Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 30, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has undergone a significant decline during the current week's trading session and is presently situated at the Mean Support level of $103,000. This downward trajectory has the potential to establish a temporary pause, which may facilitate the emergence of upward momentum from this level, and it could pose a challenge to the Key Resistance level at 109500. A successful breach of this resistance may lead to the completion of the Inner Coin Rally target at $114500. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the possibility of renewed downward momentum from the current level, as this could result in a decline toward the Mean Support of 99000.
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC Outlook📌 Current Bias:
Short-term: Bearish, as we are in a downtrend with recent BOS and CHoCH to the downside.
Potential Reversal Area: Around the 0.786 Fib retracement and lower demand zone, especially if price forms bullish structure (like an I-CHoCH or BoS to the upside).
✅ Trading Opportunities:
1. Conservative Long Setup:
-Wait for a bullish CHoCH or I-BoS within the demand zone.
-Target the 0.5 or 0.382 Fibonacci retracement or imbalance zones above.
2. Continuation Short Setup:
-Look for rejection from 0.5 or 0.618 levels with bearish CHoCH.
-Enter short targeting the previous low around 103,000.
BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,686.94
Target Level: 111,091.02
Stop Loss: 100,407.14
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD SMC Short | 70.5% Fib + OB Rejection Incoming?BTCUSD | High Risk-Reward Setup at Key Supply Zone 🔥
This Bitcoin setup is setting up for a potential clean short opportunity, right from a key Order Block zone confluenced with 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement and a Strong High liquidity magnet above.
🧠 1. Why This Trade Setup is 🔥
This BTCUSD chart shows Smart Money preparing a trap:
🔺 Impulse down ➝ forming market structure shift
📉 Retracement back to a refined OB (purple zone)
📍 Aligned perfectly with:
✅ 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement zone
✅ Strong High = liquidity trap
✅ Bearish engulfing rejection from supply zone
This is textbook SMC confluence. Price could sweep the high one more time, then tank hard.
📌 2. Zone Breakdown
OB Entry Zone (purple): ~108,000 to 108,400
SL Above Strong High: ~109,000
TP at Weak Low: ~104,600
✅ Entry around 108,000
✅ RRR: ~1:5 👑
📈 3. Market Structure
HTF Bias: Bearish
LTF Structure: Retracing to premium zone
Expecting BOS downward if rejection confirms
⚙️ 4. Trade Plan
Wait for price to tap 61.8–70.5% zone
Look for M5/M15 bearish structure break
Enter on pullback to M15 OB
SL = Above the High
TP = Weak Low (104,630)
🛑 5. Risk Management Tips
Never enter blindly at 61.8%
Always wait for confirmation on LTF (M5/M15)
If price blows past 70.5%, let it go — don’t chase 🧘
🧠 Save this trade plan
📈 Comment “BTC SMC ENTRY” if you caught this
👀 Follow for more Smart Money chart breakdowns
Will BTC hold its price?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the BTC price has left the ongoing upward trend line at the bottom, and what's more, we can see how the current movement is creating a local downward trend channel in which the price is currently on the border of the previously created upward trend channel, which gives a strong support point.
Here we can see how the current downward movement has entered the support circle that starts around $ 104,800 and ends around $ 102,200, this is the place where two conflicting channels have converged. If these supports do not hold the price, we can see a quick recovery to around $ 98,000, and then to the level of $ 93,900.
Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have resistance at $107,670, then a resistance zone from $110,000 to $111,700 is visible, at the border of two channels, and then resistance is visible around $113,800.
On the MACD indicator, we can see a return to the downtrend, while on the RSI we return to the lower part at the lower border, which could potentially provide energy for a future upward movement.
BITCOIN - MONTHLY CLOSE ABOVE THIS LEVEL WILL CONFIRM A BREAKOUTIf Bitcoin can make a montly close above previous resistance at $102 200 - which seems pretty promising - and then retest that as a support, I think we are on a good path.
Bitcoin also need to retest that level as support, and breakout is confirmed.
