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NVDA trade ideas

$NVDA - Resilience in ActionNASDAQ:NVDA In my previous post (linked above) I noted the amount of macro upwards pressure NASDAQ:NVDA Even with the market becoming leary of (or noticing other A.I. developer options), NASDAQ:NVDA still just makes the HARDWARE that these A.I. models are able to use and abuse in order to perform better. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to create great hardware, and continually iterate on the items that will continue to make A.I. great. My recommendation? Continue to hold, and buy at these lower levels. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to rise.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by tankingtomawar
NVDA Technical Analysis and GEX InsightsCurrent Overview * Price: NVDA is trading at 127.63, recovering from recent lows with significant bullish momentum. * Trend: The stock is rebounding sharply after a strong sell-off, with potential resistance levels ahead. * Market Note: Market conditions can shift at the open; adaptability is crucial. Reassess these levels and trends post-market open for alignment with updated momentum. Technical Analysis 1. Key Levels: * Support: * 125.00: Immediate support, also aligned with the HVL. * 123.00: Critical level near Fibonacci retracement and previous consolidation. * Resistance: * 130.00: A significant barrier with visible selling pressure in past price action. * 133.00–135.00: Upper resistance near a gamma wall and potential rejection zone. 2. Momentum Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover, signaling growing upward momentum but showing a slowing curve. * Stochastic RSI: Recovering from oversold, with potential to push higher if momentum continues. 3. Volume: * High trading volumes during the recent rally suggest strong buying interest, supporting further upside if sustained. 4. Trendlines: * Downtrend resistance near 129–130: A break above this would confirm a short-term reversal. * Support trendline near 123–124, reinforcing a solid base. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights 1. Gamma Walls: * Call Walls: * 130.00: 88.36% of the 2nd Call Wall, acting as key resistance. * 140.00: 76.73% of the 3rd Call Wall, marking a significant upside target if 130 breaks. * Put Walls: * 120.00: Major put support, reflecting downside protection. * 115.00: Another key level, with strong negative GEX support. 2. IVR and Options Flow: * IVR: 45, reflecting moderate implied volatility. * Calls vs. Puts: Calls dominate at 34.7%, indicating a bullish sentiment in options activity. * GEX Direction: Positive, suggesting a stable to bullish market bias. Market Direction Scenarios 1. Bullish: * A breakout above 130 could lead NVDA toward 133–135, supported by gamma exposure and momentum continuation. 2. Bearish: * Failure to hold 125 may result in a pullback to 120, with 115 as a significant lower support. Key Notes: * The market will likely adjust at the open; use these levels as a guide but adapt to real-time price action and volume shifts. If you’d like an updated analysis after the market opens, feel free to send me a message for a real-time update.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
Nvidia Stock Goes 'DeepSeek', Ahead of Earnings CallNvidia's stock has experienced significant volatility recently, largely influenced by the emergence of a new AI model from Chinese startup DeepSeek. This model, known as R1, reportedly rivals the capabilities of advanced models from major U.S. tech companies like OpenAI and Google, but does so using less powerful and cheaper chips. This development has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of Nvidia's market dominance and the high valuations of U.S. tech stocks. Impact of DeepSeek on Nvidia Stock Stock Performance. On January 27, 2025, Nvidia's shares plummeted by over 16%, marking its largest intraday drop since August 2023. This decline wiped more than half-a-trillion US dollars from Nvidia's market capitalization. The stock fell approximately 12.5% in early trading, reflecting widespread investor anxiety about the implications of DeepSeek's advancements. Investor Sentiment. The introduction of DeepSeek's AI model has prompted a reevaluation of the heavy investments made by U.S. tech firms in AI technologies. Analysts noted that if DeepSeek can achieve competitive results with lower costs, it may lead to reduced demand for Nvidia's high-end chips. This has caused a ripple effect across the tech sector, with other semiconductor stocks also experiencing declines. Market Reactions. The broader tech market was affected as well, with the Nasdaq index falling nearly 4% in pre-market trading. Other companies linked to AI and technology also saw significant drops; for instance, ASML and Broadcom fell by 7% and over 12%, respectively. Perspectives by Fundamental and Technical Analyst Skepticism About DeepSeek. While some analysts expressed skepticism about DeepSeek's ability to compete effectively without advanced chips, they acknowledged that its success could force U.S. companies to reconsider their strategies regarding AI investments and efficiency. For example, Citi analysts maintained a "buy" rating on Nvidia, suggesting that major U.S. companies are unlikely to shift away from using Nvidia's GPUs in the near term. Concerns Over Valuations. Analysts at Wedbush highlighted that U.S. tech stocks are currently valued at premium levels, which makes them vulnerable to any disruptions in perceived technological superiority. They noted that even small developments like those from DeepSeek could significantly impact stock prices due to inflated expectations surrounding AI advancements. Future Outlook. Despite the immediate negative