SBUX a tale of two trendsSBUX appears to be in a repeating downtrend from Summer 2021 to Spring 2022. It would be ideal to utilize AI to predict how low SBUX will retrace. However, for the purpose of technical analysis (TA) and trend observation, I'm sharing indicators such as RSI, MACD, and AO, which suggest a high possibility of SBUX repeating the downtrend.
Over the next three months (June-September), SBUX is expected to move sideways between 96 and 106. Then, a significant drop would confirm the repetition of the downtrend, or a substantial surge could break 116, continuing the uptrend and setting a new high.
Here are the key observations:
On the weekly timeframe, RSI has remained below the mid-line since last month, indicating an expected continuation along the mid-line. Additionally, MACD's histogram bars are below the mid-line, further confirming the strength of the downtrend.
MACD is currently moving below the signal line, confirming the downtrend. Comparing previous uptrends on the price chart, which lasted 55 weeks, to the recent uptrend of 45 weeks, there is an approximate 10-week difference. Applying this 10-week gap to the length of the MACD histogram, which stayed below (or crossed) the signal line for 39 weeks in the past, the prediction for the repeating trend is approximately 28 weeks.
Similarly, looking at the Awesome Oscillator (AO), in the previous cycle, it took approximately 30 weeks for AO to cross below 0 and reach the lowest price. If the cycle is repeating, it is expected to take around 20 weeks to reach the lowest price.
Please note that these observations and predictions are based on technical indicators and historical patterns, and they may not guarantee future price movements. It's important to consider other factors and perform comprehensive analysis before making investment decisions.