So, to confirm a breakout we must:
1. Monthly close above $102 200
2. Retest that new support minimum one time
3.Breakout is confirmed, Goblin town is behind us!
$BTC Bitcoin Pullback After Local High – Mid-Term Structure Stil
BTC faced rejection near $110K and is now pulling back to test key mid-range levels. Price action remains constructive unless deeper supports break.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $99,763:
This level aligns with previous range highs and is now acting as crucial support. A successful retest here could fuel the next leg up. If this fails, next support sits at $90,209.
🔸 Upside Target: $110,324
Despite the current dip, momentum on higher timeframes still favors upside. Liquidity above $110K remains untapped, and a bullish bounce from $99K–$100K zone could drive BTC to $110K+ in the coming weeks.
🔸 Risk Level at $90,209:
A breakdown below $99K and then $90K would negate the bullish structure and open downside toward $80K–$70K range. This level remains critical for bull market continuation.
🔸 Action Plan:
Watch the $99,763 zone closely. If BTC holds and prints a higher low, it’s a strong bullish sign. A recovery with volume confirmation can trigger a breakout push toward $113K–$120K. If $90K breaks, flip bias short-term bearish and expect extended consolidation.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Current Bearish Setup:
1. Mislabeling of Levels:
The chart labels a newly broken support as "Support" still, even though price has clearly broken below that zone.
In proper technical analysis, once support is broken, it often turns into resistance, so the labels should be reversed.
2. Premature Downside Projection:
The bearish arrow assumes continued downside immediately after the breakdown, but there’s no confirmation candle or retest yet.
This could easily be a false breakdown or a liquidity sweep below support before a bounce.
3. No Confirmation from Volume:
Volume spiked on the breakdown, but the follow-up candle doesn’t confirm seller continuation.
Absence of sustained volume makes the move questionable. It could be a trap for breakout traders.
4. Lack of Trend Context:
The chart doesn't consider the broader trend. If BTC was in a strong uptrend before this pullback, this could be a bullish retracement, not a true reversal.
Drawing a trendline or checking a higher timeframe would help validate the direction.
BTC Macro View - Possible PullbackFailed breakout or just a pause?
Bitcoin wicked above the 7-month range ($74k–$109k) and hit a new ATH at $112k—but the breakout lacked conviction:
-3 Day candle did not close outside the range. It wicked above ATH and closed back inside, which often signals a failed breakout.
-Volume on the breakout was low—not the kind of commitment you'd expect on price discovery.
-Unless we reclaim the highs with conviction, the odds lean toward mean reversion or a deeper pullback, especially as macro risk increases (S&P weakness, renewed trade tension, credit rating concerns).
S&P Correlation
I was calling for a pullback on the S&P on May 16th in this Idea.
-https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/CMKml8I3-Bearish-Divergence-Pullback-Pending/
-The S&P has already started fading off highs.
-BTC kept pushing a bit longer—but may have just been lagging the risk-off shift.
-Now both look vulnerable and possibly entering correction together.
Macro Narrative Timeline
March–April:
Trump escalates tariff rhetoric → markets sell hard:
S&P falls from 6,100 → 4,800
BTC dumps from $108k → $74k
Mid-April–May:
Trump pivots, talks trade deals → markets bounce:
S&P rallies back to 6,000
BTC rips to $112k ATH
Now at highs, bearish news flow returns:
Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade
Trump targeting EU and Apple with new tariffs
S&P rolling over again
BTC starting to follow
This is narrative cycling:
Scare → Ease → Pump → Re-scare near highs
Short-Term Setup
Macro structure is still bullish. But short-term risk is rising fast:
-Bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart
-Failed breakout on the 3D, Low volume ATH push
-Crowded longs getting chopped
-BTC media coverage going vertical—endless bullish predictions across TV, headlines, social media
-Media didn't talk about BTC when it was at $74k. They were loud now, at the highs.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels from April 9 Low → $112k High
0.786 = $103,969
0.618 = $97,665
0.5 = $93,237
-Each level aligns with prior consolidation and offers strong technical context.
