Wajani Investments: TSLA AnalysisDaily chart
Observations: TSLA has tested a key level turning resistance into support with a double bottom, head and shoulder as seen from the W formation. If you zoom the chart properly, you'd see TSLA direction is uptrend and the above indicators show TSLA moving higher.
Always adapt to the market as it changes. The analysis done here is more of a guidance than fact.
Let me know your thoughts.
Thank you.
TSLACL trade ideas
TSLA Long-term Key LevelsIdentified Long-term Key Levels for TSLA
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TSLA technically turntUP... so the stock pops on a sob story. there will be action. pullback possible, but doesn't have to. 2-3 week rallies expected while the getting is good.
*weekly bullish close (engulfing)
*pullbacks should not be lower than prev week high (270 good)
*it's big tech earnings, so running during other strong tech success while down is a TSLA thing
tootles
Telsa Bullish Recovery in Motion Tesla (TSLA) – Bullish Recovery in Motion
Chart Type: 2W (Biweekly)
Current Price: $292.03
Previous High: $488.54
Fibonacci Levels:
0.236 → $280.31
0.382 → $320.35
0.5 → $352.72
0.618 → $385.09
0.786 → $431.17
📈 Technical Breakdown:
Tesla has officially bounced from the major demand zone around $175–$215, forming a structural higher low.
We're currently testing the 0.236 Fib level after a clean bullish recovery. Volume appears steady, and if we hold above this level, we could see a move toward the $320–$352 region (Fib 0.382–0.5), which aligns with the upper structure zone.
The purple supply zone from the previous high near $488 marks a key resistance area long-term. However, price action suggests a possible mid-term continuation as long as this new support holds.
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
A lot of traders are only watching the daily and 4H charts. But when you zoom out to the biweekly (2W), the structure tells a very different story — one that still respects bullish continuation off a long-term retracement.
This recovery looks like a measured move, and we might see slow momentum upward before the market re-tests upper zones. I’m personally watching the $320.35–$385.09 levels for the next key decision.
📌 Tags
#TSLA #Tesla #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #FibLevels #BullishStructure #SwingTrading #LongTermInvesting #TradingView #MarketStructure #DemandZone #TeslaStock
TSLA
TSLA Did break through a resistance line but this amount of price volitlity was unexpected, there is a big resistance line at around 287-288. Price will most likely consolidate or bounce down. Price could breakthrough and bounce back then continue on upwards. I have never seen this before not even with the Covid crash. Someone else probably has but I sure haven’t. I will probably buy the rebound if it breaks through and enter a long position but as of right now unsure.
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA has formed a Triple Bottom patternOn the daily chart, TSLA stabilized and rebounded from the low level, and the short-term market formed a potential triple bottom pattern. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 291.8. A breakthrough will start to rise, and the upper resistance is concerned about the 348.0-367.3 area.
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report
On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022.
Why Is TSLA Falling?
There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets):
→ Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology.
→ A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year.
→ Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors.
According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
We previously noted the importance of the $220 support level, which prevented the price from falling further during the first half of April (as indicated by the arrow), at a time when broader stock indices showed much more bearish trends.
That level still appears relevant for now, but it’s likely that the upcoming quarterly earnings report will trigger a sharp increase in volatility. Should investors find the results underwhelming, TSLA’s share price could fall to the lower boundary of the current descending channel (highlighted in red), potentially breaching the psychological $200-per-share mark.
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TSLA Elliott wave Analysis 20/4/2025For me, I think that TSLA have already End the Cycle (count from the first day TSLA is IPO).As you can see there is a clear divergence at the wave 5 of the A wave,suggesting that A wave of the corrective wave should be end and ready for the huge B wave that might take a lot of time (Since it is the B wave of the massive wave 2).But there is a change that the wave A that is coming down might be the part of WXY pattern or others pattern so we have to keep an eye on.
TSLA watch $253.47 (again) Golden Genesis fib to determine trendTSLA back to the Golden Genesis fib that we keep harping about.
This is a BIG deal, as the most important level of this epoc for it.
Many PINGs (exact hits) have made all traders keenly aware of it.
What happens here will say a LOT to a LOT of traders and algos.
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Full view of the "Genesis Sequence"
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TESLA: $250 | Waiting for Reset and Buy back at Sub $100Royal Arabs of mid east aka pals of Elon booking gains
and informed players wait for buy back of funds
as SHORTS are piling up with momentum kicking in
in addition to Elon spreading himslef as DOGE frontman in Trump's campaign to making America Great Again ...
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TSLA before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-4-25,
for a premium of approximately $10.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Tesla Suspends Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Were Often WrongTesla Pulls the Plug on Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Weren't Worth Much Anyway
Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth that has captivated and often confounded investors for over a decade, has made another move guaranteed to stir debate: it's suspending its forward-looking guidance. For many companies, withdrawing financial forecasts signals significant uncertainty or a major strategic shift, often sending shares tumbling. While Tesla's stock undoubtedly reacts to such news, a deeper look reveals a compelling argument: Tesla's official guidance, particularly in recent years, had become such a moving target, so frequently untethered from eventual reality, that its predictive value was already deeply questionable. Suspending it might simply be acknowledging the obvious.
For years, Tesla's earnings calls and investor communications were punctuated by ambitious, often audacious, targets set by CEO Elon Musk and the company. These weren't just vague aspirations; they were often specific numbers for vehicle deliveries, production ramps, timelines for new technologies like Full Self-Driving (FSD), and launch dates for anticipated models like the Cybertruck or the Semi. The market, enthralled by Tesla's disruptive potential and Musk's charismatic pronouncements, frequently hung on these words, baking them into valuation models and trading strategies.
However, the history of Tesla meeting these self-imposed targets is, charitably speaking, inconsistent. The guidance often veered into the quixotic, reflecting a potent blend of extreme optimism, engineering ambition, and perhaps a dash of Musk's famed "reality distortion field."
Consider the infamous "production hell" of the Model 3 ramp-up. Initial targets were wildly optimistic, projecting volumes that the company struggled immensely to achieve, facing bottlenecks in battery production and assembly line automation. While Tesla eventually overcame these hurdles, the timeline and cost deviated significantly from early guidance. Similarly, the promise of Full Self-Driving has been a perennial "next year" phenomenon. While the capabilities of Tesla's Autopilot and FSD Beta have advanced significantly, the arrival of true Level 4 or 5 autonomy, capable of operating without driver supervision under virtually all conditions – as often implied by the timelines suggested in guidance – remains elusive, years behind schedules hinted at in past forecasts.
The Cybertruck provides another stark example. Unveiled in 2019 with a projected start date that came and went multiple times, its eventual, limited launch in late 2023 was years behind schedule, and scaling its unique manufacturing process remains a challenge. Guidance around its ramp-up has been adjusted repeatedly.
This pattern isn't necessarily born from deliberate deception, but rather from a confluence of factors inherent to Tesla's DNA and the volatile industries it operates in:
1. Aggressive Goal Setting: Musk is known for setting incredibly ambitious "stretch goals" intended to motivate teams to achieve breakthroughs. While effective internally, translating these aspirational targets directly into public financial guidance is fraught with risk.
2. Underestimation of Complexity: Bringing revolutionary products to mass market – whether it's a new vehicle platform, a complex software suite like FSD, or novel battery technology – involves navigating unforeseen engineering, manufacturing, supply chain, and regulatory hurdles. Initial guidance often seemed to underestimate these complexities.
3. Market Volatility: The EV market itself is dynamic. Consumer demand shifts, government incentives change, raw material costs fluctuate, and competition intensifies – all factors that can derail even well-laid plans and render guidance obsolete.
4. The "Musk Factor": Elon Musk's public statements, sometimes made spontaneously on social media or during earnings calls, often became de facto guidance, even if not formally enshrined. His optimism could inflate expectations beyond what the operational side of the business could reliably deliver on a set schedule.
Given this history, why did the market continue to pay such close attention? Part of it was the sheer scale of Tesla's ambition and its undeniable success in revolutionizing the automotive industry. Investors betting on disruption were often willing to overlook missed targets, focusing instead on the long-term vision. Past stock performance also created a feedback loop; as the stock soared despite missed guidance, it reinforced the idea that the specific numbers mattered less than the overall trajectory and narrative. Guidance served as a signal of intent and ambition, even if the execution timeline slipped.
However, the context has shifted dramatically. Tesla is no longer the lone wolf in a nascent EV market. Competition is fierce, particularly from Chinese automakers like BYD, but also from legacy manufacturers finally hitting their stride with compelling EV offerings. Global EV demand growth, while still present, has slowed from its previously exponential pace. Tesla itself has engaged in significant price cuts globally to maintain volume, putting pressure on its once-stellar automotive margins.
In this more challenging environment, the luxury of consistently missing ambitious targets wears thin. The decision to suspend guidance now can be interpreted in several ways:
• Pragmatic Realism: Management may genuinely lack visibility into near-term demand, production capabilities (especially with new models or processes), or the impact of macroeconomic factors. Suspending guidance is arguably more responsible than issuing forecasts they have low confidence in.
• Strategic Pivot: Tesla is increasingly emphasizing its future potential in AI, robotics (Optimus), and autonomous ride-sharing (Robotaxi). These ventures have even longer and more uncertain development timelines than vehicle production. Focusing investor attention away from quarterly delivery numbers might be part of a strategy to reframe the company's narrative around these future bets.
• Avoiding Accountability: A more cynical take is that suspending guidance removes a key benchmark against which management's performance can be judged, particularly during a period of slowing growth and heightened competition.
Regardless of the primary motivation, the practical implication for investors is clear: the already thin reed of Tesla's official guidance is now gone entirely. This forces a greater reliance on analyzing tangible results – actual deliveries, reported margins, cash flow generation, progress on FSD adoption rates, and demonstrable advancements in new ventures – rather than promises of future performance.
The suspension underscores that investing in Tesla requires a strong belief in its long-term vision and its ability to execute on extremely complex technological and manufacturing challenges, often without a clear, company-provided roadmap for the immediate future. The focus must shift from parsing guidance to meticulously evaluating performance, competitive positioning, and the plausibility of its next-generation bets.
In conclusion, Tesla's decision to stop issuing formal guidance is less of a shockwave and more of a formal acknowledgment of a long-standing reality. Its forecasts were often more aspirational than operational, reflecting a culture of ambitious goal-setting within a highly volatile industry. While the absence of guidance introduces a new layer of uncertainty, savvy investors likely already applied a significant discount factor to Tesla's projections. The company's future success now hinges more transparently than ever not on what it promises for tomorrow, but on what it demonstrably delivers today. The quixotic forecasts may be gone, but the fundamental challenge of execution remains.
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood
Will it? Let's take a look ~
ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration.
All of this doesn't matter
Why?
Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue.
From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027.
TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago.
Voluming is rising in the longterm
and literally the conservatives love him,
If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close.
On the short term,
The FUD will wash away,
TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel,
shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs,
Shorts will get squeezed by end of June,
and Up and UP TSLA will continue.
BTFD!
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart.
And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking.
Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity:
Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential,
Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18.
The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023.
Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend.
How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity.
On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485.
But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself:
What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays?
Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move.
Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
Tesla Bounce Zone?Tesla has been trading in a sideways range between $220 - $290 for the last several weeks, a sign of what may either be a potential accumulation, or another distribution range which ultimately ends in lower prices.
At the moment, we are at an interesting zone, being the low of the range with earnings coming into effect tomorrow.
Although there is a lot of stipulation behind Elon's current credibility working for Trump, it is clear that the overall market sentiment is at extreme lows for Tesla.
Given this, the earnings tomorrow may be a liquidity catalyst event that may shoot this stock back up into a recovery. Perhaps Elon announces his resignation from Doge, or Tesla earnings surprise, or perhaps Tesla is not affected by tariffs as badly as people may think.
Technically, Tesla is sitting at a key zone being the POC (point of control) also known as the most traded zone of the last 4 years. Should a bounce materialize, it would make sense for it to take place around this price. We are also seeing what may be considered a bullish harmonic playing out during this recent volatility.
Either way, we cant predict, we can only manage our risk. The expected move for tomorrow is + or - 10%. Budget accordingly.