Unmasking the "Intrinsic Value" Debate Between Gold vs BTCFool's Gold? Unmasking the "Intrinsic Value" Debate Between Gold and Bitcoin
The assertion is a familiar one, a well-worn cudgel in the ongoing debate between traditional assets and their digital counterparts: "Gold has intrinsic value that Bitcoin doesn't." This statement often serves as the bedrock for arguments championing the yellow metal's timeless appeal while dismissing cryptocurrency as mere speculative froth. But what if this foundational claim, this appeal to gold's inherent, undeniable worth, is built on shakier ground than its proponents believe? What if the very notion of "intrinsic value" as applied to these assets is a misunderstanding, a convenient narrative rather than an objective truth?
This exploration will journey into the heart of this debate, dissecting the concept of intrinsic value and examining how it truly applies – or doesn't – to both gold and Bitcoin. We will scrutinize gold's much-vaunted industrial utility against the backdrop of its vast above-ground stocks and its overwhelming monetary premium. We will consider whether value is indeed an inherent property of an object or a subjective judgment made by individuals. Ultimately, by challenging long-held assumptions, we aim to illuminate the real sources of value for both the ancient metal and the modern digital asset, moving beyond simplistic labels to a more nuanced understanding.
1. The Elusive Nature of "Intrinsic Value"
Before we can meaningfully discuss whether gold or Bitcoin possesses intrinsic value, we must grapple with the term itself. In the realm of corporate finance, "intrinsic value" refers to the fundamental worth of a company, derived from an analysis of its assets, earnings potential, cash flows, and overall financial health. It's an attempt to ascertain what a stock should be worth, independent of its fluctuating market price. This is the world of discounted cash flow models and balance sheet scrutiny.
However, this definition struggles when applied to commodities or currencies. Gold, like Bitcoin, does not generate cash flows. It doesn't pay dividends or have earnings reports. As one observer noted, gold and Bitcoin are commodities that have a spot price; their "value" is essentially what someone is willing to pay for them at a given moment. Companies, by contrast, can have an intrinsic value tied to the future economic benefits they are expected to produce for their owners.
So, when advocates claim gold has intrinsic value, they are often pointing to something else entirely. Usually, this encompasses its tangible, physical nature – you can hold it, feel its weight. It also refers to its historical use as money and a store of value over millennia. And crucially, it implies a baseline worth derived from its utility in practical applications, particularly in industry. One might even argue, as some have, that there is simply "no such thing as intrinsic value" in an absolute sense; value is not a property embedded within an object but is assigned to it by human beings.
2. Gold's Industrial Utility: A Gilded Facade?
The argument that gold's industrial use underpins its intrinsic value is perhaps the most frequently cited. "But it's used in microchips!" is a common, almost reflexive, defense. And it's true: gold's excellent conductivity, resistance to corrosion, and malleability make it a valuable component in high-end electronics, dentistry, aerospace, and certain medical applications. But the critical question is not whether gold has industrial uses, but how much these uses contribute to its overall market price.
Consider the data for a recent year, say 2024. Global industrial gold consumption was approximately 330 tonnes. However, a staggering 90% of this demand, around 297 tonnes, was met by recycling existing gold scrap, a process that can cost as little as tens of dollars per ounce. This leaves a mere 33 tonnes of new gold required from mining to satisfy the entirety of industrial needs not covered by recycling.
Now, compare this to the annual mine production. In that same year, about 3,700 tonnes of gold were newly extracted from the earth. This means that less than 1% (33 tonnes out of 3,700 tonnes) of all newly mined gold was actually needed for industrial purposes. The vast majority, over 99%, went elsewhere – primarily into jewelry, bars, and coins, all forms of value storage.
