BTC Price Action AnalysisHad to update the earlier Elliot wave count because the most recent move up looks far more like an impulsive structure than a corrective one
Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting is stirring up extra volatility.
I’m anticipating a run-up toward the $100K area before a larger retracement sets in. Psychologically, $100K is a major round number that could attract late retail buyers often becoming exit liquidity for earlier players. A sharp move up could squeeze remaining shorts and generate momentum, only to trap new longs before the market turns lower.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin - Bitcoin on the Road to $100,000?!Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between EMA50 and EMA200. If Bitcoin moves downward towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
In April, Bitcoin recorded a growth of 14.7%, successfully rebounding from a sharp early-month decline that had dragged its price down to $74,901. This level marks Bitcoin’s lowest price point in 2025 so far.
U.S. President Donald Trump, in an interview with NBC News, responded to growing concerns about a possible economic recession by saying that everything would be “fine.” He referred to the current phase as a “transitional period” and expressed confidence that the U.S. economy would perform “extraordinarily well.” When asked directly if he feared a recession, Trump replied, “No,” though he added, “Anything is possible, but I believe we are headed toward having the greatest economy in our nation’s history.”
On the other hand, Ethereum ended April with a 1.58% decline—marking its fifth consecutive month of losses. Over the past year, Ethereum has only seen gains in three months, and it is currently down 36.7% compared to the same period last year.
Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced its intention to invest up to $84 billion in Bitcoin. The funds will be raised evenly through stock issuance ($42 billion) and debt securities ($42 billion).
In the first quarter of 2025, Strategy reported a profit of $5.8 billion from its Bitcoin investments, achieving a return of 13.7%. The company has also raised its annual targets, increasing its projected Bitcoin return from 15% to 25% and its dollar profit goal from $10 billion to $15 billion.Meanwhile, the short-term holder profit/loss ratio for Bitcoin has returned to a neutral level of 1.0, indicating balance between coins held at a profit and those at a loss. Historically, this level has often served as resistance during bearish phases. If prices remain above this point, it could signal strengthening momentum and a potential market recovery.
Elsewhere, reports indicate that Apple has violated a previous antitrust ruling by continuing to restrict users from accessing alternative payment methods outside of the App Store. The decision, issued by Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, now requires Apple to allow apps—including those related to crypto and NFTs—to operate without paying fees or seeking special approval. This ruling immediately strips Apple of its ability to collect commissions on out-of-app purchases and prohibits the company from monitoring or tracking such transactions.
Bullish Continuation SetupThe price of Bitcoin fluctuated sharply on May 7 and showed an upward trend, once approaching $98,000. The overall market is in a strong bullish state, but potential risks brought by a top divergence need to be watched out for. In terms of capital flow, although there is a lack of a large amount of new capital inflow, the increase in holdings by existing holders has driven the price up. If the price can hold firm at $96,000 and continue to rise, the bulls will keep pushing up, and there is hope for further upward space. If it fails to break through the pressure level of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at $97,650, the bulls may consider taking profits, and the price is likely to return to the trading range for adjustment. The key support level below is in the range of $94,000 - $94,500. If this range is broken, there may be a further decline to $93,000 or even lower.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
BTCUSD Price ActionHello traders!
If you look closely at the left side of the chart, you’ll notice multiple rejections from the same zone — forming a head-and-shoulders-style distribution. This area has now become a strong supply zone.
Key Observations:
Price respected the trendline and formed a base just beneath the supply zone.
We saw a base breakout followed by a liquidity grab, which likely cleared out early buyers.
Price is now heading back into the supply zone with imbalance, aligning with the trendline and previous rejection area.
📌 What to Expect:
This is a high-probability short setup. If price taps into the supply zone again, it could trigger a strong move down, especially with liquidity already swept.
🎯 Idea: Wait for confirmation around the supply zone and consider shorting with a target near the support level below.
Bitcoin Short Trade Signal: Momentum Fading, Correction AheadBitcoin has been moving within a parallel channel for a while, with many traders eagerly anticipating a push toward the $97,000 mark. However, this scenario is unlikely. Instead, Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum, setting the stage for a potential correction.
