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BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one. With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster. The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range. The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000. So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN Correction in Play - Can Bulls Regain Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, with price steadily approaching a significant support zone around $73,000. The confluence of the trendline support and the horizontal demand zone increases the probability of a bullish reaction. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a rebound, with a potential move toward the $90,000 resistance zone. This level could act as a short-term target within the current market structure. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside, potentially extending the retracement toward lower levels. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before anticipating a continuation to the upside. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
63
Why did BTC experience such minimal movement todayBTC has been floating at 84000 today, yesterday it touched resistance at 87000, today's resistance is still valid, with the Fed's information, gold's rally has been full down, and more people will pay attention to BTC next 💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000 🎁 TP 86000 - 87000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
3
BTCUSD Bitcoin Long in short-midtermBTC trend is changing,seems temporarily (Until April2nd 2025) it is builidng a support. Intrady apporaches: CONSERVATIVE and aggressive I cover the stops of others intraday,also profit targets and sell positions of midterm bears,to re-enter long .Simple. The hiigh volatility guarantees fast moves,but also imbalances,and I take them as my advantage. Your stop should be individual,because stop means to everybody something different.Some use levels,some use %-risk of account balance or initial balance.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Trading Setup 📊 Chart Overview & Market Context The provided chart represents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price movement on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe, highlighting a Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is generally bearish and signals a potential reversal or breakdown. Over the past few trading sessions, BTC has been moving inside an ascending wedge formation, making higher highs and higher lows. However, this movement is narrowing, indicating weakening bullish momentum. As BTC approaches a critical resistance level, sellers appear to be gaining control, increasing the likelihood of a sharp decline. This chart outlines a well-structured bearish trading setup, identifying key areas of resistance, support, stop-loss placement, and potential downside targets. 📌 Technical Analysis & Key Levels 🔹 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Signal) A Rising Wedge is a technical pattern characterized by: ✔ Two upward-sloping trendlines, converging over time. ✔ Diminishing bullish momentum, as higher highs become weaker. ✔ Breakdown expectation, where price typically falls below the lower support trendline. 📉 Why is this pattern important? The rising wedge signals that buyers are losing strength and that a reversal is likely. When price breaks below the lower boundary, selling pressure increases, leading to a strong downward move. Traders often anticipate a breakdown from this pattern to enter short positions. 🔹 2. Resistance Level (Key Rejection Zone) 📌 Zone: 88,500 - 89,500 USD This area has acted as a strong resistance, preventing further upside movement. Sellers stepped in, causing the price to reject and start declining. A confirmed rejection from this level adds bearish confluence to the setup. 🔹 3. Rising Wedge Support (Breakdown Level) 📌 Zone: 85,000 - 84,500 USD This is the lower boundary of the wedge pattern. If BTC closes below this level with strong volume, it confirms the breakdown. A retest of this level as resistance after a breakdown would provide an ideal short entry. 🔹 4. Key Support Levels & Bearish Targets Once BTC breaks down, the next areas of interest are: 📌 First Bearish Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD A previous demand zone where buyers previously pushed prices higher. BTC could pause here before continuing lower. 