TSLA BUYBUY TSLA at 272.00 to 248.00, riding it back up to 470.00 to 515.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 213.00!
If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the markets, because it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just my opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
TSLACL trade ideas
TSLA Swing Trade Plan โ 2025-06-06โก TSLA Swing Trade Plan โ 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish (short-term bounce to $305)
Timeframe: 5โ7 days
Catalysts: Fundstrat upgrade, government contract news, max pain magnet
Trade Type: Naked call option
๐ง Model Summary Table
Model Bias Strategy Strike Premium Target(s) Stop-Loss Confidence
Grok Moderately Bearish $290 PUT $5.15 +25โ50% gain โ50% premium 78%
Claude Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.30 $28 / $32 $18.50 75%
Llama Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.40 $310 spot target $295 spot break 80%
Gemini Moderately Bearish $280 PUT (entry < $308) $3.30 $6.00 $1.65 70%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.20 $310 / $315 $291 spot break 75%
โ
Consensus: Bounce likely toward $305 on sentiment and positioning
โ ๏ธ Disagreements: Direction split โ bounce vs. breakdown continuation
๐ Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: Below key EMAs, but short-term bounce forming
Support Zone: $291โ297
Resistance / Magnet: $302โ305 (max pain + liquidity)
Volatility: VIX ~17.6 โ neutral, supports option buying
News: Govโt contracts + Fundstrat upgrade โ potential upside fuel
โ
Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument TSLA
Strategy CALL (LONG)
Strike $305
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $23.30
Profit Target $28.00
Stop Loss $18.50
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At open
Confidence 75%
๐ก Rationale: Strong call wall + magnet effect at $305 with improving sentiment despite daily weakness โ high-risk, short-duration swing setup.
โ ๏ธ Key Risks & Considerations
Rejection at $297โ300 zone could confirm further downside
Time decay will accelerate approaching midweek โ exit quickly if thesis invalidates
Negative TSLA or macro news could reverse bounce fast
Limit size to protect portfolio: risk โค3% of account
TESLA Is it a good buy after the Trump - Musk clash?Tesla (TSLA) lost $150 billion yesterday, closing the session down by -14%, following President Trump's public feud with its CEO Elon Musk. Trump responded to Musk' criticism over the new tax bill, claiming that Musk was upset because the bill takes away tax benefits for electric vehicle purchases.
The obvious question that arises for investors is this: Is Tesla still a buy?
Quick answer? Yes. And once the dust from the fundamentals/ news settles, the technical patterns will prevail.
The long-term pattern since the January 03 2023 bottom has been a Channel Up. The recent April 07 2025 Low has been a Higher Low on this pattern as, even though it didn't touch the Channel's bottom, it did triple bottom on the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel retracement level.
This kick-started the new Bullish Leg of the pattern and yesterday's correction may be nothing more than the start of a Bull Flag formation, similar to those that took place half-way through both previous Bullish Legs.
You can even see how similar the 1W RSI patterns are among the 3 fractals, which have been Accumulation Phases before the start of the 2nd part of the Bullish Leg.
Even though the 1.618 Fibonacci extension is a technical possibility, we can settle for a $600 Target, which would fulfil the conditions of keeping the price action within the Channel Up by the end of the year.
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Possible Head & Shoulders Forming Possible head and shoulders forming on the weekly chart could signal more downside ahead.
This plays into a large corrective wave that started in November 2021, which still needs to form a wave-C of comparable size.
A new high above the wave-B top would negate this count.
TESLA Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA went up from the
Horizontal support but has
Hit a horizontal resistance
Of 335$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So we will be expecting
A further local move down today
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Tesla Drop to the downside update In this video I recap what happened in the latest drop on Tesla and how we anticipated this move some 4 days ago .
I cover whats possibly next for tesla looking forward .
This video also covers a HTF perspective on the direction of Tesla .
Any questions ask in comments
Thanks for your support
$TSLA - Time to BUY (F to sellers)When weak hands sell in fear, we proudly buy.
Tesla is at the perfect spot for buying right now, both from fundamental and technical sides. The recent fight between Elon & Trump granted so much needed correction to the chart. The price is resting on the $260 - $280 support now - ideal spot for buying before the massive blast off will happen.
A few technical factors: there is a HUGE ascending triangle with horizontal resistance ($415), the 3rd approach of this resistance should be final before the breakout happens! Moreover, the price is steadily forming a bullish pennant that will help in breaking the resistance up.
The overall trend is strictly bullish according to Fibo. The target of this upward movement is located in the $900 - $1000 zone which is x4 from current points. Not very often in our century you get such an opportunity.
You may have different opinions about Elon Musk, but you can't deny the fact he is brilliant businessman and entrepreneur. You can already see that "Tesla owners are scrambling to remove their anti Elon stickers from their car now that he is feuding with Trump" . Elon is a good-guy for liberals again, while republicans didn't change their positive attire regarding his company as well.
I tend to believe that all those news we witnessed yesterday (mean Elon&Trump fight) was just a part of a bigger plan , the outcome of which we will see later this year or even next year.
Tesla Still Slightly Bearish Until FED Cuts RatesOne of my followers asked, "how about now?"
The question comes because he is bullish and I am sharing bearish charts.
Here is the thing, the chart is still bearish of course because of the red candles and the double-top. This can't change unless the last high is broken with significant rising volume.
I'll make it easy. This stock is likely to continue bearish until after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. When they lower the stuff, they do their magic their numbers then the market will turn bullish. So bearish before, bullish after. And this is a classic dynamic.
The market goes through a retrace or correction preceding a major bullish development. Since the bullish development will definitely push prices up, the market must express its bearish tendencies before the event shows up.
So bearish now. When the Fed announces that they are reducing interest rates later this month, then 100% bullish I agree of course.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
This same analysis applies to Bitcoin and all related markets.
The altcoins though are a different thing because these are smaller and already trading at bottom prices. They will recover sooner and will start moving ahead of the pack revealing what is coming to the bigger ones.
All is good.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Will Tesla keep dropping?Tesla's stock experienced a significant decline of 14% yesterday, primarily due to a public feud between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. This dispute has raised concerns about potential government actions that could adversely affect Tesla's operations.
The conflict began when Musk criticized a proposed tax and spending bill, labeling it a "disgusting abomination." In response, President Trump threatened to terminate federal contracts with Musk's companies, including Tesla and SpaceX. This escalation led to a sharp drop in Tesla's stock price, erasing over $150 billion in market value and removing the company from the $1 trillion market capitalization club.
Technical analysis indicates that Tesla's stock broke below key support levels, including its 50- and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. Analysts have identified support levels at $265, $215, and $170, with resistance around $365.
Despite the recent turmoil, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities maintains a bullish outlook, citing upcoming innovations like Tesla's robotaxi service as potential growth drivers.
However, challenges persist. Tesla faces declining sales in Europe, increased competition from companies like BYD, and potential regulatory hurdles stemming from Musk's political engagements.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financialย advise.
Tesla POP off the lowsTesla is currently experiencing a 5 wave impulsive move from the lows of the tarriff turmoil zone, and seeing increasing strength as it climbs and consolidates.
Generally, whenever you have strong bounces such as this one, you can look for a 5 wave impulse move and utilize fibonacci extensions which innately use mathematics to correlate the momentum relationship between each wave.
At present, we have already seen the first 2 waves, which are quite clearly defined, and now pulling back wave 4 for the last 5 wave blow off.
Using the trend based fib extension from the bottom of wave 1, to wave 3/4 to measure the expected move to the 0.618 extension. Meaning, the last wave is generally approx. 61% the size of the first initial wave.
This is a nice 30% move , and can be quite profitable should it materialize. Stoploss is below $312 on a daily close.
Good luck!
Tesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion MeltdownTesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion Meltdown, Chinese Rivals on the Attack, and a Faltering Shanghai Fortress
A tempest has engulfed Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth, wiping a staggering $152 billion from its market capitalization in a single day. This monumental loss, the largest in the company's history, was triggered by a dramatic and public feud between CEO Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump. The confrontation, however, is but the most visible squall in a much larger storm. Lurking just beneath the surface are the relentless waves of competition from Chinese automakers, who are rapidly eroding Tesla's dominance, and the ominous sign of eight consecutive months of declining shipments from its once-impenetrable Shanghai Gigafactory.
The confluence of these events has plunged Tesla into a precarious position, raising fundamental questions about its future trajectory and its ability to navigate the turbulent waters of a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. The narrative of Tesla as an unstoppable force is being rewritten in real-time, replaced by a more complex and challenging reality.
