Bitcoin Could Hit as High as $400KWhen comparing our macro cycle to the 2017 cycle, we see the potential for a very parabolic run on Bitcoin. I believe Bitcoin could hit as high as $400K by 2029. This is because Bitcoin tends to follow the stock market, and I anticipate a major blow-off top coming for the stock market. I expect one more big parabolic run on the Dow Jones leading up to 2029, which would fuel Bitcoinโs rise to $400K.
The lowest I see Bitcoin going during this parabolic run is $250K. On the higher end, I could see it hitting $400K or even more. Big things are coming.
As always, stay profitable.
โ Dalin Anderson
BITCOIN trade ideas
BITCOIN SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
โ
BITCOIN is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 101,000$
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 105,000$
LONG๐
โ
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!โ
โจโจ
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Become Rich Trading Bitcoin Strategy Simplified Correction NullIs this a shakeout or a rejection?
A rejection implies no bullish action short-term thus lower prices. It is still early on the current move.
A shakeout implies a bear-trap and bullish action soon to follow, as soon as the shakeout is complete.
Daily and weekly close
Let's be fair and honest, it is too early to say. To determine if the current move is either a rejection or a shakeout we have to wait for the close today.
Price action
Why are these two in question? Because the daily session moved higher today reaching $106,500 followed by lower prices. The low hit $102,309, lower than 13-June but higher than 5-June, a higher low. More information can be acquired once the trading session closes but, we can move ahead and see what the chart has to say based on other signals.
The volume is low on the bearish side, on all sides. The higher low so far is strong. As long as $102,000 holds Bitcoin is ultra-hyper bullish, very strong. Even if we are considering the short-term it doesn't matter, if the action is happening above this level the bulls are wining and that's what we have.
If the action is happening above $100,000 we already know what this means and this level is not in question right now. Being price oriented that is why I say is still early, do you agree?
So, more shakeouts, more sideways, more retraceโa non-event; short-term noise.
We are looking for the next major move, not the next $1,000 drop.
Market conditions do not change
Rest easy, Bitcoin will continue bullish even if it wicks below 100K. As long as it trades above this level, or the $100,000 to $102,000 price range, the action is safe (coming from the bulls).
If the week closes above this range but starts red next week and goes below, no need to panic because the week can start red just to recover and this would only be a continuation of the shakeout; we take information from the weekly close and not the intra-week action makes sense?
Questions โLeave a comment
So, what is your take?
Just let me know truly, what is your belief?
Do you think Bitcoin is bearish or bullish?
It can be looked at in many different ways.
The bull market
The trend is bullish, mid- to long-term. The action is happening above 100K.
The altcoins market is weak but we all know from the bottom we grow, we are entering the summer now... Ahhh, the beautiful summer, bring the heat. With the summer prices tend to grow.
You can call it a relief rally but that will be only the start. The relief will turn into a major bullish wave and this wave will transform into a major bull run.
Motivation
I love you again wishing you the best forever more.
You deserve the best now and always.
Keep at it and keep trying, persistence is the key. As long as we continue to trade, in the end we are sure to win.
Invest in Crypto, it is very easy.
Think of all the people that joined us (the market) 10 years ago. What are their holdings worth now? Millions upon millions... Now, think of yourself 10 years into the future. Put whatever money in you can afford and watch it grow.
The way to riches is not through frugality or savings, the way to riches is through buying and investing. This is the right market for us. It is fast, it is volatile, it is young; just like most of us. If not young of age, we are young at heart.
Namaste.
Market next forecast ๐ Disrupted Analysis: Bullish Counter-Scenario
๐ง Original Bias:
The chart predicts a strong bearish move, with a target around 88,000 USD.
The label "Bullish" seems misleading as itโs placed in a steep downward move.
---
๐ Issues With the Original Analysis:
1. Volume Misinterpretation:
Increasing red volume could indicate capitulation or a temporary panic sell-off, not necessarily the start of a new trend.
