TSLACL trade ideas
Tesla: More Room in Wave 4With the recent increases, TSLA approached the more significant local high from early April. Although we locate the price in a turquoise downtrend impulse, the internal corrective upward move of wave 4 still has some more room. With the following wave 5, the stock should then fall below the support at $215.01 to complete the magenta wave (3), which is also part of a downtrend impulse. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario suggests a much faster progression. We consider it 27% likely that with the low on April 7, the blue wave alt.(II) and thus the major corrective movement have already ended. In this case, the path would be clear for a new uptrend of the blue wave alt.(III), which would lead to increases above the resistance at $488.50. Primarily, however, we expect the corrective movement to conclude at a later time and at lower levels.
TSLA daily trading (option)1. Key Level: TSLA was at a risky spot — it hit resistance and has been moving sideways, with about a 50/50 chance of going up or down.
2. Strategy Triggered: It dropped and then retested the 50 SMA on the H1 chart.
3. Pattern Observed: An uptrend breakdown.
➡️ I think TSLA could go up in the long term (next 1–2 weeks), but we might see a red candle tomorrow or Monday
TSLA – Approaching Key Resistance With Strong MomentumTSLA – Approaching Key Resistance With Strong Momentum, But Watch the Reaction at $292–$294
TSLA’s recent rally has been pretty clean. After breaking out of the falling trendline on the daily, price steadily pushed through lower highs and formed a nice higher low. Now, it’s testing a significant resistance zone between $292 and $294. That area capped the last few rallies—and we’re right back there again.
On the daily chart, the MACD is still climbing and has room to run, while the Stoch RSI is entering the overbought zone but not yet topping out. That tells me momentum is still present, but we’re approaching a decision point.
Flipping down to the 1-hour chart, price broke above the descending trendline and held higher support intraday. However, it’s currently rejecting slightly under $294. Volume didn’t really spike yet, so we haven’t seen a breakout confirmation. If we do clear this zone with strength, there’s a clean air pocket toward $300, which also lines up with a massive call wall and the highest GEX level on the options chart.
GEX & Options Flow Insights:
Options GEX shows heavy resistance at $300, with a sharp drop-off in gamma exposure beyond that. The $292–$294 zone is packed with 2nd and 3rd call walls, suggesting dealers are hedging hard around this level. If TSLA starts grinding above $294 and closes with momentum, we could trigger a dealer chase toward $300.
On the flip side, $275 is the HVL zone for this week’s expiration (05/02), and below that $270 sits as the third Put Wall. Any rejection from $292–$294 with a sharp drop under $285 could trigger a fade down to that zone.
Implied volatility has cooled slightly but remains relatively elevated (IVR 35.9, IVX avg 76.9). This favors credit spreads or defined-risk debit setups.
Trade Setups I’m Watching:
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation):
* Above $294 with volume → scalp toward $297.50–$300.
* Call Debit Spread: Buy 290C, Sell 300C (May 3 expiry).
* Stop loss for breakout: Close under $289.
🔴 Bearish Rejection Play (Fading the Top):
* Rejection from $292–$294 zone → scalp short back to $285 or VWAP support.
* Put Debit Spread: Buy 290P, Sell 275P.
* Stop loss: Close above $295.
TSLA is at a pressure point. If it clears $294 with volume, bulls might squeeze it toward $300. But if it stalls, the risk of a pullback toward $275–$280 grows fast. Be ready for a reaction play either way.
TSLATesla is in a correction phase, the price has a chance to test the support zone 246-218. If the price can stay above 218, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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TESLA: Short Trade Explained
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short TESLA
Entry - 284.90
Sl - 298.09
Tp - 256.85
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Either a triangle start forming or a flat just completed. $TSLAThe Friday bounce was huge and expected, but be really cautious as its very a typical Tesla move.
At this point, i believe the triangle to be complete in next 2-3weeks(likely), or a flat just complete(also acceptable though i'm leaning less toward this scenario).
And, I bought puts yesterday, let's see what this plays out.
Just sharing my honest thought here, feel free to challenge my view and post opposing counts, always willing to learn new knowledge.
$TSLA : The road to 400 $In this space we have discussed about NASDAQ:TSLA multiple times. In one of our very recent blogs on 21 April 2025, we flipped bullish for the first time and presented a case to accumulate NASDAQ:TSLA between 214 $ – 250 $. Congrats to everyone who did it. On Friday’s close the stock is above 250 $ and its currently sitting above its 20-Day and 50-Day SMA. This can be taken as a first bullish sign and maybe the start of a primary reversal trend towards up. After some turbulent time and more than a 50% dip the stock is holding up very well.