📌 Final Target (Full Breakdown Projection): 76,802 USD If the wedge pattern fully plays out, BTC could drop toward this level. This aligns with a major historical support zone, where significant buying interest could emerge. 🔹 5. Stop-Loss & Risk Management 📌 Stop-Loss: 90,483 USD If BTC moves above this level, it invalidates the bearish setup. Keeping a tight stop-loss ensures controlled risk while maximizing potential rewards. 📉 Trading Plan: How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Short Entry Strategy: Enter a short trade once BTC breaks below 85,000 USD, confirming the wedge breakdown. If BTC retests the broken support (now resistance), it offers a second entry opportunity. ✅ Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop-loss above 90,483 USD, in case of a bullish breakout. ✅ Take-Profit Levels: First Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD (Support zone) Final Target: 76,802 USD (Full wedge breakdown projection) 📌 Key Takeaways & Market Sentiment 🔸 Bearish Structure Formation: BTC is losing momentum inside a rising wedge, signaling a potential downturn. 🔸 Breakdown Confirmation Needed: A close below 85,000 USD with volume confirms the bearish trade setup. 🔸 Risk Management is Key: The stop-loss above 90,483 USD protects against invalidation. 🔸 Watch for Retests: If BTC retests the breakdown level, it can provide an ideal entry point. 🚨 Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bearish reversal! If the rising wedge breaks down, a significant decline toward 76,802 USD could follow. Traders should monitor price action carefully and execute the setup accordingly. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bullish Momentum: Key Levels and Trade Setupuddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 🗺️ Technical Analysis: Timeframe: 4-hour chart Current Price: $88,244 Trend: Uptrend within an ascending channel Supply Resistance Zone: $92,721 (Potential reversal area) Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support Zone: $87,200 - $87,600 200 MA Resistance: Price is approaching the 200 Moving Average, which could act as resistance. Key Levels: 1. Support: FVG Zone (~$87,200 - $87,600) – Potential buy zone Major Support: $86,649 2. Resistance: $92,721 (Supply Zone) – Key target level $90,000 Psychological Resistance 3. RSI Indicator: Currently at 76.37, indicating overbought conditions. A potential pullback could occur before further upside. Mr SMC Trading point Risk Management Strategy: Long Entry: Near FVG Zone (~$87,200 - $87,600) if price retraces. Stop Loss: Below $86,649 to limit downside risk. Take Profit: Around $92,721 for a risk-reward trade. Market Outlook: Bitcoin remains bullish, but the RSI suggests a possible pullback before continuation. A retracement into the FVG Zone may provide a better buying opportunity before the next leg up. If price breaks below the FVG zone, the uptrend could weaken. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Bitcoin in coming days ...frankly, Bitcoin will reach $89000 in the coming days. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
Long BTC 2D time frameIn the 2D timeframe for BTC, the RSI has similarly coalesced into two distinct moving average constructs following a pronounced bearish trend, which in turn has resulted in an expansion of these moving averages. At present, a convergence of three lines is evident, with the EMA9 notably intersecting upward through the WMA45, thereby suggesting that BTC is poised to commence an upward trajectory. Accordingly, it is judicious to initiate a long position at this current juncture, with the take-profit level anticipated to be around the 100k region.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Long-Short-Lien-Tuc
BTC/USD – Bitcoin – 30-Min Short Trade Setup !📉🔻 🔹 Asset: BTC/USD (Bitstamp) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Rising Wedge Breakdown + Lower High Rejection 📊 Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry: $87,786 ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $88,325 ✅ Target 1 (TP1): $86,981 ✅ Target 2 (TP2): $86,563 📊 Risk-Reward Breakdown 📉 Risk = $88,325 - $87,786 = $539 📈 Reward to TP1 = $87,786 - $86,981 = $805 → R/R ≈ 1.49:1 📈 Reward to TP2 = $87,786 - $86,563 = $1,223 → R/R ≈ 2.27:1 🔍 Technical Summary 📌 Rising Wedge Breakdown: Clean break below structure 📌 Lower High Rejection: Price failed to sustain above FWB:88K 📌 Smart SL Placement: Above local resistance 📌 High Probability Zone: TP1 and TP2 aligned with previous support levels ⚙️ Trade Management Plan 🛑 SL at $88,325 🔁 Move SL to breakeven at TP1 📉 Trail SL downward after TP1 for TP2 💸 Partial Booking: 50% at TP1 = $86,981 50% at TP2 = $86,563 ❌ Invalidation Criteria Price closes above $88,325 Bullish engulfing near wedge resistance 🔻 Final Thoughts ✅ Tight risk with solid reward potential ✅ 2.27:1 R/R to TP2 ✅ Clean breakdown + bearish structure for smart short entry
