BITCOIN trade ideas
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with a recent bullish recovery from a pullback.
• MACD: Bullish crossover, MACD line above Signal line, histogram positive.
• RSI (14): 66.21 — momentum is strong but not overbought.
15-Minute Chart
• MACD: Positive histogram and crossover confirming short-term bullish momentum.
• RSI (14): 53.89 — mid-range, confirming no immediate exhaustion.
• Price Action: Higher lows and higher highs indicate short-term trend alignment with the Daily.
3-Minute Chart
• MACD: Bearish divergence, indicating a possible short-term pullback.
• RSI (14): 43.43 — recent dip offering a better long entry on minor weakness.
• Price: Currently consolidating near $97,000 after rejecting a local high.
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Fundamental Context:
• Macro: Institutional inflows into BTC ETFs and upcoming monetary easing expectations are long-term bullish drivers.
• Market Sentiment: Risk-on behavior across equities is spilling into crypto.
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Trade Setup (Long Position)
• Entry: $96,800
• Minor pullback support zone on M15/M3, aligns with moving average and volume node.
• Stop Loss (SL): $95,400
• Below recent swing low and structural support.
• Take Profit (TP): $100,200
• Near Daily resistance and psychological round number FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
BTC/USD 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price came out of a strong downward trend, which gave a strong upward movement for the price. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 96592 $
T2 = 101878 $
Т3 = 109442 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 92363 $
SL2 = 89028 $
SL3 = 83498 $
SL4 = 79350 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that despite a small price change, the indicator strongly reacted what potentially can give energy to further price increases in the coming weeks.
BTC/USD – Post-FOMC Macro & Technical Update | May 7, 2025Bitcoin remains in a volatile consolidation range following the May FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, as expected.
🏛️ Federal Reserve Recap:
Decision: No change in rates – aligned with market consensus.
Tone (Powell’s speech): Cautiously hawkish.
Powell acknowledged rising risks of unemployment and inflation, citing uncertainty around recent fiscal, immigration, and trade policies.
Key quote: “We are not currently in a position to begin easing. There is still significant uncertainty.”
🔎 Market takeaway:
The Fed is firmly in wait-and-see mode, unwilling to commit to cuts, but also avoiding overt hawkish signals. Markets remain data-dependent.
📈 BTC/USD Technical Outlook:
Entry Zone (Active): Short from ~97,200
Target 1 (TP1): 92,000 – Key demand zone + horizontal support
Current Price: Holding above 95K
Structure: BTC remains range-bound between 92K–97K awaiting macro clarity
🧠 Trade Implications:
Fed's cautious tone limits bullish breakout potential in the short term.
A dovish shift in tone or soft inflation data could trigger a breakout above 97K toward 100K+.
A re-test of the 92K level remains likely if macro uncertainty persists or DXY rebounds.
🔁 Plan Ahead:
✅ Respect range structure (92K–97K)
✅ Avoid heavy positioning without confirmation
✅ Watch DXY, yields, and upcoming CPI/PPI prints
🧠 Sentiment is neutral/slightly cautious post-FOMC
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Market conditions remain fragile and sensitive to macro headlines. Always use stop-losses and appropriate position sizing. This is not financial advice – trade responsibly.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – 1H🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📈 BTC recently pushed into a bearish OTE zone, approaching $98,000, but is now showing signs of exhaustion.
📐 The price is currently forming a descending wedge, indicating a possible consolidation phase before the next major move.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
⚠️ With the FOMC meeting in 2 hours, the potential for a rate cut would generally be positive for BTC, as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin.
🔎 However, if no cut is announced, we could see a short-term retracement to grab liquidity below before a bullish continuation.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟦 Bearish OTE Zone: Currently acting as a ceiling, with strong supply overhead.
🟥 1D IFVG: Previously tested and rejected, confirming this area as a key resistance.
🟩 4H FVG: Possible support if BTC pulls back, offering a potential springboard for a new leg up.
📉 Descending wedge: Classic bullish reversal pattern, but needs confirmation.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from the OTE and descending wedge
Return to 4H FVG (~$94,000)
Potential sweep of lower liquidity zones before a bounce
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Breakout of the descending wedge
Clear move above the OTE zone
Potential push toward the psychological $100,000 level if sentiment turns bullish post-FOMC.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 FOMC in 2 hours: Key event for the short-term direction.
💸 Powell + Rates: If the tone is dovish or if a cut is hinted, BTC could break out to the upside.
🔎 Liquidity grabs and trap setups are likely, given the recent price structure.
✅ Conclusion
👉 BTC is currently consolidating near a major resistance, with the FOMC as a critical catalyst.
📍 Key levels to watch:
Bearish OTE Zone (~$98,000)
4H FVG (~$94,000)
Lower liquidity zones (~$91,000 - $89,000)
⏳ As always, stay alert for false breakouts and liquidity sweeps as volatility picks up.
Bitcoin Parabolic Curve - 2022 to 2026 Market CycleThis line chart shows the current Bitcoin market cycle from the bear market bottom in November 2022. As you can see, the price has formed a parabolic curve, which was violated around the beginning of March. A couple of weeks later, there was a retest of the curve, which was rejected. The price of BTC has since returned to the bottom side of the curve and is following it upwards.
I am also watching the Bitcoin monthly chart and, more specifically, the monthly Stochastic RSI indicator. As you can see in the chart below, between the second and third months after the market cycle peak, the Stochastic RSI indicator has always dropped below the "20" level, and was near zero at the close of the third month.