The disparity becomes even more dramatic when we consider the total above-ground stock of gold held for these value-storage purposes. This figure stands at roughly 184,000 tonnes. If, hypothetically, gold were to suddenly lose its allure as jewelry and its status as a monetary asset, and this colossal hoard were redirected to meet industrial needs (the 33 tonnes per year not covered by recycling), we would have enough gold to last for approximately 5,600 years at current industrial consumption rates. And this is without digging a single new ounce out of the ground. Much of this 184,000-tonne supply could potentially be acquired at prices far closer to the low cost of recycling than the current market price of newly mined gold.
As one commenter aptly put it, if gold's value was solely based on industrial demand, it "would be nearly worthless" compared to its current valuation. While gold does possess certain unique properties that make it useful, these applications are a drop in the ocean when explaining its price. The idea that its utility in microchips or dental fillings provides a significant "floor" for its value is, upon closer inspection, largely a myth.
3. The Towering Monetary Premium: Where Gold's Value Truly Lies
If industrial use accounts for such a tiny fraction of gold's demand and price, what explains the rest? The answer is its "monetary premium." This is the portion of an asset's price that exceeds its direct use-value as a commodity. For gold, this premium is immense, built over centuries of human history and cultural adoption.
Gold's journey as money began thousands of years ago. Its inherent characteristics – it doesn't rust or tarnish (durability), it's relatively rare (scarcity), it's easily recognizable and has a pleasing aesthetic (acceptability), it can be melted and reformed (divisibility and fungibility), and it's dense (portability of value) – made it a superior choice for a medium of exchange and store of value in pre-industrial societies. This long history has ingrained gold into the collective human consciousness as something inherently valuable. There's a certain "magical power," as one person described it, to the shiny yellow metal, a testament to its enduring legacy.
This historical precedent and the deep-seated belief in its enduring worth are what sustain gold's monetary premium. Central banks hold it in their reserves. Individuals purchase it in the form of jewelry (which, in many cultures, serves as a primary store of family wealth) and invest in bars and coins, not primarily for its practical applications, but because they trust it will preserve purchasing power or be desired by others in the future. This shared belief, this social consensus, is the bedrock of gold's value far more than its limited industrial applications. Some estimate this monetary premium to be as high as 90% of its total price, with the remaining 10% attributable to its use in jewelry and industry.
4. The Shifting Sands of Perceived Value
The notion that value is intrinsic and immutable is challenged by history itself. Value, as many economists and observers contend, is not an inherent property of an object but is determined by human perception and utility, which can and do change over time.
Consider aluminum. There was a time when aluminum was exceedingly rare and difficult to extract, making it more precious than gold. The capstone of the Washington Monument, completed in the late 19th century, was made of aluminum to signify its value and the technological prowess of the era. Today, thanks to advancements in refining processes, aluminum is abundant and inexpensive. We use it to wrap sandwiches, a far cry from its days as a "precious" metal adorning national monuments.
Similarly, Tyrian purple dye, derived from sea snails, was once so costly and labor-intensive to produce that its use was reserved for royalty and the highest echelons of society. It symbolized power and status. The invention of synthetic dyes in the 19th century made purple accessible to everyone, and the immense value once attached to the natural version evaporated.
These examples powerfully illustrate that what society deems valuable is not fixed. It is contingent on factors like scarcity (natural or artificial), the current state of technology, cultural significance, and collective human agreement. If gold's value is predominantly a monetary premium built on historical consensus and aesthetic appeal, then it too is subject to these shifting sands of human perception. The humorous desire to one day wrap sandwiches in gold foil, should it lose its monetary status, underscores this potential for radical revaluation.
5. Bitcoin's Utility: Solving Problems of the Digital Age
If gold's claim to "intrinsic value" through industrial use is tenuous, and its primary value stems from a historically constructed monetary premium, how does Bitcoin compare? Critics often dismiss Bitcoin as having no utility beyond speculation, a digital tulip mania. However, this perspective often overlooks the specific problems Bitcoin was designed to address and the unique properties it offers in the 21st century.
