Platinum is bouncing off its 3-year uptrendWe expect Platinum to erode the downtrend that started in May 2023 at the level of 931 and move upwards. Our confidence in this projection stems from two factors. Firstly, the market is rebounding off a robust 3-year uptrend, indicating a strong underlying support. Secondly, there's a notable divergence in the daily RSI, which indicates a loss in downward momentum at this critical juncture.
In the bigger picture, long-term trendlines tend to hold more significance than shorter-term ones. In this specific case, the well-established uptrend is likely to prevail and push Platinum beyond its more immediate downtrend. One to start paying attention to!
#platinum #commodities #preciousmetals
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XPTUSD1! trade ideas
October Platinum futures, green shoots off Friday price action?Platinum futures alongside other metals have clearly been bearish and the Platinum Metals Group consisting primarily of Palladium and Platinum have been selling off in recent sessions and Platinum recently dipped below 900 to 984.2 making back-to-back bottoms at 894.2 once off the extended session and once again off the following RTH session now exactly 5 Fridays' prior. We then appeared to quickly reject that price point below 900 and have attempted to push back above 1000 clocking a high of 1003.7 on Tue July 18th. This appeared then to be a failed breakout above and we have promptly dropped back to 935 in yesterday's session which appears to tout some green shoots and suggesting a second attempt back over 1K price handle. Will we hold 930's and sail higher? This upcoming week will tell and I remain bullish into the week ahead seeking a target back up above 1K.
Platinum: Inverse Head and ShouldersThe Platinum market has been under pressure and has seen some strong selling from the April highs at 1148.9. With the potential supply surge in the palladium market, there are stronger concerns that Platinum will be dragged down as well. On the technical side, we are seeing a nice inverse head and shoulders that would indicate prices shifting to the upside, and there is strong trendline support going back to the August '22 lows. For the bulls to take control of this market, we would need to see some strong buying near this critical support level, or we can see prices sharply lower with the overall supply concerns.
Platinum: How low will you go? 🤔Platinum is on its way downwards to develop wave Y in light green and still has got room to expand. Indeed, there is a 30% chance that the price could even drop into the green zone between $758 and $659, establishing the low of wave Alt.Y in light green instead. Primarily, though, we expect platinum to turn upwards before reaching the green zone.
potential bounce in platinum taking a shot here buy: 998 or lower.
Stop: 990
The model:
The Ingenuity Trading Model is a Geometric Markov Model with specific inputs related to Price, Time, Volume , and Volatility. The model attempts to predict local minimums in price on a daily and weekly basis. A fancy way of saying a trading system that detects specific patterns in price, time, volume, and volatility and indicates whether to buy or sell.
On winning trades after 1 day take at least ⅓ of the position off and move stop to breakeven
PLATINUM BREAKOUTS X 3 Platinum Futures
At present Precious Metals all seem to have the wind at their back on longer timeframes.
- A H&S pattern with a potential breakout within a
- Cup&handle with a potential breakout within a
- A long term pennant with a potential breakout.
RSI Indications
- You can see how the green/red circles and resistance lines provided great entries and exits.
- We are approaching the upped resistance line and I would expect some resistance here which aligns with the resistance of the Cup and Handle (which aligns with historic price resistance)
- Use the RSI resistance lines to help manage risk.
In summary I am long term bullish however if we breach the bottom of the long term pennant... we exit the trade. RR is great here if you set a stop under the pennant resistance, this being for a long term 36 - 60 motnh trade.
There are also lots of short term opportunities in this chart from the three patterns identified. These you can see and manage within your own timelines using the chart lines as reference points for buy and sells.
Thanks
PUKA
Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 1068.8
Pivot: 1022.0
Support: 971.4
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PL1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Expecting price to retest the pivot at 1022.0, where the overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the support at 971.4 where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price could possibly break the pivot at 1022.0, where the overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the resistance at 1068.8, where the recent high is
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 1068.8
Pivot: 1022.0
Support: 971.4
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PL1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Expecting price to retest the pivot at 1022.0, where the overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the support at 971.4 where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price could possibly break the pivot at 1022.0, where the overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the resistance at 1068.8, where the recent high is
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
PLATINUM FUTURES PROBABILTYIm thinking this could be a strong short term entry which could be held strong in its bullish momentum over a long term period of time since market structure has already broke above the DAILY EQUAL HIGHS marked in the blue zone. COMMENTS ON THIS TRADE WILL BE MUCH APPRECIATED.
PLATINUMHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT PL1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like and follow thanks
Platinum to hit 990 then Rise HigherKeep an eye on platinum to hit 990 then rise higher
-Inflation has not be curved yet
-Interest rate continue higher
-until those reverse Things will continue to be more expensive
Limit order @ 990
SL@ 9825 (Risk -750 Per contract)
1st TP @ 1050(+2500)
2nd TP @ 1090(+3500)
Platinum - a new 🐂 marketThe Bear market in Platinum characterised by a 15 year downtrend in a Descending triangle formation has broken out a second time (first being a headfake) coupled with the severe historical undervaluation when comparing against M2 strengthens the idea of a renewed bull market past $3000 over the next 3-5 years if historical bull markets are anything to go by.
Platinum is currently being considered as one of the primary metals in assisting chemical reactions taking place in EV vehicles in order to increase efficiency; a desperate state of affairs despite it being touted as Green Energy; heavy demand could ironically come from this market which was seen as a deflationary force on Platinum. For these reasons Platinum is a serious bet to go Long.
Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish MomentumTitle: Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 1037.8
Pivot: 974.3
Support: 940.9
Preferred case: The current bias for PL1! on the H4 chart is bullish . To add to this bias, the price is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud and ascending trendline, indicating a bullish market. If the bullish momentum continues, price may head towards the resistance at 1037.8, where the previous high is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may retrace downwards and head towards the 940.9 support level , where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish MomentumTitle: Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 1037.8
Pivot: 974.3
Support: 940.9
Preferred case: The current bias for PL1! on the H4 chart is bullish. To add to this bias, the price is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud and ascending trendline, indicating a bullish market. If the bullish momentum continues, price may head towards the resistance at 1037.8, where the previous high is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may retrace downwards and head towards the 940.9 support level, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.