impact on Nvidia's stock, some analysts believe that concerns may be exaggerated and that U.S. firms are still well-positioned for long-term growth in AI technologies. They argue that while DeepSeek's model is impressive, it does not yet match the comprehensive infrastructure and ecosystem that American tech giants have developed. Technical Outlook. The main technical graph for Nvidia stock (1-week resolution) indicates on epic breakthrough of upside channel, which has been alive for more than last two years, until ̶D̶o̶n̶a̶l̶d̶ ̶T̶r̶u̶m̶p̶ someone entered ̶a̶ ̶c̶h̶a̶t̶ White House. Ahead of Nvidia Earnings call (scheduled on February, 26) our 'fancy-nancy' Analyst Team is strongly against any Nvidia stock purchase below ready to be lost, $130 per share level. Potentially 52-week SMA can support a stock for a while near $115 a share, otherwise we believe Nvidia stock will dive below $100 level again. Conclusion In summary, the rise of DeepSeek represents a pivotal moment for Nvidia and the broader tech sector, challenging existing assumptions about AI development costs and market dynamics. The ongoing situation will likely lead to further scrutiny of investment strategies within the industry as stakeholders assess the long-term implications of this emerging competition.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by PandorraResearch
Analysing the Impact of Nvidia's Stock Price DropWhile the sharp decline in Nvidia's stock price made headlines yesterday, let’s assess the actual technical damage caused by the move. Attached is a weekly chart, displayed with logarithmic scaling. This scaling method is used because Nvidia's share price has grown exponentially over the past few years, making percentage-based changes more meaningful for analysis. On a logarithmic scale, vertical spacing represents percentage changes, ensuring a consistent visual representation of relative movements. Key Observations: 1. Trend Break Confirmation The first notable point is that Nvidia's uptrend, which began in 2022, was broken not yesterday but several weeks ago. This predated the recent sell-off, indicating the potential for weakness had already emerged. 2. Critical Support Levels The sell-off now approaches two significant technical levels: o The 55-week moving average (MA) at 112.46. o The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 98.52. These levels are worth monitoring closely as potential support zones. Questioning the Trend The pressing question is whether this marks the end of the bull run or merely an aggressive correction within an ongoing uptrend. For now, I lean towards the latter interpretation, as there isn't sufficient evidence to declare a full trend reversal. A single day of sharp decline doesn’t necessarily confirm the onset of a bear market—at least not yet. Final Thought One down day, while significant, doesn't define a bear market. It’s important to watch how the price action unfolds around the aforementioned support levels to gain clarity on the longer-term trajectory. Not investment advice ________________________________________ About Logarithmic Scaling Logarithmic, or "percentage," scaling ensures that equal vertical distances represent equal percentage changes. For example, the vertical distance between 10 and 20 (a 100% increase) is the same as the distance between 50 and 100. This scaling is particularly useful for analysing stocks with large price growth over time. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by The_STA
NVIDIA (NVDA) stock with technical indicatorsAscending Channel: The stock is trending within an upward-sloping channel, with the price currently near the middle. The orange trendlines indicate potential support and resistance levels. Key Support and Resistance: The lower trendline has acted as strong support multiple times (circled in red). If history repeats, the price could bounce from this level and move toward the upper trendline. Moving Averages (MA 50 & 200): The 50-day moving average (red line) and 200-day moving average (green line) provide additional support and resistance. The price is fluctuating around these levels, indicating a consolidation phase before a potential breakout. RSI Divergence & Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom suggests periods of overbought (bear signals) and oversold (bull signals) conditions. Currently, RSI is around 63.69, meaning there is still room for upward movement before becoming overbought. Potential Price Action: The green arrow suggests a bullish outlook if support holds, potentially leading to a breakout towards the upper resistance. A break below the lower trendline could signal a bearish reversal.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by miguelleitao96
NVIDIA is DONE? Or it is a good entry point? NVIDIA: Analyzing the Recent Price Drop and Long-Term Prospects Greetings, this is Ronin. Today, we’ll dive into what happened yesterday with NVIDIA’s stock and why market panic is no reason to surrender. Let’s break down the situation step by step to understand the real drivers behind this decline. What Happened? Yesterday, the market was shaken by news from China: the development of a new artificial intelligence (AI) system that is cheaper to build and requires fewer computational resources. In response, NVIDIA’s stock plummeted, triggering concern among investors. The key issue fueling the sell-off was fear of an AI sector revaluation. After NVIDIA’s meteoric rise of +200–300% over the past two years, even the slightest doubt can cause significant price fluctuations. However, let’s not view the market through a lens of panic. Drops like this are temporary corrections, and here’s why NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in its industry. Market Volatility: A Natural Phenomenon Imagine a river encountering a sudden boulder. The current becomes turbulent, water splashes and roars, but eventually, the river finds its way forward. Similarly, in the market, fundamental news about technological breakthroughs can stir things up, but capital always flows back to strong, stable assets. Looking at NVIDIA’s chart, we can identify several local support levels where prices have repeatedly rebounded during past periods of market turbulence. These levels indicate that the current panic is not a collapse but rather a pullback within a long-term trend. Why NVIDIA Remains Strong Beyond Artificial Intelligence NVIDIA’s products are not limited to AI development; they are integral to numerous high-tech sectors: GPUs that are the gold standard in the gaming industry. Solutions for data centers, automotive industries, and cloud computing. Trump’s AI Investments Former President Donald Trump recently announced a $500 billion investment in the U.S. AI sector. This substantial funding will bolster domestic demand for NVIDIA’s products. Technological Leadership NVIDIA produces processors unmatched in performance. Even if Chinese AI outperforms in certain areas, no country will completely dethrone NVIDIA. Competition? Yes. Dominance? Unlikely. Long-Term Forecast Short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market cycles. When news sparks panic, assets that previously showed enormous growth inevitably experience corrections. However, this does not negate long-term potential. Key Figures: 2-Year Growth: +200–300%. Current Correction: -12% in a day. Long-Term Growth Outlook: NVIDIA’s annual revenue growth is still expected at 30–40%, according to analysts. NVIDIA’s stock drop is a temporary event driven by short-term revaluation. Once liquidity returns and the panic subsides, the stock is poised to resume its upward trajectory. Conclusion The market has always been a stage for emotions to play out. But a true trader knows: when everyone is panicking, it’s time to act. Chinese AI? It’s just another player entering the vast technological field. NVIDIA, on the other hand, remains a titan that sets the standard. Panic comes and goes, but trends endure. With NVIDIA, we’ll witness many more peaks. This is Ronin. See you at the top of the charts! 📈💎
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by StarTradePro
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Drops by Approximately 17%Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Drops by Approximately 17% The start of 2025 appeared favourable for Nvidia (NVDA) shares from a fundamental perspective: → On 6 January, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivered a keynote at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES). → On 22 January, the company's stock prices rose following President Trump's Stargate project announcement. However, news from China triggered a sharp decline, with Nvidia's stock price plunging approximately 17% yesterday, as shown on the Nvidia (NVDA) chart. According to Reuters, last week the Chinese startup DeepSeek launched a free AI assistant requiring minimal resources. By Monday, the assistant had surpassed its American rival, ChatGPT, in downloads from Apple’s App Store. CNN reports that the R1 model is both powerful and significantly cheaper than AI technologies from OpenAI, Google, or Meta. DeepSeek claimed to have spent just $5.6 million on its base model, compared to the hundreds of millions or billions invested by American companies in their AI technologies. This may have led market participants to conclude that the AI industry requires fewer Nvidia chips than previously thought, prompting a sell-off of Nvidia shares. This decline also impacted other companies in the sector, with sharp drops in Oracle (ORCL), Broadcom (AVGO), and others. As a result, Nvidia lost its title as "the world's most valuable company" to Apple, and its CEO saw his fortune decrease by 20%. Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that: → The upward channel (marked in blue), formed by price fluctuations throughout 2024, has been broken, as the price fell well below its lower boundary. → The psychological resistance level of $150, previously highlighted in our analyses (most recently on 6 January), held firm despite numerous challenges. → The sharp drop, accompanied by a bearish gap between $142 and $128, can be interpreted as a market structure shift (MSS). This development may lead to reduced investor interest in the AI sector, with NVDA stock likely to continue its decline within a downward channel. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
3
Nvidia Shares Plunge More Than 17% Nvidia’s stock has experienced a significant drop in price in recent hours due to growing concerns about new competition from China, represented by the startup DeepSeek. This Asian startup is positioning itself to offer services similar to those of current AI industry leaders but at a much lower cost. Additionally, its open-source model, unlike competitors such as OpenAI , has generated high expectations, marking a new competitive challenge from China to the U.S. in this sector. Nvidia has led the steep declines in the tech sector in the short term. Range Breakout: Recent selling pressure has caused a breakout from a consistent lateral range that had been in place since late October 2024. The movement has been so aggressive that the price has also broken below the 100-period moving average and is now struggling with the 200-period moving average. If the strong bearish pressure continues in the coming sessions, it could jeopardize the long-standing upward trend visible on the daily chart prior to this event. RSI: The RSI indicator line has quickly adopted a bearish slope, moving decisively away from the neutral level of 50. However, recent price action has brought the line closer to the oversold zone at 30 , suggesting that the momentum of the current decline is significantly imbalanced. This could pave the way for small upward corrections in the short term. Key Levels: $114: Current support level corresponding to neutral zones from August and September 2024. Bearish oscillations breaking below this level could strengthen selling pressure and establish a sustained bearish bias in the market. However, this zone could also trigger new upward corrections in the coming sessions. $131: The nearest resistance level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Oscillations near this level could restore market neutrality and potentially lead to a new lateral channel. $144 : Distant resistance level. Oscillations reaching this level again would bring the strong long-term bullish trend back into focus. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREXcom
"Seriously Poof" A-I Balloon I had written here previously that Nvidia could ultimately bring down the US stock market. If you were watching Sunday evening football last night, you were potentially shocked when the US stock market opened this morning. News this weekend that Chinese start up Deep Seek has developed and produced A-I discounted chips, to glowing tech reviews this weekend sent NVDA down in a crash mode on Monday down 17 % and dropping losing billions of dollar valuation in a single trading day. What large institutional venture start up would now wish to pour billions of dollars into Nvidea's A-1 chips, when the same task result can be achieved at a fraction of the cost. The technical chart of Nvidia breakaway gap down today says it all. It is "thin air" down to 100.... " Seriously Poof" THE_ UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by The_Unwind
2
DeepSeek: Is the $2 trillion panic justified? A small Chinese AI startup, DeepSeek, is responsible for erasing $2 trillion from the US equity market, within 12 hours. Nvidia's stock is down ~17% at the time of writing, while shares of other US-based AI-related companies, including Oracle, Broadcom, and AMD, have fallen between 12% and 20%. Microsoft, a major investor in OpenAI, has also dropped more than 3%. However, Apple stock has gained, with the market seemingly dismissive of its Apple Intelligence product. DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large language model in December, reportedly developed in just two months for under $6 million. This news and its implications are only just filtering into mainstream market consciousness now following the release of DeepSeek's chatbot app. Investors are now questioning why US firms are spending hundreds of billions on Nvidia chips when a startup claims to achieve significant results at a fraction of the cost and raised concerns about the US losing its perceived dominance in the AI sector. However, industry figures, including Elon Musk and Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang, are scrambling to change the narrative though. Some suggest that DeepSeek likely has access to 50,000 NVIDIA Hopper GPUs—despite their claims of using just 10,000 A100 GPUs—due to U.S. export restrictions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BlackBull_Markets
1
Why I Believe NVIDIA (NVDA) Is Oversold and Ready to BounceI’ve been following NVIDIA (NVDA) closely, and while I’m aware of the recent negative news, I believe the market’s reaction has been completely overblown. To me, this pullback has pushed NVDA into oversold territory—not because of technical indicators like RSI (which I’m not relying on), but because the price is now sitting at a strong demand level that historically has seen solid buying interest. In my opinion, the market has overpriced the impact of the news. NVIDIA’s fundamentals remain strong, and I don’t see anything here that fundamentally changes the long-term story of the company. This feels more like a short-term overreaction that’s created an opportunity to get in at a discount.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MrTiga
NVIDIA: Crashed on the 1D MA200 after 2 years. Last stand.NVIDIA is approaching oversold valuations on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.351, MACD = -0.820, ADX = 27.301) following the DeepSeek news and breached its 1D MA200 for the first time in 2 years. It was January 13th 2023 when we last saw the price trading on this trendline. The 1W MA50 is just a click under and there is no other way to put it than this being NVDA's last hold. The stock is at -23% from its ATH and the pattern that has to hold in order to provide an immediate rebound is the Megaphone whose LL trendline we just hit today. As long as this holds and the 1D RSI starts reversing near the oversold level, NVIDIA should technically test the 153.00 Resistance in a month or so. Failure to hold this pattern and a weekly candle closing under the 1W MA50, may result in a bubble burst and test of the 101.50 and 91.50 support levels. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
3
Where to catch the falling knife?So it's dropped a fair bit since I started writing this post, but needless to say, it would be best to wait and see something technical before a reasonable buy on a pull back could be justified. Looking at the weekly time frame, I'd expect a bounce from about the 115 level, so any bounce could then be judged on its own merits, if it's technical and showing signs of resuming back to the upside, then better to buy on a pull back from there (similar to the GBP chart), in what would be a lower time frame wave 2, than when it could just as easily keep dropping.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by JCore7
3