BTCUSD Potential Short likely to go down as 102200-102500MACD remains in a bearish crossover with red histogram, RSI < 40 → weak momentum, no bullish divergence, Around May 14–16, BTC/USD bounced strongly from the 102,200–102,500 region, forming a short-term base.This zone acted as a support cluster, where buyers previously stepped in.
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTCUSD – Bullish Channel Support Bounce SetupBTCUSD is currently trading within a clearly defined ascending channel on the 15-minute chart. The price recently touched the lower boundary of the channel and is showing signs of a potential bullish bounce.
This structure suggests that the pair may continue respecting the trend and head toward the upper boundary of the channel, offering a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
The trade plan includes a long setup with stop-loss placed just below the channel support and a target near the upper resistance zone. Volume remains moderate, supporting gradual upward momentum.
Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Ascending Channel
Key Support: Lower trendline
Entry Zone: Near current support
Target Zone: Around 106,500
Stop-Loss: Below recent swing low (around 104,185)
This is a technical chart idea based on price action and structure. Please manage your risk accordingly.
BTCUSD: Consolidation is about to be over.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.429, MACD = 1547.600, ADX = 23.123) as so far it is failing to stage a proper breakout from the consolidation of the last few days. Based on the long term comparison with the previous Channel Up at the time of the 1D Golden Cross, the consolidation could be over soon, resembling November 4th 2024. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, stay bullish, TP = 165,000.
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Fib Channel Extending From 2020 To PresentThe Fractal Wave Marker is used in this analysis. It gives a multi-scale perspective of swing highs and lows - how the market moves across different time intervals.
Nested cycles (fractured pattern) reveals important order in phase transitions from small pullbacks to major trends. Basically making it easier to look for systematic patterns.
For example, with this tool we can easier spot a commonality like the identifying consistent angle that connects consecutive tops as well as bottoms by parallel lines that gives an idea of general direction.
If we were to use that channel as a topological expression to examine to what extent the fact of price happening there influenced probability density and what it changed in future price behavior , we would literally integrate it with broader scale fibonacci structures like: adding more ratios after 1 (not just 0 - 1) to illustrated chart above.
The implemented version would look something like this:
Chart-based curve aligning with angle of the channel - validating measurements in use.
Documenting the structural buildup for research purposes.
What Would You Do If The Bitcoin Top Was In?Bitcoin remains incredibly strong, trading near all-time highs. The structure is undeniably bullish, with price continuing to hold above key moving averages and previous resistance levels. The volume profile is healthy and supportive of the uptrend.
That said, I always like to challenge my own bias and look at the other side of the coin. Let’s rewind to 2021 - after a major rally, Bitcoin made a new high, swept previous highs, and then entered a deep correction. If history were to repeat, and this current rally turns into a similar scenario, what would your plan be? Would you take some profits at these levels? Set tighter stop losses? Adjust your risk accordingly?
Again, this is not what I expect to happen. I remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. But it’s essential to stay open-minded and pre
BTC/USD Rebound in Play! | Key Support Holding, Eyes on $112K📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis
🗓️ Chart Date: May 25, 2025
🔍 Key Levels:
🔵 Support Zone: $106,800 – $107,300
Notably, price bounced twice in this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This area aligns closely with the 200 EMA (currently at $107,213.51), adding further confluence as dynamic support.
🔴 Resistance Zone: $111,800 – $112,300
Previous highs and consolidation make this a significant area where sellers may re-enter the market.
📈 Indicators:
🔵 EMA 200 (Blue): $107,213.51
Acts as a strong dynamic support; price bounced off it recently.
🔴 EMA 50 (Red): $108,182.91
Price is currently below the 50 EMA, suggesting short-term bearish pressure remains until this level is reclaimed.
🧠 Market Structure & Price Action:
After a sharp drop from the resistance zone, price found solid footing at the support zone.
Recent candles show rejection wicks from the downside, hinting at potential bullish reversal.
A breakout above minor consolidation and 50 EMA could trigger a bullish continuation toward the resistance.
📌 Forecast:
✅ If the price holds above the support zone and breaks above $108,200, we can expect a bullish move toward $112,000.
⚠️ However, a failure to break above the 50 EMA could lead to a retest of the support zone.