Given this setup, we maintain our short trade position. As always, proper risk management is essential—make sure to place your stop-loss (SL) and manage your entries wisely. A strategy of two or three entries can help secure a higher SL, reducing exposure to volatility.
Remember, this is not financial advice—always do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSD ANYLASIS 1 HOUR TIME FRAME Based on the BTC/USD 1-hour chart we provide
Entry Sell is marked around the 96,400–96,500 level.
Target 1 is shown at approximately 94,600.
Target 2 is projected near 93,600.
The chart suggests a bearish move after a breakout from the downtrend resistance zone, implying a potential short trade setup targeting these levels.
BTCUSD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of BTCUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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BTC/USD Rejects Key Supply Zone – Is a Drop to $88K Next?Bitcoin just rejected a major supply zone around $97,300, showing signs of strong bearish momentum. This 4H chart highlights a clear rejection from the visible range high-volume node, with BTC currently trading at $96,191 and dropping.
Key Observations:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around $97,300 – price has failed to break above this level multiple times.
Demand Zone (Support): Sitting near $88,129, this is the next major liquidity area to watch.
Bearish Signal: Consecutive red candles forming below the supply zone with lower highs, hinting at selling pressure taking control.
Targets:
First short-term target: $92,000
Final demand zone target: $88,129
Bias:
Bearish until BTC breaks and holds above $97.3K with volume.
Trade Idea:
Look for a potential short entry on a bearish retest of the rejected zone. Risk management is key – wait for confirmation.
What I'm Watching:
Will buyers step in at GETTEX:92K ? Or is BTC heading straight for the FWB:88K demand zone?
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Hashtags for Visibility:
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #TradingStrategy #LuxAlgo #FrankFx #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #4hChart
#BTCUSDT:Chart The image shows a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading chart on the Bitstamp exchange with a 45-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key details:
1. Price Information:
Current BTC price: ~$96,342
Buy price: $96,342
Sell price: $96,341
Change: -$583 (-0.60%)
2. Chart Patterns:
The chart displays a descending trendline with a consolidation zone at the bottom (highlighted in purple/yellow).
A bullish breakout is anticipated, as shown by the large blue upward arrow.
The target zone after the breakout is highlighted in the upper purple/yellow zone near the $97,588 level.
3. Technical Zones:
Support zone: Around $96,000 (highlighted in purple/yellow at the bottom).
Resistance/target zone: Around $97,500–$97,600.
4. Indicators:
Volume bars at the bottom.
Blue zigzag pattern possibly indicating recent price swings.
A shaded green rectangle indicating a bullish projection area.
This chart suggests a potential reversal or breakout to the upside from the support zone. Would you like help analyzing potential entry/exit points or setting up risk management based on this chart?
BTCUSD BUY SETUP COMPLETE ANYLSIS Current technical analysis indicates a potential buying opportunity in BTCUSD, supported by key indicators:
- *Support Zone*: $(96'596)
- $(96'638) strong level where buying interest is expected to emerge.
- *Oversold Conditions*: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal.
- *Bullish Divergence*: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish divergence, indicating a possible trend reversal.
*Trade Parameters*:
- *Buy Zone*: $(96'596)
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- *Take Profit 1*: (96'824)(initial target)
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- *Take Profit 2*: (96'965) (extended target)
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- Take Profit 3 (97165)
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- *Stop Loss*: (96381) (risk management)
*Trading Strategy*:
- Monitor price action and indicator confirmation.
- Consider scaling into the trade.
- Adjust position size according to risk tolerance.
*Disclaimer*:
Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial experts before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin long: Expects Wave 5 Extension, Target $112,608I provide an update to the Bitcoin Elliott Wave primary wave counts. Here's a few things to note:
1. Primary Wave 3 = Primary Wave 1. Wave 3 is actually slightly longer than wave 1 but for the purpose of ascertaining whether it extends, we take the position that it did not.
2. Expects Primary Wave 5 extension of at least 1.618x of Primary Wave 1, giving us a target of $112,608.
3. Stop below Primary Wave 4, around $92,750.
BTC/USD - Rejection Incoming? Key Supply Zone Hit – Watch These Bitcoin just tagged a major supply zone around $96,600, showing early signs of exhaustion after a clean breakout above $95,192.
What’s on the Chart?