Bitcoin emerged in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis as a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system," aiming to provide an alternative to the traditional financial system. Its utility lies in its ability to offer:
• Decentralization: No single entity, corporation, or government controls the Bitcoin network. It operates on a distributed ledger (the blockchain) maintained by thousands of computers worldwide. This makes it resistant to control or shutdown by any central authority.
• Permissionless Access: Anyone with an internet connection can participate in the Bitcoin network – send, receive, and store value – without needing permission from a bank or government.
• Censorship Resistance: Once transactions are confirmed and added to the blockchain, they are extremely difficult to alter or reverse. This makes it a powerful tool for individuals in environments where financial censorship is a concern.
• Provable Scarcity: The Bitcoin protocol dictates that there will only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins. This hard cap on supply is a fundamental aspect of its design, making it a verifiably scarce digital asset. This contrasts with gold, where new supply is continuously mined each year, estimated by some to be around 1.5-2% of the existing above-ground stock, arguably diluting its value over time.
• Portability and Divisibility: Bitcoin is incredibly portable. Vast sums can be "carried" on a tiny device or even memorized as a seed phrase, and transferred across the globe in minutes for relatively low fees. It is also highly divisible, down to one hundred millionth of a bitcoin (a "satoshi"), facilitating transactions of various sizes.
• Verifiability: The authenticity and transaction history of every bitcoin can be publicly verified on the blockchain, eliminating the need for trust in intermediaries for this purpose.
• Durability: As a digital asset secured by a vast, decentralized network, Bitcoin is highly durable as long as the network itself remains operational and secure.
A crucial real-world utility, highlighted by observers, is Bitcoin's ability to bypass capital controls. For individuals in countries with restrictive financial regimes, Bitcoin offers a means to transact and move value across borders with a degree of freedom not possible through traditional channels. This is not a speculative feature; it is a tangible benefit solving a real problem for many.
While the number of people using Bitcoin worldwide is still relatively small compared to users of traditional financial systems, its adoption is growing. Like any transformative technology, its utility is being discovered and leveraged by an expanding user base. Its "intrinsic value," if we are to use that term, lies in its capacity to fulfill these unique functions.
6. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Clash of Properties
When we compare gold and Bitcoin based on properties often associated with a store of value or monetary good, distinct profiles emerge:
• Tangibility: Gold is physical; you can touch it. This offers a psychological comfort that some find reassuring. Bitcoin is digital; its existence is as code and ledger entries. Its "possession" is through control of cryptographic private keys.
• Industrial Utility: Gold has limited industrial uses that account for a tiny fraction of its price. Bitcoin's "industrial utility" is the operation of its network as a global system for value transfer and verification.
• Scarcity: Gold is naturally scarce, but its total earthly and cosmic abundance is unknown, and new supply is constantly mined. Bitcoin has absolute, programmable scarcity with a fixed supply cap.
• Portability: Moving large amounts of gold is cumbersome, expensive, and risky. Bitcoin is exceptionally portable.
• Divisibility: Gold can be physically divided, but it's not a seamless process. Bitcoin is easily and precisely divisible.
• Verifiability: Authenticating gold requires specialized knowledge and tools; it can be faked. Bitcoin transactions and holdings are verifiable with mathematical certainty on its public ledger.
• Durability: Gold is physically very durable. Bitcoin, as a digital protocol, is durable as long as its decentralized network is maintained and secured.
• Historical Precedent: Gold boasts millennia of use. Bitcoin is a little over a decade old, a mere infant by comparison.
• Censorship/Seizure Resistance: Physical gold can be, and has been, confiscated. Self-custodied Bitcoin, with properly secured private keys, is highly resistant to censorship and seizure.
This comparison reveals that while gold's strengths lie in its long history and physical presence, Bitcoin excels in areas like absolute scarcity, portability, divisibility, verifiability, and censorship resistance – attributes that are arguably increasingly valuable in an increasingly digital and interconnected global landscape.