🧭 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
📥 Long Bias:
Entry: On confirmed breakout above $108,200
SL: Below $107,000
TP: $111,800 – $112,300
📌 Conclusion:
The chart setup suggests a potential bullish reversal 📈 from a key support zone, supported by EMA 200. Watch for a break above the 50 EMA for momentum confirmation.
🧠 Always confirm with volume and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
BTC LONG TP:110,000 29-05-2025📈 TradingView Post:
🚀 LONG Setup Activated
Entry between 105,400 and 106,000, targeting 109,500–110,500 on the 2H timeframe.
Estimated duration: 30 hours ⏳
We’re looking at a fake Head and Shoulders — a trap setup with bullish reversal potential.
This kind of move shakes weak hands before launching.
If the price doesn’t play out within the timeframe, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21
BTC Forming a Bearish flag and is likely to go down Entry: On breakdown of the lower trendline of the ascending channel (~105,400). Target: 99,800 zone (flagpole projection + horizontal support).
Stop Loss: 106,970 (above resistance).If BTC breaks above the flag and closes above 107,000, this setup becomes invalid and could lead to a bullish reversal toward 108,500–110,000.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: 110k RejectionAfter the powerful rally that began in the last quarter of 2024, Bitcoin is now at a critical market juncture. The price has once again reached the 106,000–110,000 USD zone, an area that already showed strong signs of distribution back in February and March 2025. This isn’t just a typical resistance level—it’s a psychologically loaded zone, marked by previous highs and repeated selling pressure.
In May, the monthly candle revealed a clear rejection from this zone: a prominent upper wick and a bearish body, signaling the bulls' struggle to sustain new highs. This behavior suggests the beginning of a profit-taking phase or, more likely, a medium-term consolidation.
The picture becomes even more complex when we look at the COT Report dated May 27, 2025. Non-commercial institutional traders—speculative funds, hedge funds, and portfolio managers—have significantly increased their short positions, now exceeding 26,800 contracts. Meanwhile, long positions are hovering around 24,500, resulting in a net bearish exposure. The message is clear: smart money isn’t buying the breakout—it's selling into it.
Seasonality analysis reinforces this narrative. Historically, June tends to be a weak month for Bitcoin, often followed by renewed strength in the next quarter. The 2025 seasonal curve has mirrored the bullish pattern of 2021 up to May, but now—consistent with historical patterns—is showing signs of slowing. This supports the idea that the market might need a breather before potentially rallying again in Q3.
From a technical standpoint, the key levels are well defined. The 95,000–97,000 USD area is the first dynamic support zone, where the price might find short-term relief. However, the more significant support lies between 82,000 and 85,000 USD—this is the origin of the current rally and aligns with the old breakout structure. A return to this level would represent a healthy and natural correction within a still structurally bullish long-term context.
In summary, the current outlook calls for caution. Momentum is fading, seasonality is unfavorable, and institutional players are trimming long exposure while adding to shorts. Until the price can consolidate above 110,500 USD, the dominant scenario remains a corrective pullback, with interim targets at 95k and potential drops toward the 85k zone.
However, if the market surprises with a strong weekly close above the highs, it could pave the way for a new leg up toward the 125,000–135,000 USD range—potentially fueled by macro catalysts such as ETF inflows, Fed narratives, or broader adoption.
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution Complete – Markdown Phase Ahead?This chart is a technical analysis of **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **4-hour timeframe** from Binance, illustrating **Wyckoff Market Cycle Phases** applied to recent price action.
### 🧠 Chart Description:
The chart identifies and labels key **Wyckoff phases**:
* **Accumulation (April)**: Price consolidates in a range after a downtrend. This phase marks strong hands accumulating Bitcoin from weak hands.
* **Reaccumulation (late April to early May)**: A bullish continuation pattern where the price pauses temporarily before resuming the uptrend.
* **Distribution (mid-May)**: The price enters another consolidation phase, but this time smart money begins offloading holdings at elevated prices to retail traders.
### 📉 Projected Move:
* A breakdown below the current support is anticipated, leading to a **markdown phase**.
* The red path suggests a significant decline, potentially toward the **\$85,000–\$90,000 range**, indicating bearish momentum.
* After the markdown, **accumulation is expected to resume**, setting the stage for the next potential markup.
### 📊 Supporting Visual:
On the right side, there's a reference schematic titled **“Market Phases” by Readtheticker.com**, which summarizes:
* Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Markdown → Accumulation cycle.
* It also highlights buying/selling pressure dynamics and behavioral patterns at each phase.
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Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!'🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧
Hi everyone! Let’s break down what’s brewing with Bitcoin — and why it feels eerily like the Brexit moment of 2016 all over again.
I’ve been closely tracking BTCUSD inside a clear parallel channel. These channels often get noisy with fakeouts and temporary breaches, but this one has remained valid due to its multiple touches and midline confirmations. We're now seeing massive manipulation — not once or twice, but four times. This exact pattern took me back to the British Pound's behavior during the Brexit referendum on June 23, 2016. 🎯
Back then, despite media narratives claiming “Bremain,” real traders on the street saw Brexit coming — and so did the charts. GBP/USD mirrored today's BTC structure: a valid channel, several manipulative moves, and then an explosive breakout once the truth surfaced.
Fast forward to today — Bitcoin’s chart screams volatility. We’ve got a channel that still holds structure. As long as we stay within or reclaim the bounds of this channel, I’m aiming for a move toward:
📍 107,305 as resistance
📍 113,800–114,000 as the breakout trigger
📍 119,000 and beyond for a new all-time high 🚀
If price dips to the 104,469 area or even the 102,700–102,400 dual support, I’ll be watching for reclaims to go long. But remember, this is a volatile setup, not for the faint-hearted or the underfunded. Spot trading is safer; leverage requires deep pockets and tight risk controls.
🛑 A break below 102K changes the picture — that’s where the bears take over, potentially dragging BTC to 74K. I give that scenario only a 10–15% probability, but in this market, we prepare for everything.
The resemblance to Brexit isn’t just visual — it’s psychological. Media narratives, manipulative institutions, and a channel that's begging for a breakout.
I’m ultra-bullish and ready for a sharp upside move. Are you?
📌 Full analysis and key levels charted here.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 💙💙💙
Long and Short Position Tool Scale Error My strategy relies on a 1:1 risk-to-reward setup, so when I place a long or short position, I expect the take profit and stop loss levels to be visually accurate. However, when I zoom in or out on the chart, the scale of the long/short position tool changes—making the visual representation of the trade no longer reliable. Even if the entry point stays the same, the stop loss and take profit levels appear to shift, which defeats the purpose of using the tool for quick visual reference. This completely undermines the accuracy of a 1:1 setup on screen.
Bitcoin Liquidity Grab Before the Real Move?Bitcoin recently made a new high, but with the entire market also at extreme levels, I don’t see strong reasons for another breakout just yet. For now, I’m watching a possible liquidity grab up to at least $90K — and from there, we’ll see.
This trade is currently supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
BTC SHORTBitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential retracement into a premium zone before possibly continuing lower. Here's my idea:
🔹 Market Structure: After a strong move up and a local top, price is forming a potential M-pattern with lower highs.
🔸 Rejection Zone: Watching the 0.75 zone (~106.5k–107k) for possible rejection – aligns with previous structure and imbalance.
🟩 Bearish Target: First discount PD array marked between 98k and 100k.
🟥 Invalidation: Clean break above 109k invalidates the short idea.
🔄 Trade Plan:
Wait for confirmation (rejection + bearish structure) around the 0.75 zone.
Look for entry on lower timeframes (M15–H1).
Partial TP around 101k–102k.
Final target near 98k.
📌 Not financial advice – do your own research.
BTC FRACTAL : Has BTC been following THIS EXACT PATTERN?The only difference in terms of the first peak, is the duration. But even the pullback size has been similar:
Interestingly, in terms of the second peak, the increase from the corrective bottom to the new ATH is almost exact at 122%:
Here's why we MAY still have a small push upward:
- The previous time, the peak was at least 6% higher. Currently, that would put us around 116K.
- The current pennant pattern is different from the previous bearish flag.
2%:
Pattern:
Do you think the bearish cycle is starting, or is another push up likely?
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BINANCE:BTCUSD