TSLA trade ideas
Never bet against Elon?Never betting against the man is a pretty solid strategy. Nevertheless, considering I am long shares I want to take this textbook trade to hedge (again).
This morning on my spike alerts list was $NASDAQ:TSLA. With an opening high of 354.56 which swiftly closed back inside the range a 30m spike was created. The ATR Clearance fits my criteria to consider this a valid spike to play.
Add to this the context of the Daily. NASDAQ:TSLA is riding the 50% of the big move down on the Daily at 351.39. The spike combined with the Resistance makes this a "have to take" trade.
Playing this with July 300P Options.
Tesla - There's more after the +60% rally!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - will blow even further:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is almost incredible to see such a large cap stock rally more than +60% in less than two months. But Tesla is clearly the exception and therefore we should expect the unexpected. What's quite likely is at least another rally of about 25% from here and a retest of the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla Faces Resistance, Conclusion: 1,206 New All-Time High?The Tesla stock, TSLA, is facing resistance right now; what to expect?
Expect additional growth but...
Good afternoon my fellow trader, Tesla will continue growing, mark my words.
Volume has been rising now since January 2024, that's a long time. Almost a year and a half with more and more action joining this stock and this is one of the most traded stocks in the whole world. Increasing volume is a very strong bullish signal.
The highest volume session came on the 7-April week and this week closed green. It produced the highest volume since February 2023.
Back in 2023, trading volume started to rise in January and this signaled the start of a long-term bullish trend, higher highs and higher lows. This trend is still valid today.
The bullish bias is confirmed. Let me show you.
» EMAs:
TSLA trades above all moving averages, short-term and long-term. Incl. SMA200 and EMA89/55.
» MACD bullish cross:
This is a very strong signal. Last week the MACD produced a bullish cross and is now coming out of the bearish zone. This is bullish for two reasons, the histogram turns green and there is plenty of room available for additional growth. In a way, this signal shows that the bullish wave is only starting now and that it will continue long-term. This MACD signal doesn't show up unless a bullish wave is coming. You can look back at the weekly MACD and confirms this for yourself. Each time the b-cross is in, this stock grows for months.
» RSI bullish zone (57.63):
To be honest, I don't like how the RSI is looking but we have the classic higher highs and higher lows pattern. The reading is bullish and shows plenty of room available for growth. It could be better though but still, leaning up and supporting more up.
» RENKO (weekly):
Clearly bullish. This confirms TSLA is in an uptrend now and will keep going higher.
» RENKO (daily):
In the daily RENKO chart the bullish bias/signal is even more pronounced, meaning, no room for doubts.
» To end this 'it is obvious Tesla will continue rising technical analysis', let's consider the monthly timeframe:
— We have a perfect rising channel.
— There is a rounded bottom (orange) which is a reversal signal.
— There is a hammer candlestick last month which is also a reversal signal.
— This month is full green which confirms both the hammer and rounded bottom as reversal signals.
All these signals are saying that the bullish trend will continue now.
Last month produced the highest volume since June 2023.
» Tesla (TSLA) is going up.
Namaste.
Tesla Stock Soars 60% in 4-Week Winning Streak. Should You Buy?With global trade tensions easing and the outlook clearing up a bit, especially with next month’s robotaxi launch, Tesla bulls are jumping right in to buy the dip and ride out a four-week rally. Is there more to that? Let’s find out.
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA just pulled off a move most gym bros would call “bulking season.”
The stock is up 60% over the past month. That’s not a typo — it’s a full-on, pedal-to-the-metal rally that’s left shorts scrambling and bulls fist-pumping like it’s 2020 again.
In just four weeks, Elon Musk’s EV maker ripped higher with the kind of velocity typically reserved for SpaceX rockets or Dogecoin bonanzas.
But now that we’re at cruising altitude (and even dipped a little bit again first thing on Monday), the obvious question floats in: Should you still be buying this? Or is this just another one of the speculative dopamine-driven dead-cat bounces?
Let’s plug in, charge up, and break it down.
💡 From Earnings Letdown to Elon Euphoria
The move started innocently enough — with bad earnings. The first-quarter report disappointed Wall Street — revenue came in light. Margins shrank. Deliveries were meh. (Mandatory “keep an eye on the earnings calendar ” remark!) Most companies would’ve been punished after such a showing.
But Tesla is not like most companies.
Instead of spiraling, shares soared 18% the week after the report — because, surprise, Tesla said it will stick to its promises. The company reiterated plans for a lower-priced EV (a Tesla for the masses), and doubled down on its robotaxi rollout, the Cybercab, slated to launch in Austin, Texas, this June.
Cue the retail stampede.
Investors didn’t see a company in trouble. They saw a growth story still in motion, with enough Muskian magic to keep hope (and valuations) alive. Tesla didn’t need to crush numbers — it just had to convince traders it hadn’t stalled out.
Mission accomplished.
🤙 Macro Tailwinds and China’s “Chill Pill”
Tesla didn’t rally in a vacuum (though that sounds like an Elon side project). The broader market has been in risk-on mode lately , helped by:
Easing China–US trade tensions , which is great news for Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory and its global supply chain.
A less hawkish Fed narrative against the backdrop of cooling inflation , making growth stocks slightly less allergic to rising rates.
Renewed optimism around AI and automation, both of which Tesla has front-row seats to.
Tesla benefits from all of these themes. It’s not just a car company — it’s a tangled web of EVs, robotics, self-driving tech, and Elon’s very public moonshots. When macro winds are favorable, Tesla catches more than its fair share of breeze.
📊 Technically Speaking: Breakouts and Burnouts
From a chart perspective, the move has been textbook FOMO.
Tesla sliced through its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages like butter. Volume popped. Momentum soared. And it finally reclaimed the $300-350 zone that acted like a gravitational sinkhole for months. In other words, Tesla is back above the $1 trillion valuation handle.
Is there a flipside, though? The chart’s showing signs of overextension. RSI is flirting with overbought territory. Momentum is hot — but not sustainable forever.
That doesn’t mean you short it. It just means don’t chase it like it’s a Black Friday deal on dual monitor setup.
🔎 Valuation? Let’s (Not) Talk About That
Oh right, valuation. That inconvenient little thing.
Tesla is still trading at eye-watering multiples. Forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio? North of 170. Tesla’s profits peaked in 2022 and have since been tumbling. But who cares — compared to traditional automakers, Tesla is operating on a completely different planet.
Analysts are eyeballing earnings per share for 2025 to land at $3.30. Even if markets were to slap a 50x forward P/E ratio, it would give Tesla a valuation of $165 a share and still be at a premium.
And to be fair, bulls will say that’s exactly the point. Tesla isn’t a car company. It’s an AI platform with a vision for the future. An energy business. A robotaxi empire-in-waiting. Maybe even a sentient Mars colony someday.
So… the price doesn’t have to make sense — if you buy the vision.
But if you’re looking for fundamentals, well, they’re still catching up.
🚗 The Robotaxi Wildcard
Let’s talk robotaxis.
Tesla’s robotaxi launch next month could be a game-changer — or a meme. If it works, and the Cybercab is a success, even in a limited beta, it will validate one of Elon’s long-promised, never-quite-delivered moonshots . It opens the door to software revenue, recurring cash flows, and the holy grail of auto tech: mobility-as-a-service.
If it flops? Well, it won’t be the first time. But this time, the market has already priced in success.
That’s risky.
🧐 Should You Be Buying?
No one ever went broke taking profits. And if you rode this 60% move, pat yourself on the back and consider trimming. It doesn’t make you a bad long-term investor. It makes you a responsible one.
If you missed it? Don’t FOMO in at the top (but also — who’s to say that’s the top?). Tesla’s chart has looked like this before — only to collapse in a pile of overhyped press releases and supply chain “hiccups.” But if you see a pullback or at least some consolidation? Great trades are about patience, not hot takes.
❤️ Bottom Line
Tesla’s four-week tear is impressive. It’s got narrative fuel, technical follow-through, and macro support. But that doesn’t mean it’s an all-you-can-eat rally buffet.
Tesla is still a volatile beast with sky-high expectations and a CEO who can tank the stock with a tweet or an Oval Office speech. It’s also a company that might reinvent urban transport next quarter.
So what’s the play? Are you ramping up your long bets on the volatile EV stock or you're more of a waiting-for-the-pullback trader? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Tesla - Don't get confused right here!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - is about to create the bullish reversal:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
2025 has been a rough year for Tesla so far. With a drop of about -50%, Tesla is clearly breaking the average retail trader. But the underlying trend is still quite bullish and if position strategy, risk execution and mindset control are all mastered, Tesla is a quite rewarding stock.
Levels to watch: $275, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Watching TSLA With a Strategic Lens – No FOMO, Just FactsTesla (TSLA) has surged over 53% in the past four weeks, largely driven by renewed investor optimism around its developments in artificial intelligence and robotics, along with Elon Musk's confirmed commitment to remain as CEO for the next five years. While the rally has been strong, there are key factors that require attention. Tesla’s sales in China are still down 24% compared to the same period last year, and competition continues to grow—most notably with the release of the Xiaomi YU7 electric SUV. At current levels, Tesla’s valuation is elevated, which increases pressure for the company to deliver strong earnings and growth. Technically, the stock is approaching key support levels around $289 and $271 (close to the 50-day moving average), while potential resistance may emerge near $430 and $489. I personally am not rushing into the trade; I’m watching for a proper technical setup, including a healthy pullback and strong volume confirmation. As always, I rely on my full 20-point entry checklist before taking any position. I trade with discipline, risk control, and full transparency.
Tesla is AI, Robotics company. Here is data for $6000 by 2032Hey, what's up, traders, investors and Elon Haters.
I know a $6000 will might sound controversial, and it will be hard to agree with Elon Haters. But before you put your hate on here, read the data. My goal is not to convince you or prove to you that you should invest. All these predictions can go wrong. Investing has happened many times in history, and big companies have gone bankrupt. Although many are calling this for Tesla. I don't think it's gonna happen.
📍Let's start with the fact that Tesla is not a Car company anymore, as many still value it this way.
If you look at their products and the revenue, it's broadly changing. In 2026, less than 50% income will be from the Auto business.
🧪Tesla represents a multifaceted technology powerhouse extending well beyond EVs. Its leadership in AI, Robotics and integrated hardware-software systems, alongside its unmatched margins. They are a long-term innovator in clean energy and autonomy.
🧪The business model integrates 4 colliding S-curves, which will revolutionise transportation safety and efficiency and transform industrial automation.
1) Electric Vehicles
2) Energy Storage Solutions
3) FSD / Robotaxi
4) Robotics - Humanoids
📍The first 2 in the list above are pretty much becoming the same as their Auto business and it will overextend in the next years.
📍Now let's add potential revenue from the Robotaxi. It will enormously overtake all of those
You might be wondering how? Or thinking about competitors. In fact, there is no competitor; every other company which is in this business need suppliers for servicing the cars. Tesla creates everything by itself autonomously. Their cost per mile will be the cheapest on the market in comparison with Waymo, Uber some calculations show that it can be even cheaper than driving your own car.
📍Now let's add potential revenue from Optimus.
You can see its multiple times bigger than everything. Humanoids are a 50 trillion dollar business. Why? The world is short of workers and declining birth rate. The world needs workers. The first use case for humanoids will be manufacturing, they are the best way to supplement all of that.
📍What if that doesn't play out?
All of this is still just predictions, and anything can happen. In the chart below, Cern Basher (find him on X) shows how the probability of potential business affects stock prices.
Watch the top lines. Autos, Energy, and Storage are playing out. But what if Tesla makes only 10% of the Robotaxi and Optimus, and completely fails in AI? What would be the stock price?
If Tesla completely fails in Robotaxi and Optimus and delivers only 10% of the projected stock price still can reach $3590. Which is still not bad, right?
📍But if everything plays out as projected, here is the potential revenue from Optimus.
📍Optimums will not only replace workers but also save a lot of costs for the companies
Elon Musk: This year, we will hopefully be able to make about $5000 in Optimus Robots. We are technically aiming for enough parts to make 10,000 to 12,000. But since it's a totally new product, everything is totally new, I'll say we're succeeding if we get to half of the 10,000.
Here is what it could mean for the stock price. Because I'm mainly a technical trader, not a fundamental and data expert, I like to use data from analysts and experts on Tesla.
Note: it's price projections, not predictions.
🎯 Cern Basher approx 7K by 2032
🎯 James - InvestAnswer - $6500 by 2032
🎯 When to buy?
First of all, you need to decide if you want to trade or if you are an investor. For a trade, there was a perfect technical setup at $200 which I posted around a month ago and was hated for that. Because many people are influenced by the media.
As an investor with a long-term horizon, you don't need to find a perfect entry or timing. You don't use leverage and have your long-term vision. I have been buying at $150, I bought at $450, and I bought big time again around $215, and I will buy on Monday at $350 and in future I will buy at $1000 again.
My strategy is to split profits from short-term trading into long-term investments - BTC and Tesla.
The Robotics, Autonomous Driving, and AI are disruptive technologies and S curves playing at the same time. The biggest revolution in human history is going on now. Tesla could potentially be part of it, and if all works as projected. Tesla will be bigger than the top 5 companies on the Nasdaq Combined.
David Perk
Looking for constructive discussions and opinions.
TSLA: Not recommended by me!Hello Traders,
TSLA Tesla fundamental score is not really good for me! My score is based on EPS data and EPS forecasts. there might be better stocks out there!
Regarding the technical aspects, White it reacted to the bottom of the channel median of the channel might be a small struggle. There is a strong possible resistance on the way up. I prefer to give a better/safer score after breaking this zone. Also, if we just consider technical analysis, any long options should have a SL, the possible rational SL is so far from the current price. in case of correction or breaking the zone, the possible SL could be very tighter.
Fundamental: Not recommended.
Technical: So-So.
Overall: I don't buy
TESLA Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The market is trading on 339.30 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 301.0
Recommended Stop Loss - 357.56
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA: Can it worth $4,000 a share buy end of 2026?Tesla is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.527, MACD = 22.160, ADX = 43.922, being on a bullish wave to recover the ATH. Since the 2019 low the prevailing long term pattern is a Channel Up and the recent Feb-March correction resembles COVID's in March 2020. If that's the case then the stock is on a powerful long term bullish wave that can reach the 4.5 Fibonacci extension before the 5.0 time Fib. This implies that TSLA price per share can be $4,000 by the end of 2026. Do you think that's realistic?
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Bullish pushTesla has been down over 50% for more than 3/4. It has more than enough time to accumulate capital for a $200 bullish run that equates 20 $500 point price. It’s just shaking people out who are indecisive about Tesla‘s bullish movement currently. But according to the chart, Tesla has two directions up today or up Tuesday. The track record states that on holidays or closed market dates the market goes down Monday is memorial day so the following day the market should be expected to go down at least early in the morning Tuesday will be the day to enter buys for the market to go back up and continuous its bullish movement.
BB + VWAP ChatGPT Strategy | With Trailing Stop LossThis strategy was generated with the help of ChatGPT. I used VWAP + Bollinger Bands for entry signals, then implemented a 10% trailing stop using Pine Script v5.
It performed well on TSLA and SPY in 4HR charts, and I’ve shared all code + visuals in this full write-up:
👉 eemanispace.com
Potential Head & Shoulder Forming On The WeeklyPotential Head & Shoulder Forming On The Weekly... Facing still resistance at the $350 area, and should retest support at $280 within the coming days/weeks. If 280 breaks, should retest $240 (the h&s neckline) and could crash to $100 if that doesn't hold.
Time to take profit/hedge imo
$TSLA The Magnificent PennyWelcome to a comprehensive analysis of the little Penny Stock that could..
NASDAQ:TSLA is at it again, ripping shorts and trapping longs. Business as usual.
NASDAQ:TSLA operates primarily from one chart being the Hourly. All signals giveth and all Signal taketh away from this chart.
At present we are seeing a distinctive weakness creeping into the hourly chart which is presently in a distribution pattern making lower lows on it's consolidation. The trend is just starting to turn bearish and as you can see from our dynamic support and resistance levels, our first stop after already retesting resistance is a fill of the box at 316.14
Once this box is broken we can expect to fill the lower gap at 291.85 being a weekly support target.
Finally if a run back to the 265.13 Monthly target would complete the Market Maker discount to grab stock and push it higher from here.
All things being equal, NASDAQ:TSLA is a great short in the mid-term with both CCI and MA angle breaking to the downside.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound on Musk’s CommentsTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound on Musk’s Comments
According to media reports, speaking via video link at the Qatar Economic Forum, Elon Musk stated that he plans to:
→ remain Tesla’s CEO for another five years;
→ reduce his focus on politics, saying he feels he has already done enough;
→ increase his stake in the company from 12.5% to 25%.
These comments, which came alongside news that Tesla will begin testing robotaxis in Texas in June, sparked renewed interest in Tesla (TSLA) shares. TSLA stock outperformed other MAG7 members, climbing above the $353 mark at yesterday’s peak — its highest level since late February 2025.
Just ten days ago, when the price was still below the psychological $300 level, we highlighted TSLA’s strength following its rebound from the $220 support area and suggested a bullish outlook. But is the picture still as optimistic today?
Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart
The chart shows that TSLA is trading within an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the price currently near the upper boundary — an area that often acts as resistance. Price action supports this: note the two large candlesticks with closes near their lows (indicated by arrows), suggesting strong bearish pressure.
This gives reason to believe that sellers may take advantage of the roughly 22% rise in the TSLA stock price to lock in profits — a potentially bearish signal. Traders should therefore consider a correction scenario in which the local support at point Q could be tested for resilience.
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Tesla (TSLA): Daily uptrend support and potential bull flagHey guys/gals,
Today, I am showing you the daily chart of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), which provides an idea of where this stock may be heading next.
As you can see, the support trendline from the 21st April low is still well intact. Currently, Tesla is holding this line very well and over the past few days, it's clear that it has also been in consolidation mode. Taking a deeper look, the consolidation period seems to be forming a potential bull flag pattern. Minus the upper wick which could be a price anomaly due to a fake-out, a real actual breakout from the bull flag in combination with a bounce from the support trendline could help Tesla reach $365 as the next resistance point.
On the contrary, and it does depend strongly on what the broader market does next (as Tesla is a high beta stock), its flag pattern may not play out and a break below the support line could send the stock all the way to first support at £325.
This wholly depends on the wider market. On my other posts, I've made it clear that S&P 500 AMEX:SPY is also forming a flag pattern, with many other indices following suit.
Note: Not financial advice.
LONG @ 345. LONG @ 333. SHORT @ 348. SHORT @ 352. SHORT @ 360. Yesterday 343 was a very important level for TSLA. Today's TSLA is trading in the same area.
IF THE STOCK PRICE FALLS AFTER OPENING -
The most volume done yesterday was at 345. So we expect the stock to rally from the 345 area and go higher (especially because good news is out). If the sellers keep stepping down into the 343 area. We will redact our order and continue to assess. The 343 level can be broken today too. Two things were confirmed in yesterday's move. 1. The sellers are quite strongly present in the 352-355 area. This can motivate the buyers to expect a lower price of 333. It is entirely possible that the buyers step in at 333 and not at 343. So, we need strong confirmation on the 343 level, otherwise we will not enter. We will enter at 333.
IF THE STOCK PRICE RISES AFTER OPENING -
If the stock opens strongly and blows past 348 area. We wait for strong confirmation at 355 - 360 area that the stock is going to fall and then we short. If the stock slows down at 348 area, then we can either take a short at 348 or wait for it try and inch higher where we short the stock at 350-352.
TESLA: A Good Trade for Bulls AND BearsTesla has an Elon problem aka a SENTIMENT problem
I am a 100% Technical Trader
I am an avid believer in Elliott Wave Theory and Socionomics
From those perspectives its clear to me that Tesla is in trouble...long term
Tesla went from essentially a meme like stock to a media and Institutional darling
The meteoric rise in the stock was largely because of belief in Elon..the person
Yes his companies have done some pretty amazing things..but if we are honest there are tons of failed promises in their past and now we are seeing competitors start to really make ground
This is showing up in vehicle pricing and units delivered..both trending down
The problem Tesla stock truly has though is that soooooo much of the company sentiment is tied into a belief in Elon- the person..versus the fundamentals of the company and their actual products (cmon we all know LIDAR is better smh)
As his popularity wains... so will Tesla
So with that said the charts are setup to provide opportunities for BOTH BULLS and BEARS over the next few years.
The chart show really clean places to take and hedge positions... but long term BULLS need to be keely aware of the "Trouble" line because if and when it breaks Tesla will be in serious trouble