As Elon will be back on the helm of the NASDAQ:TSLA we can expect some more macro tailwind for the stock itself. In the daily chart below, we see that the RSI chart has flipped bullish and on the Fib retracement levels we are well above the 0.382 Fib retracement levels which is at 272 $. The next stop as per the chart is 310 $ @ 0.5 Fib level. My assessment is that once the momentum is flipped bullish the stock can end above 400 $ once this is all said and done.
Verdict: Go Long $TSLA. 400 $ see you there $TSLA.
Is a Tesla Stock Rebound Imminent?Tesla's stock has recently faced volatility, partly due to first-quarter 2025 delivery figures that did not meet some market expectations. Despite this, several significant factors suggest a potential for upward movement in the share price. As the stock hovers around $292 in late April 2025, market observers are closely watching for catalysts that could shift sentiment and drive value appreciation for the electric vehicle and energy company.
Key indicators pointing towards a potential rebound include notable insider activity and the highly anticipated launch of a dedicated robotaxi service. A Tesla board member and Airbnb co-founder recently purchased over $1 million in TSLA stock, marking the first insider buy of this magnitude in approximately five years. This action signals strong internal confidence. Furthermore, the planned June launch of a robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, using autonomous Model Y vehicles, is viewed as a transformative step that could open substantial new revenue streams and redefine Tesla's market position.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is unusual activity in the options market, where a significant investor placed a large bet on a substantial price increase in the near term through out-of-the-money call options. While recent delivery misses and concerns regarding external factors have contributed to past stock pressure, the combination of insider conviction, a looming disruptive service launch, and aggressive bullish options trading suggests that the market may be poised for a significant reaction to upcoming positive developments. Investors are keenly focused on the successful execution of the robotaxi strategy as a critical determinant of future stock performance.
TSLAThe Future of Tesla Stocks: 2025 Outlook
Current Situation
As of late April 2025, Tesla (TSLA) is trading at approximately $284.95, with notable volatility
Bullish scenarios: Some forecasts see TSLA reaching $360 or even as high as $800.70 by year-end, especially if Tesla executes well on new products and technology.
Bearish scenarios: More cautious analysts, such as those at Wells Fargo, warn of a possible drop toward $130 if deliveries and margins disappoint, citing intense competition and slowing demand.
Most forecasts for 2025 fall between $284 and $800, highlighting high uncertainty and volatility in the stock’s outlook.
Key Drivers for Tesla’s Stock Performance
1. Vehicle Deliveries and Production
Tesla is expected to deliver between 1.95 million and 2.5 million vehicles in 2025, with growth driven by new models like the Cybertruck and more affordable vehicles.
Any production setbacks or failure to meet targets could pressure the stock.
2. Technological Innovation
Success in rolling out Full Self-Driving (FSD) features and the anticipated Robotaxi service could be transformative, potentially boosting profit margins and investor sentiment.
However, delays or regulatory hurdles could dampen optimism.
3. Competition and Market Share
Tesla faces growing competition from legacy automakers and new EV entrants, especially in China and Europe.
Its EV market share has slipped below 50% in key regions, raising concerns about sustaining growth.
4. Financial Performance
Revenue is projected to grow by 17.5% to $117.2 billion in 2025, with EPS also expected to rise.
Margins are under pressure due to price cuts and rising costs, a key risk factor.
5. External and Market Risks
Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and consumer demand, will influence stock performance.
CEO Elon Musk’s leadership and public perception remain influential but can also be a source of volatility.
Long-Term Potential: Despite short-term risks, many analysts consider Tesla a strong long-term play due to its innovation and brand strength.
Conclusion
The future of Tesla stock in 2025 is highly uncertain, with forecasts ranging from significant gains to steep declines. Key factors include delivery growth, technological breakthroughs, margin management, and competitive pressures. While the long-term outlook remains positive for many analysts, short-term risks and volatility should not be underestimated. Investors should monitor Tesla’s execution on new products, regulatory developments, and broader market trends for directional cues.
$TSLA Pullback Soon?Tesla's recent announcement of its upcoming robotaxi service and the unveiling of the Cybercab have generated significant investor enthusiasm, contributing to a notable surge in TSLA's stock price. However, while these developments are promising for Tesla's long-term vision, they may not provide sufficient support for the current elevated stock levels in the short term.
Competitors like Waymo and Zoox have already established operational autonomous ride-hailing services in select markets, potentially challenging Tesla's market entry and adoption rates.
Despite recent relaxations in federal self-driving regulations, Tesla's autonomous services must still navigate a complex landscape of state and local laws, which could impact the pace of deployment and revenue realization.
TSLA: Low Is In , Rally IncomingTSLA is showing signs of strong accumulation, with buyers consistently stepping in and volume expanding on up-moves. Price structure is improving, breakouts further confirm strength, increasing the likelihood that bears have been left behind. Based on the price action and volume alone, TSLA looks ready for a potential sustained move higher.
TSLA Potential Post Tariff Resolution Bullish RallyDespite uncertainty still looming over the current global tariff based environment, TSLA price still seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish breakout as the price action may form a prominent Higher Low on the longer timeframes with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential Non-Leverage hold opportunity.
Entry: CMP 292
Stop Loss: 90 or 0 (depends on trading style as Non-Leverage Buy & Hold is recommended)
Potential Range for Targets: 470 - 550
Short term TSLA Price best guess road mapattached a TSLA trading road map; It will be fun to see if this is how things play out.short term: 1st try arrow now starting Mon small pullback, start up Tuesday peak by May 2?
Then pullback Starting May 2-3 Mid Mayto 288 chop for a week then back up ( if the market tanks to new lows then the red alternate arrow is more likely as all stocks strong and weak are sold.)
If TSLA holds 288 area then back up By July1 into about to early July (2nd try arrow)If iTSLA can do this and broad market isn't a mess then 400 will be reached in months ahead
Swing Trade Plan for TSLA (as of $285)TSLA has rallied from its previous consolidation zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $290–$295. Momentum is solid, but RSI and volume trends may suggest we’re nearing short-term exhaustion.
✅ Strategy 1: Wait for the Pullback (Safer Play)
Entry zone:
• $240 – Ideal level near former resistance turned support
• $215 – Strong support with higher reward potential
Stop-loss:
• Below $200 (to protect against deeper trend reversal)
Profit targets:
• $265 – Conservative
• $290 – Re-test zone
• $355 – Bullish breakout continuation (if sentiment remains strong)
This setup gives room for the price to breathe and positions you after a healthy correction.
⚡️ Strategy 2: Momentum Breakout Trade (Aggressive)
Entry:
• On breakout above $295 with volume confirmation
Stop-loss:
• Below $280 (tight, breakout failure protection)
Target:
• $320, $340+, depending on follow-through
This is higher risk, higher reward — you’re betting on bulls continuing the charge without a pullback.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own analysis and trade with proper risk management.
Diamond Top Pattern📉 Diamond Top Formation in Play?
This isn’t just a triangle—look closer.
What started as broadening volatility on the left has now tightened into a textbook Diamond Top, typically signaling a bearish reversal after a strong impulse move up.
⚠️ Key Signals:
• Left side expansion → Right side contraction = structural symmetry.
• Major EQH and liquidity sitting right above.
• Supply zone pressure at the top.
• Watch for a false breakout trap to liquidate late longs.
🔍 Confirmation = breakdown below rising trendline + spike in volume.
🧠 Smart money doesn’t trade patterns—they engineer them.
This one? It’s baiting breakout traders before a potential liquidity flush.
📊 Plan Ahead:
• Breakdown = short with momentum.
• Breakout = wait for trap/fakeout and fade the rally if supply holds.
⸻
💬 What do you see? Trap setup or trend continuation?
TSLA | Buy @LTP | SL below 240 | 1st Target 360⚡ Tesla (TSLA) – Breakout from Demand Zone, Big Upside Potential
TSLA recently respected the strong demand zone around $220–$240 and has bounced sharply with increasing volume, signaling renewed buying interest. Price has now cleared immediate resistance and is forming higher lows a bullish sign.
📍 Entry: $282.16
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $330 (mid-level)
TP2: $367.34 (major resistance zone)
❌ Stop-loss: Below $242.79
This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio with a potential breakout rally if broader market sentiment supports tech.
Volume spikes confirm accumulation, and momentum indicators are likely flipping bullish. Keep an eye on price action near $300 for further confirmation.
TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 299 305
📉 274.50 268.50
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*