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ProfittoPath
BTC/USD 4HOURS expecting further upward movement after breakouTThe chart displays a volatile price movement, with multiple swings between support and resistance. A triangle pattern is highlighted, suggesting a breakout occurred. 2. Support & Resistance Zones: Support Zone: Marked at the bottom, where price has bounced multiple times. Resistance Zone: Marked at the top, indicating previous rejection levels. 3. Trade Setup: The price has broken out of the triangular pattern and appears to be in an uptrend. A buy (long) position is suggested. The green box represents the target zone (~91,372 USD). The red box represents the stop-loss area, indicating risk management. 4. Projected Price Movement: The expected price path is illustrated with a zig-zag pattern. Price is forecasted to retest a support level before continuing upwards toward the resistance zone. Conclusion: The chart suggests a bullish outlook for BTC/USD, expecting further upward movement after a breakout from consolidation. Traders might look for buying opportunities near 87,500 USD, targeting 91,372 USD, with stop-loss protection around 85,200 USD.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mr_jeff82
Bitcoin’s 35-Month Bull Run: Are We 6 Months Away from the Top?One of the most important, yet underrated, factors in trading is psychological resilience. While numbers, charts, and data analysis play a key role, what truly separates consistent traders from the rest is their ability to navigate the uncertainty that dominates real markets. 🎲 Deterministic vs. Stochastic Thinking in Trading We’re all trained from an early age to think in deterministic terms: 2 × 2 = 4 — the same input always gives the same output. That’s comforting. It’s predictable. It’s math. But markets don’t work like that. Trading operates in a stochastic environment — meaning even if you see the exact same chart pattern, setup, or signal, the outcome can vary each time. Why? Because real markets are driven by probabilities, randomness, and human behavior—not fixed equations. A better way to understand this is: Imagine flipping a weighted coin that lands on heads 70% of the time. You’ve got an edge—but any single flip could still land on tails. Trading is the same: High probability ≠ guaranteed outcome. This disconnect between how our brain prefers certainty and how markets deliver probabilistic outcomes is where most traders struggle. ⌛ Historical Patterns in Crypto (2015–Present) Looking at the macro structure of Bitcoin, we’ve seen a recurring pattern since 2015: Two bull markets, each lasting 35 months Two bear markets, each lasting 12 months Right now, we’re in month 28 of the third bull cycle. So far, this cycle has shown remarkable similarities to the previous two. Based on that historical rhythm, there’s a reasonable probability that the market could continue its upward movement for the next ~6 months. But here’s the key: Probability is not certainty. Could the market break the pattern and enter a decline tomorrow? Absolutely. But with limited historical data—especially in a young market like crypto—we work with the best probabilities available, not guarantees. 💬 Final Thoughts You can have the best technical strategy in the world, but if you’re not mentally prepared to embrace randomness, to take losses, and to act on probabilities rather than needing certainty—then markets will always push you out. 🧠 Your true trading edge isn’t just your strategy; it’s how well your mindset aligns with probabilistic thinking.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ali-Mani
Bitcoin Trading Update – March 20, 2025Current Price: 85,302 Market Bias: Bullish, Market Maker Buy Model in Play Target: 99,000 (Goldbach Level 3) Potential Retracement Zones: 84,920 (Liquidity Void), 82,000 (Goldbach Level 17) Market Overview Bitcoin is currently trading within a structured bullish trend, following a confirmed break of structure on the four-hour timeframe. Price is showing signs of a short-term retracement, with key liquidity zones and Goldbach levels acting as potential demand areas before continuation to higher targets. Key Goldbach Levels to Watch Support (Buy Zones): Goldbach Level 29: Around 84,920, liquidity void acting as a draw on liquidity Goldbach Level 17: Around 82,000, possible deeper retracement before continuation Goldbach Level 89: Strong structural support, critical invalidation point Resistance (Take Profit Zones): Goldbach Level 3: 99,000, final bullish target Trade Setup, Bullish Bias Entry: Look for buy opportunities at 84,920 (GB 29) or 82,000 (GB 17) if price retraces Stop Loss: Below 80,000, invalidation zone Take Profit Targets: First target at 88,500 (midway resistance) Second target at 93,000 (key resistance) Final target at 99,000 (Goldbach Level 3) Market Outlook Bitcoin remains within a market maker buy program, indicating continued accumulation before a move higher. The retracement into Goldbach levels 29 and 17 could provide strong entries before price advances toward 99,000. Risk Management: A break below Goldbach Level 89 (around 77,000) would challenge the bullish outlook. Monitor liquidity grabs and structural shifts. Lord MEDZ
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Skinwah
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart Analysis: Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 Ascending Channel: 🔹 The price is moving upward within a parallel trend channel. 🔹 Blue arrows (🔵) indicate resistance points where the price struggled. 🔹 Red circles (🔴) highlight support areas where the price bounced. 🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone: 🔸 The blue-shaded area (FVG zone) suggests a possible retracement before a bullish move. 🔸 If the price dips into this zone, it may find liquidity and bounce back up. 📊 Projected Price Movement: ⚡ Expected pullback → into FVG zone (🔽), then a bullish push (🚀) towards $90,686.72 🎯. 🟡 Yellow arrow shows the anticipated price path. 📉 Support & Resistance Levels: ✅ Support: Around $86,000 - $86,500 (FVG zone). 🚀 Target: $90,686.72 (next major resistance). 📌 Exponential Moving Average (DEMA - 9): 🔹 The blue line (DEMA 9) at $87,414.57 is acting as dynamic resistance. 🔹 A break above this could confirm further upside movement. 💡 Conclusion: 🔸 Bullish bias remains strong 📈. 🔸 Watch for a dip into the FVG zone before a potential rally 🚀. 🔸 If Bitcoin holds support, it may reach $90K+ soon 🎯🔥.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Jameshead007
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart AnalysisTechnical Analysis Trade Setup: A long position has been placed, likely anticipating a breakout from a key resistance level. Entry Point: Near $86,148, positioned around a previous consolidation area. Stop-Loss (SL): Set near $83,188, below the previous swing low to manage risk. Take-Profit (TP) Targets: TP 1: Around $87,518, marking a critical resistance level. TP 2: Near $91,180, an extended bullish target in case of sustained momentum. TP 3: Final target at $95,329, indicating a potential breakout rally. Support and Resistance Levels: The support zone is identified near $85,324 - $83,188, protecting against a downside move. The resistance zone is around $87,518, a critical breakout level that could confirm further bullish movement if breached. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup exhibits a high risk-to-reward ratio, suggesting a well-calculated bullish position with limited downside exposure. Market Sentiment & Outlook Bullish Bias: The setup indicates an expectation of continued upward momentum if BTC successfully breaks the $87,518 resistance level. Key Considerations: Macroeconomic Factors: Interest rates, inflation, and Fed policies could impact BTC’s trajectory. On-Chain Metrics: Monitoring BTC’s network activity, whale accumulation, and exchange flows can provide additional insights. Market Volatility: BTC remains highly volatile, and traders should watch for volume confirmations and potential false breakouts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Tricky_bella
1
BTCUSD Bitcoin should see support with mixed equities . BUYBitcoin has retraced to an area where volume has been decent and resistance recently turned to support but its overall bullish tone remains intact in short term time frames . It seems to have held the area indicated in the chart and begun to turn upwards on short term time frames I'd expect more of a bounce if equity markets remain calm but nothing too big so will be setting targets conservatively Stop 85600 Entry 86800 Exit 88000 Just a 1:1 risk reward for a quick entry and exit . E.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by emiliajz12l