Bearish divergence identified. 📉 Bearish Divergence Identified
🔍 Element Observation
Price Action Price made higher highs (local swing tops increasing slightly).
RSI (bottom) RSI made lower highs (momentum decreasing).
Type Regular bearish divergence — a classic early warning of weakening trend.
🧠 Interpretation
This type of divergence often signals that:
Bullish momentum is fading, even though price continues to rise.
A short-term correction or reversal is likely, especially when divergence occurs near resistance.
Your highlighted short zone (red box) near $109,078–109,399 aligns with this perfectly.
🟣 Context Favoring Short Bias:
Factor Status
RSI Divergence ✅ Bearish (momentum weakening)
Price Structure ✅ Lower high forming
EMAs ✅ Rolling over / flattening
Rejection Zone (Pink Box) ✅ Price failing to hold above
Key Support Below ✅ $108,061 – 107,830 region
📊 Summary
Bias Short-term Bearish 📉
Reason Bearish divergence + lower high + resistance
Target $108,061 (minor support) → $107,830 (key level)
Invalidation Break above $109,400 and hold
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin Ready For Another Leg Higher?Bitcoin currently shows characteristics of bullish consolidation. Following a notable upward move after the election , the price action has entered a phase of sideways trading within a defined range since inauguration.
This period allows the market to digest recent gains and for buyers to accumulate further positions before the next anticipated leg up. Technical indicators, while showing a temporary pause in upward momentum, generally remain supportive of a bullish continuation, with key support levels S1-75k, S2-100k holding firm. The consolidation phase, marked by decreasing volatility, often precedes a strong directional move, suggesting that Bitcoin is coiling for another potential surge.
BTCUSD UPSIDE VIEWAfter Showing M Pattern Break down and treadlin break if halt neckline and showing it will dumb strong selling candle and if market still halt and then small pull back we can enter up side because we go with trap everyone selling this side and SMC will snatched the market up side because it's an uptrend ok.
"Next Stop: $110K – BTC Builds Momentum for Major Breakout"Chart Overview:
Current Price: $107,895
Target: $110,000 (marked on chart)
Indicators Used: Supertrend (10, 3)
---
Key Observations:
1. Supertrend Flip Signals:
The Supertrend indicator recently flipped bullish, suggesting potential upward momentum.
This flip happened after a minor correction, implying buyers are regaining control.
2. Trend Structure:
Prior to the recent dip, Bitcoin formed higher highs and higher lows, indicating an overall uptrend.
The highlighted yellow ascending channel confirms this bullish structure, although price temporarily broke below it.
3. Support Zone:
Bitcoin found strong support near the $107,000–$107,500 range, bouncing back swiftly.
This aligns with the lower boundary of the recent consolidation zone (blue lines).
4. Immediate Resistance:
Resistance is clearly identified at around $109,600–$109,800, the previous high zone.
A clean break above this zone would open the path toward $110,000 and possibly beyond.
5. Bullish Scenario:
If momentum sustains and volume increases, Bitcoin is likely to test and potentially break the $110K psychological level, especially as the Supertrend remains green.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern Signals & BreakdownThis chart illustrates a Rising Wedge Pattern on the weekly timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), which is generally considered a bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appears after a strong upward move and typically signals that the price is losing momentum and may be preparing for a significant correction.
📐 What is a Rising Wedge Pattern?
A rising wedge is a chart pattern formed when the price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines – the support line (bottom) and the resistance line (top) – with the two lines converging toward each other.
As price climbs higher, it forms higher highs and higher lows.
However, the slope of the highs is less steep than the slope of the lows, showing a loss of bullish strength.
Eventually, the price breaks below the support line, often leading to a sharp move downward.
🔍 Key Highlights from the Chart:
📌 1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110K–$120K):
BTC is currently facing heavy resistance in this area.
This zone has historically acted as a supply zone where bulls have struggled to break through.
Multiple rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
📌 2. Pattern Touchpoints:
BTC has now formed multiple touchpoints on both the support and resistance lines of the wedge, confirming the structure.
This gives the pattern higher validity from a technical analysis perspective.
📌 3. SR Interchange Zone (~$65K–$70K):
This is a key horizontal zone where past resistance could act as future support.
A successful breakdown may first test this level before continuation.
📌 4. Retesting After Breakdown:
After breaking the wedge support, a retest of the broken trendline is often seen.
If the retest is rejected, it confirms the breakdown and opens the door to deeper bearish movement.
🎯 Target Projection:
If the wedge breaks down and the bearish scenario plays out, we could see Bitcoin fall to the $22,000–$25,000 region – marked as the final target zone on the chart. This level aligns with:
Previous macro-support zones from 2021
Fibonacci retracement levels
Psychological price levels where buyers may re-enter
⚠️ Bearish Factors to Watch:
Bearish divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown on chart but worth checking)
Volume decreasing as price rises – a classic wedge behavior
Macroeconomic headwinds or Bitcoin halving-related exhaustion
Rejection from major resistance with strong bearish candles
🕒 Timeframe & Patience:
This is a weekly chart, which means the pattern will play out over weeks or months, not days. Patience is key. A clear break, retest, and rejection would be the most reliable confirmation to expect further downside.
✅ Invalidation Scenario:
If BTC breaks above the wedge resistance line with strong bullish volume and holds above the $120K level, this bearish thesis becomes invalid.
In that case, BTC could enter price discovery mode, making new all-time highs.
💬 Final Thoughts:
This analysis is a technical outlook, not financial advice. Always use stop-loss strategies and manage your risk carefully. Market sentiment, news, and macro factors can quickly shift the scenario. However, from a purely technical standpoint, the rising wedge pattern is a powerful signal that should not be ignored.
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 108,794.06
Target Level: 97,384.13
Stop Loss: 116,400.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bitcoin Eyes Recovery with $1010K Target Amid ConsolidationPhaseThis updated 45-minute BTC/USD chart by EleanorEmilyFx on TradingView (May 25, 2025) shows Bitcoin trading around $107,261 following a period of sideways movement. After a steady downtrend within a clearly defined range, a bullish breakout is anticipated with a projected target of $101,000. The red resistance cloud is being tested, and a successful breakout could trigger short-term upside momentum. Price remains bounded between key support near $104K and resistance around $112K, offering a favorable risk-reward setup for traders eyeing the $1010K level.
BTC BULLISH RUNBTC'S BULLISH RUN IS BACK ON. The price has been dumped down to trap traders, stop hunt, and liquidate long buyers. I created a three-stage process to analyse the markets. The Jan trading range trapped traders above and was dumped down for three months, FEB,MAR, and APR. This is causing FUGAZI in the market!
BTCUSD Entre point 109500 target 108500 stop loss 110300You're describing a short trade setup on BTC/USD with the following details:
Entry point: 109,500
Target (Take Profit): 108,500
Stop Loss: 110,300
Here's the risk-reward ratio (RRR) for this trade:
Risk = 110,300 - 109,500 = 800
Reward = 109,500 - 108,500 = 1,000
RRR = Reward / Risk = 1.25
Analysis:
This is a short position with a decent RRR (above 1 is typically favorable).
Make sure to monitor volatility and volume—tight stop losses in crypto can be easily hit with sudden moves.
Would you like help automating this trade or getting a real-time chart analysis?
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
73 days looks to be spot on73 Day Lag to the Global M2 Money Supply looks to be spot on for the last year. If it is, this is good news with the M2 still climbing.
If I am right, we will have a dip within 24 hours of May 28th, only to get another pump to the upside withing 24 hours of June 2nd.
(I tried inputting all this data to Grok in order for him to give me some price targets. They were close to where I think the price will be but using the M2 for price targets still needs some work.)
#BITCOIN HISTORY IS ABOUT TO REPEAT !!#Bitcoin HISTORY IS ABOUT TO REPEAT! 🔥
The next move is obvious…
🔹 November 2023: Major breakout led to a 140% rally
🔹 October 2024: Another breakout fueled a 50% move
🔹 Now — May 2025: We are currently observing the Semmeler structure; will it break out again? 👀
New ATH loading... 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
btcusd sel of after each bitcoin conferenceAfter each b.tc8conference there were sell offs as of everybody discovering who really are holding bitcoin and there are still no killer app to make bitcoin useful for anything else than gambling, money laundry
Bitcoin conference this year is even worse with JD Vance and Trump Family using the opportunity to spread their bullshit fake news and narratives.
Bitcoin will blow off top to 120k and went to 60k till end of the year liquidating everybody including biggest hodler saylor strategy when trump will be impeached for abusing public office of presidency for personal enrichment.
Trump must pray that his own MAGA didn't shot him like Kennedy for betrayal.
Only way to survive for him would be resign before he get's impeached and removed from office.
BTC/USD indicating a potential trend reversal signal.Current Price: Approximately $108,497.
Trading Strategy Elements:
CHoCH (Change of Character): Marked near a consolidation area, indicating a potential trend reversal signal.
CB (Continuation Block) and BOS (Break of Structure): Highlighted zones showing important structural breaks and continuation patterns in the price action.
Trendline: A diagonal support line is drawn, showing the general direction of the upward trend before a pullback occurred.
Target Zones: Clearly defined with color-coded boxes indicating expected price movements.
First Target: Around $109,000.
Second Target: Around $110,500.
Final Target: Just above $111,500.
Time and Date: The chart is timestamped May 24, 2025, with the local system time showing 9:27 AM.
This setup indicates a bullish bias based on structure analysis, with clearly planned take-profit targets, likely forming part of a smart money or institutional trading strategy. The analyst appears to be preparing for a potential long position following a reversal from a recent low.
BTCUSD (15m) – Wave 12345 Completed with Bullish Divergence & SN🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute
💰 Pair: BTC/USD
⸻
🔍 Wave Structure & Momentum Analysis
Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can clearly identify a completed 5-wave impulsive move down:
• (1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5)
• Wave (5) completes with a bullish divergence against the Awesome Oscillator (AO), signaling weakening bearish momentum.
• Both price and AO show a clear divergence between wave (3) and wave (5), hinting at a possible reversal or corrective phase.
⸻
🔁 Break of Structure & SNR Zone
• Price is currently reacting to a key Support-turned-Resistance (SNR) level around 107,724.
• A confirmed break and close above this SNR will mark a break of structure, strengthening the bullish case.
• I will wait for the price to close above 107,724 on the 15M timeframe to confirm this break.
⸻
🧠 What’s Next? ABC Retracement for Entry
• Upon break of structure, I will look for a nearest bullish Supply & Demand (SND) zone as a potential entry point.
• Ideally, I will wait for an ABC corrective retracement (after the break) to enter long.
• Entry will be placed at the base of the SND zone formed during the corrective leg.
⸻
📌 Trade Plan Summary
• ✅ Wave 12345 completed (impulse wave down).
• ✅ Bullish divergence confirmed with AO.
• ⚠️ Watching for break and close above 107,724 (key SNR).
• 🔎 If broken, wait for ABC correction into SND zone to initiate long position.
• 🎯 Target: Mid to Upper structure zone based on previous supply.
• ❌ Invalidation: If price fails to break above 107,724 or breaks below recent swing low (wave 5), setup is void.
⸻
📈 Technical Confluence
• Elliott Wave Count
• AO Divergence
• Break of Structure (BoS)
• SNR Level
• Awaiting ABC Pullback into SND
⸻
💬 Let me know what you think! Are you seeing the same structure? Waiting patiently for confirmation before entering.
#BTCUSD #ElliottWave #BreakOfStructure #SupplyAndDemand #AO #CryptoAnalysis #SmartMoney #15MinChart
BTCUSD MMC Breakdown – Curve Collapse & H&S Sell-Off Loading🔍 Chart Overview – BTC/USD (1H Timeframe)
This setup uses Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to forecast Bitcoin’s next potential major move, blending institutional-level curve analysis, pattern recognition, and structure shifts.
We are currently seeing a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern develop under a Black Mind Curve Resistance, supported by a sloping neckline and a clear zone of structure breaks and retests. Price is positioned for a significant bearish continuation if confirmation hits.
📐 Breakdown of Key Components:
🧠 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)
MMC focuses on the symmetry and memory of market behavior. When certain price structures mirror past reactions (support, resistance, or rejection points), we gain an edge in anticipating where big moves will happen.
Here, the curve structure and neckline level align to mirror prior bearish reactions.
👤 2. Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left Shoulder: Formed with rising volume and strong bullish momentum.
Head: A sharp move upward forming a new high, but eventually fails to sustain above the curve.
Right Shoulder: A weaker bullish attempt, indicating exhaustion and imbalance.
The neckline is clearly marked — a break below it validates the reversal pattern.
🟠 3. Black Mind Curve Resistance
This is an institutional resistance arc — an MMC dynamic level that mirrors prior selling patterns. Price reacted strongly under this curve, confirming its relevance.
It acted as a ceiling for the head formation, capping bullish continuation and turning price downward.
🔵 4. Black Mind Curve Support
Drawn beneath the price action, this dynamic support is about to be tested again. A clean break below the curve and neckline would likely result in a strong drop.
⚠️ 5. Major CHoCH & BOS Zones
CHoCH (Change of Character): Price failed to form new highs and showed early bearish shift.
BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed when neckline is broken.
These are vital MMC confirmation points that strengthen the short idea.
🔁 6. Retest & Boom (Bearish Version)
Price could retest the neckline or the broken trendline (shown by the blue arrows), offering a perfect "sell on retest" opportunity before dropping to the target.
This is a classic MMC play — breakdown ➝ retest ➝ continuation.
🎯 7. Target Zone
Projected based on:
Height of the H&S pattern.
Previous key structure zone.
MMC symmetry principles.
Expected target: near $101,700 – $102,000.
🧨 Trade Idea:
✅ Bearish Setup (Preferred Bias)
Wait for a clean neckline break and candle close.
Look for retest of neckline or curve (lower timeframes).
Sell with target near $101,700, SL above right shoulder.
🚫 Invalidation:
Price closes back above right shoulder and curve.
Invalidates the bearish structure.
Quick BITCOIN Fractal update, Not on Fractal but still good
BITCOIN still in that target circle, first posted in Feb 2025, and I expect to remain here till early June.
This daily chart shows us where exactly we sit in the circle.
There are a number of reasons why we may remain here a little longer but one thing to always look at is the MACD.
The Weekly is still rising Bullish with room to move higher
The Daily is choppy and currently just fallen below its Signal line
We need to watch this area as between the MACD and its Histogram, we could see a Strong Bearish Divergence
The shorter term 4 hour shows how support in approaching
The habit has been for MACD to bounce off Neutral line but if we look at that Histogram, we can see the volatility there and so this could point to a weaker reaction in the near future.
In conclusion, the potential for a drop lower exists but the lower time frame MACD can also show us that some support is available maybe
Lines of support for BTC PA suggest a Low of around 105K should curent support fail.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently rising again while the others are dropping.
If BTC PA Drops while this is rising, ALTS will Bleed heavy
Continued Range is the likely option till we reach June and then, Mid June, 18th, we have the FED Rate decision.
This could trigger renewed reaction.
We have reentered a zone of upmost CAUTION till we get some stronger momentum signals
Bitcoin - All time highs will come next!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - prepares a significant move:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past couple of months, we basically only saw sideways price action on Bitcoin. However, this does not mean, that Bitcoin is now slowing down; actually the opposite is true and Bitcoin is setting up for a major move higher. New all time highs will come very soon.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD update Just after we hit 120k I will allow all sellers n all butter fly analysis to start predicting for now am not happy with this small ATH by that we are following right trend not what people's think let's keep it real n stand still if possible we reach 150k to 300k my bulls friend let's do what we've been waiting for don't let anyone confused you,understand pull backs n counter them n remain constant thank yo.