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TLSA Catalyst Ranking and Market Update: June 2025Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments 🔋 1. EV Demand Growth Strength: 9/10 → 9/10 Global electric vehicle adoption remains the dominant pillar. Tesla faces softer comp in Europe (–40.5% drop in May) wsj.com, but overall trend remains firmly upward. 🌍 🚗 2. Affordable Entry Level Model Strength: 8.5/10 → 8.5/10 Tesla still on track to launch a < $25K EV in first half of 2025. Any delays or execution issues could pressure sentiment. ⚡ 3. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement Strength: 8/10 → 8/10 Margins saw slight relief Q1, driven by cost cuts f, but macro headwinds persist. 🤖 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Rollout Strength: 7.5/10 → 8.5/10 Robotaxi debuted in Austin in June, sparking a ~10% one-day stock surge. Benchmark raised its target to $475/buy on the rollout—strong tailwind. 🚩 5. Competition Strength: 7/10 → 6.5/10 Rivals like Xiaomi’s new YU7 are gaining ground. Tesla must maintain differentiation. 📉 6. Trade Policies & Tariffs Strength: 6.5/10 → 6.5/10 Still relevant due to Tesla’s global footprint, though less front-page than before. 💰 7. Incentives & Subsidies Strength: 6/10 → 6/10 U.S. IRA tax credit policies remain supportive; evolving eligibility remains a swing factor. 🛢️ 8. Commodity Costs Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10 Raw-material swings affect margins. Inventory hedges help but not wholly mitigate. 📈 9. Fed & Interest Rates Strength: 5/10 → 5/10 A higher-rate environment still limits valuation multiples for growth-tier companies. 🎭 10. Musk Profile & Governance Strength: 4/10 → 5/10 Analysts (e.g., Bradley Tusk) warn of being “massively overvalued” tied to Musk’s persona. Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla vs. other ventures (DOGE, SpaceX) will be watched. ________________________________________ 🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings Rank Driver Score 1 EV demand growth 9 2 Affordable model 8.5 3 Battery costs/margins 8 4 Autonomy/robotaxi execution 8.5 5 Competition 6.5 6 Trade & tariffs 6.5 7 Regulatory incentives 6 8 Commodities 5.5 9 Fed Rates 5 10 Musk reputation/governance 5 ________________________________________ 📊 Latest Analyst Ratings & Targets • Benchmark / Mickey Legg: Buy, target $475 (from $350) — cites robotaxi safety-first rollout, automation upside • Wedbush / Dan Ives: Outperform, target $500 — labels TSLA as an “embodied AI compounder” • Morgan Stanley / Adam Jonas: Buy, target $410 — bullish on AI/self driving positioning • Cantor Fitzgerald / Andres Sheppard: Overweight, target $355 — optimism rooted in robotaxi and FSD rollout • UBS / multiple: Sell, target $215–225 — skeptical on demand and valuations Consensus snapshot (FactSet): • Mean price target ≈ $311–$312 • Mean rating between Hold–Buy (~2.7/5) ________________________________________ 🗞️ Recent Headlines • “Tesla completes first fully autonomous Model Y delivery ahead of schedule” • “Tesla robotaxis launch in Austin” boosting momentum • “EU Tesla sales slump” May registrations down 40.5% • “Tesla fires longtime insider as Europe slump deepens” ________________________________________ 🔍 Summary Outlook Tesla shares are navigating a volatile interplay of strong tech promise and unfolding execution risks: • Overweight view (Legg, Ives): Robotaxi rollout and AI thrust fuel upside. Automation transition seen as transformative. • Bullish base (Jonas, Sheppard): AI, FSD rollout, affordable model support core thesis. • Skeptical view (UBS, Tusk): Slumping deliveries in Europe/China, heavy valuation, Musk's external focus seen as emotional dampener. Upcoming triggers to watch: 1. Q2 delivery and production results (mid July). 2. Robotaxi rollout execution/regulatory clearance. 3. Margin trajectory as costs evolve. 4. FSD reliability and expansion in new markets. ________________________________________ ✅ What This Means for You • Bull case: Robotaxi + AI momentum may drive TSLA back toward targets in the $475–500 range. • Bear case: Weak deliveries, macro and competition pressures could cap shares or trigger pullback toward prior support ($330–350). • Neutral: Watch near-term delivery and autonomy news to shape next move.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
38
Tesla Bullish Breakout Setup: Entry at $295.54 Targeting $488.87Entry Point (Buy Zone): Around $295.54 Stop Loss: Between $272.94 – $295.54 (lower purple support zone) Target (TP): $488.87 Current Price: $315.33 (as of the latest candle) 📈 Strategy Summary: Setup Type: Long (Buy) Risk-Reward Setup: Reward: ~$193.33 per share (from $295.54 to $488.87) Risk: ~$22.60 per share (from $295.54 to $272.94) Reward:Risk Ratio ≈ 8.6:1 — a high potential payoff if the trade works out. 📊 Technical Context: Support Zone: Price recently bounced off the support region (marked in purple). Moving Averages: Red Line (Short-Term MA): Price just crossed back above. Blue Line (Long-Term MA): Price reclaimed this level — bullish signal. Price Action: After a corrective phase, a possible reversal is forming at support, confirming bullish interest. ✅ Bullish Signals: Bounce from support zone with a strong bullish candle. Price closing above the 200-day MA (bullish trend resumption). High reward-to-risk trade setup with clear stop loss. ⚠️ Considerations: Confirmation with volume or a second bullish candle would add confidence. Watch for earnings or macro events that could disrupt the trend. Tight stop is essential to avoid drawdowns if the setup fails. 🔚 Conclusion This is a well-structured long setup with a high potential reward. If price maintains above the entry zone and breaks recent highs, a push toward the $488.87 target is plausible.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
