$BTC is on track for a 100% Move Up: Looking at the Weekly!Let's keep it SIMPLE!!!!!
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has been on an absolute tear lately. After finding a solid base around $74,000, weโve now broken out and are trading around $96,000โa move thatโs caught the attention of everyone from retail traders to institutions.
But could we be on the road to $150,000 BTC?
Letโs break it down simply using the weekly chart, a couple key resistance levels, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)โa key momentum indicator that often reveals where the smart money is going.
๐ The Weekly Momentum Is Strong
The weekly RSI is currently trending upward and approaching the 70 zone, which is often considered the โoverboughtโ area. But hereโs the key: In a strong bull market, RSI staying above 70 is not a warning signโit's a sign of strength.
We saw this behavior during the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. RSI hovered in overbought territory for weeks, even months, as Bitcoin pushed higher and higher. We're starting to see that same pattern now. The momentum is building, and buyers are in control.
๐ Key Resistance Levels Being Broken
When Bitcoin was at $74K, we had a few major resistance zones ahead:
$80K โ psychological barrier and minor rejection point
FWB:88K โ$90K โ prior consolidation area and liquidity zone
$100K โ major psychological milestone that will bring massive attention
So far, Bitcoin has smashed through $80K and is holding above $90K, showing buyers are stepping in on every dip. Once we confidently break and hold above $100K, the road toward $120K and $150K opens up fast.
๐ก Why $150K Is in Sight
This isnโt just about technicalsโthereโs also a strong macro and sentiment shift at play:
Institutional interest is increasing
ETF flows remain positive
Supply on exchanges is dropping
Halving narrative is still fueling demand
Momentum indicators are still not overheated
Technically, when price breaks into price discovery, it tends to overshoot to the upsideโespecially if momentum like RSI stays strong.
๐ง Final Thoughts
Bitcoin has already climbed from $74K to $96K, and the weekly chart suggests this could just be the beginning of the next leg up. If RSI continues climbing and price breaks above $100K cleanly, the $120K to $150K zone becomes a realistic next stop.
Stay patient, zoom out, and follow the trend. The momentum is realโand so is the opportunity.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin on Bollinger Band touch the Bottom?๐ Bitcoin is currently testing the baseline of the Bollinger Bands, which historically indicates that the sideways phase is nearing its end.
๐ Volatility is stabilizing, and the market structure is tighteningโthis often precedes a significant new move.
๐ก The next big trend is on the horizon. Will it be an explosive breakout or a controlled rally like in 2021? I'm leaning more toward gradual growth, what do you think?
btc fibonacci levels Trade Strategy
Long to May 4 High:
Entry: If BTC breaks above $94,310 (Square of Nine 90ยฐ) with a green candle, enter long.
Target: $96,472 (Square of Nine 720ยฐ), aligns with your $95,976.36.
Stop-Loss: Below $92,781 (Square of Nine -360ยฐ), risking ~$1,500.
Time: Exit by May 4 (50-day cycle).
Short for May 14 Dip:
Entry: If BTC reaches $96,472 and shows rejection, enter short.
Target: $91,567 (Square of Nine -720ยฐ).
Stop-Loss: Above $96,472, risking ~$1,000.
Time: Expect the dip by May 14 (60-day cycle).
+0.42% Gain: BTC/USD April 28th Trading Plan Success๐ BTC Trade Recap (Apr 28): Bullish breakout plan hit!
โ
Long entry @ $95,050 -> Take Profit 1 = $95,450 = +0.42% profit.
๐ป Short setup didn't trigger
๐ฐ +0.42% profit.
You can find the trading plan in the 'Related publications' section in the lower right corner.
SMA LINE STRATEGY WORKS WELLIn my first idea I was based on the 1H 100SMA line and I saw the price works very good with this line. If price come closer to the line with low volume there is a big chance for the price to bounce from it depends if we are above or below the line, but if the price come closer to the line with big volume there is also a chance for the price to crash that line and change trend. Very important in this strategy is also a HTF analysis because it can say us a little bit more than 1H chart. For now I expect for the price to come higher and take some liquidity from up but if this little run will be burnout we can see a big probability to come back to this SMA line and I will look and wait for this moment and if I will see the chance for that move I will publish it here so wait for the next BTC update.
Can BTCUSD continue to be purchased? The answer is definitely.Can BTCUSD continue to be purchased? The answer is definitely.
The current trend is a rebound trend after a volatile decline. The space for a short-term increase of 1,500 points is very simple. The target position is 94,700-95,200. Friends who like to do short-term swing trading can follow.
Bitcoin on the Brink: Short-Term Surge Toward $116K Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at approximately $96,390, approaching the $116,000 mark. Here's a short-term analysis using Cycle Analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and Gann Analysis to inform potential trading strategies.
________________________________________
๐ Cycle Analysis: Mid-2025 Surge
Historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin tends to reach its peak between 518 and 546 days after a halving event. Given the most recent halving in April 2024, analysts anticipate a potential price peak around mid-2025, approximately 1.5 years post-halving. Notably, Bitcoin is currently about 35 days ahead of its typical cycle, indicating a possible acceleration in price growth.
________________________________________
๐ Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 3 in Progress
Elliott Wave Theory suggests that Bitcoin is currently in the third wave of its bullish cycle, which is typically the most powerful and extended wave. Recent analyses indicate that the third wave is unfolding, with potential targets ranging from $114,500 to $120,500. A conservative estimate places the peak of this wave between $127,000 and $150,000
________________________________________
๐ Gann Analysis: Price-Time Equilibrium
Gann Analysis utilizes geometric angles to predict price movements. The "2ร1 Fan" line, representing a 45-degree angle, is considered a fair value line. Historically, Bitcoin's price has peaked near this line during parabolic run-ups. Currently, Bitcoin's price is approaching this level, suggesting a potential peak.
________________________________________
๐งญ Short-Term Trade Setup
โ
Entry Points:
โข Accumulation Zone: $85,000 to $90,000
โข Current Price: $96,390
๐ฏ Target Levels:
โข Short-Term Peak: $116,000 to $135,000
โข Medium-Term Peak: $150,000
โ ๏ธ Risk Management:
โข Potential Correction: After reaching the peak, anticipate a significant pullback, possibly 30โ50%.
โข Exit Strategy: Consider taking profits as Bitcoin approaches upper resistance zones.
________________________________________
๐งพ Conclusion
Bitcoin is in the final stages of its current bullish cycle, with projections indicating a potential peak between $150,000 and $278,000. However, caution is warranted as market corrections are typical following such surges. Investors should consider taking profits as Bitcoin approaches upper resistance levels and prepare for potential pullbacks.
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
Mongoose Capital | BTCUSD Daily โ Momentum Breakout Consolidatio
This chart tracks BTCUSD on the daily timeframe (COINBASE), capturing the latest breakout and price consolidation around the $95,000 psychological zone.
โ
Recent momentum surge from mid-April, driving price out of range โ now coiling near highs.
โ
Small yellow triangles mark momentum continuation signals.
โ
Blue/purple crosses flag minor pivot points and interim support/resistance zones.
โ
Clean price action view โ no moving averages or overlays cluttering the candles.
โ
Prior structural support anchored at $75,083 for deep pullback risk.
๐ Mongoose View:
BTC is holding a bullish coil at the top of its breakout range.
โ Above $95k, risk-reward favors breakout continuation targeting new highs.
โ Break under $90k opens test of mid-range supports at $86kโ$84k.
โ Major floor remains deep at $75k structural line.
This setup is tuned for momentum swing traders and trend followers, highlighting key pivots without indicator overload.