7. The "Next Person" Fallacy and the Foundation of Value
A common critique leveled at both gold (for its monetary premium) and Bitcoin is that their value depends solely on "the next person being willing to buy it." In a sense, this is true for any asset that isn't consumed directly or doesn't produce cash flows. The value of a collectible, a piece of art, or indeed a monetary good, is ultimately what someone else is prepared to exchange for it.
However, this doesn't mean their value is arbitrary or baseless. The willingness of the "next person" to buy is predicated on a shared understanding or belief in the asset's desirable properties and its potential to retain or increase its value. For gold, this belief is built on thousands of years of tradition and its perceived enduring qualities. For Bitcoin, this belief is growing based on its unique technological attributes, its potential to solve modern financial problems, and its emerging network effects. The more people who recognize and utilize these properties, the stronger the shared belief, and thus the more robust its value becomes.
8. The Cost of Production and the Illusion of a Price Floor
Some argue that gold's price cannot fall below its cost of extraction, suggesting this provides a natural price floor. While it's true that miners would cease operations if the price fell below their production costs for a sustained period, this argument largely ignores the colossal 184,000 tonnes of gold already above ground and held primarily for monetary or aesthetic purposes. If this massive hoard were to lose its monetary premium and be dumped onto the market, the price could plummet dramatically, far below current mining costs, until it reached a level where industrial demand (or perhaps a new, much lower equilibrium for aesthetic use) could absorb it. Much of this existing stock could be made available at recycling costs, which are significantly lower than mining costs. The "cost of production" floor applies primarily to newly added supply, not to the revaluation of existing, hoarded stock.
Conclusion: Beyond Intrinsic – Value in Utility and Belief
The debate over whether gold has "intrinsic value" that Bitcoin lacks often misses the mark by clinging to a nebulous and misapplied concept. If "intrinsic value" refers to a baseline worth derived from non-monetary, practical utility, then gold's claim is surprisingly weak. Its industrial applications are minimal compared to its price, which is overwhelmingly a monetary premium built on centuries of human belief, cultural acceptance, and its historical role as money.
Value, ultimately, is not an inherent property magically residing within an object. It is a subjective judgment made by individuals, a reflection of an asset's perceived utility and the collective belief in its future desirability. Gold has served humanity well as a store of value due to a set of physical properties that were optimal for pre-digital eras. Bitcoin, a product of the digital age, offers a different set of properties – provable scarcity, decentralization, censorship resistance, and unparalleled portability – that address the challenges and opportunities of our modern world.
Neither gold's sheen nor Bitcoin's bits possess a mystical "intrinsic value" independent of human perception and use. Gold's value is rooted in its long history and the enduring human affinity for its beauty and permanence. Bitcoin's burgeoning value is rooted in its innovative technology and its potential to offer a new paradigm for money and value transfer. Both are valuable because, and only because, people believe them to be. The critical difference lies in the reasons for that belief and the problems each asset is perceived to solve. As the world continues to evolve, so too will our understanding and assignment of value.
BITCOIN trade ideas
$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
Bitcoin's path to $139k As Bitcoin already touched my TP1, the question now is when the bulls will step in and push it above the current bull flag formation, which will send it to TP2. This breakout is the most likely scenario and once it gets to TP2, I expect a more significant correction. TP3 is also very likely to happen this year, but I will revisit that once we reach TP2. For now, the path to 120k is clear and it's inevitable.
BTC in Bullish Channel – Another HH Coming ?Bitcoin continues to respect this ascending channel with clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Every breakout has followed consolidation and pullback patterns. RSI is neutral a breakout above $110K+ could confirm the next HH.
Watching for a move toward the top of the channel... or a deeper HL retest?
What's your take?
Are we seeing UTAD on BTC?Bitcoin has been in ana scending channel for a while but ever since the new all time high, some things make me doubt we see a continuation of the bull trend in the near term.
