 2 weeks should push MSFT above ATH of $470 to hit the weekly RSI top of $485 by 12/31. I may be slightly off on timing, but the price target is very valid. The fundamental thesis around MSFT is that it should continue making new all time highs as it starts to reap the benefits of its investment in AI software.
AI software will be the next phase of growth stemming from the hundreds of billions spent on AI hardware.
MSFT - breaks out from ascending triangle patternBullish on MSFT, will do well for 2025 and beyond being an AI & Cloud Tech Leader with bullish technical price pattern breakout