A bounce could follow if buyers step in.
2. Support Zone Ignored:
The analysis overlooks any previous support levels in the 100kโ98k range, where buyers may be waiting.
3. No Confirmation for Breakdown:
The chart does not show a completed breakdown of a key structure or trendline.
The blue squiggle assumes a breakdown will happen, but no technical confirmation is visible.
---
๐ Disruption Scenario: Bullish Reversal Possible
Rejection from 102k zone could be a liquidity grab, not the start of a downtrend.
BTCUSD: Nowhere near a top yet.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 443.000, ADX = 29.912) due to high volatility recently but the bullish long term trend is intact and even more so, hasn't yet started the year-end rally. The Mayer Multiple Bands have always priced a Cycle's Top on their red trendline so no matter how high that may seem from the current market price, the TP zone should be between the orange (2 Stdev above) and red (3 Stdev above) trendines. Minimum TP = 200,000 for this Cycle.
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BITCOIN BOUNCES FROM 50 MA - AGAINBitcoin continues to treat the 50-day moving average like a sacred line in the sand. Once again, price dipped to test the level and found immediate support โ bouncing right off the blue line with a solid daily candle and gaining over 1% in the process. That makes multiple successful defenses of the 50 MA in recent weeks โ clearly, traders are watching it closely.
The key takeaway here isnโt just the bounce, but the fact that BTC remains in a tightening range between ~$112,000 resistance and ~$100,700 support. Weโre seeing a clear battle between bulls and bears โ with bulls still managing to defend higher lows while momentum tries to rebuild. As long as the 50 MA continues to hold, the structure remains bullish โ but if it breaks, it could signal a retest of the $100K psychological level or even a deeper pullback toward the mid-$90Ks.
For now, the trend is still your friend. But keep one eye on the moving average โ because the moment it fails, this range could resolve sharply. Until then, itโs a patient traderโs market.
Iran-Israel Affected Btc MarketThe conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated since the initial strike on Friday. After sustaining a wide-scale strike on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders, Iran retaliated by launching drones and missile attacks on Israel.
Reuters reports that Iran has rejected calls for a ceasefire, while Israel has vowed to make Tehran pay for Monday's dawn attacks on Tel Aviv and Haifa. The world remains on edge amid looming escalation.
BTC Triangle Squeezing Toward $100 K โ Sellers Press๐ฏ TL;DR
A four-week contracting triangle is coiling price just under $105 K.
Measured move โ $100 506
Both W.ARITAS Quantum RSI flash strong selling pressure while QSP shows a weak trend.
On-chain: miners dumped โ30 000 BTC since late May, yet spot-ETF inflows have stayed positive eight days straight.
Base case: price breaks lower into $100 K-97 K, where I expect a sharp bounce.
๐บ๏ธ Chart at a Glance
Element Detail
Pattern Symmetrical / contracting triangle (late-Apr โ present)
Immediate pivot $104 800 โ reclaimed as resistance (red circle)
Target 1 $100 506 โ triangle measured move
Demand block $96 900 โ $95 000 โ weekly support & June VWAP
Invalidation 6-h close > $106 000
๐ง Technical Internals
Momentum ๐ฃ
Quantum RSI: โ23 / โ41 and falling โ sellers dominate.
QSP: muted blue histogram sub-zero โ trend itself is still weak, so expect whipsaws near support.
Structure ๐ต
Three successive lower-highs (113 K โ 110 K โ 109 K) tighten the squeeze.
Price is riding the underside of the triangle, a common โkiss-of-deathโ before resolution.
๐ Fundamental / Flow Backdrop
Miners on the offer โ Wallet balances down ~30 000 BTC over 20 days (โ $3.1 B)
Source: IntoTheBlock via CoinDesk, 19 Jun 2025
ETF demand refuses to quit โ U.S. spot ETFs pulled $388.3 M on 18 Jun, marking 8 consecutive inflow days
Source: CoinTelegraph, Cryptonomist, 19 Jun 2025
Regulatory clarity incoming โ U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan stablecoin bill on 17 Jun; House vote next
Source: Reuters, 17 Jun 2025
Net: structural sellers (miners, profit-takers) vs. structural buyers (ETFs).
Right now, technicals side with the sellers.
๐ Trade Map (3-8 Week Horizon)
106 000 โ 104 800 Triangle top & failed breakout zone Bias flips bullish only on sustained reclaim
100 506 Measured-move target + psychological $100 K Primary TP / bounce watch
96 900 โ 95 000 Weekly demand, June VWAP Secondary TP if 100 K gives way
110 000 + Pattern invalidation Opens road to 113 K-115 K ATH cluster
๐ ๏ธ Execution Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Trigger: 6-hour close < $103 500 confirms breakdown.
Entry Bias: Short retest of 104.8 K-105.5 K.
Targets:
TP1 โ $100 500
TP2 โ $97 000 (only if momentum stays bearish)
Stop / Invalidation: 6-hour close > $106 000 and Quantum RSI flips back to green.
Expect BTC/USD to drop to 102000 post-Fed rate decisionBTC/USD Update ๐
BTC rebounded from 103500 support, now at ~105500. Short-term correction may test 100000 psychological support โ ๏ธ
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause BTCUSD to drop directly to 102000 .
โก๏ธโก๏ธโก๏ธ BTCUSD โก๏ธโก๏ธโก๏ธ
๐ Sell@ 105000 - 104500
๐ TP 102500 - 101500
Accurate signals are updated every day ๐ If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide ๐งญ Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you ๐ ๐
Bitcoin Setup: Tight Risk, Solid UpsideBitcoin continues to trade within a strong uptrend.
Ideally, Iโd prefer to see reduced volatility and stabilization on the daily chart for a cleaner entry. But overall, the current setup already looks attractive โ so Iโm entering now.
What I like is that for such a volatile asset, the stop-loss is relatively tight โ just around -1.70%. The upside potential targets the previous high and beyond, offering 7.50%+.
Letโs go!
Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure โ Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure โ Technical Breakdown
This chart examines Bitcoinโs historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market โ Bear Market โ Accumulation/Recovery โ Halving โ Expansion.
Key Observations:
๐น Cycle Timing Consistency
Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peakโtypically between 500โ550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top.
๐น Post-Halving Correction is Expected
Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs.
๐น Altcoin Market Segments Lagging
TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC)
TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH)
OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap)
All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market.
๐น USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside
USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets.
Conclusion:
Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in.
1W:
1M:
โฟitcoin: Holding steadySince our last update, Bitcoin has traded in a relatively stable range. As expected, there's still a strong case for the crypto leader to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. However, a deeper pullback below the $100,000 mark remains a real possibility before that move unfolds. Regardless of the path it takes, we continue to expect Bitcoin to reach this upper zone, completing green wave B. From there, a corrective wave Cโalso in greenโis likely to follow, driving the price down toward the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This move would mark the end of the broader orange wave a. For now, weโre watching for a potential b-wave recovery before the final leg lower toward the bottom of blue wave (ii) takes shape. That said, there's still a 30% chance that blue wave (i) isnโt done yet and could extend significantly above $130,891 before any meaningful correction begins.
๐ Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTCUSD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured breakdown of your BTC/USD trade setup:
---
๐ข Buy Entry
Price: 105,000
---
๐ฏ Take Profit Levels
1. TP1: 105,700
2. TP2: 106,900
3. TP3: 108,844
---
๐ด Stop Loss
Price: 103,530
---
๐ Risk-Reward Summary (approximate)
Risk: 1,470 points (105,000 - 103,530)
Reward:
TP1: +700 points โ RR โ 0.48
TP2: +1,900 points โ RR โ 1.29
TP3: +3,844 points โ RR โ 2.62
---
โ
Tips
Consider partial exits at each TP to lock in profits.
Use trailing stops after TP1 to secure gains and reduce risk.
Make sure you adjust position size according to your total capital and the stop loss distance to manage risk effectively.
Would you like a visual chart, trade script, or risk calculator based on this setup?
"It was a random flight away.." learn these 3 stepsI was reading a book
On negotiating by Chris Voss.
It reminded me of the time i got into a fight with a drunk friend.
It was not fair he was drunk and
I was sober.He won the fight because
As soon as he hit me as I barely
Dodged the punch, it hurt. I froze.
Immediately pulled back using round kicks and flying kicks to keep distance
It was a random flight away from the fight. I used my words "relax!!"
I moved fast put a palm of my
Hand stretched on his chest,
"If he breaks this stop sign..."
I thought in that moment
To me that was my signal...
Self defense is not easy
You will get hurt protecting your pride.That fight humbled me.
Negotiating is about losing your fight to give the other person what they want.Then using your position to get what you need.I needed peace.
Because I was not interested in escalating the situation with drunk person.
Bitcoin is very very volatile.This is what makes me tell you don't use margin.Margin or leverage in Trading is like fighting a drunk friend.
The moment the fight is over so is the friendship.Take ownership.Buy it and save it in a hardware wallet.
The price is above the 50 EMA
The price is above the 200 EMA
The price gapped up about a month ago
That's the 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy
Cold storage is your self defense.You won't participate in the mania but you will survive the fight and make money to live another day.
๐ Boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer โ ๏ธ Trading is risky please learn about Risk Management And Profit Taking Strategies.Also don't use margin and use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
BTC on the Edge โ Bounce or Break?๐จ BTC AT MAKE-OR-BREAK ZONE! ๐จ
Chart by Mosilar ๐
๐ง Price is sitting on the major trend line + high-volume support around $104K ๐ฅ
๐ A double top is in play โ tension is building!
๐ฃ Break below = potential dump to $102K
๐ Bounce = possible rally back to $108K+
โ๏ธ Bulls & bears are in a standoff.
This level wonโt hold foreverโwatch closely! ๐๐
Bitcoin Update: Key Levels, Geopolitics & Cautious Trading Ahead
๐๐ฅ Bitcoin Update: Key Levels, Geopolitics & Cautious Trading Ahead ๐ญ๐
Hey Traders,
Many of you asked for a fresh Bitcoin update โ so here we go. ๐
Last time, we caught that breakout, but it turned out to be a fakeout. Since then, the situation has become more complex. Geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, combined with uncertainty in the Middle East, are weighing heavily on sentiment. ๐๏ธ๐ฃ
On the macro side, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged for now โ no cuts yet. Building permits data has disappointed again, but inflation is cooling slightly. For now, the big market mover is clearly geopolitics.
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
โ
Support:
$102,400 โ $102,700 โ If Bitcoin dips here, watch for a bounce.
โ
Resistance:
$106,000 โ Major resistance.
Next Resistance: $108,350
Ultimate target: $113,000โ$115,000, IF momentum returns.
So how am I approaching it?
๐ Long above $106K โ first stop $108K โ target $113Kโ$115K.
๐ Short below $106K โ watch support zones carefully.
๐ If we lose $102K, next big supports are $97,700, $89,000 โ and even $79,000 if things worsen.
๐ซ Big Picture:
Weโre still stuck in a broad sideways range โ roughly $100,000โ$110,000 โ until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Without a Fed pivot or de-escalation in the Middle East, momentum may stay muted.
๐ My Advice:
Be cautious. Size your positions wisely. Respect levels. And above all, stay safe โ mentally and emotionally โ in these uncertain times.
Iโll keep you updated step-by-step. Trade smart, stay kind.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ๐
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! ๐๐ค๐