Supply Zone (Blue Box): Price has entered a previous rejection area.
Demand Zone (Orange Box): Strong bullish reaction earlier from $93,800 - $94,200.
Breakout Point: $95,192 acted as resistance turned support.
What Traders Are Watching:
Rejection Candles: If this 15-min candle closes as a wick or reversal pattern, we might see a short-term pullback.
Bearish Confirmation: Below $95,200 opens room back to the orange demand zone.
Continuation Scenario: Clean breakout above $96,700 could lead to explosive move toward $97,500+.
Potential Trade Idea (for reference):
Short Entry: $96,500–$96,600
Stop Loss: Above $96,800
Target: $95,200 / $94,000
This could be a great opportunity for short-term scalpers or traders using LuxAlgo zones as dynamic S&D references.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #Scalping #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy
BTC NEARS 14 WEEKS HIGH, WOULD THE MOMENTUM CONTINUE?The king of crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), extended its winning streak into Thursday, marking three consecutive days of gains. This surge has been largely attributed to a weaker U.S. dollar, the establishment of the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve and accumulation of large amount by investors and an overall risk-on sentiment prevailing in global markets, which has buoyed demand for alternative assets like BTC.
As at 5:55pm GMT +4, Bitcoin was trading around $99,280.87, up approximately 2.72% for the day. This bullish momentum puts BTC within striking distance of its 14-week high at $100,202.18, a level that currently acts as a key resistance zone on the upside.
From a technical standpoint, BTC continues to respect the ascending trendline on the 4-hour time frame, reinforcing its short-term bullish structure.
However, the upward movement has so far been capped near the psychological and technical supply zone around $100,000.
For the remaining days in the week, no major catalysts are currently on the calendar. This opens the door for price action to be primarily driven by market sentiment and technical levels.
KEY LEVELS TO WATCHOUT
If bullish momentum persists and buyers manage to push price above the $100,000 barrier, this could pave the way for a test of $102,551. A breakout beyond that level would shift focus to the $106,000 region, As per analysts,
On the flip side, should sellers regain control, immediate support lies at $95,000. A sustained break below that level could lead to deeper corrections, with potential targets at $91,800 and even $88,565, according to market analysts. Breakouts in either direction are not ruled out.
BTCUSD technical analysis.The new image shows an updated technical analysis chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from the Bitstamp exchange, published by the XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team on TradingView.
Key Updates and Insights:
1. Price Action:
The current price has increased to 96,625, down 189 points (-0.20%) from the previous level.
2. Chart Patterns:
Similar to the previous chart, there is a rectangle pattern at the bottom, indicating a consolidation phase.
After a breakout, the price moved upwards, forming a new resistance level at 96,616 (marked by a black line).
3. New Predicted Movement:
The updated arrows indicate a bullish outlook.
The chart now shows a potential retracement to the resistance level, followed by a move upward if the level is successfully retested and holds as support.
4. Trading Implication:
If the price holds above 96,616, it could indicate a buy signal, targeting higher levels.
A break and retest pattern is highlighted, suggesting a potential long position after confirmation.
Would you like help formulating a trading strategy based on this bullish scenario?
Bitcoin has pulled back after a substantial riseThe price of Bitcoin showed a trend of rising first and then making a small correction. On that day, the price rose after getting support near $93,500 and reached around $97,500 at its highest point, before pulling back somewhat.👉👉👉
The bulls in the market have shown strong performance, and the price has significantly increased at one point. However, we still need to be cautious about the potential pullback risks brought by the bearish divergence at the top and the resistance level above.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 94000-94370
sl 93000
tp 95000-95500
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bullish Continuation SetupBitcoin is showing strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, having broken out of a key range and now approaching a potential retest zone.
Price is currently hovering around 96,990, and we’re anticipating a possible retracement into the demand zone between 91,856 – 88,533. This area aligns with a previous consolidation and breakout range, offering a high-probability buy zone if price reacts with bullish intent.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
Break of structure confirms bullish bias
Demand zone identified between 91.8K – 88.5K
Anticipating a retracement for continuation
Bullish targets toward 100K+
We’ll be watching lower timeframes for confirmation (engulfing candles, bullish BOS, or SFPs) before entering long.