Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
From K1 to K3,
It is a three soldiers advancing pattern,
It close below the uptrend line and the neck line of a potential double top pattern.
It seems that a short-term bear run will fall to test 102K area.
I will try to buy it there if the following candles couldn’t close below 0.618fib line.
On the other hand,
If K4 return back upon the neck line immediately,
K3 will be a fake down and the following candles will keep climbing up to test 112K area.
Short-106318/Stop-107318/Target-102188
BITCOIN trade ideas
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – BREAKDOWN FROM THE CHANNEL! WHAT’S NEXT?Hey traders! 🧠
Today’s BTC/USD price action is sending a strong technical signal – price has broken down from the ascending channel, potentially marking the start of a deeper correction. Currently sitting at $106,200, with a daily drop of -1.49%.
🔍 Here’s what I’m seeing:
📉 Uptrend break – bears might be taking control.
🛑 Immediate support: $104,000.
🔼 Resistance ahead: $109,351 – reclaiming this is key for any bullish recovery.
📊 Watching closely whether BTC re-enters the channel or moves toward lower support (~$100K or below).
💡 My current plan:
If $104K holds, we could see a bounce. If not, prepare for a potential deeper dip. A return above $109K would be a bullish sign and could trigger renewed momentum.
📲 Follow me for more real-time updates, trade ideas, and clean technical breakdowns!
👉 If this helped, drop a like – it helps get this analysis in front of more traders!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
BTC – Symmetrical Triangle Tightening on 4H🔷 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is coiling up inside a symmetrical triangle on the 4H timeframe — a classic setup where volatility often follows consolidation.
⚡ With price tightening, traders should stay sharp. A breakout could ignite the next directional move — either way, momentum is loading.
📉 Breakdown? Expect some shakeout.
📈 Breakout? Eyes on key resistance zones ahead.
Let’s see which side wins the squeeze. 👀
One last trip to the clouds One final rally approaching for BTC in my opinion, targeting only a tad more than the last ATH, just ‘to say we did it’
Passing 100k again is and was a big deal. It shows btc is here to stay. Conversations around the world are still taking place about this landmark to new/novice investors.
I am on board with a huge correction to sub 100k levels. But I forsee one last horrah before its time for a mini crypto winter.
The 4 HR RSI says a correction over due
But the current double top needs to have a width that is closer to the last double top.
Buy now, hold until new ATH hits by even a dollar, then short like youre martin
I Think Its Time For Bitcoin To Have Cooldown4 Houers Chart. Low Volum . Resistance on Rsi- And Macd Daily Looks Wery Heavy.
Bitcoin Support at $106,800 Retested to Determine Next Move – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?
Ali Martinez stated that BTC remains “range bound” despite today’s price drop, but added that the range’s low is the most important thing to watch. He warned that a break below the $106,800 support could trigger increased volatility, sending BTC price lower.
BTCUSD Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Action + Target🧭 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Explained
Mirror Market Concepts analyze repeating emotional and structural patterns in the market—like looking at a price “mirror” that reflects past movements into the present. Core tools include:
Mind Curve Resistance/Support
CHoCH (Change of Character)
BOS (Break of Structure)
Price Reflection Zones
These tools let us understand not just what price is doing—but why it's reacting at specific levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
🔹 1. Black Mind Curve Support & Resistance
The chart is framed between a rising support curve and a descending resistance curve, forming a psychological squeeze zone.
These mind curves represent subconscious institutional memory—where reactions often repeat based on historical liquidity and risk-off/on behavior.
🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Price broke below a previous minor higher low, shifting sentiment from bullish to neutral/bearish.
This CHoCH happened within the mind curve boundary, signaling that we’re transitioning into a decision phase.
🔹 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
The BOS occurred during the recent drop, confirming sellers took temporary control.
However, price respected the lower mind curve support, which may still hold as the "mirror zone."
🔹 4. Key Compression Pattern (MMC Symmetry)
Price is forming a symmetrical wedge between the two curves, often seen in MMC just before a major explosive move.