-Volume has been declining the entire length of the channel
-We saw a bump in volume but the effort didn't match. A lower volume red candle had the same impact on price.
-The new all time high resulted in a third touch of bearish divergence on the MACD. Also the MA's are showing bearishness.
-The RSI fell below the EMA and is now looking like it's resisting breaking through.
We are clearly in a supply zone and all signs point to absorption and distribution taking place.
104k is the next level that will offer any significant support.
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time Highs — Rally Targets $130K+Bullish Momentum Accelerates:
Bitcoin has reached new all-time highs, confirming a strongly bullish technical outlook. Accelerating upside momentum and growing investor confidence are driving the current rally.
Breakout Confirmation:
A decisive breakout from a broadening wedge pattern has unlocked potential targets in the $130,000–$135,000 range, signaling a likely continuation of the uptrend.
Key Support Levels:
With Bitcoin now trading well above $106,000, the previous resistance at $108,000 is expected to act as strong support during any pullbacks — providing a clear risk threshold for traders.
Favorable Risk-Reward Setup:
This alignment of:
Strong momentum
Completed consolidation
Successful breakout
...creates a compelling risk-reward scenario and reinforces the case for continued upside in the current bull cycle.
Bitcoin may just be getting started on its next leg higher. 🚀🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #AllTimeHigh #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Breakout #MarketMomentum #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket
BTCUSD – Key Zones and Strategic Possibilities for Breakout On the current 1-hour chart, BTCUSD has established a significant resistance level near 111,923 after a strong upward move within a rising channel. The price is currently consolidating around 109,525, placing it at a critical decision point.
If the price retests the 111,923 level and faces rejection, it could signal the formation of a potential double top, indicating a bearish reversal. In this scenario, the key support levels to watch are 107,823 and 104,564. A breakdown below these zones could lead BTCUSD toward the next target at 102,136.
On the other hand, a solid breakout above 111,923 with strong volume confirmation could suggest a bullish continuation, potentially targeting the 113,000–115,000 range.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 111,923
Support: 107,823 / 104,564 / 102,136
Trading Strategy:
Look for bearish confirmation candles near 111,923 for a potential short setup, with a stop-loss slightly above that level.
If price breaks above 111,923 with momentum, consider long setups toward higher targets.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with proper risk management and according to your trading plan.
BTCUSD UPDATE : 27- 5 - 2025This chart shows a 1-hour time frame for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on Bitstamp, with technical analysis indicating a potential bearish move. Here’s a breakdown of the chart:
Price Range: The chart highlights a trading range between approximately $102,714 (support) and $112,053 (resistance), marked with yellow zones.
Current Price: BTC is trading around $109,026.
Bearish Signal: A blue arrow points downward, suggesting an anticipated drop in price.
Pattern Suggestion: It looks like a potential double top or lower high is forming, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
Target Zone: The arrow points towards the support zone around $102,714, implying that the chartist expects BTC to fall to that level.
This type of analysis is often used for short-term trades and may involve setting stop-losses near $112,053 and profit targets near $102,714. Let me know if you'd like help interpreting this pattern further or backtesting the setup.
BTCUSD 1M (Monthly)Alright folks, here’s the latest view on Bitcoin from yours truly, Lord MEDZ. Things are getting interesting — let’s break it down nice and simple.
Step A – The Pump to $167,000
Bitcoin looks ready to break out from the old highs around $109K and could rally straight up to around $167K. That would be a big move — about a 50% gain from where we are now. There's not much resistance above the old high, so this move could be fast and strong.
Step B – A Healthy Pullback to $125,000
After that run-up, I’m expecting a pullback — possibly back to around $125K. That’s about a 25% drop. Nothing scary, just a typical correction to shake out the weak hands before the next leg.
Step C – Final Move to $177,000
From there, I see Bitcoin pushing one more time to a final high around $177K. That would complete the A-B-C pattern I’m tracking on the monthly chart.
