BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC Short Swing Trade Setup with 2.6:1 Risk-Reward RatioBitcoin appears ready for a temporary pullback before another major move toward a new all-time high. This short setup targets a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and offers a 2.6:1 risk-reward ratio —
Entry at $106,490
Stop Loss at $109,814
Target at $97,700
This is for educational purposes only.
Signs of Bullish Reversal EmergingAs of today’s close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key mid-range Keltner Channel support zone. The recent Heikin Ashi candle reflects a strong recovery after a brief sell-off, with price rejecting lower support levels and closing firmly within the mid-band.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Respected: Price action respected the mid-Keltner Channel support, suggesting underlying buying interest around the $103k–$104k range.
Momentum Shift: The bullish engulfing nature of the current candle implies a potential shift in momentum, especially after recent consolidation below the upper range.
🔹Trade Idea: TP is near $112k, SL just under $102k.
Continued confirmation above the mid-band and sustained bullish volume will be critical for this move to extend.
BULLISH SENTIMENT ELLIOT WAVE PREDICTION
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
It can go deep, but not lower than the start of Wave 1.
Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the three impulse waves (1, 3, and 5).
Often, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful.
Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1.
This means no overlap between Waves 1 and 4 in a standard impulse.
Wave 5 must move in the direction of the overall trend.
It completes the five-wave impulse sequence.
BULL FLAG PREDICTION
Strong Uptrend (Flagpole)
Consolidation (Flag)
Measured Move Target - we want to see volume coming out of our consolidation phase. $150k would be a nice ATH CRYPTOCAP:BTC (MAXI)
Market sentiment (IMO) :
The dollar has fallen -10% this year.
- Less Trust in the Dollar. #bitcoin #ethereum #vechain #ada #xrp #ltc
Conflicts overseas usually push prices up because they threaten oil supplies.
-Wars spark spikes in oil, food, gas and metals due to disrupted supply chains. Historically, most commodity prices double during conflicts
$BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC is showing strength as uncertainty grows.
Investors are searching for ways to protect capital and generate yield and crypto liquidity pools are becoming the go-to instrument.
With buyers stepping in above $105K, the momentum could push prices to new highs, drawing more capital into the ecosystem.
Bitcoin Respecting FVG Again – Is This the Launchpad to 112K+ ?Bitcoin has once again shown strong respect for a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily timeframe, tapping into a previously identified imbalance around the $98,000 region. This area had earlier acted as a base for bullish structure, and price's return to it suggests re-accumulation by smart money rather than a breakdown. The reaction was swift, rejecting off the FVG and forming a strong bullish daily candle, implying intent for higher prices.
This move into the FVG also swept sell-side liquidity resting below a clear 4-hour equal low. This kind of liquidity grab is a textbook ICT-style move, used to trap retail shorts before a reversal. With that liquidity cleared and institutional interest likely engaged, the structure has shifted bullishly, creating a higher low and showing momentum building to the upside.
The next major upside objective lies at $111,921, which marks short-term weekly buyside liquidity. This area represents a key magnet for price — where many stop-losses and buy-side orders are likely stacked — making it a logical destination for a move upward. The projected move offers a potential 14.6% upside over the next few weeks.
If price can hold above the $106K-$108K zone, the probability increases that we’re witnessing the beginning of a broader impulsive leg toward the $112K region. However, failure to maintain bullish structure here could mean deeper accumulation is still unfolding. As always, this setup should be approached with discipline, and further confirmation should be sought using your own risk model and strategy.
Descending broadening wedge after peak BTC/USD 4hCurrently BTC/USD is in a descending broadening wedge after a peak.
This means high chance of upward breakout. Price increase from breakout point is usually the difference from pattern top to pattern bottom, which would mean a price of $123000.
Not financial advice. There is a chance of this not playing out, even though the chance is small.
BTC continues to short at high levels during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
BTC has reached an intraday high of 108,125, just one step away from the all-time high of 112,000. With the increase in trading volume and institutional sentiment turning bullish, the momentum seems to be in the bulls' favor. In addition to institutional buying, the ceasefire agreement in the Iran-Israel war is also an important factor in Bitcoin's sharp rebound. Trump's announcement of the end of the war almost immediately triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, the overall pattern has not changed, and the range resistance has not been broken, so we still keep the idea of shorting at high levels.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 108000-107500
TP 104500-103500
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
BTC - Longs???₿ Perfect Bitcoin Long from the Bottom
Instrument: Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Date: 22 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 The Setup:
After a sharp selloff, Bitcoin printed an “UP” signal just as price reached local exhaustion near the $100,000 zone.
While fear was high and momentum pointed downward, ELFIEDT detected the reversal conditions forming — and flagged the shift before any breakout was visible.
📈 The Result:
From the moment the “UP” signal appeared, BTCUSD launched into a clean rally — climbing over $7,000 in just a few days.
Traders who followed the signal saw:
✅ A low-risk entry from the bottom
✅ No chasing required
✅ A strong, clean uptrend with minimal drawdown
The early signal was key — while most were still bearish, ELFIEDT was already long.
📌 Key Takeaway:
ELFIEDT didn’t predict the news. It didn’t follow the herd.
It simply reacted to what the market was truly showing: an extreme condition with reversal potential.
The result was a near-perfect long.
🚀 Trade What You See, Not What You Feel
BTC’s bounce wasn’t random — it was algorithmically identified by ELFIEDT.
Your edge is in the data. Let the system guide you.
BTCUSDNow that BTCUSD has reached our previous target at 107,848, we are updating our forecast.
The market remains structurally bullish, with the next upside objective at 109,400.
Although we've seen a reaction from a short-term supply zone, a slight pullback or pause is possible. However, due to visible liquidity resting above, there's a strong likelihood that price will extend higher toward 109,400.
At that point, we will closely monitor price action for signs of exhaustion or reversal to evaluate potential short opportunities.
BTC 4-Hour Long Target 115,500Hello fellow Traders.
I am long, only posting my target area.
This Chart is very clean.
I came to the target conclusion area, with some Math, and I have used a Gann Square to monitor a time frame to reach the target area.
Yes, your reading it correctly, seems like it can happen as early as this Friday, and as late as July 22.
PA doesn't necessarily have to stay in the positive area of this Gann Square, and has all the right to swing back up inside positive, to finish it's goal.
The Plan:
The probability to reach the target within the time frame will fade slowly out, far past the Gann Square.
Yes, I am actually guessing where the nearest chance to reach this price level is going to happen "if it will happen" within the green target area, so I may close out my long trade somewhere along the way up. Afterwards scalp the box up and down till it hits the Target Area.
Except price to have an extremely high chance to bounce down from the Target Area, when it hits.
Good Luck !!