The pattern resembles past behavior where price compressed before breaking out in either direction.
🎯 Potential Scenarios (Plotted on Chart)
📈 Bullish Path:
If BTC breaks above the descending curve + confirms above 109,000, we may see:
✅ Target 1: 111,000 (BOS retest)
✅ Target 2: 112,500–113,000 zone (previous emotional high + liquidity sweep)
📉 Bearish Path:
A breakdown below 107,000 and curve support suggests sellers regain control:
⚠️ Target 1: 105,000 (local demand zone)
⚠️ Target 2: 102,500–103,000 (full MMC retrace)
⚠️ Watchlist Considerations:
Two key economic news events (highlighted on chart) could serve as catalysts.
Wait for confirmation and volume breakout before committing to either side.
This is a textbook MMC compression pattern, and patience is key before reacting.
🧠 What Makes This an MMC Setup?
🔄 Mirror Reflection of past rallies and drops forming current wedge
🧩 Mind Curve Boundaries acting like subconscious trend guides
🔁 CHoCH + BOS sequencing for momentum shift detection
💡 Psychological memory zones holding strong reactions
📌 Summary
BTC is caught in a psychological squeeze between mind curve support and resistance.
Structure favors a coming breakout or breakdown, but confirmation is critical.
MMC tools show a high-probability setup—either toward 112K or 103K based on where the breakout happens.
📣 Community CTA (Call-to-Action):
📊 How are you trading this BTC curve compression?
💬 Share your charts, setups, or alternate views below. Let’s decode the market mirror together.
BTC Macro Bull Cycle – Wave 3 Target Based on Fibonacci ($200K?)This is a long-term BTCUSD (1W) chart analysis, combining macro Elliott Wave structure and technical support using Fibonacci extension levels.
The “3?” label is not placed arbitrarily — it’s derived from Fibonacci projections, extending from Wave 1 and the retracement in Wave 2. The estimated target zone near $200K aligns with the 1.618–2.618 Fibonacci extension level, often associated with Wave 3 in classical Elliott Wave theory.
Structure:
Wave 1: Peaked around $20K (2017 cycle top).
Wave 2: Corrective phase bottomed around $3–4K.
Wave 3 (current): BTC has broken prior all-time highs and is consolidating in the $60K–$70K zone — likely a re-accumulation phase before a breakout.
Key Zones:
Green boxes mark historical accumulation and support/resistance zones.
Orange circles highlight areas of consolidation and buying interest during major corrections.
The current green zone (~$60K) may act as a mid-cycle base before the next impulsive move.
Targets & Risk Management:
Upside target: $180K–$220K range (based on Fib extension).
Stop-loss zone: Below $55K, as a breakdown here may invalidate the current bullish structure.
Conservative risk management is advised.
Final Thoughts:
This analysis is grounded in historical behavior and Fibonacci logic — not just hopeful speculation. If BTC is indeed in Wave 3 of this macro cycle, the most explosive phase may still be ahead. The “3?” target is based on measurable data, not guesswork.
Is alt season still coming?Hello there!
This idea to continue my previous idea about BTC here
Then, what next?
Let's breakdown money flow in term about alt season path
1. First phase the BINANCE:BTCUSD must blow up, it mean the money goes to Bitcoin
1.5. Money flow transition, from Bitcoin euphoria to Ethereum
2. Second phase, is Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin
2.5. Money flow transition, from Ethereum euphoria to big cap altcoins
3. Third phase, Big Cap altcoin with strong fundamental are going parabolic
3.5.Money flow transition to more altcoin, small cap, mid cap, whatever it is, if the fundamental good and the narrative match, it will going up.
4. Fourth phase, alt season when almost everything have high chance to prices surges, green everything.
Now, in which phase?
I think we still in First phase, but it still not complete yet.
So, I prepare to watch this sign for phase 1.5:
Bitcoin dominance. This indicator for "where the money on", if the Bitcoin dominance going down, it's a sign if the money moving slowly to another asset. (according to the path, the money will move to Ethereum)
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index . This add on indicator for watch the sentiment from US investor (especially large institution) to Bitcoin.
Ethreum netflow . This to see how big the Ethereum netflow from exchange. You can watch and learn there.
Then, what should we do now?
Watch the sign from the BTC and ETH price, for sure with the 3 indicator above.
My prediction is bitcoin price will sideways for a while or little bit down , but the dominance will slowly going down. From recent candle, BTC make descending candle and ETH make ascending candle.
Let's wait and see!
Thankyou for reading, I hope everyone have a good day!
Bitcoin Breakout: Hourly Surge Signals Scalable SetupBTC Breakout Setup – Hourly Base Within a Base
Bitcoin is breaking out of a short-term consolidation pattern—a base within a base—with strong volume confirming the move on the hourly chart.
Trade Setup
📈 Entry: 105,016.94–105,547.31
🛑 Stop: 101,400
🎯 Target: 109,358
Strategy Insight:
If BTC breaks through the first target, it will trigger a new entry. At that point, I’ll move the stop from the initial position to match the stop on the new trade. This tactic helps finance the new entry using the gains from the original trade, effectively minimizing risk while scaling into a larger position.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This is a technical analysis chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView, published on May 27, 2025. Here's a breakdown of the key components:
Current Price: BTC is trading at 109,566.
Resistance Zone: Around 110,211, marked by a horizontal line.
Support Zone: Highlighted in the beige rectangle, with a target at approximately 107,488.
Trade Setup:
Short Bias: The chart suggests a potential short position if price rejects the resistance zone.
Target: 107,488 (within the support zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 111,419, above the resistance zone.
Two Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Primary Idea): Price gets rejected at resistance and falls to the support zone (green arrow).
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation): Price breaks above the resistance and moves higher (red arrow).
This setup shows a risk-reward ratio favorable for shorting near resistance with a stop above it, targeting the prior demand zone. Let me know if you want help applying this analysis to a live trade.
BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public.
(Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.)
I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd.
The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments.
One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down.
Bad Signs
- Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8%
- PMI below 50
- Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs
-> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022
- FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation
Are we heading towards a recession?
People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system.
This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much.
Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets.
In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index.
A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs.
But this is where it gets interesting:
According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst.
Where is BTC headed?
Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k.
To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets.
Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise.
However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
Bitcoin Daily Outlook – May 28, 2025 Bullish Bias, Eyes on $105K Breakout
🔍 Technical Snapshot:
• Price: ~$103,000
• RSI (14): ~69 – Nearing overbought
• MACD: Bullish crossover
• EMA20 > EMA50 – Uptrend structure intact
🔐 Key Levels:
• Support: $100,000 / $98,500
• Resistance: $105,000 / $108,000
• Breakout Trigger: Daily close above $105K with volume
🧭 Forecast (Next 2–3 Days):
• 🔼 60% chance of breakout to $105K–$108K
• 🔁 25% chance of consolidation
• 🔽 15% chance of pullback to $98K
🌐 Macro Context:
• VIX: ~12.8 (low) – Risk-on environment
• Nasdaq & S&P500: Bullish – Correlated upside pressure
• DXY: Stable – Neutral effect
💡 Strategy Notes:
• Swing Traders: Long bias but RSI near limit
• Breakout Traders: Watch $105K for volume confirmation
• Bulls: Buy-the-dip near $100K or EMA50
📌 Chart shows BTC with EMA 20/50 crossover.
👍 Like & Follow for daily BTC outlooks!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #TradingView #RSI #MACD #EMA #VIX #NASDAQ #SwingTrading
What we thing, what’s gonna happen. (120,000)This monthly BTC chart shows a bullish trend aiming for $116,000–$120,000.
• A three-candle bullish pattern is forming, suggesting continued upside.
• The label “SELL HERE, SELL the NEWS” near $120,615 signals a possible profit-taking zone.
• The lower area around $78,000 is marked as a buy-the-dip zone (“Buy the scare again”).
• BTC is currently seeking liquidity to continue its move up, possibly reaching the target by mid next month.
• A major resistance trendline is near, so price reaction there will be key.