The Trump-Musk Spat: A Bromance Turned Billion-Dollar Blow-Up
The relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, once a seemingly symbiotic alliance of power and influence, has spectacularly imploded, leaving a trail of financial and political wreckage in its wake. The public falling out, which played out in a series of scathing social media posts and public statements, sent shockwaves through Wall Street and Washington, culminating in a historic sell-off of Tesla stock.
The genesis of the feud lies in Musk's vocal criticism of a sweeping tax and spending bill, a cornerstone of the Trump administration's second-term agenda. Musk, who had previously been a vocal supporter and even an advisor to the President, lambasted the legislation as a "disgusting abomination" filled with "pork." This public rebuke from a figure of Musk's stature was a direct challenge to Trump's authority and legislative priorities.
The President's response was swift and sharp. In an Oval Office meeting, Trump expressed his "disappointment" in Musk, questioning the future of their "great relationship." The war of words then escalated dramatically on their respective social media platforms. Trump, on his social media platform, threatened to terminate Tesla's lucrative government subsidies and contracts, a move that would have significant financial implications for Musk's business empire. He also claimed to have asked Musk to leave his advisory role, a statement Musk labeled as an "obvious lie."
Musk, in turn, did not hold back. On X (formerly Twitter), he claimed that without his substantial financial support in the 2024 election, Trump would have lost the presidency. This assertion of his political influence was a direct jab at the President's ego and a stark reminder of the financial power Musk wields. The spat took an even more personal and inflammatory turn when Musk alluded to Trump's name appearing in the unreleased records of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation.
The market's reaction to this public spectacle was brutal. Tesla's stock plummeted by over 14% in a single day, erasing more than $152 billion in market capitalization and pushing the company's valuation below the coveted $1 trillion mark. The sell-off was a clear indication of investor anxiety over the political instability and the potential for tangible financial repercussions from the feud. The incident underscored how intertwined Musk's personal and political activities have become with Tesla's financial performance, a vulnerability that has been a recurring theme for the company.
The Chinese Dragon Breathes Fire: Tesla's EV Dominance Under Siege
While the political drama in Washington captured headlines, a more fundamental and perhaps more enduring threat to Tesla's long-term prosperity is brewing in the East. The Chinese electric vehicle market, once a key engine of Tesla's growth, has become a fiercely competitive battleground where a host of domestic rivals are not just challenging Tesla, but in some aspects, surpassing it.
Companies like BYD, Nio, XPeng, and now even the tech giant Xiaomi, are relentlessly innovating and offering a diverse range of electric vehicles that are often more affordable and technologically advanced than Tesla's offerings. This intense competition has led to a significant erosion of Tesla's market share in China. From a dominant position just a few years ago, Tesla's share of the battery electric vehicle market has fallen significantly.
One of the key advantages for Chinese automakers is their control over the entire EV supply chain, particularly in battery production. This allows them to produce vehicles at a lower cost, a crucial factor in a price-sensitive market. The result is a growing disparity in pricing, with many Chinese EVs offering comparable or even superior features at a fraction of the cost of a Tesla.
Furthermore, Chinese consumers are increasingly viewing electric vehicles as "rolling smartphones," prioritizing advanced digital features, connectivity, and a sophisticated user experience. In this regard, many domestic brands are seen as more innovative and in tune with local preferences than Tesla. This shift in consumer sentiment has been a significant factor in the declining interest in the Tesla brand in China.
The numbers paint a stark picture of Tesla's predicament. While the overall new-energy vehicle market in China continues to grow at a remarkable pace, Tesla's sales have been on a downward trend. This is a worrying sign for a company that has invested heavily in its Chinese operations and has historically relied on the country for a substantial portion of its global sales.
The pressure on Tesla's sales in China is so intense that its sales staff are working grueling 13-hour shifts, seven days a week, in a desperate attempt to meet demanding sales targets. The high-pressure environment has reportedly led to high turnover rates among sales staff, a clear indication of the immense strain the company is under in this critical market.
The Shanghai Gigafactory: A Fortress with a Faltering Gate
The struggles in the Chinese market are reflected in the declining output from Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory. For eight consecutive months, shipments from the factory, which serves both the domestic Chinese market and is a key export hub, have seen a year-on-year decline. In May 2025, the factory delivered 61,662 vehicles, a 15% drop compared to the same period the previous year.
This sustained decline in shipments is a significant red flag for several reasons. Firstly, the Shanghai factory is Tesla's largest and most efficient production facility, accounting for a substantial portion of its global output. A slowdown in production at this key facility has a direct impact on the company's overall delivery numbers and financial performance.
Secondly, the declining shipments are a direct consequence of the weakening demand for Tesla's vehicles in China. Despite being a production powerhouse, the factory's output is ultimately dictated by the number of cars it can sell. The falling shipment numbers are a clear indication that the company is struggling to maintain its sales momentum in the face of fierce competition.
The situation in China is a microcosm of the broader challenges facing Tesla. The company's product lineup, which has not seen a major new addition in the affordable segment for some time, is starting to look dated compared to the rapid product cycles of its Chinese competitors. The refreshed Model 3 and Model Y, while still popular, are no longer the novelties they once were, and are facing a growing number of compelling alternatives.
A Confluence of Crises: What Lies Ahead for Tesla?
The convergence of a high-profile political feud, intensifying competition, and production headwinds has created a perfect storm for Tesla. The company that once seemed invincible is now facing a multi-front battle for its future.
The spat with Trump, while seemingly a short-term crisis, has exposed the risks associated with a CEO whose public persona is so closely tied to the company's brand. The incident has also highlighted the potential for political winds to shift, and for government policies that have benefited Tesla in the past to be reversed.
The challenge from Chinese automakers is a more fundamental and long-term threat. The rise of these nimble and innovative competitors is not a fleeting trend, but a structural shift in the global automotive industry. Tesla can no longer rely on its brand cachet and technological lead to maintain its dominance. It must now compete on price, features, and innovation in a market that is becoming increasingly crowded and sophisticated.
The declining shipments from the Shanghai factory are a tangible manifestation of these challenges. The factory, once a symbol of Tesla's global manufacturing prowess, is now a barometer of its struggles in its most important market.
To navigate this storm, Tesla will need to demonstrate a level of agility and adaptability that it has not been required to show in the past. This will likely involve a renewed focus on product development, particularly in the affordable EV segment, to better compete with the value propositions offered by its Chinese rivals. It will also require a more nuanced and strategic approach to the Chinese market, one that acknowledges the unique preferences and demands of Chinese consumers.
The coming months will be a critical test for Tesla and its leadership. The company's ability to weather this storm and emerge stronger will depend on its capacity to innovate, to compete, and to navigate the complex and often unpredictable currents of the global automotive market. The era of unchallenged dominance is over. The battle for the future of electric mobility has truly begun.
TSLA โ Something Big Is Brewing๐Tesla just keeps pushing. Now trading around $346, it's not just riding market momentum โ it's building it. And with the robotaxi launch in Austin coming June 12, the narrative might be shifting from โjust EVsโ to mobility revolution.๐ Levels Iโm Watching
Possible entries:
โข $335โ$325 โ Looks like itโs consolidating here
โข $315โ$290 โ Clean retest zone if we dip
โข $265 โ Would love a deeper pullback but not counting on it
Targets?
โข $370 โ Short-term test
โข $395 โ Momentum breakout zone
โข $420+ โ If the hype around robotaxis takes hold
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This isnโt financial advice. Just sharing how I see things. Do your own research and trade safe.
๐ฌ If this helped, drop a like and follow. I post trades that actually make sense not just moonshots.
Letโs grow smart. ๐๐ง
Tesla (TSLA) โ SMC Buy Zone Identified๐ 1H Chart | Wave Structure + Liquidity Sweep | Vol: 680K+
๐ Context:
TSLA appears to have completed a textbook 5-wave impulse, peaking near $385. Price has now retraced into the discount zone, testing a prior equilibrium and FVG (Fair Value Gap)โideal for reaccumulation.
๐ง Technical Breakdown:
โ
Wave Count Complete: Elliott Wave (1โ5) structure suggests a cycle top was formed.
๐ Current Retracement: Price is approaching the 0.5โ0.618 Fibonacci retracement and strong OB zone around $294โ$303, aligning with Smart Moneyโs typical entry zones.
๐ฆ Choch โ BOS Confirmation: Bullish structure shift suggests a potential reversal zone.
๐ฐ Buy Zone: $294.89 (key low) to $303.17 (equilibrium).
๐ฏ Target: $513.06 (Fibonacci extension + liquidity cluster).
๐งฎ Probability Outlook:
๐ Bullish Probability: 70% โ Favoring upward continuation post-retrace.
๐ Bearish Breakdown: 30% โ If $294 fails, expect deeper retracement toward $267 support.
๐ Strategy Suggestion:
Wait for a bullish confirmation candle near $294โ303 zone. Add size above break of minor BOS. Target premium levels with trailing stop logic.
#TSLA #SmartMoneyConcepts #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #VolumeProfile #TradingStrategy #WaverVanirInternational
SHORT Tesla, Bearish Chart SetupGood morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. If you decide to call me a genius or whatever... The choice is yours to make.
Here, the TSLA stock (Tesla) is showing some weakness signals. Weakness that can translate into a drop.
Would you like me to point those out?
Ok, we can go through a few of them real-quick.
1) A rising wedge pattern. Always bearish.
2) Decreasing volume. Always bearish.
3) Resistance being confirmed at the 19-February peak.
4) Bearish bat.
These are just a few of the chart signals but it is not only about the signals, there is something in the air... I smell... Huh, what to call it? A flash crash? A market shakeout? A flush? A surprise? Or simply, a retrace?
I don't know... All I know is one thing, TSLA doesn't look bullish anymore.
The chart is saying down.
Let's see what kind of event shows up to match the chart.
Namaste.
TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup โ Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone๐ TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup โ Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone ๐ฅ
๐
Signal Date: June 5, 2025 | โณ Duration: 5โ10 Day Swing
๐ฏ Objective: Play oversold bounce into heavy open interest at $300
๐ Multi-Model Insight Summary
Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 40.80 17.00 75%
Claude Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 50.00โ65.00 20.00 75%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Buy Call 300 26.65 32.00 20.00 75%
Gemini Neutral/Stand Aside No Trade โ โ โ โ 45%
Llama Mod. Bearish Buy Put 280 3.30 1.65 3.30 75%
๐ Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
15-Min RSI: Extremely oversold โ Mean-reversion potential
Daily/Weekly: Neutral, but nearing key support zones
Price Action: 5-day sharp drop into $280โ$285 area
Max Pain: $300 โ potential gravitational magnet for bounce
Sentiment: News uncertainty (Musk/Trump noise) but positioning supports upside
IV Rank: Elevated โ options rich but supported by move potential
๐ฏ Trade Setup โ Long TSLA Call
Instrument: TSLA
Direction: CALL (LONG)
Strike: $290.00
Expiry: 2025-06-20
Entry Price: $34.00
Profit Target: $40.80 (20% premium gain)
Stop Loss: $17.00 (50% premium loss)
Size: 1 contract
Entry Timing: Market open
Confidence Level: 70%
โ ๏ธ Risk Management Notes
๐ป Premium decay: Watch theta decay closely, especially if no bounce by day 5
๐ซ Technical breach: Close trade if $280โ$285 breaks on strong volume
๐ฃ Headline risk: Musk-related catalysts or macro shifts can swing direction rapidly
โณ Time Exit Rule: Consider exiting by June 14 if trade hasnโt reached target
๐ง Trade Rationale
TSLAโs sharp pullback into oversold territory alongside strong call OI at $300 sets the stage for a short-term relief bounce. Multiple models support the call play, with a focus on a 5โ10 day recovery swing.
TSLA Backtest: A robo-taxi launchpad? TBD ... ๐ง๐ฒ๐๐น๐ฎ ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐๐ฒ๐๐: A robo-taxi launchpad? ๐ค๐
After a 20%+ breakout, NASDAQ:TSLA is retesting its 200dma with $295โ300 now key support. Hold that โ and bulls have room to run to $400+.
๐๐ถ๐ญ๐ญ๐ช๐ด๐ฉ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ต๐ถ๐ฑ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ข ๐ฅ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ: June 12 robo-taxi reveal in Austin could mark Teslaโs first real step toward autonomous ride-hailing at scale.
๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ, ๐ฉ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ด: Tesla's valuation has always priced in the future. This time, the future might show up in a self-driving Model Y.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:SOX CBOE:ARKK #Tesla #Robotaxi #FSD #ElonMusk #Stocks
TSLA Descent 4-hr OutlookTSLA Descent!
1. Looking for gap down with sweep and support on .382 fib--expansion back up with retest of broken fib with further downside into FVG.
2. Main Target is re-test of impulse move (291 level).
-- take into consideration TSLA moves 29 points weekly (avg).
3. Full support = selling CSP's 14+ days out.
TESLA Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 345.78
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 308.21
Recommended Stop Loss - 364.73
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK