Btcusd going down an up again forward up as it will be after theBtcusd going just a bit down as a little retraction before going up again beating it's own record,
Just keep Ur own savings and investment safe
And dyor - do your own research
For myself keeping in a Elliot waving if market doesn't spikes
Just keep Ur investments safest and do Ur o n research always, and don't go for anyone else and not myself as well
This is only an idea
Keep it safe
BITCOIN trade ideas
"BTCUSD | FVG + Order Block Alignment | High Probability Play"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📊 Price Action Breakdown:
BTC printed a textbook liquidity sweep earlier today, tapping into the Discount Zone perfectly.
Now, the market is pushing up into a high-probability reaction zone where Fair Value Gap overlaps with an Order Block.
🔥 Confluences:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Imbalance zone needing filling.
Order Block = Institutional demand/supply where Smart Money left a footprint.
Fibonacci 79% retracement = Sweet retracement level for low-risk entries.
🧠 Why It's Exciting:
The more confluences, the more Smart Money interest.
Price is currently kissing the edge of the FVG, teasing a deeper tap into the OB. This overlap stacks probability heavily for a reaction — either a quick scalp rejection or a full-on move downward.
🎯 Potential Play:
Entry: Inside the FVG or deep into the Order Block for premium entries.
Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~94,629) to avoid wicks.
Targets:
Partial at 50% retracement for safer players 🛡️
Full send toward Weak Low zone (~92,839) for maximum RRR hunters 🏹
💬 Pro Tip:
"Always let price show its hand first. Don’t assume, confirm."
🚀 Summary:
✅ Liquidity swept
✅ FVG + OB stacked
✅ 79% Fib lining up
✅ Smart Money trap possibly setting
🧘♂️ Play it with patience. The sniper eats last... but he eats the most.
✍️ Save this chart, tag your trading buddy, and prepare to strike when the premium entry triggers!
➡️ Comment "SETUP LOADING" if you’re stalking this with me!
➡️ Share this with someone who’s tired of guessing entries.
April 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
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Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be two Nasdaq indicator announcements at 9:30 and 11:00.
On the lower left, I marked the long position entry section that I entered on the 25th and 29th,
and created today's strategy based on the Nasdaq movement.
*Red finger movement path
Long position strategy
1. 94,698.2 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 95,784 dollar long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
The 1st and 2nd sections at the top are sideways.
After the 1st touch, in the rising wave, if you enter a 94.6K long position,
the probability of the strategy succeeding increases.
If it comes down right away without touching the 1st section,
The final long position is waiting in the 2nd section, and the stop loss price is the same when the green support line is broken.
When the top section is touched, the long position re-entry utilization section and
I left a simulation with a pink finger on the upper right.
The bottom touch is a downward sideways movement
The 3rd section is the 6+12 support line where the mid-term pattern is restored.
Also, tomorrow is Labor Day,
So all countries around the world, including the US, are closed.
I also have work to do, so I will take a day off tomorrow.
I intentionally left the analysis article on the right until May 2nd.
Up to this point, please just refer to and use my analysis article,
And I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Breakout Imminent, Orders in PlaceBitcoin continues to consolidate between 93,500 and 95,900.
Typically, the longer an asset consolidates, the stronger the breakout that follows.
There are two possible outcomes , and I won’t even try to guess which one will play out—but I do have a feeling that the odds slightly favor an upward move . To be clear, this isn’t analysis, nor is it based on chart patterns or some kind of insight—just my personal opinion. And I’m not going to trade based on that intuition. Why? Because I’d rather miss the very beginning of a move and enter with more confidence and lower risk.
📝 Trading plan:
1. Go long on a breakout above 96,000 with a target of 109,000.
2. Go short on a breakdown below 92,900 with a target of 74,500.
This sideways structure will inevitably end in a strong move. My orders are set—I’m ready.
Bitcoin vs goldBitcoin priced in ounces of gold shows a clear uptrend on the long term.
Following previous cycle movement for a similar Fibonacci levels, would take us this cycle to around a 100 ounces of gold per bitcoin, which at current USD prices would be around 350.000 usd per bitcoin.
Remember, fiat money is debt. Bitcoin and gold are hard and real money. Don't fall into the unit of account trap that the USD is.
Cheers.
Analysis of the Current Trend of BTC and StrategiesIn terms of the current daily technical analysis of BTC, although the MACD indicator stabilizes above the zero line, the continuous shrinking of the red bars exposes the gradual weakening of the bullish momentum. The RSI (14) indicator flattens out around 60, confirming that the market has entered the correction phase after being in an overbought state. It is worth being vigilant that during this rebound process, the trading volume has been continuously sluggish, forming a sharp contrast with the breakout on heavy volume in March, which implies that the upward movement lacks effective capital to take over.
In terms of the K-line pattern, the consecutive three-day long upper shadows, combined with the pressure at the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, form a "Shooting Star" pattern, highlighting the heavy selling pressure from above. However, before confirming the downward correction trend, there may be a short-term rebound opportunity in the market to digest the floating chips. It is necessary to pay special attention to the key support level of 92,700. Once the closing price effectively breaks below this level, the short-term top will be confirmed, and the market trend may decline towards the integer level of 90,000.
BTCUSD
sell@94800-94500
tp:93500-93000
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
BITCOIN Monthly Candle close patterns since 2011 - APRIL CLOSE
Again, we got the expected Monthly Close, This time GREEN
April is traditionally a Strong Green Month, now with 9 Green Closes to 5 RED - Nearly twice as many Green to Red.
MAY is a different story, Nearly 50 / 50 previous closes with GREEN having an advantage of 1.
BUT, With April closing Green after the previous months closes, things do look positive.
On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL
And Both of them were on the way to ATH. ( Arrows )
On both those occasions we had a GREEN MAY, though the gains weer minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June.
We have had 4 occasions with a MARCH RED, APRIL GREEN, MAY GREEN
Of the previous 9 GREEN April Closes, 5 were followed by a Green June
And of those 5, 2 were followed by consecutive Green candles closes for the following Months.
Though in 2020 sequence ( 2nd Arrow) after a GREEN May close, you can see the candles were not big and we had Red Green Green Red for 4 months then went Green consecutively.
Of the previous 7 Green MAY candles, 4 were Bigger than the previous month candle.
I am more inclined to look at the 2020 sequence in this for now and yet, at the same time, as posted in another chart, I am also still looking at the lead up to the 2017 ATH and for this to continue, we need a Bigger GREEN MAY close this month.
There is a very strong line of resistance just over head.
Currently, at time of writing, The opening MAY candle is GREEN but only just
This month is CRUCIAL
Bitcoin - consolidation will lead to continuation (up)
Very basic chart.. only needs one markup !
- Institutional buyers are scared the price will drop
- Retail buyers are worried it drops (like so many are predicting)
But nobody knows where it will go next.
Common sense - After consolidation comes continuation... it wont go sideways much longer, its lightly to go up at least to the 100+ range.
That's my short summary for the next few weeks.
XAUUSD Buy Setup - Scalping 5MThis chart showcases a technical analysis of the BTC/USDT pair using a custom-built indicator. The indicator combines the ATR (Average True Range) method to measure volatility and SSL (Safe Stop Loss) signals to identify key trends.
Critical support and resistance levels have been highlighted to assist traders in making decisions. Additionally, significant candlestick patterns such as bullish engulfing and bearish pin bars are identified as extra confirmations of price movements.
This indicator is designed to enhance accuracy in reading market conditions, making it suitable for both short-term and mid-term trading strategies.
April 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock in a little while.
After the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross was imprinted yesterday
Today, two things are clear
*Red finger strong rise or purple finger major rebound.
The main issue was whether the 6-hour chart MACD dead cross occurred
After writing the analysis, looking at the overall movement
The purple finger seems strong today.
Let's apply it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
At the bottom left, I connected the long position entry point of $93,046 that I entered in the analysis article on the 25th.
Bitcoin and Tether dominance are moving sideways.
Bitcoin is slightly more advantageous in terms of MACD signals or Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
but it is not strange if one side skyrockets or plummets.
While moving sideways, I was watching Nasdaq,
and I paid attention to the Nasdaq movement.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. 94242.4 dollar long position entry section / green support line breakaway stop loss price
2. 96005.1 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target -> Final Good
The 1st section at the top is the rising wave position
If you touch it first, the possibility of success of the strategy increases.
If the strategy is successful, it would be good to use it as the final long position re-entry.
Depending on the adjustment coming out of Nasdaq, it can be pushed up to section 2
Roughly, it is the support line of the Bollinger Band 6-hour chart.
If the rebound fails in Nasdaq
Bottom -> Please note that it can be pushed to section 3.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a simple reference and use.
Thank you.
BTCUSD (BTC/USD) highlights a consolidation phase within clearly defined support and resistance zones, with price currently poised for a potential move upward.
Key Technical Zones:
- Resistance Area: Around 95,576, which has been tested multiple times with rejections—indicating strong supply.
- Support Level: Strong buying interest observed near the 92,500 region, keeping the structure intact.
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price filled the FVG recently, suggesting equilibrium and potential for another leg up.
Current Outlook:
- Price is holding above the FVG and is attempting a bullish rebound.
- If price maintains support above the recent lows, we may see continuation toward the target at 95,576.
Next Target: 95,576
Watch For: Rejection at resistance or volume confirmation to validate a breakout.
PriceTime Concept in Fractal AnalysisI continue to receive numerous questions about recommended reading, which has left me no other option than pay my debt to the society by elaborating a little more on the unconventional analysis I frequently perform using Fibonacci Channels. Alongside with theoretical insights I'll provide my key inspirations.
The Misbehavior of Markets - Mechanics of Chaos
Benoit Mandelbrot, one of the most extraordinary minds of the 20th century, launched a full rebellion against traditional finance in his book, “The Misbehavior of Markets”. In it, he introduced his groundbreaking “10 Heresies”, a direct challenge to the core assumptions and principles underpinning mainstream financial theories. Mandelbrot’s insights expose how conventional models fail to account for the complexity, unpredictability, and turbulence that define real-world markets.
10 Heresies:
Markets Are Wild, Not Tame
Traditional View: Markets follow predictable, Gaussian-based models with mild fluctuations.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets exhibit “wild randomness” with extreme, sudden changes that far exceed the predictions of Gaussian distributions.
Heresy: Risk management and pricing models underestimate the likelihood of extreme events.
Financial Variance Is Infinite
Traditional View: Variance (a measure of risk) is finite and calculable using standard tools.
Mandelbrot’s View: In fractal finance, price movements can have infinite variance due to heavy tails in the distribution of returns.
Heresy: Risk cannot be fully measured or predicted using current methods.
Markets Have Memory
Traditional View: Markets are “memoryless,” meaning past price movements do not influence future ones (random walk hypothesis).
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets exhibit long-term memory and dependence, where past trends and events affect current behavior.
Heresy: Independence of price changes is a myth.
Markets Are Multifractal
Traditional View: Price movements are linear and follow simple Brownian motion.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are multifractal, with different scaling behaviors across timeframes, and cannot be reduced to linear equations.
Heresy: Linear models cannot capture market complexity.
Time in Markets Is Variable
Traditional View: Time in markets flows at a constant rate, making it possible to analyze data at fixed intervals.
Mandelbrot’s View: Market time is irregular and subjective, accelerating during high activity (volatility clusters) and slowing during calm periods.
Heresy: Time is not constant in financial analysis.
Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks
Traditional View: Prices move randomly and independently, forming a normal distribution.
Mandelbrot’s View: Prices are influenced by patterns, memory, and clustering, resulting in heavy-tailed distributions.
Heresy: Random walk theory oversimplifies market dynamics.
Markets Are Non-Efficient
Traditional View: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) suggests that all available information is reflected in prices, leaving no room for inefficiencies.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are often irrational and exhibit inefficiencies driven by emotions, memory, and fractal structures.
Heresy: Perfect market efficiency is an illusion.
Risk Is Not Symmetrical
Traditional View: Risk is modeled symmetrically, assuming equal likelihood of positive and negative deviations.
Mandelbrot’s View: Downside risks are more extreme and frequent, leading to asymmetry in market behavior.
Heresy: Risk models that assume symmetry are dangerously flawed.
Models Need to Embrace Chaos
Traditional View: Financial models aim for order and predictability, relying on simplified assumptions.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are chaotic and unpredictable but exhibit fractal structures that can provide insights.
Heresy: Chaos should be embraced, not ignored, in modeling markets.
