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XAUTRY1! trade ideas

Gold 4H-figment of my imagination. Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4H (MCX) Current Price: ₹95,524 Volume: 1.6K Trend: Short-term bearish 📉 Observations: 1. Break of Support Zones: Multiple support zones have been drawn on the chart: Around ₹96,200, ₹94,700, ₹91,800, and finally near ₹86,600–82,200. Price is now trading below the ₹96,200 support, showing clear weakness. 2. Structure: This looks like a lower high – lower low formation. Recent price action has broken previous swing lows, indicating bearish momentum continuation. 3. Next Key Supports: ₹94,700 – could act as the next immediate support (minor bounce possible) ₹91,800 – stronger historical zone ₹86,600 to ₹82,200 – major demand zone (strong support last seen in April) 4. Volume Analysis: Volume hasn’t spiked significantly on the recent fall, suggesting no panic yet, but also lack of buying interest. 📌 Conclusion: The trend is weak and corrective, favoring sell on rise until price reclaims ₹96,200 convincingly. Safe buy zone: Near ₹91,800–₹86,600, if price shows reversal signals. Watch out: If ₹91,800 breaks, ₹86,600 or even ₹82,200 could be tested.
MCX:GOLD1!
by Pushpmegh
Global Gold at the Crossroads of CrisisGold’s response to historic geopolitical crises demonstrates that while “big fear” is rapidly priced in, the durability of rallies—or the depth of corrections—depends on a confluence of monetary policy, dollar valuation, oil prices, and the genuine scale of the threat. At present, the gold market sits squarely between global “fear of instability” and “hope for de-escalation.” Divergent signals from the Fed, global central banks, and oil markets only deepen volatility, making investor decisions more complex. As previous wars (Iran–Iraq, Ukraine) have shown, gold is prone to both scenarios, but its long-term direction will be shaped by a mix of economic, policy, and psychological factors.
COMEX:GC1!
by amir.etasi
Navigating Gold Futures: Support, Resistance, and ProjectionsCOMEX:GC1! The chart appears to depict a clear five-wave pattern: I, II, III, IV, and V. Waves I to III show strong upward movements, indicating bullish sentiment. Wave IV looks like it could be a corrective phase, with a potential dip before another upward movement in Wave V. Support and Resistance Levels: The horizontal lines around 2,800 and 2,575.3 indicate critical Fibonacci retracement levels (38.20% and 50%). If the price approaches these levels during the correction, they could serve as support, making it a potential buying opportunity. RSI Indicator: From the bottom indicator (RSI), we can see fluctuations in momentum, which can aid in timing trades. Look for interpretations of the RSI: if it trends towards the extremes (overbought/oversold), that could signal reversal points. Future Projections: Should the market respect the outlined support levels, Wave V could potentially push towards a new high above 4,000 as indicated by the upward projection. Market Sentiment: Overall, the pattern suggests a bullish outlook long-term, but caution is warranted during corrective phases as prices might retrace towards support levels.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Trwin
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
$MGC / $GC / Gold - Target acquired! Where are we going next.Hello fellow gamblers, Price did not go all the way inside the target range, but it is close enough for me to be satisfied with the play and take profits. Now it is the time to be looking for where we are going next. - I am already seeing some reversal signals in the 15min TF but no signals in the higher TFs. - For now, we will continue going lower as long as the blue trendline is not broken, but it is possible for price to have a bounce before continuing lower. If price breaks above 3357, I am looking at that FVG gap as a possible target for the bounce. - It is possible for price to touch that yellow trendline in the bounce, so I'll be paying attention to it. - If we get a rejection of 3357, I can see price filling our W2 Target range and finding support at 3283. A break of that level could take us all the way down to 3222.8 - 3174.4 range shown in the chart. - For bullish scenario, I'd want a break above 3418, but i do believe that it is still early to talk bullish scenarios, so I'll leave it for next time. - Levels to watch: 3418 - 3357 - 3283 - 3207
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by Caramel0
Move\Manipulate/Grab/Consolidate/PushFIrst ever idea on trading view. Bias: Bullish I have deveoped a stratagey that uses the Trend indicator (2.3) by dviz Wont say everything but if you get a candle whos body is completly in the "cloud" of the trend indicator.. this is a signal candle body 1 must be smaller than the wick 2 wick has to be wick outside the cloud green candle for reversal red hold 70 tick stop +50 tick tp1 +70 tick tp2 +120 tick tp1 when trade hits tp1 = risk free trade
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by LivingPro0f
1
Gold Slides as Markets Downplay the Fallout of ME EscalationGold prices are trending lower today after a slight positive open, struggling to hold near $3,365 per ounce, hovering just above the lowest level in over ten days. This weak performance comes as markets continue to downplay the consequences of the unprecedented U.S. strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Previously, experts had viewed a strike on Iran’s nuclear sites as the line between a limited bilateral conflict with Israel and a full-blown regional war with global economic costs. Fears centered around a potential Iranian—or proxy—attack on the region’s vital oil and gas infrastructure, which supplies over a fifth of global energy needs. However, those fears have yet to materialize, offering markets some reassurance that the escalation will not trigger a major shock that could reignite concerns over global economic stability. This narrative of containment has stripped gold of the geopolitical risk premium it previously enjoyed. According to the New York Times , some experts believe Iran is unlikely to disrupt energy flows in the region as long as its own export facilities remain intact. In another word, any Iranian attempt to destabilize energy markets may invite retaliatory strikes on its own vital oil infrastructure—further damaging its already fragile economy. Axios quoted Brookings Institution foreign policy director Suzanne Maloney describing Iran’s parliamentary call to shut the Strait of Hormuz as symbolic, arguing that the Islamic Republic is unlikely to risk its economy or the rapprochements with Gulf neighbors. That said, the Middle East’s unpredictable trajectory, with near-daily escalations, continues to unsettle markets and sustain elevated risk appetite, which could ultimately benefit gold. In a New York Times opinion piece , Nicholas Kristof outlined three key risks that could stem from the U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities: the nature of Iran’s response, whether the strike set back or accelerated Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and whether this is a step toward a broader war. Iran’s response could range from symbolic gestures to reckless escalation, potentially dragging the U.S. deeper into direct involvement. According to the Wall Street Journal , Tehran may choose to strike at evacuated U.S. bases in the region, as it did in response to the 2020 assassination of Qassem Soleimani, when Iran targeted the Ain al-Asad base in Iraq in what was described as a calculated, non-escalatory response. Alternatively, Iran could intensify missile strikes on Israel—viewed by some as Washington’s largest forward base—thus keeping the conflict somewhat localized for now. Still, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may ultimately reject a ceasefire, unlike what his predecessor Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini did in the late 1980s to preserve the Islamic Republic. This keeps the door open to new and unpredictable rounds of conflict, according to The Times . On the nuclear front, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius warned in an opinion piece that Iran could pursue a crude radioactive “dirty bomb” using highly enriched near weapons-grade enriched uranium. Such a scenario would also be dangerously uncertain. In my opinion, it is unlikely that the U.S. or Israel would simply stand down after such a development, possibly setting the stage for the most extreme and dangerous escalation yet. This could align with the protracted duration of the war and reports that Israel’s defensive missile stockpiles are running low, which raising the stakes. Israel may feel compelled to force Iran into surrender, as the U.S. did with Japan, though unlike Japan, Iran could be a nuclear state. Given Prime Minister Netanyahu’s political stance, a settlement that leaves Iran’s nuclear or ballistic program intact is unlikely to be accepted. Iran, for its part, firmly rejects dismantling its programs, adding to the likelihood of prolonged conflict and worst-case scenario. Despite the market’s muted reaction to the U.S. strike, the surrounding risks remain significant and unresolved. As long as their realization remains uncertain, volatility in gold and oil prices may persist until the conflict is either resolved or definitively contained. Samer Hasn
COMEX:GC1!
by SamerHa
$GC / $MGC /Gold - Elliot Wave Analysis - Weekend Update - 7/6Hello fellow gamblers, As we prepare for a new trading week, I revisited my EW count and was able to come up with 2 scenarios to present to you today. - For our bullish scenario, I am looking for a break above 3418 and my next target will be at the 3574 - 3525 range. - For our bearish scenario, I am looking for a break below 3283 and my next target will be at the 3086 - 2846 range. - Price went through a consolidation as we closed last week's candle, and we are now at POC. - Levels to Watch: 3418, 3363, 3283
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by Caramel0
1
Gold LongsSolid daily structure for Gold heading into the holiday weekend. Bullish going into next week if price closes bullish on the week. Daily discount SSL swept and closed back inside the range on Monday. Daily OB confirmed on Tuesday. FVG created and inversion fvg confirmed on Wednesday. Anticipating Thursday to possibly pull back and offer a prime continuation to the upside. I'd like to see the inversion be respected. Price can wick into the BISI but I don't want to see price close below the BISI. That's a red flag. Targeting Equal Highs.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CEOTraders
Gold Holds Ground as Bulls Eye $3,410 Volume ZoneGold built support at $3,337.2 in today's trading session. However, the uptrend is capped, and the price remained below the Bearish Fair Value Gap. From a technical standpoint, XAU/USD outlook remains bullish above $3,337.2. In this scenario, the target is likely to be the next high volume area, which stands tall at $3,410.0. Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if Gold closes and stabilizes below the $3,337.2 support.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FenzoFxBroker