21
Big Bounce or Breakdown? Tesla at the edgeTesla is at crossroads right now, where the next move will define its near-term trajectory. After an extended correction phase, TSLA is reaching a key zone around the $300 level, one that held price well during recent pullbacks. Although recent tax news caused a decline in the price, belief in Tesla’s longer-term trajectory remains strong among many investors. At the same time, many investors are carefully monitoring the support near $215 to $230, another important zone. This level has acted as a reliable level during past pullbacks, as it suggests the stock has a solid base, despite short-term ups and downs. For these investors, maintaining their positions through consolidation is a test of patience and belief in Tesla’s longer-term trajectory. If Tesla breaks below the $230 support zone, some investors may view this as an opportunity to take advantage once again. Given the current setup, it’s best to be cautious and wait for confirmation before looking to get involved.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TrendDiva
9
MUSK on TRUMP's Bill | "outrageous, disgusting abomination"Elon Musk’s sided against the latest Trump-backed tax-and-spending package, in a plot twist between the recent partners turned enemies. Musk called the legislation a “massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill” and a “disgusting abomination,” publicly shaming senators and representatives who backed it. With such a strong opinion against it one may wonder, is this going to negatively affect Tesla? Together with this strong reaction, the price has already been trading lower for the past few days. The administration has defended it as the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” insisting it will stimulate growth, even though Elon Musk warned the bill would swell the U.S. budget deficit by roughly $2.3–2.5 trillion over the next decade, calling the added debt “crushingly unsustainable”. When I first read this, it made me think of Tesla's long generated “green credits”, which in 2024 alone, brought in roughly $2.76 billion. “green credits” (officially, zero-emission or regulatory credits) work by building more clean vehicles than required and selling the excess allowances to other automakers that need them to comply with emissions mandates. Now I'm no expert on US policy, and so I roped in GPT to help me explain how this new bill implicates TESLA's profit: Under the Senate’s “big, beautiful” tax-and-spending bill, Tesla’s regulatory-credit business faces two assaults: ❗ Repeal of CAFE- and ZEV-mandates The bill would eliminate penalties for automakers missing Corporate Average Fuel Economy targets and roll back zero-emission vehicle mandates that currently force legacy manufacturers to buy credits if they fall short. Remove those penalties and mandates, and there’s no structural need for credits—undercutting the very market that funds Tesla’s $2–3 billion-a-year credit-sales business ❗ End of consumer EV tax incentives By phasing out the $7,500 new-EV credit (and the $4,000 used-EV credit) within months of enactment, the bill dampens U.S. EV demand overall. A smaller EV market means fewer opportunities for Tesla to leverage fleet-wide ZEV regulations against higher-emitting rivals—further squeezing credit prices and volume Bottom line: Without CAFE/ZEV obligations and with EV purchase subsidies gone, Tesla’s “green-credit” line—a major profit driver in recent quarters—would likely collapse, removing a key buffer against manufacturing and pricing pressures. This could be the beginning of a bear market for Tesla lasting throughout the rest of the Trump administration. ________________________ NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Crypto-Check-
12
TESLA I Its not only EV Cars. Elon Musk predicting 1000% growthThis is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions. Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company. 📍 Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments. 💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology. 📍 What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions: 📍 Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation. 📍 Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs. 📍 Charging Infrastructure : Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs. Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops. 📍 Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation. 📍 Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets. This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications. The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal. 🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits. I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by David_Perk
214
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry. At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout. I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward. Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by afurs1
1
6/25/25 - $tsla - Buying all dips going fwd6/25/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA Buying all dips going fwd - "successful robotaxi or not successful robotaxi" - elon's clearly won the vision game - scaling hardware (cars, infra, optimus, solar) is m-o-a-t - so is a humanoid and robotaxi robotics company that doesn't burn cash worth a trilly in today's world if the upside is perhaps 5-10 tn in the coming decade (worst case) and your downside here is what? 30... 40... 50%? Is it more? unlikely. - so "yes" we remain entering consumer recessy. yes "tsla" shares r not cheap. and that's for a reason. - buy scarce paper. - buying all dips here. - i like the dec '27 deep ITM leaps. allows me to wrangle size with a bit more flexibility in the coming months. - but this rocketship has yet to make any meaningful moves. - $1,000/shr is the 2Y tgt. V
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VROCKSTAR
3
Could TSLA rebound after a weaker decrease than expected deliverTesla Q2 2025 Delivery fell, but could it rebound in 2H? Key Figures Q2 2025 Deliveries: 384,122 vehicles Year-over-Year Change: Down approximately 13–14% from Q2 2024 Wall Street Expectations: Around 385,000–387,000 vehicles Production vs. Deliveries: 410,244 vehicles produced, indicating a build-up in inventory Fundamental analyst Sales Decline: This marks the second consecutive quarter of declining deliveries for Tesla, reflecting intensifying competition, especially from Chinese EV makers like BYD and legacy automakers such as General Motors, who have gained significant market share. Aging Product Line: Tesla’s current lineup is considered to be aging, with no major new models launched recently, while competitors continue to introduce fresh, competitively priced vehicles. Brand and Leadership Impact: Tesla’s brand image and CEO Elon Musk’s public controversies and political activity have contributed to softer demand in some markets. Inventory Build-Up: Production exceeded deliveries by about 26,000 vehicles, suggesting demand-side challenges rather than supply constraints. Stock Market Reaction: Despite the delivery decline, Tesla’s stock price rose by about 4–5% after the report, as actual results were better than the most pessimistic forecasts (340,000–360,000 deliveries). The markets are expecting the decreasing trend to be slower. Techincal Analyst TSLA has rebounded strongly from its 2023 lows, forming a clear upward channel since late 2024. The stock is currently trading near the lower end of this ascending channel, indicating a key support area. If TSLA sustains above the $300–$310 zone, the uptrend could resume, targeting $350 and potentially $400. A breakdown below $300 could trigger further declines toward $275 or lower, especially if accompanied by high volume. TSLA is at a technically important level. Holding above $300–$310 keeps the bullish channel alive, while a break below could signal a deeper correction. For the next directional move, watch for volume spikes and price action near these key levels. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Analyst from Exness
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by WiseLeoTrading
1
Tesla (TSLA) -Bullish Reaccumulation Setup | Smart Money conceptTesla shows a clean CHoCH followed by BOS structure, indicating a potential bullish continuation. The market is forming equal lows into a demand zone (green box), suggesting a possible liquidity sweep before a move higher. Key Technical Points: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed on strong bullish impulse. BOS (Break of Structure) signals market intent to continue upward. Ascending triangle structure with multiple support tests (marked "S"). Anticipated sweep into demand zone: $308–$312 area. Potential upside target: $365–$375 supply zone. Bias: Bullish on confirmation of demand reaction. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before investing.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Ttrade-With-Logic
7
Direct Access Trading SystemsDirect Access Trading Systems Direct access trading systems (DATS) offer traders a direct line to financial markets. By bypassing traditional brokerage routes, DATS enable swift, precise trading, essential for strategies reliant on speed and accuracy. This FXOpen article delves into the workings, benefits, and considerations of DATS, providing valuable insights for both seasoned and aspiring traders navigating the fast-paced world of modern trading. Understanding Direct Access Trading Systems Direct access trading systems (DATS) revolutionise how traders interact with financial markets, typically in the realm of stock trading. Unlike traditional brokerage platforms, these systems offer direct market access trading, a method allowing traders to place orders directly into the market's electronic order book. Such immediate access is crucial for those who require precision and speed in their trading decisions. Traditionally, orders placed