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XAUUSD1! trade ideas

Gold loading up on buys but first, more drops!Gold is in a place where many are loading up on buys and I understand why. Gold has been taking some significant drops since pushing all time highs but check my charts and reason with me. In the large timeframes gold still has some movement down to complete the cycle before going back for all time highs again. Additionally it’s holding the $3388 resistance level (futures price) pretty strong on the 15 minute chart. It’s gonna be an interesting week for gold to say the least.
COMEX:GCZ2025Short
by TAGS_Worldview
Gold’s in the Chop Shop. Tokyo’s Got the KeysGold has entered a key decision zone ahead of Tokyo. After a controlled retracement off the 3332 swing high, price has now compressed into a high-probability confluence pocket: - 50% Fibonacci retracement (3316.3) - VWAP acting as dynamic support (~3317) - Trend line support holding from prior structure lows - Compression below 3332.1 the breakout gate If Tokyo volume engages, this could trigger a clean structural breakout into higher liquidity zones. Primary Entry: - Trigger: 15M or 1H candle close above 3332.1 - Entry Range: 3333.0 – 3334.5 on retest confirmation - Stop Loss: 3312 (below trend line + VWAP) Aggressive Entry (Mean Reversion): - Bounce off VWAP/Fib zone (3316–3317.5) with bullish reaction - Tighter SL: 3312–3314 - Lower R:R, but better pricing Target Zones: - TP1 3340 Minor resistance & round number - TP2 3365 Prior breakdown zone / supply - TP3 3390–3400 Extended Tokyo move + trend reversal territory If I'm Wrong: A breakdown below 3312 invalidates the bullish thesis. That would signal VWAP failure, trend line break, and potential reversion to 3300 or lower. Technical Confluence Checklist: - VWAP support holding - Complete - 50% Fib bounce attempt - Complete - EMAs compressing for potential crossover - Complete - Clean trend line structure intact - Complete - Low volume chop zone between 3312–3332 - Caution Tokyo often fakes the initial move. Ideal trigger confirmation comes 30–60 mins after Tokyo open, once liquidity builds. Watch for manipulation wicks around VWAP before committing. This is a classic quant compression setup, price is coiled into structure, and all major intraday tools align. If we see a clean move above 3332 with volume, the breakout could unfold fast. But lose VWAP and trend line, and the bias flips instantly. Stay reactive, not predictive. Let price prove direction.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by stakkd
GOLD - GC Weekly Recap & Outlook | 27.07.2025🧾 Weekly Recap: • Price tapped into the 1H Demand Zone (red box) and ran the 4H swing liquidity before bouncing to clear internal range liquidity. • This move was followed by a retracement which led to a break of the bullish trendline. This may signal the beginning of a broader accumulation phase. Expect choppy price action targeting internal liquidity both above and below, before a clear trend resumes. 📌 Technical Analysis: Price has closed below the bullish trendline, leading to two possible scenarios: 1. Bullish scenario (black path): – Price runs the W C DOL (3313$) → – Finds rejection → – Retests broken trendline → – Breaks above the trendline → – Continues toward 3444$ and potentially 3474$ 2. Bearish scenario (orange path): – Price runs W C DOL (3313$) → – Rejects from the broken trendline → – Fails to reclaim it → – Continues downward to target M C DOL (3256$) 📈 Setup Trigger: Wait for clear 1H–4H supply/demand zone creation and structure shift before initiating a trade. 🎯 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Above/below relevant supply-demand zone • Targets: – Bullish: 3444$, 3474$ – Bearish: 3256$ 🟡 If you liked the idea, feel free to drop a like & comment — and don’t forget to follow for more weekly updates.
COMEX:GC1!
by UA_CAPITAL
MGC Tokyo Fade: If It Rejects, It DiesThis one was a request from someone asking for a breakdown of MGC heading into the Tokyo session so here’s the full quant review. After Friday’s clean liquidation, gold found temporary footing around 3330. But the bounce is stalling under VWAP (3344) and Friday’s POC both stacking resistance like a ceiling of bricks. EMAs are fanned and directional, suggesting sellers still control the structure. VWAP + POC = kill zone for a potential Tokyo fade. Quant Review: - Friday Session POC: 3341.9 — currently acting as resistance - VWAP (Session): 3344.6 — unclaimed on the bounce - 9 & 21 EMAs: Bearishly stacked, aligned with VWAP - Volume Profile: Value area is lower; price is rejecting acceptance higher - Microstructure: Weak bounce into resistance without reclaim of structure Trade Plan (Short Bias): - Entry Zone: 3340–3344 (VWAP/POC cluster) - Trigger: Bearish engulfing or LTF rejection off VWAP shelf - TP1: 3332 (prior low) - TP2: 3322 (thin node sweep) - TP3: 3305 (session low extension) - Stop Loss: Above 3346 (structure + shelf break) - R:R: 1.5–5 depending on scaling - Probability of rejection and drop to 3332: 65% - Probability of full leg to 3322–3305: 30% - Risk of breakout above VWAP: 5% If I’m Wrong The Sunday open is always a wildcard sometimes you get pure trend continuation, other times it’s total chop or liquidity grabs before the real move unfolds in London. If price cleanly reclaims 3346, closes above with strength, and holds the short idea is off. At that point, I’d expect a sweep toward 3355–3360, potentially tagging the high-volume node from mid-Friday. In that case: Flip bias to bullish retrace into early London. Bonus: If you ever want a quant-style breakdown or session analysis like this just reach out. We break it down with structure, stats, and setups.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by stakkd
GOLD – New Week Technical Bias (Market Open) Structural Outlook: The broader bullish sequence remains valid, with no structural breach confirmed yet. However, price is currently reacting at a sensitive level, warranting measured caution. Zone Dynamics : ▪︎ A recently activated Rejection Zone is expected to support a gradual impulse toward the PIZ. ▪︎ From the PIZ, two scenarios unfold: a. If it becomes a Price Base, we may see a continuation rally toward the 3433.2 region. b. If the PIZ acts instead as a Price Cap, price may reject lower, targeting the pending Rejection Zone beneath or deeper, should the current zone fail to hold. Thereby presenting a Bearish structural formation. Summary: The directional bias remains bullish unless a clear Structure Breach (SB) occurs below key support levels. Stay adaptive, and observe the PIZ reaction closely for directional confirmation. 🛑 Disclaimer: This is not a trade signal. These are high-level technical insights meant for educational and analytical purposes. Always validate with your system and trade with discipline and risk awareness.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Olamitrades1
Gold Futures and the BOS Brearish Movement Steps In?After a clear break of structure and consistent rejection below the 209 EMA, price is retracing toward a key zone of confluence between 3347–3379. This area aligns with: Former demand turned supply (OB) Volume cluster (high activity zone) RSI hidden bearish divergence Fair Value Gap (inefficiency fill target) My expectation: a short-term bullish correction (blue) into that zone, followed by a high-probability sell-off (red) toward 3306–3290. Bias : Bearish unless price reclaims 3394+ Strategy: Smart Money + Volume Profile + RSI Confirmation Follow @GoldenZoneFX For more content and valuable insights.
COMEX:GC1!
by GoldenZoneFX
Gold short Read this clearly, my confidence in this trade is 3 out of 10. Use very small size on this trade, as iam not sure at all that this is even the right thing to do. The chart is messy, and there is consolidation is going on. if the price didnt make it to nr 1 circle, dont worry about it. The most important thing is the close below the FVG. Also confirm on lower time frame to see how the price reacts to the entry levels. If anything is going to happen, is going to happen at those levels.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by lojjkkjvvv
Gold at a Crossroad: Long or Short? Key Levels in FocusThere are three chart of Gold . Gold1! is forming a Rising Wedge pattern, with resistance positioned between 103500-104000 levels. Gold1! is facing Pivot Point resistance around the 103500 level, indicating potential supply pressure. Gold1! is approaching the parallel channel resistance, and the upside move is nearly complete in percentage terms, with resistance around 103800-104000. if this level sustain then we may see first of all higher prices then again fall in gold1! Thank You !!
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by FiveCircles
Gold Futures (GC1!)Gold Futures (GC1!) 1H – Bearish Rejection Setup Price showed a strong bullish impulse followed by a rejection near the 3,416 resistance zone, forming a lower high and signaling potential exhaustion of buyers. After grabbing liquidity above the previous high, it failed to hold above the zone and retraced back below a key structure level around 3,406. This setup aligns with a classic breakout and retest, now acting as resistance. I entered a short position after confirmation of bearish price action, targeting the demand zone around 3,372–3,368. Stop loss is placed just above the high at 3,416.8.
COMEX:GC1!
by maswifelix1999
1
GOLD - Lovers Elliott wave - looking strong Short/Medium termGOLD-----Daily counts indicate Excellent bullish wave structure. Both appear to be optimistic and this stock invalidation number (S L) wave 2 low target short / long term are already shared as per charts correction wave leg seems completed (C) Investing in declines is a smart move for short/ long-term players. Buy in DIPS recommended Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years. one of best counter Every graphic used to comprehend & LEARN & understand the theory of Elliot waves, Harmonic waves, Gann Theory, and Time theory Every chart is for educational purposes. We have no accountability for your profit or loss.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by wavesmonk