-No need to guess. We will watch volume + structure at each zone.
-These are prime areas to accumulate spot.
-No leverage. No chasing. Let it come to you.
-This is what Bitcoin is—accumulate pullbacks, hold, survive the chop.
-After this correction, I believe we push back to ATH and into price discovery.
Whale Psychology Trap (my thoughts on it)
Recently a Hyperliquid whale built a record breaking $1B+ BTC long on a defi exchange, drew in a massive herd to follow, then flipped short over the weekend after closing the position.
-Now that crowd is likely emotionally tied to their longs—feeling betrayed, stubborn, and unwilling to cut on a pullback.
-Red flag: we now have whales publicly influencing the herd with precision. Not a bullish short-term signal.
Final Thoughts
We’re seeing alignment across:
-Failed breakout on 3D
-Overheated retail sentiment (even though retail thinks the reverse, all you hear right now is "RETAIL IS NOT EVEN HERE YET")
-Public Whale traps in motion
-Media pushing euphoria the past two weeks
-Macro headwinds slowly creeping back in at the most convenient time to pullback
-BTC remains in a macro uptrend. But this is not a healthy breakout yet.
P.S.
This breakdown is mainly for traders.
But let me be clear:
-The smartest approach to Bitcoin is still simple—accumulate and hold spot.
-Given BTC’s position in a world of debt-soaked economies, eroding fiat trust, and centralized monetary control, it's far riskier to have none than to hold through volatility
-The wealthy, the powerful, the largest corporations — they’re starting to understand this reality
-Your job? Keep buying dips and holding long-term.
Use macro views like this to:
-Take profits from overextended markets (U.S. equities, alts, etc.)
-Time bigger BTC adds when fear returns
But if you own spot BTC?
Don’t sell it. Ever.
Trade other assets. Stack sats.
And if BTC ever hits $1M/coin... then sure—do whatever you want
Bitcoin Market Analysis & 7-Day Forecast (May 30 – June 5, 2025)
As of May 30, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $105,602, reflecting a slight decline of 0.02382% from the previous close. The day's trading range has been between $105,046 and $108,179.
Technical Indicators Overview:
4-Hour RSI: Currently at 49, indicating a neutral momentum. This suggests that the market is neither overbought nor oversold in the short term.
1-Day RSI: Hovering around 60, which leans towards bullish territory but not yet in the overbought zone. This implies potential for upward movement, but caution is advised.
Moving Averages: BTC is trading above its 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which are at $102,822 and $100,890 respectively. This alignment supports a bullish outlook.
Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate support is found at $100,000, with strong resistance near the recent high of $111,970.
Market Sentiment and Fundamentals:
Institutional Adoption: Significant institutional interest is evident, with companies like MicroStrategy holding over 580,000 BTC as of May 25, 2025.
Regulatory Environment: The establishment of the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and favorable policies under the Trump administration have bolstered market confidence.
ETF Inflows: Continued inflows into Bitcoin ETFs indicate sustained investor interest and trust in the asset's long-term value.
7-Day Bitcoin Price Forecast:
May 30, 2025: $105,600 – Consolidation phase with neutral RSI suggesting limited volatility.
May 31, 2025: $106,935 – Anticipated slight uptick as market stabilizes.
June 1, 2025: $108,270 – Gradual increase driven by positive market sentiment.
June 2, 2025: $109,500 – Testing resistance levels; watch for potential breakout.
June 3, 2025: $110,800 – Possible retest of all-time high; monitor RSI for overbought signals.
June 4, 2025: $112,000 – If momentum continues, new highs could be achieved.
June 5, 2025: $113,500 – Sustained bullish trend contingent on market conditions and volume.
Conclusion:
The current technical indicators and market fundamentals suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for Bitcoin in the coming week. While the RSI levels indicate room for growth, it's essential to monitor for signs of overbought conditions as prices approach previous highs. Investors should stay informed on regulatory developments and institutional activities that could influence market dynamics.
Note: This forecast is based on current market data and technical analysis. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and prices can change rapidly. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management strategies before making investment decisions.
BTC (Y25.P2.E6).Likely fractalHi Traders,
I'm looking at this level as a likely scenario.
Why?
Its happened x2 in the past when we made ATH.
A 12 and 14% retracement.
The liquidity is there, the incentive is there and a low like this will make people sell as to think the bull run is over.
We have our levels to trade for shorts and longs but ultimately, I think it will make its way down to here.
As per my post, this current level was a long entry and I'm in a long, however its not the response I was hoping for.
So its likely a scalp trade and hence I will be looking for a short as well.
All the best.
S.SAri
Y24, March ATH
Y21 ATH
current support, AvWap
BTC Dumped as predicted ! SOK buy Signal n this video, we break down the recent Bitcoin (BTC) dump and how it aligned perfectly with our previous analysis. More importantly, we’ve identified a strong buy signal for Solana (SOL) — is this the next big move?
✅ BTC Market Breakdown
✅ Key Technical Levels Hit
✅ SOL Buy Signal Explained
✅ What Traders Should Watch Next
📉 Don’t miss this market opportunity — watch till the end for our insights on the upcoming trend!
🔔 Subscribe for real-time crypto updates, technical analysis, and smart trading strategies.
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BTCUSD 5/30/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Sensational Market Breakdown & update to his previous call-out that was again SPOT-ON! Precise Levels, Proper Timing, & Perfect Direction!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum.
⸻
🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat:
• ❌ LPS level invalidated
• ❌ Phase D uptrend broken
• 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts
• 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K
• 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses
⸻
🔻 What’s Next?
• Support:
• S1: Lower BB (~106.9K)
• S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base)
• Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation.
• S3: Point of control at 104k
⸻
📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed:
• ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K)
• ✅ RSI < 45
• ✅ High-volume red candle
• ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern
A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post.
⸻
Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure.
⸻
🔍 Breakdown Highlights:
📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅
🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅
📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅
⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗
🧱 Next supports:
• 106,146 = BB basis
• 105,821 = BC Pole End
• 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile
⸻
🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View):
• ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated
• ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts
• 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible
• 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution
⸻
⚠️ What to Watch Next:
• Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup
• A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation
⸻
🧠 Final Take:
The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
BTC WILL CRUSH. BTC ENTRY POINTAs we predicted on our last Analysis BTC exactly reacted and went the direction we wants.
So now if BTC first rejected from 106100-106700, Then we will see a opportunity to go short until 102k. If BTC didn't not respect 106100-106700, And went up with high volume then more likely reject from 107800-108500 above breaker FVG, From there we can go short only if we got rejected.
NOTE: we should wait for the confirmation, The confirmation will be Rejection from those two area.
Analysis: 1H
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
From K1 to K3,
It is a three soldiers advancing pattern,
It close below the uptrend line and the neck line of a potential double top pattern.
It seems that a short-term bear run will fall to test 102K area.
I will try to buy it there if the following candles couldn’t close below 0.618fib line.
On the other hand,
If K4 return back upon the neck line immediately,
K3 will be a fake down and the following candles will keep climbing up to test 112K area.
Short-106318/Stop-107318/Target-102188
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – BREAKDOWN FROM THE CHANNEL! WHAT’S NEXT?Hey traders! 🧠
Today’s BTC/USD price action is sending a strong technical signal – price has broken down from the ascending channel, potentially marking the start of a deeper correction. Currently sitting at $106,200, with a daily drop of -1.49%.
🔍 Here’s what I’m seeing:
📉 Uptrend break – bears might be taking control.
🛑 Immediate support: $104,000.
🔼 Resistance ahead: $109,351 – reclaiming this is key for any bullish recovery.
📊 Watching closely whether BTC re-enters the channel or moves toward lower support (~$100K or below).
💡 My current plan:
If $104K holds, we could see a bounce. If not, prepare for a potential deeper dip. A return above $109K would be a bullish sign and could trigger renewed momentum.
📲 Follow me for more real-time updates, trade ideas, and clean technical breakdowns!
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading