BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin Rally Stalls Below Resistance as Uptrend Faces Key TestBitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in an aggressive uptrend but is showing early signs of hesitation near a major resistance level:
Trendline Intact (for now): Price is still riding an ascending trendline, but today's bearish candle hints at momentum cooling.
Resistance at 108,500: This level has capped multiple rallies; rejection here could signal a short-term top.
MACD Losing Momentum: Though still above zero, MACD histogram is flattening, hinting at a possible fade in bullish momentum.
RSI Near Overbought: RSI is hovering just under 70, not yet divergent but worth monitoring for reversal signals.
Watch for Break or Bounce: A close below the rising trendline (~103,500) could trigger a deeper pullback toward the 50-day SMA near 90,000. Conversely, a breakout above 108,500 could unlock fresh upside toward prior highs.
Price action in the next 2–3 days will be crucial to determine whether bulls maintain control or profit-taking accelerates.
-MW
BTC - bearish div. much??4H timeframe
All the short liquidity has been absorbed from the last 6 months at the current price range. Next zone up would be 113K - 118K range.
In the interim the chart is indicating that a correction could be the next move for Bitcoin. Signs:
- Overbought on daily TF
- Liquidity absorbed
- significant divergence on the 4H
- starting to break the uptrend
98K would be the next price level down as previous resistance could flip into support.
0.5 fib @ 89K which would achieve a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap.
BTC - bearish div. much??4H timeframe
All the short liquidity has been absorbed from the last 6 months at the current price range. Next zone up would be 113K - 118K range.
In the interim the chart is indicating that a correction could be the next move for Bitcoin. Signs:
- Overbought on daily TF
- Liquidity absorbed
- significant divergence on the 4H
- starting the break the uptrend
98K would be the next price level down as previous resistance could flip into support.
0.5 fib @ 89K which would achieve a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap.
Is BTC About To Correct?We now have a confirmed bearish divergence on the daily chart. Price printed a higher high while RSI made a lower high and rolled over out of overbought territory – a classic warning signal.
This divergence has been brewing across multiple time frames, and now we’re seeing it confirmed on the daily. The recent push to new highs came on low volume over the weekend, and the follow-through has been weak. In fact, price dropped immediately after the highest daily and weekly close in Bitcoin’s history – not the reaction bulls were hoping for.
The trend is still intact for now, but this is a textbook spot to proceed with caution. Bearish divergences don’t always play out immediately, but they often mark local tops or at least short-term consolidation.
If $106,000 fails to hold as support, we could be looking at a return to the $99,500 area.
BTCUSD 5/20/2025As you can see, Price is encountering a Daily Internal Retracement. We shall see if Price is Retracing or Reversing, based on the Price Action we encounter here. The basis that this could also be a reversal here is the fact Price has shown respect to the Weekly Equal Highs level. Price is also encountering a 12hr Internal Retracement after encountering a BOS & showing respect after coming into 12hr Structure.
_SnipeGoat_
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Idea Based on the Diamond PatternA diamond pattern has formed earlier in the chart, followed by a breakout of the upper boundary. If the breakout is confirmed by a candlestick body close above the diamond and then retested, a limit buy order can be placed after the retest. This sets up a primary long position with the expectation of reaching the take profit (TP) in the upward direction.
However, if the market fails to continue upwards and instead reverses, a secondary strategy comes into play. In this case, a limit buy order is placed near the lower boundary of the diamond, aiming for a recovery back to the upper boundary, which becomes the TP level. This fallback approach is designed to exit the market with minimal or no loss, using the diamond’s structure as a defined risk and recovery zone.
This dual approach allows for:
A primary breakout trade setup.
A backup recovery strategy if the breakout fails.
The visual projection shows both scenarios:
Successful breakout continuation toward higher highs.
False breakout and retracement down to the lower boundary, followed by a rebound back toward the original upper boundary.
May 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
The 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
The blue finger is short->long or if it goes down right away,
the purple finger is a long waiting strategy.
Since the morning, the blind decline has been in progress,
and the short-term pattern is broken.
The bottom section is about 6+12 sections,
and it is today's major support line.
I applied it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
It is being adjusted strongly as it is coupled with Nasdaq.
Based on Tether dominance,
If the current low is broken,
It is a position where it can be pushed strongly.
* When the red finger moves,
It is a one-way long position strategy.
1. 102,192.1 USD long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. 104,866.1 USD long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
The 1st section of the purple finger at the top
Is the best short position entry section of the day.
If it does not touch, it will fall vertically,
So if it goes down right away without touching the 1st section
It can be pushed to the bottom -> 2.
The danger signal has passed, but the problem is when it couples with Nasdaq.
The 2nd section at the very bottom is the 12+ daily support section,
and will be today's major support line.
Last week, many people pressed the booster,
so I'm leaving it as a public post today as well.
Up to this point, I ask that you use my analysis for reference and use only,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and loss cuts.
Thank you.
BTC/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Retest Before the Fall?🔍 Technical Breakdown – BTC/USD 3H Timeframe
Bitcoin is displaying a textbook Double Top pattern formation on the 3-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong bullish run. This classic pattern suggests buyer exhaustion and sets the stage for a downward move. Let's break down the analysis:
🧠 Pattern Insight: Double Top Reversal
A Double Top is one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, especially when it forms after a sustained uptrend — just like we're seeing here.
Top 1 and Top 2 both formed inside a strong Resistance Zone between $106,500 and $107,000, showing repeated rejection from buyers to push price higher.
The formation of lower highs and long wicks near Top 2 further reinforce the weakening bullish momentum.
💥 Neckline Breakdown & Bearish Trigger
The Neckline, aligned with a horizontal Support Zone (~$103,300–$103,800), was decisively broken, confirming the pattern.
This breakdown acts as the trigger for bearish entries, and we are now in the "Retest Phase", where price often pulls back to the neckline or a nearby trendline before continuing lower.
📐 Trendline Confluence – Retest Opportunity
A short-term descending trendline drawn from Top 2 intersects near the neckline zone.
Price is now approaching this confluence area, offering a potential high-probability short entry if bearish price action confirms (e.g., a rejection candle like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
🎯 Price Targets & Trade Setup
Parameter Value
📍 Entry On bearish confirmation near neckline/trendline retest (~$105,300)
❌ Stop Loss (SL) Above recent swing high / Top 2 (~$107,100)
🎯 Target ~$97,126 (based on measured move from top to neckline projection)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3 or better (depending on entry timing)
Measured Target Calculation:
Height from neckline to peak (~$107,000 - $103,500 = $3,500)
Target = Neckline break - height = ~$103,500 - $3,500 = $97,000–$97,100
🔥 Market Context & Psychological Edge
This chart structure reflects a shift in market sentiment. What was once strong bullish momentum is now hesitating — with buyers failing to make higher highs and sellers stepping in aggressively. The double top is not just a pattern, it's a narrative of exhaustion and reversal.
“Let price confirm your bias. Don't just predict; react to structure and behavior.”
Being patient and letting the retest play out is crucial. Don’t rush in early — let the market give you a clean signal. This is where technical discipline pays off.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Crypto markets are highly volatile — avoid oversized positions.
A failed double top can lead to a bullish continuation, so SL discipline is key.
Wait for confirmation — candlestick patterns, momentum shifts, or bearish volume spikes can add confidence.
📌 Summary
✅ Pattern: Double Top
✅ Confirmation: Neckline Break
🔄 Current Phase: Retesting Neckline/Trendline
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: ~$97,100
❗ SL: Above Top 2
💬 What do you think? Are we headed to GETTEX:97K or is this just a fakeout? Drop your thoughts below and don’t forget to like and follow for more trade setups!
BTC UpdateLooking at historical data, we’re at a similar point as in 2021 — diverging RSI, declining volume, and signs of exhaustion. The key difference now is the level of institutional involvement: hedge funds are heavily in, MicroStrategy keeps buying, and even nation-states have exposure.
Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down.
Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend.
That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down.
I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right.
Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose.
Stay safe everyone.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.The image you uploaded shows a TradingView chart for Bitcoin against the US Dollar (BTC/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe from the BITSTAMP exchange.
Key Features of the Chart:
1. Price Action:
Current price: 104,912 USD.
Price change: -1,608 USD (-1.51%).
2. Technical Indicators:
Two moving average curves (red and blue) indicating short and longer-term trends.
A clear double-bottom pattern, suggesting a potential reversal.
3. Trading Setup:
Target Level: Around 106,537 USD.
Stop-Loss (SL) Level: Around 102,169 USD.
Suggested strategy involves either a breakout to the upside (bullish) or a potential pullback (bearish), with both scenarios outlined.
4. Analysis:
The chart suggests that if the price breaks above the resistance zone, it could reach the target of 106,537 USD.
If the price fails to break through and falls below support, it could hit the stop-loss level at 102,169 USD.
Would you like a more detailed analysis or insights on potential trading strategies?
BTC in 15 minutes time frame.I did analysis on BTC in lower time frame 15 Minutes. It was analysis on price action and I expected a long move from that position of BTC and it moves exactly how I expected.
I will do analysis on higher time frame by tomorrow. Stay Tuned!
If anyone took a trade, Cheers to them!
Trade Idea: BTCUSD (SELL STOP)BTCUSD Trade Setup Analysis
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
1. Trend Analysis
- Price Action: BTC is in a strong uptrend, with recent highs near **105,819.00**.
- RSI (14): 72.88** (approaching overbought, but no divergence yet).
- MACD: Bullish but showing potential slowing momentum (histogram decreasing).
- **Key Levels:**
- Support: 82,447.57 (previous resistance turned support).
- Resistance: 105,819.00 (current high).
2. Entry Precision
- Price Action: Recent rejection from **108,104.70** (lower high) with a drop to **104,834.80**.
- RSI (14): 58.39 (neutral, slight bearish bias).
- MACD: Bearish crossover (249.955 → 241.911).
- **Key Levels:**
- Resistance:108,104.70 (recent high).
- Support: 104,834.80 (immediate level).
3. Confluence
- Price Action: Downtrend in shorter timeframe, with price below **106,237.30**.
- RSI (14): 50.6 (neutral, leaning bearish).
- MACD: Positive but weakening (41.156).
- **Key Levels**:
- Resistance: 106,237.30 (recent high).
- Support: 102,928.15 (next key level).
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**Trade Idea: Short-Term Bearish Pullback**
Entry:
- Short near 105,820.00 (daily resistance confluence with 15M rejection).
Stop Loss (SL):
- 106,300.00 (above recent 3M high)
Take Profit (TP):
- TP1: 104,834.80 (15M support, 1:2 RRR).
- TP2: 102,928.15 (3M support, 1:4 RRR). (IDEAL)
BTC OR LEAVE IT BEI'm not showing you this so I can be right. I'm showing you this so you as a retail trader can know what to expect. Could we blow throw these level overnight OF COURSE. However if you're an ALT trader you should know by looking at most altcoin charts that they are either at key turnaround levels or they are still looking like they could mitigate positions lower from inside smart money logical areas like the 50% or even lower to levels near psychological 78% or 88% of structure on the intraday TFs.
**USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT**