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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA From Erection Come Correction UpdateSince my initial post, TSLA has lost usmuch as 24% of its total value. Do not expect new highs anytime anytime soon. At best it will flip-flop at these levels for a while. Again this is the best case scenario. Fundamentally TSLA is way overvalued. it is not even something anyone can debate rationally. Despite the horrible fundies, I did offer a buy signal early on for a nice 40% gain plus based on technicals and Euphoria. Chaart below.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by RealMacro
3
Tesla a buy opportunity?Tesla: An Opportunity? Despite mixed results in several of its quarterly reports, there are several catalysts that could indicate that the recent price pullback might be a buying opportunity. Revenue Growth: Tesla is expected to continue its revenue growth, driven by the expansion of its product portfolio and the adoption of its North American Charging Standard (NACS) by other automakers. Innovations and Launches: Tesla plans to launch several new models in 2025, including a more affordable vehicle with a base price of around $25,000. Challenges and Competition: Although Tesla remains a leader in the electric vehicle market, it faces increasing competition, especially from Chinese manufacturers. Financial Outlook: Despite some uneven financial results in recent quarters, analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. Revenue is expected to grow steadily, and gross margins are expected to stabilize as the company reduces costs. Impact of AI: Tesla is investing in artificial intelligence technologies, which could further drive its growth and solidify its market position. Bonus: Tesla is expected to launch its robotaxi service in Texas in June 2025 and the Optimus humanoids in 2026.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Lex_Investment
Tesla Battery Running Flat? Recharge Incoming at $300 Continuing from the previous Tesla breakdown, we can see price has respected the green zone, aligning with the previously called full-swing projection. As price approaches its high, it’s likely to face some retracement before the next significant move. Key Levels to Watch: - Point of Interest (POI): The Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $300 zone presents a high-probability area for price to recharge and gather momentum. - Next Upside Target: After the retracement, expect a push higher to retest the green zone and potentially make new highs. Tesla’s price action remains dynamic, with opportunities for both retracements and breakouts. Always ensure proper risk management when navigating these setups. Conclusion: Short-term: Retracement to the $300 FVG zone. Medium-term: Continuation upward targeting the green zone for new highs. DYOR!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by INSIDER_INTEL
2
Saying the quite things about TSLA out loud...This is my first chart art. Hope you all find humor in the awful situation that is TSLA. I do NOT see any situation where TSLA remains a Trillion Dollar market cap company for the next 4 years. Their cars are being sold used at historically higher volume, demand has gone down and their new model Y... WHY would someone buy that when the CEO and founder is sieg healing behind the podium the same day where the American Equivalent of the nuremberg laws are signed into law. Behind the insanely bearish optics, the fundamentals have always been overvalued. TSLA is not a tech company. It's a car company built off the top of liberal ideology. It's founder is in an "open loop" or more accurately a "broke loop". He has chosen to support policy that harms his stock, such as removing the EV credit that has contributed to their profitability. Worse still, the acquisition of Twitter, using TSLA as collateral will inevitably result in a defaulted loan. Compounding still, further, he is borrowing money from new investors to fund xAI, which has no real value compared to OpenAI and is, itself being used to pay back the defaulting loans backed by TSLA. This is a literal PONZI scheme, ran by someone who has put the entire fate of his company in the hands of a convicted fraudster with 7 bankruptcies under their belt. It is a literal, red nazi flag. Nothing NEO about it...
NASDAQ:TSLA
by livingdracula
How to Avoid Whipsaw price action at market openFutures are only reliable for how the US Stock Market will open. With the modern market structure whipsaw action after the market opens can cause huge losses or disappointing profits for retail day or swing traders. You will learn how volume oscillators can warn of a whipsaw or reversal day. Void of buyers is a crucial aspect of whipsaw to down trending stocks price action. Be aware of the End of Day Professionals only Auction and study end of day 1-3 minute data. Large lot pre market open trading begins about 3-4 hours before the US market opens. This is also crucial information. IF the pros are selling million share orders or setting up a sell short several million lot order, this will shift the sentiment to the downside even when there is a strong buy entry signal.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
4
Tesla Stock Rattled as Insiders Dump Shares. What’s Going On?EV maker’s sales in Europe have made a sharp U-turn this year with some regions selling half the volumes from a year ago. Is Musk’s political ambition causing car buyers to look elsewhere for electric wheels? Tesla stock TSLA is off to a bumpy start of the year with 10% shaved off its market valuation since the first trading bell of 2025. It’s all likely tied to Elon Musk’s shifting focus from his electric-car giant and into US politics (and, some would say, beyond that and into European affairs). To make matters worse, key insiders and directors dumped tons of shares this month, cashing out cold hard dollars. Elon Musk’s brother, Kimbal Musk, who’s a Tesla board member, together with two other key figures, Robyn Denholm and chief financial officer Vaibhav Taneja, sold roughly 200,000 shares. Kimbal Musk offloaded 75,000 shares worth $27.6 million on February 6. Before that, on February 3, Denholm sold 112,390 shares worth more than $43 million. On the same day, Taneja parted ways with 7,000 shares worth $2.8 million. The share sale is happening at a time when it’s getting increasingly difficult for Tesla to keep its brand equity out of Elon Musk’s public image. In January, Musk was making headline after headline on the politics pages of big media outlets. His efforts to reshape the White House administration spilled over into interfering with UK politics (where he attacked UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer over his alleged involvement with “mass rapes in exchange for votes” ). The Tesla CEO also hosted a discussion on X with Germany’s far-right candidate Alice Weidel. It happened about a month before Germany’s federal election on February 23. The live event pulled in roughly 100,000 streamers and sparked a debate over whether it was right to give a free platform to a far-right political party of a foreign country. There’s also Musk’s gesture likened to a Nazi salute he pulled off at Trump’s inauguration — that one really turned heads globally. Enough politics, let’s dive into the numbers. Tesla sales were shockingly bad in January. All around Europe, car buyers opted for cheaper Chinese alternatives in a sea of looming competition in the auto industry . In the UK, sales dipped about 8% from last year’s January. Chinese EV maker BYD BYD saw a massive jump by 550% to 1,614 cars sold. In Germany, sales of Tesla vehicles dropped 60%, while BYD sales rose 69%. France logged a 63% decline in sales of Tesla while Spain saw the steepest drop of 75%. Norway registered a 38% drop in Tesla sales while Tesla’s market in Sweden shrunk 44%. In China, where Tesla commands a towering presence, sales were down 11.5% in the first month of 2025. Moving outside Europe and across the Atlantic — California marked a decline in Tesla sales to the tune of 11.6%. It was the only carmaker with tumbling sales in the state. "All of the decrease in the state market last year was attributable to Tesla, which had an 11.6 percent decline," the California New Car Dealers Association said. "Registrations for all other brands increased 1.4 percent." By the looks of it, Tesla isn’t in a good place fundamentally and shares are down 28% from their record high in December. It’s also coming from a pretty battering fourth quarter where profits plunged 71% while sales barely made it above the flatline with a 2% growth year over year. Do you believe Tesla’s fortunes are tied to Elon Musk’s ventures into politics? And if you had to choose, are you long or short Tesla? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
72
Tesla ($TSLA) Elliott Wave Analysis – Expanded Flat to $70Expanded Flat Pattern Wave A (2022 Crash) • Tesla dropped from ~$415 to ~$100, forming a three-wave (ABC) decline. • This marked the first phase of the Expanded Flat. Wave B (2023-2024 Rally) • Tesla rebounded strongly to ~$360-$400, retracing about 61.8% of Wave A. • Then overshoot beyond Wave A’s starting level confirms an Expanded Flat structure. Wave C (2024-2026 Expected) – $70 Target • Now unfolding as a five-wave impulse down. • Target zone: Primary $70 (0.618 Fib retracement) Short-Term Bearish Outlook – Wave C Down to $70 • Tesla is in Wave C, meaning more downside is ahead. • Breaking below $150 will confirm a deep drop to $70 • The final phase of selling will likely coincide with macro weakness (recession etc.). Long-Term Bullish Setup • Once Wave C completes at $70, Tesla should start a new impulse wave. • Target for next bull run: $800+. • Best strategy: Accumulate Tesla below $100 for long-term gains.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Anakyn
TESLA: Why do shares keep falling? TRUMP!! Concerns about overseas sales and tariffs add to the company's disappointing fourth-quarter results reported last Wednesday. Tesla reported earnings of 73 cents per share, below analysts' expectations of 76 cents, and revenue of $25.71 billion versus the $27.26 billion expected. Revenue fell 8% compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, the looming application of tariffs on China and Canada (Mexico has a one-month extension) is spooking investors. In a recent earnings call with analysts, Musk acknowledged that while Tesla has tried to localize its supply chain, it still relies heavily on parts from around the world for all of its operations. “Therefore, the imposition of tariffs, which is very likely, will have an impact on our business and profitability,” he stated. Canada is a key supplier of auto parts, as is China. And Canadian officials are specifically focusing some of their discontent with Trump's tariffs on Musk. On Monday, Premier Doug Ford announced that Ontario would cancel a $100 million contract with Starlink, which is part of Musk's company SpaceX. In other words, MUSK is one of the TARGETS that ARE going to be punished FOR THE US TARGETS. ----------------------------------------------------------- --> How far could the price fall? At the moment the technical aspect is bullish (Bull) in the medium-long term, but in the short term it is bearish (Bear), so WE HAVE TO WAIT to enter long. Today it has reached the first important support zone, we are talking about the 350.63 zone, which also coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 50%. If the zone respects it and the MOMENTUM and STRENGTH in H4 turn bullish (Bull), it will be a good time to enter long positions in TESLA again. --> KEY SUPPORTS 1) 350.63 (Key support in Daily time frame) 2) 355 (50% Fibonacci) 3) 314 (Key support in Weekly time frame) 4) 300 (61.8% Fibonacci) ------------------------------------------------------------ --> When the chart gives us the first bullish warning (Bull) in time frame, I will publish a new analysis indicating the entry SET UP.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by jmesado
24/12/13 Tesla 427 USD - volcano erupted Tesla actually as an high flyer. Since end of october, the value has been doubled. Are there any fundamental reasons, to substantiate such a move? 100% for sure not. Why? Musk will launch next year another cheaper car. This may help to keep the piece of the market, but not to increase very higher sales in total. 2024 tesla sold end of Q3 not more cars than in 2023. last quarter .- we will see. But chinese Market is blocked by there own. See, in what a velocity china creates new companies in EV. They do it in the same way how they did it with PV Moduls. Musk also will push the robotaxi. But he has neither a requires functionality nor a permission for such vehicles. And dont forget, amazon and google have already such cars driving. Google with her daughter with 50000 bookings per week, which will generate a lot of datas, Tesla does not have. And lot of important Tesla people in this technology leaved the company this year. But overall: the US taxi market revenue per year is roundabout 22 B USD. Maybe 10% net earnings. Even with driverless vehicles the net earings are 30%, maximal net earnings for Tesla will be in 3-4 years maybe 70 Million USD, 10 years maybe 800 Million USD (USA, europe). Discount it with 4% and you will see … If this robotaxi are good enough, not to buy an own car… we will see. Every man liked his own car. And if not, this business model will cannibalize the own business. So - Tesla is fundamental overrated. Technical side see chart. Maybe actually prices are driven by short covering (remember Volkswagen and Mr. Merckly was driven in suicide). So, prices now on upper bollinger boundary. Prices extrem above SMA 40 Weeks, which was a sign for sharp correction. And - I guess, some Short Sellers are coming onto to the floor. But - richest man in the world is naturally at any time aible, to buy for private, for several billions. That means: Hedge funds as short sellers must have min. 10-20 B USD to fight or covered. Dan 13.12.24
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Flyerdan
2
TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX InsightsMarket Overview Tesla's price action suggests a continuous downtrend within a descending channel on the hourly chart. The volume profile aligns with bearish momentum, as sellers maintain control near key support levels. The GEX (Gamma Exposure) insights provide critical levels for options-based decision-making. Technical Analysis 1. Trend Analysis: * TSLA is respecting the descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. * The price has approached the lower bounds of the channel, currently near $357. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $357 (strong put wall and local price defense). * Secondary Support: $350 (critical psychological level, reinforced by put OI). * Resistance Levels: * $373 (minor resistance within the channel). * $380 (key rejection point based on call resistance and HVL zone). 3. Indicators: * MACD: Momentum is bearish, with the MACD line below the signal line, and no signs of reversal yet. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold conditions suggest a potential bounce but lack confirmation. * Volume: Decreasing on the downtrend, indicating a potential lack of conviction by sellers. 4. Price Action Insights: * Consolidation near the lower trendline may indicate either accumulation or further bearish continuation. * A breach below $357 could accelerate selling pressure toward $350. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis 1. Critical GEX Levels: * Call Walls: * $400: Strong resistance with 71.6% call-based gamma. * $420-$450: Long-term bullish targets if a reversal materializes. * Put Walls: * $361-$350: Highest negative GEX zone; pivotal support for short-term price movement. 2. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 31.2, indicating moderate volatility. * IVx (Implied Volatility): 68.5% average. * Call/Put Dollar Ratio: 49.1% skewed slightly toward call interest. 3. Implications: * Strong put gamma at $350-$357 aligns with critical support, suggesting a high likelihood of defensive action by market makers at these levels. * A significant close above $373 could trigger unwinding of short positions, leading to a gamma squeeze toward $380. Trade Setups 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $373. * Target: $380, $400. * Stop Loss: Below $370. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $357. * Target: $350, $340. * Stop Loss: Above $360. Conclusion Tesla is at a decisive point near $357. While oversold indicators hint at a possible bounce, the prevailing bearish trend and GEX positioning suggest caution. Traders should monitor breaks of $357 for bearish continuation or $373 for bullish momentum. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights