BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin :What is next?These are my 3 major trades for this month and the next one.
First we got that 98k npoc level. After that i will open a nice little short postion until 88k region is tapped. Then i will long until 104k or 107k npoc levels close . I will consider also entering short from 104k region.
I think during the summer btc will go down just like last year .
60k-70k is waiting for btc.
Bitcoin & Tariffs 📉 In the short term, Trump's proposed tariffs add to the current risk-off sentiment—ETF flows, correlations with stocks, and macro uncertainty are already weighing on Bitcoin.
🗣 While debates rage on about whether tariffs will hurt importers or exporters or whether Trump will roll back some after negotiations, one thing is certain: inflation. And inflation is historically a positive for $BTC.
🌊Liquidity injections, growth of money supply (M2) and potential QE will follow as a weak economy struggles with disrupted supply chains—another long-term positive for Bitcoin
⚖️ During trade wars and geopolitical uncertainty, investors run to gold. With Bitcoin’s correlation to gold, this could be another tailwind
💡 So while tariffs may be a short-term drag, structurally, they are bullish for Bitcoin in the long run. You also need to remember that quite a lot of negativity is already built into the price, and if there is no new round of counter-tariffs, positive sentiment may appear sooner.
BITCOIN Ready for PUMP or what ?Currently, COINBASE:BTCUSD is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSD Trading AnalysisChart Overview:
Timeframe: 30 minutes
Pattern: Expanded Triangle (bearish bias)
Current Price: Around $94,330 at the time of chart
Wave Count:
Completed a complex Expanded Triangle at the top.
Initial impulsive wave (Wave ①) already in progress.
Expecting corrective retracement for Wave ② (small bounce).
Then strong downward impulsive Wave ③ projected.
Technical Observations:
1. Expanded Triangle Formation
Type: Bearish Expanded Triangle.
Characteristics observed:
Each subsequent high was higher and each low was lower (classic expanding pattern).
Typically this formation ends with a sharp reversal (which already started).
2. Wave Structure Forecast (Elliott Wave Principle)
Wave ①: First impulsive downward leg already formed.
Wave ②: A minor retracement or bounce is expected (lower high formation).
Wave ③: Strong impulsive fall expected after Wave ②, breaking previous lows.
Wave ④: Small corrective upward retracement.
Wave ⑤: Final downward move completing the 5-wave impulsive structure.
Key Price Levels and Targets:
Target Level (Approx.)
Target 1 $89,300 1.309 Fibonacci extension, interim support
Target 2 $86,000 Next major Fibonacci projection zone
Final Target $84,400 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone, final bearish target
Fibonacci Projections:
1.618 Extension: ~$89,000
2.309 Extension: ~$86,100
2.618 Extension: ~$84,400
Volume and Momentum Check:
Volume: Decreasing during the upward retracements (bearish confirmation).
Momentum: Loss of momentum after the triangle breakout — supporting deeper correction.
Summary of Expectation:
Bitcoin has completed a bearish expanded triangle.
A strong downward impulsive move has started.
Short-term bounce (Wave ②) is possible but lower highs expected.
Likely targets for downward movement are $89,300, $86,000, and possibly $84,400 in the coming days.
Trend Bias: Bearish until BTCUSD reclaims above $95,000 decisively.
Risk Factors:
Watch for invalidation if BTCUSD crosses and sustains above $96,000 (triangle high).
Sudden macro news or BTC-related developments could lead to unexpected volatility.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before trading.
BTCUSD ANALYSIS🚨 BTCUSD Technical Update! 🚨
Traders, pay close attention! 👀
Here’s what the latest 1H chart is showing us:
🔹 Bitcoin is consolidating around 94,700–94,800
🔹 Potential double top structure forming near the 95,600–95,750 zone — MAJOR resistance ahead!
🔹 If Bitcoin fails to break and sustain above this resistance, we could see a sharp drop towards the first support at 94,383 🔻
🔹 A break below 94,000 could accelerate selling pressure — next downside target near 93,500! 🎯
⚡ Plan your trades smartly!
⚡ Wait for confirmations — either breakout or rejection from the resistance zone!
🔥 Volatility Incoming! Stay Alert and Manage Risk Wisely! 🔥
Bitcoin reaches $110,000 to $113,000 then crashes 2025 (soon)A bearish divergence has appeared on Bitcoin’s weekly chart, closely resembling the setup before the 2021 crash. Based on this, along with a peak-to-peak trendline, I believe Bitcoin could climb to $110,000–$113,000 before a major correction — potentially dropping to $60,000 or, in a worst-case scenario, as low as $30,000 — before beginning its next upward surge.
Weekly Market Recap | DXY, Gold, Bitcoin – What Just Happened? In this week’s market recap, we break down the key economic and political events shaking up the financial markets:
💥 DXY makes a short-term comeback — but is the dollar still on a long-term decline?
🏆 Gold pulls back from record highs — are dip-buyers already stepping in?
🚀 Bitcoin bounces back — is it acting like a risk asset or a safe haven?
We dig into:
The impact of easing Sino-U.S. trade tensions
Weak U.S. PMI data and Fed policy expectations
Goldman Sachs' bearish outlook on the dollar
Why institutional demand continues to fuel gold and crypto
🎯 Plus, I share my forecast for the U.S. dollar and what traders should watch next.
Whether you're trading currencies, gold, or crypto, this recap will give you the clarity and edge you need going into the new week.
My $BTCUSD analysis, called out at 82.9k for a measured 12% move*DISCLAIMER* this is not financial advice and cannot be construed as such
CALLED OUT AT 82.9K going to 105k make sure you launch the chart and put the candles on Heiken Ashi
$BTCUSDBreakdown and technical/fundamental analysis on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
THANKS ALL GLTA!
Bitcoin is bullish again!Bitcoin’s been on a wild ride lately!
After crashing down from its all-time highs earlier this year, it’s suddenly bounced back and shot up again over the last few weeks. Here’s what’s really going on, in plain English:
First off, a lot of this has to do with what’s happening in the broader economy and politics. The US dollar has gotten weaker recently, especially after Trump started criticizing the Federal Reserve and pushing for interest rate cuts.
When the dollar drops or there’s drama around central banks, people start looking for alternatives, and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is like the go-to “digital gold” for a lot of investors these days.
There’s also been a ton of money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs (those are investment funds that directly hold Bitcoin), especially from big institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity. These huge inflows mean more demand, but since there’s only so much Bitcoin out there, the price gets pushed up even more.
Another big reason is the recent Bitcoin “halving,” which happened about a year ago. Basically, every four years, the reward for mining new Bitcoin gets cut in half, so fewer new coins are created. This makes Bitcoin even scarcer , and historically, prices have always jumped in the months after a halving event. As we said in previous ideas BTC could be near USD 200k this summer.
On top of that, there’s been some good news about trade relations between the US and China, which has made investors more optimistic and willing to take risks again. When people feel better about the global economy, they’re more likely to put money into things like crypto.
Technical confirmations
Bouncing in the previous 2024 highs is really good for Bitcoin, people was ready to buy a lot of BTC in the right price and after that a lot of inflows moved the price over the blue trendline meaning that this small downtrend is over.
Bitcoin is volatile, so this kind of movements are ideal to make money or invest in a discount. If the price moves below the support line, then I recommend to stay away of BTC because there could be a free fall...
So, to sum it up: weaker dollar, big institutional buying, post-halving scarcity, better vibes around global trade, and people running from stock market chaos—all of that has pushed Bitcoin back up after its recent dip. Who knows how long it’ll last, but right now, crypto’s hot again!
Double Top Forming on BTC 1D ChartMy free: Degen Indicator is printing a Double Top on the Bitcoin 1D Chart. This is a very strong signal that price upside is weakening. If Today's candle is Bearish Engulfing along with the second Top signal holding on the next 1D close it will mean that Bitcoin has yet made another Lower High.
Bitcoin Surges and Gold Falls: Risk Appetite RisesBy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Friday’s session sends a clear message to financial markets: risk appetite is roaring back, and investors are shifting their positions accordingly. While Bitcoin heads for its best week since March—fueled by geopolitical expectations and signs of a softer U.S. trade policy—the gold market, traditionally a haven in times of uncertainty, is undergoing a mild pullback from its record highs.
Bitcoin Tops $93,000 and Eyes Weekly Gains
The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), climbed to $93,300, marking a near 10% gain for the week after briefly touching $94,000 on Wednesday. This rebound represents a sharp reversal from the caution seen in recent weeks and largely reflects a shift in tone from Washington.
President Donald Trump withdrew his threat to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a move interpreted as an institutional stability signal. He also hinted at potentially lowering tariffs on China, easing market tensions and benefiting higher-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies.
Although Beijing officially denied any trade talks, Bloomberg reports suggest China is considering exempting certain U.S. goods from its 125% tariffs, stoking hopes for a de-escalation. In this context, Bitcoin, which has historically reacted to geopolitical uncertainty and market sentiment, has drawn investor interest as a speculative asset with upside potential amid greater liquidity and less trade friction.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis
A long-term Bitcoin chart reveals that the Fibonacci retracement has returned near the 61.0% level, currently sitting just below it. The Point of Control (POC) is around $84,568, significantly below today’s price of $93,617.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), at 55.84, shows no signs of extreme overbought conditions. Should the current resistance level be decisively broken, Bitcoin could surge toward $98,000, reclaiming territory lost in late February. Conversely, if momentum falters, a pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement—around $90,822, the previous resistance—becomes more likely.
Gold Pulls Back from Record Highs
On the flip side, spot gold fell 0.9% to $3,318.28 per ounce, while June futures slipped 0.6% to $3,328.67. These modest declines come after gold reached a historic peak of $3,500 earlier this week.
The primary catalyst for the pullback has been renewed risk-on sentiment, driven by strong earnings from tech giants Alphabet (+2.5%), Amazon (+3.3%), and Nvidia (+3.6%)—all benefiting from the AI boom and boosting confidence in growth assets.
Additionally, a rebound in the U.S. dollar, which had hit three-year lows, pressured precious metals. Yet gold remains elevated, underpinned by structural factors like persistent inflation, Middle East conflicts, and broader geopolitical tensions.
A New Balance Between Safe Havens and Speculation
This week’s action underscores a temporary shift in investor priorities. With signs of trade détente and no surprises from central banks, capital is moving from defensive assets into higher-return, speculative vehicles such as cryptocurrencies.
Other altcoins have also performed well: Polygon is up 11%, Cardano +4.4%, Solana +2.7%, while Ethereum holds steady near $1,770.
Although the backdrop remains fragile—trade talks remain uncertain and global risks linger—the market’s narrative has turned cautiously optimistic. This shift positions Bitcoin as a hybrid asset, straddling the line between a digital haven and a high-risk investment.
Conclusion
The divergent performance of Bitcoin and gold highlights the market’s current duality: optimism with reservations. If trade-tension relief takes hold, digital assets could see further gains. Conversely, renewed conflict would likely propel gold back into the spotlight as the premier store of value.
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Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 94,119.93
1st Support: 88,510.65
1st Resistance: 99,362.24
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Disclaimer:
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BTCUSD 4 - hour Chart AnalysisBTCUSD 4 - hour Chart Analysis
I. Trend Judgment
From the 4 - hour chart, BTCUSD is on an upward trend, consolidating at relatively high levels. Despite price fluctuations, bulls are still in control to some extent 🐂.
II. Key Levels
Support Area: The 90,000 - 91,500 range is a key support zone. The price has rebounded here multiple times, suggesting strong buying interest. If it drops back, it could be a buying opportunity 📈. 86,000 and 83,000 are additional lower - level supports.
Resistance Area: 95,000 is the resistance area. The price has faced hurdles here. If bullish momentum strengthens, breaking this could open up more upside 🚀.
III. Trading Strategies
Long - position Strategy: When the price retreats to the 90,000 - 91,500 support area and a bullish candlestick shows up, consider going long. Place stop - loss below the support and aim for 95,000. If broken, higher levels may follow 💰.
Short - position Strategy: Near 95,000, if a bearish candlestick appears with rising volume, try a small short position. Set stop - loss above resistance and target 91,500 - 90,000 ⬇️.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@95000 - 94000
🚀 TP 92000 - 91000
🚀 Buy@91000 - 92000
🚀 TP 94000 - 95000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