There was some speculation that the new all-time high set on January 20th at just over $109k was the peak for this market cycle. At the beginning of April, the Stochastic RSI dropped well below the 20 level but rebounded and was at 16.81 when the April candle closed. One week into May, the Stochastic RSI has pushed back above the 20 level and currently sits at 26.38.
I am still keeping an open mind, but if the high set on January 20th were the market cycle peak, based on past history, I would have expected the Stochastic RSI to have been much lower at the close of April. If the May candle closes with the Stochastic RSI above the 20 level, it will give me much more confidence that Bitcoin has not peaked for this market cycle.
My assumption for now is that Bitcoin is still following a 4-year market cycle. If this is true, I would expect a market cycle peak sometime in the final months of this year. Either way, it has been a very interesting market cycle with huge changes for the crypto asset class.
BTC/USD:range tradingAfter multiple probes over the course of two days, BTC/USD once again challenged the threshold of $95,000 and successfully achieved a breakthrough. Currently, its price fluctuates within the range of $95,000 to $98,000. Within this range, investors can adopt a trading strategy of selling high and buying low. Once a new breakthrough occurs, they can flexibly adjust their trading strategies according to the direction of the breakthrough.
BTC/USD
sell@98000-97500
tp:96000-95500
buy@95000-95500
tp:97000-97500
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Bitcoin is Overbought, but $100,000 Target is Still at HandFenzoFx—Bitcoin is overbought at $97,000, a signal indicated by the Stochastic Oscillator. The price is expected to consolidate before the uptrend resumes. In this scenario, a dip toward $93,565 may provide a favorable entry point into the bull market.
Watch this level, followed by $91,720, for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
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Market Overview (May 7, 2025)📊 Key Metrics
1. Funding Rate: ~0.018% (on Binance)
— positive rate indicates long position dominance and bullish sentiment
2. Open Interest (OI): GETTEX:29B , up ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B in recent days
— rising OI suggests new positions are opening, increasing volatility risk
3. ETF Inflows: +$420.9M (May 6)
— strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT
4. Fear & Greed Index: 67 (Greed)
— rising greed may signal potential for a short-term correction
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📈 Market Movement Probability
• Upward: 60%
(supported by ETF inflows and positive funding)
• Downward: 40%
(high greed and rising OI could trigger a correction)
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
btcusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
BTC/USD Market Outlook – May 7, 2025📊BTC/USD Market Outlook – May 7, 2025
🔹Current Price: $96,579
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Demand Zones:
🟢 $95,052–95,209 – Fresh breakout demand, acting as support
🟢 $92,954–93,107 – Higher timeframe demand, strong bullish reaction area
📈Bullish Scenario:
Price broke structure with a strong impulsive move above $95.2K and is now forming a possible bullish flag. If price holds above the $95K zone, next upside targets could be $97.5K and $98.2K.
📉Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold above $95,052 and breaks below $95K, expect a deeper pullback toward $93.1K zone. Reactions from that level would define trend continuation or reversal.
⚡Pro Tip:
🔸 Watch for consolidation above $95K to catch breakout trades
🔸 Confirm entry with bullish engulfing or BOS on LTF (5M/15M)
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Bitcoin Moment of Truth (still Bearish)Well...well....well, Bitcoin holding its grounds very.....very well. I love that sideways move, now What's next?. Where the next arrow will be pointing out? Well looking at price action and seeing how well bulls have been defending their line and knowing that bears still have some TIME left we can forecast next move and as of matter of fact it is the most important move for Bitcoin Daily uptrend structure.
Bitcoin most likely will try to clear shorts above the $95k line then will retrace to go down one more time and get rid off longs below the $93500 line with a big nasty wick then continue higher. Bears still have like 30 1hr candles to make its last move and for the Daily chart still the same , it hasn't change a bit, but will have a good reading of it after the 12th. Bitcoin is fine as long as it stays above its Daily Zero Line. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen wild volatility is coming back.
Short trade
15min TF Structure
📘 Trade Journal Entry — BTCUSD (Sell Side)
🗓 Date: Tuesday, 6th May 2025
⏰ Time: 3:35 PM
📍 Session: New York PM
🪙 Pair: BTC/USD
📉 Direction: Short (Sell Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 95,116.74
Take Profit: 93,856.07 (−1.33%)
Stop Loss: 95,230.19 (+0.12%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 11.11
🔹 Trade Context: Based on the narrative of supply and demand...and liquidity
🎯 Targeted the opening day high-low region, anticipating liquidity grab
Executed during the New York PM session, often a time for reversals...?
#5min TF entry
#NYSessionPM
#SellsideSetup
#OpeningRangeTarget
#LiquiditySweep
BTC Rebounds from Support, Eyes Resistance ZoneBitcoin Price Analysis – Potential Upside from Support Zone
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading in a range between strong support ($98,500–$99,000). After bouncing from support, price is currently testing the 50 EMA (~$94,821). A bullish scenario is expected with a possible move toward the resistance zone if price holds above support.
BTCUSD Weekly Update | Mongoose Capital✅ Price: $95,067
✅ Position Entry: $75,083 → +26.6% unrealized P&L
✅ Delta Volume: +13.98% → buy flow leading sell flow
✅ Indicators: RSI mid-50s, volume strong, oscillators neutral-to-bullish
Key Levels:
🔑 Support: $91,500 (prior breakout zone)
🔑 Resistance: $100,000 (psychological milestone)
⚠️ Liquidity void below: $77,000 → downside gap risk if failed
Institutional View:
“BTC continues to hold above structural resistance with steady buy flow. Momentum is constructive, not euphoric. Pullbacks into $91K likely attract demand. Trend intact while above prior range.”
📲 Follow @MongooseCA for live market reads, positioning insights, and macro overlays.
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