Forecasting Is Fundamentally Limited
Traditional View: With enough data and sophisticated models, market behavior can be forecasted with high accuracy.
Mandelbrot’s View: Forecasting is inherently uncertain due to the wild randomness and complex nature of markets.
Heresy: Precise prediction of market movements is a fool’s errand.
Mandelbrot's ideas answered why markets behave the way they do, rather than relying on surface-level analysis. It was definitely more convincing than any traditional TA material that had not much information on cause-effect mechanisms that reveal the deeper structural relationship within price movements.
Fortunately, long before becoming acquainted with Mandelbrot’s take on markets, I had already developed my own perspective, thanks to the experiments I conducted right here on TradingView years back. My work perfectly aligned with his vision that acknowledges complexity, extreme events, irregularities and the interconnectedness of historic data.
Concept of Relativity
I got another inspiration from reading a story about the most pivotal breakthroughs in Albert Einstein’s intellectual journey, leading directly to his formulation of the theory of relativity that later on forever changed the world. His thought experiment revealed the strange and counterintuitive nature of time when viewed from different frames of reference.
As Einstein imagined himself racing alongside a beam of light, he realized that from his perspective on the bus, as it was moving away from clocktower, the clock would appear frozen because the light carrying the image of the clock’s moving hands would no longer reach him. This insight, combined with his deep understanding of the constancy of the speed of light, led him to question the absolute nature of time and space.
The culmination of this “storm” in his mind was the realization that time is not universal; it is relative to the observer’s motion. This revolutionary idea, published in his 1905 paper on special relativity, fundamentally changed our understanding of the universe, introducing concepts like time dilation and the interdependence of time and space—a unified spacetime .
Einstein’s ability to visualize such extraordinary scenarios highlights the power of thought experiments in scientific discovery. It was not only the mathematics but also his imagination that allowed him to redefine our understanding of reality.
PriceTime Model via Fibonacci Channels
After being able to visualize and somehow digest the complexity behind mathematical model of relativity, I returned to Mandelbrot's book to read more about his stance on time itself.
"Price is a function of trading time, which in turn is a function of clock time" - B. Mandelbrot
I mean who am I to disagree with a professor... Moreover, it really begins to look like Price and Time are connected similarly to the concept of SpaceTime.
Given that the psychology of the masses is inherently sensitive to the golden ratio, I was inspired to create a unified graphical framework that interconnects price dynamics, enabling navigation through the complexities of ever-evolving financial markets. By directly measuring trend angles within significant cycles, I realized that the chart’s complexity could essentially simulate itself. I incorporate psychological levels (via Fibonacci ratios) into my analysis, acknowledging how emotions shape market behavior. By embedding these emotional drivers into fractal structures, I align with Mandelbrot’s understanding of the market as a blend of human psychology and mathematical order.
This led to the discovery that Fibonacci ratios influence not only the price axis but also the time axis, unveiling a deeper fractal harmony in market behavior. The way mass (or energy) curves the spacetime fabric to explain the behavior of objects in physics is strikingly similar to how historic price movements (a manifestation of energy) shape the pricetime fabric, revealing the fractal cyclicality inherent in financial markets.
My work builds on Mandelbrot’s groundbreaking theories by turning his insights into practical tools. By combining his principles of self-similarity, chaos, and complexity with innovations like Fibonacci-based fractal mapping and trend directionality, I offer a fresh perspective on market behavior. This approach personally helps me to navigate the complexity of financial markets, staying true to Mandelbrot’s legacy while pushing the boundaries of fractal analysis.
My motivation for staying on TradingView and analyzing charts transcended being money-driven. I could no longer see markets the same way. I broke free from the rat race and devoted my life to studying charts as a reflection of reality, aiming to uncover the intrinsic rhythm that truly drives price fluctuations.
That realization inspired me to prioritize structure-based prediction over blind forecasts driven by subjective narratives, which are often flawed at their core. Sadly, great minds like Benoit Mandelbrot are no longer with us, but it is our responsibility as TradingView users to carry forward their work, treating it as our own mission to honor their legacy.
The bottom line is that we should not confine ourselves to the literature of Technical or Fundamental Analysis alone. Instead, we must draw insights from any field, using diverse methods and approaches, to develop a robust probabilistic framework for anticipating future price movements.
Bitcoin's 215-Day Pattern: Another Breakout Loading?The Bitcoin chart shows a repeating pattern of consolidation lasting 215 days before each major upward breakout. This cycle has occurred multiple times over the past two years, with each accumulation zone followed by a strong bullish rally.
Currently, Bitcoin is once again emerging from a similar 215-day consolidation phase, suggesting the potential for another significant move to the upside if the pattern holds. If history repeats, we could see a target around $150K.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC
April 25 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement.
I bet on a red finger upward sideways movement or a strong rebound.
If the green support line is maintained,
the short-term pattern will be maintained and it is a safe zone, so it seems that there will be no big effect on Bitcoin.
The short-term pattern is broken from the bottom 2,
and the bottom section is the 1+4 section, so if it succeeds in rebounding without breaking away from the true blue support line,
it is good for a long position.
I just applied it to Bitcoin.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The purple finger section on the lower left is the section where the long position was entered in the analysis article on the 23rd.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. $93,046 long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. $95,562.5 long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd section,
and when the Good section is broken, the possibility of a new high is high.
The 1st section at the top is the rising wave confirmation section
The green support line 2nd section that I marked is the safe section.
The final match was held in the 1+4 section
If the strategy is successful, the 1st section on the right is the long position re-entry and utilization section
I left a simulation with the pink finger.
From the bottom breakout, until the additional weekly candle is created next Monday,
I have sequentially displayed the main prices and support lines,
so please refer to them,
and please use my analysis articles only for reference and use,
and I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Thank you.
BRIEFING Week #17 : AAPL's fate is the SP'sHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Bitcoin Broke Res Now What?Time to update long term trend (Weekly & Daily).
Well, after breaking resistance with a VERY strong move we can say with a high degree of confidence that a NEW long term leg up has been confirmed even tho the new higher low hasn't been printed yet cause it is very unlikely for Bitcoin to have a move down of $22k in a Daily Bearish Cycle. So from NOW ON we should expect Bitcoin to print higher lows and higher as long as the weekly Cycle remains Bullish. Now, If Bitcoin DOESN'T print a higher high during the next 4 weeks and instead moves sideways then the Weekly UPtrend will be in danger again, but is too early to say that. For those like me that got stuck in a futures short position next drop will be the last chance to get out even or with small loss/profit and for SPOT if you are not in yet then your last opportunity will be around $90k cause as of now the sky is the limit for Bitcoin. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen cause 4th of July is coming and Bitcoin is coming with it with a big check.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-28 : Inside Breakaway In TRENDToday's Inside Breakaway pattern in Trend mode suggests the SPY will attempt to break away from Friday's body range. The Weekly Bias turned to BULLISH last week.
I believe today's price move will be indicative of the rest of the week. We are moving into a very strong Major CRUSH pattern on Friday and I believe that pattern will be a big breakdown move in price.
Thus, I believe the early trading this week (today and tomorrow) will set the tone for the rest of the week.
If we see a rotation in price near the 550 level (to the downside) then my May Low pattern will likely transition into a price breakdown this week.
If we see more upside price action on Monday/Tuesday, then I would be very cautious of the end of this week as a sudden price breakdown may happen.
Gold and Silver will likely stay very muted for the next two trading days. The Canadian Elections will likely cause the US to briefly pause as one of our closest neighbors and trading partners moves through this pivotal election.
Bitcoin will also likely pause a bit in early trading this week and BTCUSD moves up to the $95-96k upper resistance area.
I suggest traders take advantage of this pause in price action to HEDGE their open positions. I believe the bigger move is still to the downside, but I also believe the markets could continue to push a bit higher before ROLLING into that May 2-5 Major Bottom.
At this point, near the 50% Fib retracement level, the markets could break in either direction. But I still believe the May 2-5 Major Bottom will play out as a unique lower low price level - below $525-530 on the SPY.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BTC Likely to Correct – New Moon EffectThere is a strong potential for Bitcoin to undergo a correction first, with a high probability of forming a swing high. This is indicated by decreasing volume and the appearance of ranging doji candles. If today’s daily candle closes below 93,900, it will serve as a confirmation of the swing high formation.
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 92,000
Target 2: 88,000
Target 3: 86,000
Additionally, there is a potential for the decline to halt around May 12th, which may mark the beginning of a reversal.
Bitcoin: a break-throughDuring the previous week BTC finally made a break-through from previous levels, reaching the highest weekly level at $95,5K. This move was supported by fundamentals. On one side there was a sort of relaxation of the US-China trade war, at least based on comments from the US Administration, which continues to be highly mixed. In addition, the Federal Reserve withdrew the crypto guidance for banks, which required banks to notify or get approval before engaging in the crypto or stablecoin activities. This further supported the BTC to trade at higher levels.
With the strong move toward the upside, the RSI reached the clear overbought market side, at the level of 70. In technical analysis, this is a sign of an increased potential for a reversal in the coming period. The MA50 halted the divergence from MA200, after the tow lines made a cross two weeks ago.
The Saturday trading session brought some relaxation in the price of BTC, which the coin is ending around the level of $94,3K. Thai could be treated as the “normal” move after a strong push of price to the upside. The relaxation might continue in the week ahead, as the market already priced all known information. Some volatility might be expected based on macro data, especially on Friday, as both NFP and unemployment data are set for a release. At this moment, some stronger reversal should not be expected. The next support line lies at $93K, which could be shortly tested. The further way to the upside is possible only in case of some strong fundamentals. The BTC might spend some time around the $95K considering that it needs to be properly tested.
What if I show you Bitcoin is at end of 1st cycle only ?
The Chart above involves TWO things we may need to pay attention to.
There is so much involved in this and I could go on for hours because, for me, this opens the door to so many things for Bitcoin.
And I am now looking at this past 14 years as the "Beginnings".
And we need to wait and see Where we go next before we label that
So..
What do we have here.
The ARC of Resistance. - I have talked about this before. Simply put, PA on every ATH since 2011 has been rejected by the same line / Arc - This needs no more than the Arc on a chart to see...
It is as simple as that.
Beneath this, we have that Dashed line of Support that has Never been Broken. Created off a High in 2011, it got retested as support in 2015 and not again until 2023.
Between these two points, you will notice how that Arc of resistance was at its furthest points from the line of support below.
It is like the Beginning and End of a sequence.......
The next thing we have is a Very interesting thing called the Trend-Based FIB Time.
It is important to understand what this is, So ;-
Trend-Based Fib Time is a technical analysis tool that uses the Fibonacci sequence to predict probable price corrections within an existing trend. It is represented by vertical lines at specific time intervals that show potential areas where a swing high, low, or reversal could occur. These intervals are based on the Fibonacci sequence and are not concerned with price levels but rather with time. The tool helps traders identify how far a wave is likely to travel in the trend.
Note what is in Bold there.
And then look at the chart..It clearly shows us, where PA touched that line of support twice, the Cycle / Wave. The RED zones. And between these was the Trend. The over all Gain in price, over Time.
We have 3 Waves in total. The 3 ATH to ATH from 2017 to now
To further support this idea, see how PA did not come down to the Line of support between the 2017 - > 2021 ATH's
That was MID CYCLE - Strength
And so now, while we all wait for the next push up, I want to show you a zoomed, Daily version of this chart
The Current ATH we have was absolutely on the day of the END of this Fib Time cycle.
I promise you I did not "Adjust this to suit." That was the genuine result.
And I was Stunned.
And more than that, This image also very clearly shows us that Time and Room is running out for PA.
It faces the strongest lines of Support and resistance it has ever faced and these lines reach an apex in Dec.....
PA ALWAYS REACTS BEFORE THE APEX
So, What is Next ?
The chances of Bitcoin crashing to the Floor are highly unlikely unless all the corporations that have been buying BTC, decide to sell them all at the same time.
This IS a possibility ONLY if they are working with the TradFi banking organisations, that tried to Crash BTC in 2022 / 2023
OK OK, that involves ridiculous amounts of Losses for many ..so..NO
BUT PA IS GETTING SQUEEZED
And so we wait....and Wait till we see Bitcoin PA break out, Enter a Brand New Trend..a Long Term Cycle.....and we may call it Adulthood.....
Or, we will have a Story to tell our Grandchildren about a Dream of breaking Free of Banking that Came Oh so Close
I cannot wait to see what happens Next - and I am HODL