Summary
We're currently around $109K.
First target = $167K
Possible pullback = $125K
Final high = $177K
I think we’re in the early stages of a big move. The old highs are behind us. Above here? It’s clear skies.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is not financial advice. Just sharing how I see the chart. Always do your own research and manage your risk. The market doesn’t owe us anything.
Stay sharp out there.
– Lord MEDZ
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Pivot point of this week at the level of $107,700, at its breakdown we can expect a deeper correction
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Bitcoin Market Update – May 26, 2025📅 Bitcoin Market Update – May 26, 2025
🚀 BTC Price: $110,157 (+2.95% 24h)
Bitcoin continues its upward trend, showing strong momentum and bullish sentiment across the market.
📊 Technical Snapshot:
• Range: $106,801 – $110,157
• Support: $107K – $108K
• Resistance: $111K – $112K
• Trend: Bullish
🔗 On-Chain Metrics:
• Short Squeeze Pressure: Rising on Binance
• ETF Inflows: $934M → Strong institutional interest
• Sentiment: Extreme Greed (Index 78)
🧭 Fundamentals:
• Major ETF inflows show growing trust from big players.
• Market sentiment remains highly optimistic.
📈 Forecasts:
• Short-Term: $110K – $112K
• Mid-Term: $112K – $125K
• Long-Term: Up to $140K (depending on macro conditions)
Keep an eye on 103k and 97k supporting levels as liquidity zones.
✅ Summary:
BTC remains bullish with key resistance at $112K.A breakout could open room for further upside. Stay tuned and manage risk wisely.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #SorooshX
BTC- New Impulse Soon You Can See read captionbitcoin (BTC) – Bullish Outlook
Price action breaking above key resistance, signaling potential trend continuation
Strong volume supports the move, confirming buyer strength
Higher highs and higher lows forming—classic bullish market structure
RSI and MACD both showing bullish divergence
Next target zone: TSXV:XX ,XXX – watch for consolidation or breakout
Overall sentiment shifting positive with macro tailwinds
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 105,255.25
1st Support: 101,983.62
1st Resistance: 111,758.60
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Golden Cross? No Thanks. Here’s How to Get In Early.” – Part 2📉 “Golden Cross? No Thanks. Here’s How to Get In Early.” – Part 2
By FXProfessor
First of all — thank you for the likes, comments, and support on Part 1. It means a lot. 🙏
Let’s take it a step further today and fill in the gaps.
🔄 Quick Recap:
Last time, we exposed the Golden Cross for what it is —
📉 A lagging tool
📉 A confirmation at best
📉 The afterparty, not the entry
I showed you how EMAs are better than SMAs…
…but structure and trendlines still come first in my world.
⚙️ The FXProfessor Method (In Order):
Trendlines (my style)
Fibonacci Wedges
Structure – channels, ranges, pressure zones
EMAs
Divergences
Other indicators (case-by-case)
📉 Live Example – BTCUSD 1H:
Trendline rejection: We shorted the third touch 💥
Structure zone: Repeated tests + rejection = confidence
Divergences: I use an amazing divergence tool (min divergence = 3)
Result: Market turned exactly where structure and divergence aligned
🧠 A Little Secret:
I have a separate layout just for divergences.
Sophisticated. Tailored.
But even this simplified version shows 3 bearish divergences....
That’s not coincidence. That’s precision. And it comes Fast!
📌 Key Insight:
EMAs can be useful, but they come after the story is already unfolding.
Even if they support the price, by the time they cross — the trade is halfway done.
So remember:
Structure and pressure give us the first clues.
Indicators confirm what structure already told us.
This is what I call:
💡 Trading Rethought.
You don’t need to wait for lagging signals.
You can see the move forming, if you know where to look.
More content coming soon — and yes, it’s going to take your trading to another level.
One Love,
The FXProfessor 🧠📈