Tesla Stock: Neutral Bias Persists Following Earnings ReportTesla’s stock is currently hovering near the $250 level, after a bullish gap formed following the release of its latest earnings report. Initially, the company's results fell short of expectations: earnings per share came in at $0.27 versus the expected $0.39, and total revenue reached $19.3 billion versus $21.11 billion anticipated by the market. Despite this, the stock's initial reaction was a bullish gap, fueled by brief, fleeting optimism, but the session ultimately closed with a notable indecision candle, casting some doubt on whether a new short-term uptrend is truly beginning.
Bearish Channel Remains in Play:
Despite the recent upward jump in the latest session, buying momentum has so far failed to break through the upper boundary of the descending channel that has persisted since late December. For now, this bearish channel remains the most important formation to monitor, based on recent price behavior.
MACD:
The MACD histogram is currently oscillating close to the neutral zero line, indicating that the average strength of the recent moving average swings remains largely neutral. If this behavior continues, the market may lack a clear short-term trend.
ADX:
The ADX indicator is showing a similar setup. The line continues to hover around the 20 level, which typically signals indecision in the market. This reflects a neutral tone in the current price movement, suggesting that a lack of momentum is driving a series of directionless swings. Unless the ADX line starts to rise steadily, a neutral bias may continue to dominate the stock in the short term.
Key Levels:
$220 – Key Support: This level marks the lowest point in recent months. A break below this support could reactivate the bearish channel that has defined short-term price action.
$290 – Technical Barrier: Aligned with the 200-period simple moving average, a bullish breakout above this level could pose a serious threat to the current bearish trend channel.
$330 – Final Resistance: This level is aligned with the 100-period simple moving average. If the stock reaches this area, it could confirm a shift in market momentum and pave the way for a more sustained bullish trend on the chart.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
TSLACL trade ideas
Breaking: Tesla Up 6% In Premarket Albeit Q1 Profit Drops 71%Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock surged 6% in early premarket trading on Wednesday amidst missing expectation, Q1 profit drops 71%.
Tesla investors breathed a sigh of relief after CEO Elon Musk said he would refocus his attention on the electric automaker, but that promise did not entirely dispel worries that his right-wing shift had irrevocably damaged the company's image.
The automaker's shares (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ), rose about 6.5% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Musk said he would cut back, opens new tab his work for U.S. President Donald Trump to a day or two per week from sometime next month after the automaker posted a 71% slump in net income and a sharp drop in automotive revenue.
Since hitting a record high in December, Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) have lost about half its value reducing its market capitalization by more than $500 billion, largely on concerns that brand damage could hurt sales for a second straight year.
Tesla said it will a review of its full-year delivery forecast amid shifting global trade policies in the second quarter earnings update, which is expected in July.
While Tesla is less likely to be affected by global tariffs than legacy automakers, it still expects an outsized impact on the fast-growing energy storage business that uses battery cells from China.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:TSLA shares are up 6.5% in premarket trading. The asset is undergoing a bullish reversal pattern after bouncing off from the critical support point of $218.
TSLA shares are aiming for a 118% surge should the asset break the key Fibonacci levels highlighted on the chart. With the last trading session's RSI at 46, NASDAQ:TSLA is well primed for a bullish campaign since consolidating late December, 2024 losing almost 56% of value, TSLA shares are looking to capitalize on that.
TSLA Setting Up for the Next Big Move?🚘Tesla's been cooking up some serious price action — and now it’s getting interesting. After holding above key supports, bulls might be eyeing their next shot. Here’s the plan I’m watching:
📥 Entry zones:
• 240 (aggressive)
• 215 (ideal support zone)
• 195 (deep discount territory)
🎯 Profit targets:
• 265
• 290
• 355+ (if momentum takes off)
TSLA has been showing signs of accumulation — and if buyers step in near 215–195, we could be looking at the early stages of a powerful move. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The EV space is competitive, and macro volatility can flip the script fast.
🔍 Keep an eye on volume, trend confirmations, and news that could push sentiment one way or the other.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal analysis and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your own strategy.
$TSLA will we see the breakdown?TSLA – Watching for Main Short Setup
📉 1H Chart Breakdown
Tesla is approaching a critical area. If the market starts to unwind, this could offer a main short opportunity.
Price is currently hovering above a key support zone (highlighted on chart). A confirmed break below this level could accelerate the downside.
🟣 First Target: ~$216
🔻 Main Target: $180 if momentum builds and support fails.
Indicators and EMAs suggest increasing bearish pressure. Keep an eye on volume and broader market sentiment to confirm entry.
CRUISE CONTROL - TSLAGood Morning,
Have we finally confirmed the cruise control button on TSLA? Maybe. The bulls and the bears must definitely be loving this price action!
Lets run the skinny.
Lowest low YTD: April 7th 2025 - 214.00$ STILL UNDEFEATED
Topped Out : April 9th, 2025 - 273.00$
Unconfirmed Support: April 21rst - 223.00$
I am calling this a buy.
Enjoy!
Tesla Braces for Q1 Earnings: Will Q1 Results Trigger a sell-offMounting Delivery Pressure, Global Boycotts, and Revenue Misses Leave Tesla at a Critical Turning Point
Overview
Tesla shareholders are on edge ahead of the automaker's Q1 2025 earnings report, set to be released on Tuesday, April 22. The results will cover financial performance from January 2024 to March 2025, a period already clouded by deteriorating delivery volumes, narrowing margins, and rising geopolitical headwinds.
Despite once being the undisputed leader of the EV revolution, Tesla's recent track record paints a troubling picture. The company has missed revenue expectations in five of the past six quarters, raising questions about its ability to maintain market dominance as competition intensifies and global sentiment turns increasingly hostile.
Tesla's Earnings History – The Pressure Is Mounting
Quarter Reported Revenue EstimateSurprise (%)
Sep 2023 $23.35B $24.19B –3.46%
Dec 2023 $25.17B $25.60B –1.67%
Mar 2024 $21.30B $22.22B –4.14%
Jun 2024 $25.50B $24.52B +3.99%
Sep 2024 $25.18B $25.47B –1.12%
Dec 2024 $25.71B $27.26B –5.69%
The $1.55 billion miss in Q4 2024 was the worst in over a year and may signal a more systemic weakness in demand. With every disappointing print, the pressure on Tesla's valuation grows—and investors know it.
Global Factors at Play: Boycotts and Geopolitical Fallout
Tesla's earnings concerns are not only internal. A growing global boycott, fueled by rising international tensions and political backlash against Elon Musk's affiliations with U.S. defence and surveillance initiatives, threatens to cut deeper into global sales—particularly in key markets like Europe and China.
China, once a growth engine for Tesla, is showing signs of resistance amid tightening regulatory pressure and rising national preference for domestic EV manufacturers like BYD and NIO. Similarly, European sentiment toward Tesla is deteriorating as the company becomes entangled in broader geopolitical narratives surrounding U.S. industrial policy.
Stock Price Structure: A Technical Breakdown
Technically, Tesla's stock has formed a disjointed channel since early April, a structure often interpreted as indecision or quiet accumulation/distribution by institutional players.
Key Resistance: $244 (22-month support-turned-resistance)
Immediate Support Levels: $213 → $194 → $182
Upside Targets if Reclaimed key resistance: $263 and $275
The price closed at $241 ahead of the Easter break, down more than 50% from the December 2024 peak, a staggering reversal for what was once Wall Street's darling.
What to Watch Ahead
Delivery Volumes: Investors will focus on whether Tesla can stabilize global deliveries amid mounting competition and boycotts.
Margin Compression: Rising costs and aggressive price cuts have weighed on gross margins for several quarters.
Outlook and Guidance: Any hint of softness in Q1 guidance could trigger further downside.
Institutional Positioning: Watch for post-earnings volume spikes to reveal if big money is unloading or accumulating.
Final Take
Tesla is teetering on the edge of a critical earnings report. If Tuesday's release disappoints, the stock could break down below $213, opening the door to levels not seen since mid-2024. While a bullish recovery isn't off the table, it hinges on a strong beat and improved forward guidance—neither of which is guaranteed.
TSLA at an inflection pointNASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shown wirh Mcginley indicator (a trend following indicator) and cycle oscillator. Whilst price currently shows a negative bias, I believe price has reached an inflection point as the market seeks direction. Those waiting to buy the dip should wait patiently for entry opportunities upon confirmation of momentum and volume.
$TSLA Weekly RecapNASDAQ:TSLA Weekly Recap
Market Structure: Price broke out of the downtrend with a strong bullish engulfing candlestick, indicating a potential reversal.
Market Bias: A healthy retracement occurred in alignment with market sentiment — this pullback may be necessary to support a stronger move toward all-time highs.
BX-Trender: The weekly histogram flipped from red to green, suggesting increased accumulation and potential for upward momentum.
$TSLA trading opportunitiesObjectives:
- Trade objective is to build a full position into TSLA before market recognises FSD revenue
- Happy to accumulate more, to lower average cost
What happened:
- Market structure for TSLA remains bullish in the mid to long term with Market Bias indicator maintaining green
- Observed weaker BX-trender indicator on daily basis, suggesting weaker purchases from market movers
- short term topped at $290s
- expecting some pull back to smart money buy zone at $260s - $270s
Next steps:
- i will take long position into TSLA at smart money buy zone
TSLA 4H chart analysisPrice: 275.59, down 3.28%.
Trend: Bearish (red TrendShift), confirmed by MACD (bullish momentum fading).
Support: 222.79 (strong, multiple tests).
Resistance: 274.68 (recent high, failed breakout).
Volume: 11.2M, declining on upticks, suggesting weak buying pressure.
Indicators: MACD bearish crossover, TrendConfirm bearish.
Outlook: Likely to test support at 222.79; break below could target 200.00. Resistance at 274.68 caps upside.
Price Action with S/R and MACD
TSLA Bull or bearish NASDAQ:TSLA 28-04.2025
TSLA is looking suspicious, but the market is still bearish until proven otherwise other words until price moves back and above the fair value gap in the S&P 500 and re establishes up trend. Price can add on to the confirmation of the newly broken resistance and then rebound for further confirmation and then add on upward. Or this will turn out to be a more likely false break out and then bounce back into then consolidation chamber.
Tesla trading planTesla is also in my list and is the most hit during trading War n most heated were by even cars n stations were burning down by that it lead musk to lost more than 130 billion dollars in his networthy but it looks promising for further growth as you can see I trust my work and is always put smile in my face n growth,try by all means to position yourselfs in one of the stocks I've sent and note that we don't control the market,no matter clear structure can be we trade responsibly n risk very smart all the best