BTCUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 99659 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 97824
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 10315
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITCOIN trade ideas
SELL BTCUSD trading signalBTCUSD confirmed the weakness at the trendline resistance zone on the h4 time frame.
The h1 time frame price confirmed that the sellers won when the candle closed below the nearest trendline support zone.
In terms of wave structure, there is no strong support zone that is strong enough to keep the BTC price uptrend in the short term. Therefore, the target of the SELL signal can reach 100,400. That is the wick area of the past liquidity candle where the buyers won over the sellers and pushed the price up sharply.
106 Retest?Could very well be possible that we see BTC revisit 106 for a final retest to solidify it as a firm base of support before truly attacking 109-110. BUT, once 109-110 has been broken through it will likely be retested to create another layer of support before seeking new ATHs and price discovery. I am also still of the belief that we will see BTC.D start to really crap the bed in the coming weeks with euphoria finally arriving in middle August according to BTC.D's key support levels.
Stand fast. Keep faith. Remain vigilant.
BTC/USD Long Setup – Buy the Dip into SupportMarket Context:
Bitcoin is currently in a retracement phase after rejecting from the local high near 111,900. Despite the short-term pullback, the broader structure remains bullish. This setup is based on a retracement into a key support zone, offering a potential entry for the next leg up.
Setup Idea:
Price is pulling back into a confluence area that includes:
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 105,454
Previous structure support
A retest of the broken diagonal trendline
This zone is expected to act as demand, providing a favorable long entry opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry zone: Around 105,400
Stop loss: Below 104,100 (beneath structure and fib zone)
Target: Retest of the previous high near 111,890
Risk/Reward: High R potential with clearly defined invalidation
Notes:
If price breaks below 105,000 and fails to show buying strength, the setup becomes weaker. A decisive break below 103,900 invalidates the trade idea. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. higher low or volume reaction) in the entry zone before committing.
This is a clean, structured opportunity aligned with the prevailing trend. Patience and confirmation are key.
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates,
Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed.
- Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k.
- In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking.
- Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance
- Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
BTC is sliding to around 73k as a minimum target to 43kIt's just starting a downtrend inside a big Correction
Major Res. @ 114,000
Major Support @ 43,000
My decision is to go short @ spot price / Take profits @ 73,000 - 43,000 / Stoploss @ 114,000 - 116,000
This recommendation is to 3 - 6 months investors.
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500
📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000
📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000
📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K.
📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD.
💡 Strategy:
🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000
🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
Bitcoin Daily – Multi-Line Magnet in Play📊 Bitcoin Daily – Multi-Line Magnet in Play
Price, Time, and Structure Align
I’ve added a new trendline connecting the last two deep hits.
Technically, the second hit broke the old flag structure – but honestly, that’s not a real problem.
👉 The overall swing structure remains intact.
The new line now perfectly fits the current market rhythm.
What’s really interesting:
This new trendline converges exactly at the same magnetic zone I’ve been tracking – around 96,944 USD.
It aligns with the previous horizontal key level, the EMA projection, and the crosspoint I marked earlier.
This kind of multi-line confluence often acts like a price magnet.
👉 What I love about this setup:
If price really pushes into this zone, it would cleanly stab through the old flag structure – a typical panic trigger that shakes out many traders.
📌 Also worth noting: Another day has passed since my initial idea, and the current price action has technically proven that it’s possible to push lower.
The path to the target remains open.
👉 Stop-Loss Logic:
For this setup, the cold stop-loss sits just below the midline of the weekly Bollinger Band.
If this level gets broken, the overall structure is technically invalid.
But I wouldn’t place the stop directly on the midline – it’s smarter to give it a small buffer to survive potential liquidity sweeps.
Typically, this level doesn’t break cleanly on the first touch.
Let’s see how this plays out.
BTC Pullback or Breakout? Key Levels to Watch Around 110KBitcoin is showing repeated rejections from the $110K and $108K zones. Currently, it's moving upward from the $98K area toward resistance, but price action remains compressed between the major trendline support and resistance.
This range-bound structure suggests that a pullback may be imminent, especially as RSI is forming consistent bearish divergence and the MACD is signaling weakness. A liquidity sweep to the downside could occur before a decisive move.
However, if BTC manages to break above the converging trendlines with strong volume, we may see a move toward $110K again for a retest. Watch $106K as an intermediate support. If that fails, further downside may follow.
📌 Trading Insight: Wait for confirmation before entering — don’t jump in without a clear signal.
Market next target 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bearish Alternative Scenario
The current chart suggests a bullish continuation from the consolidation zone around $107,300–$107,500, with a projected move toward $108,500+. However, the following bearish disruption could invalidate that path:
---
🔻 Bearish Disruption Possibility:
1. False Breakout Trap:
If price briefly spikes above the consolidation zone and quickly reverses, it could trap breakout buyers.
A failed bullish move around $107,800–$108,000 would be the first bearish signal.
2. Weak Volume Confirmation:
Lack of volume during the breakout would signal lack of institutional interest, increasing downside risk.
3. Break Below Support Zone:
If BTC breaks below $107,000, it would signal a loss of momentum and invalidate the bullish scenario.
This breakdown may lead to a quick move toward $106,000 or even $105,800, the recent swing low.
4. Macro Influence:
Any negative U.S. economic data or regulatory news could spark bearish sentiment and accelerate the drop.
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing in Play
Tracking the Snap Zone & Energy Reset
I’m watching a probabilistic swing scenario on Bitcoin where the price might need to dive into the 100k - 101k zone to build enough energy for the next major move.
The key area I’m tracking is the EMA 200 on the daily chart (~95k - 97k).
This would be the natural deep target if the price sweeps lower. The EMA 200 often acts as a long-term support where markets "reset" and gather strength.
👉 It’s also worth noting: Institutional traders traditionally view the daily EMA 200 as a key buy zone in an overall bullish market structure.
That’s where many large players reload positions, aiming to ride the next expansion wave.
What I’m expecting:
A retracement into 100k - 101k to snap the short EMAs together.
A potential liquidity sweep below the EMA 100, possibly down to the EMA 200 zone.
Key bullish signals: wick rejections, strong bounce candles, and engulfing patterns on the 4h or daily.
This would set up the energy for a clean bounce and a probable move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k.
Without this deeper retracement, the move would likely run out of steam earlier, probably capping out around 112k.
I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural price swings, EMA wave dynamics, and energy compression zones.
📌 Chart and path idea attached.
What’s your view? Are you watching this zone?
BTC Consolidates Above $100K — Bullish Structure Remains IntactKey Support Holding Firm:
Bitcoin is consolidating above the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone, a former resistance area from early 2025. Holding this level preserves the broader bullish structure.
Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Strength:
While recent price action shows some lower highs and lows, the long-term uptrend that began in April remains fully intact. This is typical consolidation behavior within a strong bull market.
Wedge Formation Points to Breakout:
A six-month wedge pattern continues to develop, often a precursor to a powerful breakout. If resolved to the upside, the next leg could target the $130,000–$135,000 range.
Outlook Remains Bullish:
As long as Bitcoin holds above $100,000, there’s no technical basis for a bearish scenario. This remains a constructive pause within a dominant uptrend.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #SupportAndResistance #WedgeBreakout #LongTermTrend #MarketOutlook #PriceAction