through brokers are processed internally before reaching the market, potentially causing delays. However, brokers with direct market access provide a conduit for traders to bypass these intermediate steps. These systems typically appeal to day traders and other short-term investors who value the ability to respond swiftly to market movements. Usually, direct access brokers list Level 2 quotes, where bid and ask prices alongside order sizes are given for the asset, providing an additional layer of valuable information. By offering a more direct link to financial markets, these systems may provide an enhanced trading experience that aligns with the needs of active traders. Selecting the best direct access broker for day trading involves considering several key factors. Traders look for platforms that offer high reliability and uptime, as any downtime can significantly impact outcomes. Speed of order execution is crucial in capturing market opportunities. Additionally, traders assess the fee and commission structure to ensure it aligns with their trading volume and strategy. How Direct Access Trading Systems Work DATS offer a sophisticated network that connects traders directly to financial markets. These systems use specialised software platforms, helping traders make efficient and swift operations: - Order Entry: Traders use the DATS platform to enter their orders. These platforms are equipped with various order types, such as market, limit, or stop orders, giving traders flexibility in how they execute trades. - Order Routing: After order placement, DATS route these orders directly to the market instead of through a broker. The process often involves Electronic Communication Networks (ECNs), which play a critical role. ECNs are automated systems that match buy and sell orders for assets, eliminating the need for intermediaries like traditional stock exchanges. They also provide a venue for trading outside traditional hours, offering greater liquidity and potential efficiency. - Execution: Orders are executed via these ECNs or other market venues. The rapid execution capability is a defining feature of DATS, enabling traders to capitalise on fleeting market opportunities. - Feedback and Reporting: Following execution, the system promptly provides feedback. Traders receive immediate trade confirmations, including execution price and time, essential in maintaining transparency and control over trading activities. Through this streamlined process, DATS offer a high-efficiency trading environment. Such a setup is particularly advantageous for strategies that require quick decision-making and execution, such as day trading or scalping. Advantages of Direct Access Trading Systems DATS offer several compelling advantages over traditional brokerage platforms, particularly for those who engage in frequent trading. These benefits cater to the needs of active traders seeking efficiency and control in their strategies. - Speed of Execution: DATS enable traders to execute orders almost instantaneously. Rapid processing is crucial in fast-paced markets where prices can fluctuate within seconds. - Enhanced Control: Traders have greater control over their orders, including the timing, price, and order type. This level of control is especially crucial in volatile market conditions. - Access to Real-Time Market Data: DATS provide real-time data, allowing traders to make informed decisions based on the latest market movements. - Lower Transaction Costs: By eliminating the middleman, DATS often result in lower transaction costs, a significant advantage for high-volume traders. - Customisation and Flexibility: Many direct access trading platforms come with advanced charting and analysis tools. These tools can be customised to fit individual strategies and preferences. - Direct Market Interaction: Traders can interact directly with market liquidity providers, potentially leading to better pricing and execution quality. Risks and Considerations While these systems offer several advantages, they also come with inherent risks and considerations: - Increased Complexity: DATS are typically more complex than traditional brokerage platforms. They require a sophisticated understanding of market dynamics and trading strategies, making them better suited for experienced traders. The complexity also extends to the technological infrastructure needed to use these systems, which may involve higher setup and maintenance costs​​. - Higher Costs: Using DATS may be more expensive than traditional online brokers. The costs go beyond technology requirements; for example, the price of direct access trading systems and the commissions for trades can be higher. This aspect makes it vital for traders to evaluate the cost-benefit ratio of using DATS compared to other trading methods​​. - Stricter Trading Rules: Direct market access often comes with more stringent rules. This could include tighter regulations around repeat dealing, deal rejections if trading outside normal market sizes, and potential penalty fees for inactive accounts​​. The Bottom Line In summary, direct access trading systems may enhance efficiency, offering speed, control, and direct market insights. However, they require a careful approach due to their complexity and cost. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap! UPDATE 1This is an updated chart, as I keep being prompted to reach "My Target" by TV. No matter how bad things get for Elona and TSLA, there are always people who are willing to pile in and buy at any price. The problem is the chart is showing lower highs, as TSLA no longer attracts the people needed to boost price, just like TSLA the brand. As a result, people keep getting honey ticked. Don't Get HONEY TICKED! As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature! Click Boost, Follow, subscribe, and let's reach 5,000 followers. ;)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by RealMacro
1
Musk-Trump Feud Sends Tesla (TSLA) Shares DownRenewed Feud Between Musk and Trump Drags Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Lower The US Senate yesterday narrowly approved Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful budget bill.” Elon Musk, who had previously criticised the bill for potentially adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt, warned that Republican lawmakers who supported it would face political consequences. In a post on X, Musk wrote: “Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth.” He also reiterated his intention to establish a third political force under the name “America Party.” In response, President Trump issued sharp threats: → to apply federal pressure on Musk’s companies by revisiting existing subsidies and government contracts (estimated by The Washington Post at $38 billion); → to deport Musk back to South Africa. The market responded immediately to this renewed escalation in the Trump–Musk conflict. Tesla (TSLA) shares fell by over 5% yesterday, forming a significant bearish gap. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart Eight days ago, we analysed the TSLA price chart, continuing to observe price action within the context of an ascending channel (indicated in blue). At that point: → In mid-June, when the initial Musk–Trump tensions surfaced, TSLA managed to hold within the channel. However, as of yesterday, the price broke below the lower boundary, casting doubt on the sustainability of the uptrend that had been in place since March–April; → The price breached the lower channel limit near the $315 level — a zone that previously acted as support. This suggests that $315 may now serve as a resistance level. As a result, optimism related to the late-June launch of Tesla’s robotaxi initiative has been eclipsed by concerns that the Musk–Trump confrontation may have broader implications. If the former allies refrain from further escalation, TSLA may consolidate into a broadening contracting triangle (its upper boundary marked in red) in the near term, ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings release scheduled for 29 July. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
Tesla Rolls Out Much-Awaited Robotaxis. Buy or Sell the Stock?They’re here. After years of tweets, teasers, and timelines that aged like unrefrigerated dairy, Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA officially launched its long-awaited robotaxi service in Austin, Texas. The self-driving revolution, we were told, would arrive like a lightning bolt. Instead, it quietly rolled up to the curb with a safety monitor riding shotgun. On Sunday, ( as promised ) a small, highly curated fleet of Teslas — fully driverless, but not entirely unsupervised — began picking up paying passengers in an isolated section of Austin. CEO Elon Musk, as usual, led the cheer squad, declaring victory on X. “Super congratulations to the Tesla AI software and chip design teams on a successful robotaxi launch!! Both the AI chip and software teams were built from scratch within Tesla.” Investors, naturally, perked up. Tesla shares edged higher by more than 5% Monday morning as Wall Street tried to figure out whether this was the long-awaited catalyst for another rally… or just another “sell-the-news” moment that fizzles as quickly as the hype fades. 🔔 The Soft Launch Heard Around The Internet Let’s not get carried away. This wasn’t a citywide revolution. Tesla’s launch was extremely limited — more of a PR exercise than a true market rollout. Only a handful of Teslas were involved, operating in a tightly controlled, geofenced area. The riders? Carefully selected influencers, many of whom were more excited to film TikToks than analyze technical driving capability. In other words, this wasn’t exactly New York City rush-hour stress testing. The rides cost a flat fee of $4.20, because, of course they did. And while the cars drove themselves, safety monitors sat in the front passenger seats — a very human reminder that the project is still very much in beta mode. The bigger question for investors: Does this prove Tesla’s technology is ready for prime time? Or is it simply an appetizer served years before the main course? 📈 The Market Reaction: Buy the Rumor, Sell the Launch? Here’s where things get tricky for traders. The stock market, as always, is forward-looking. Tesla stock didn’t just wake up bullish on Monday because of a few rides in Austin — it’s been rallying for months because of the promise of robotaxis. Since Tesla’s big October 10 robotaxi event — where Musk laid out plans to launch a self-driving cab service in 2025 — shares have climbed roughly 35%. Much of that gain is already baked into expectations for Tesla finally delivering on what Musk has been promising since at least 2016. Now that the product is technically “live,” even in tiny demo form, some traders are wondering: is this the start of an even bigger rally? The answer probably depends on how fast Tesla can scale. And that’s where reality gets stickier. 🤔 The Scaling Problem: A Long Road Ahead As exciting as Sunday’s launch may have been for influencers and Tesla superfans, it’s not exactly proof of scalability. Deploying 10 carefully monitored cars in a tiny slice of Austin is one thing; blanketing entire metro areas, or states, or countries is another beast entirely. Tesla’s AI software may be improving, and its in-house chip design gives it some vertical integration advantages. But scaling fully autonomous fleets will require navigating a minefield of regulatory, safety, and logistical challenges — not to mention stiff competition. Alphabet’s Waymo is already operating robotaxi services in Phoenix, San Francisco, and Los Angeles, with years of public road testing under its belt. Cruise (General Motors) ran its own driverless service before recently pausing operations after high-profile safety incidents. The technology arms race is fierce — and far from settled. Industry experts continue to caution that mass-market robotaxis may take years — if not decades — to fully materialize. And while Tesla loves to move fast and break things, cities, regulators, and insurance companies tend to prefer a bit more caution when thousands of driverless vehicles are involved. 📝 What’s Actually Priced Into Tesla Stock? Here’s where this gets existential for Tesla bulls. A huge chunk of Tesla’s market valuation — some would argue most of it — now rests on the idea that it isn’t just a car company. It’s an AI company. A software company. A robotics company. A future robotaxi empire. If those narratives start to weaken, so does the multiple. Tesla remains dominant in EV production and it still benefits from profit margins (about half of the profits coming from selling regulatory credits to other carmakers). But even Musk himself has made clear that Tesla’s long-term valuation depends heavily on successfully delivering robotaxis and humanoid robots. If Sunday’s soft launch is the start of something truly scalable, then maybe the valuation holds up. If it stalls — either due to regulatory hurdles, technological ceilings, or public skepticism — the market may need to reevaluate just how much of Tesla’s price reflects reality versus dreams. 👀 Bottom Line: Revolutionary or Just Another Test Ride? So, should you buy or sell Tesla after its long-awaited robotaxi debut? That depends on how you frame this moment. The bulls see a trillion-dollar industry being born, with Tesla perfectly positioned. The bears see a carefully staged PR event masking how far away true autonomy still is. For now, Tesla gets credit for being bold — even if it’s bold enough to roll out a very small, very managed test. But markets eventually ask: “What’s next?” And unless Tesla can quickly scale from 10 cars in Austin to fully functioning fleets in major cities, a victory lap here could feel a little premature. As always with Tesla: the story is thrilling, the stock is volatile, and the future is still very much under construction. And with its earnings just around the corner — you’re following the earnings calendar , right? — things might just be getting exciting. Off to you : Which side are on? The bullish traders looking to add to their long positions or the bearish sellers who’ve been calling “overvalued” for years? Share your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
18
Pull-back Post Austin LaunchNot quite a dark cover cloud candlestick today but given how strong the Nasdaq was today and NASDAQ:TSLA slumped is a fairly pathetic price action on day 2 post Austin launch. IMO a lot of shorts were on the sidelines until robotaxi commenced. They waited for the pop and now feel more confident in entering short since they were able to assess launch. Buy the rumor sell the news if you will... Correcting below the pre-launch price back to the lower wedge trend line around low 300s is my target.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Audacity618
5
TSLA at the Edge of Breakdown? Here’s the Options PlayGEX-Based Option Strategy Insight: TSLA’s GEX landscape reveals heavy negative Gamma Exposure lurking below $305. That’s a red flag — dealers are likely to short more as price falls, amplifying downside. The highest negative NET GEX zone sits around $310–315, right near the current price, indicating a major PUT support zone — if broken, could trigger a volatility spike. * PUT Walls: Stack up at $310, $300, $295, with max pain potential down to $285–290. * Call Walls: Far above at $325/337.5/340 — little gamma resistance above, but TSLA would need a strong reversal to challenge those. 📌 Options Sentiment: * IVR is 29.7 (lowish), IVx avg is 72.3 → options pricing isn’t cheap anymore. * Calls 44.3% vs Puts 55.7% → leaning bearish. * GEX suggests downside acceleration under $300. ➡️ Trade Idea (GEX View):
If $300 fails, consider buying 295 or 290 PUTs (weekly or next week expiry).
Target $285–290 zone for exit.
Above $310 = exit. 1-Hour Chart Technical Setup (2nd image): TSLA has been in a clear downtrend, marked by: * Break of Structure (BOS) followed by lower lows. * Price is hovering inside a potential accumulation zone, but has shown no bullish confirmation yet. * Volume is weak, and we are still sitting under a steep downtrend resistance line. 📉 Bearish Play: * Break below $300 = confirmation of continuation. * Entry: $299.50–300.00 * Target: $293.21 > $290 > $285 * Stop: Close above $305 (tight). 📈 Bullish Risk: * Only valid if price breaks $310 and flips the BOS area at $317. * This could trigger a squeeze toward $320/325, but that’s lower probability for now. Final Thoughts: Until we reclaim $310+, TSLA leans heavy. GEX confirms dealer pressure below $300. Use tight stops and don’t chase — volatility will increase fast on a breakdown. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always confirm your thesis.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
1
Tesla, Below 200 Next - The Crash Can Reach 140, 150 & 160Tesla has been bearish since December 2024 and producing lower highs since. A strong lower high happened late May with a shooting start candlestick pattern. A month later another lower high and bullish rejection with an inverted hammer. This looks like an ABC correction with the low in March/April being the A wave. The lower high in May the B wave and the next low the final C wave. This would complete the corrective pattern. Conditions for bullish An invalidation of the bearish bias and potential would happen with a rise and close, weekly, above 355. Any trading below this number and the bearish bias remains intact. Indicators: RSI & MACD » RSI: The RSI looks pretty bad as it already curved down; trending down and moving lower since December 2024. » MACD: The weekly MACD is weak, starting to curve but still on the bullish zone. The daily MACD already turned bearish and moving lower. Summary Overall, market conditions are weak for this stock and everything points lower. The chart structure points to a lower low based on a broader bearish trend. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MasterAnanda
1
Adam & Eve on the Chart:Will They Bless Us with a $1,500 MiracleI don’t have much to say — it’s pretty straightforward. We’ve got two potential structures on the chart: ✅ First, the symmetrical triangle that already broke out, aiming for a target around $958 to $1,000. ✅ Then we’ve got the “Adam & Eve” structure (gotta flex sometimes 😎), see it as a cup & handle pattern, aiming for a crazy $1,500 target. This one hasn’t broken out yet — but if the first triangle breakout plays out fully, it basically sets the stage for this one to break out too. Some quick facts: The bounce zone around ~$245 is a huge multi-timeframe confluence level. Volume profile support is literally chilling right at $245. Multiple moving averages are backing this move, even on lower timeframes than the "1M" Triangle retest? Check. 0.786 fib support? Check. (And to name a few) Overall, the chart looks Fine to me. Negative news might affect the short term, but the trend should stay intact. Unless the macro changes. That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by hhMaxima38
Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs. Levels to watch: $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
17
TSLA: Agentic and real world AIThe "this is a just a car company" crowd, as usual, continues to point at the valuation as a reason to short. Not realizing that the valuation has always been high. It's been apart of Tesla's DNA for many years. Like a trend line, you must consider it in your thesis along with everything else. We will remain on trend. Money printer is running again. Don't get left behind. Don't be a hater because the stock will move the way it wants regardless of how you feel about it. I'm not a trader.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by HassiOnTheMoon