BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC OUTLOOK📉 BTCUSD Outlook – May 20
Current price: $103,080
Structure looking weak near resistance.
Big moves coming. Here's the roadmap:
🔴 SELL ZONE: $106,000
📌 Ideal for short-term sell scalps or hedge
🟢 SCALP BUY ZONE: $98,200
⚠️ Quick bounce expected — intraday play only
🟢 BUY ZONE 1: $91,700 – $88,500
✅ Strong structural support
🧠 Best zone for position traders & DCA entries
🟢 BUY ZONE 2: $74,500 – $70,500
🔥 Extreme value area
High confluence for reversal or long-term entries
May 16 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement.
We proceeded with trend following.
After entering the 1st long position at the top,
If it does not break away from the purple support line, it goes up vertically.
*We proceeded along the red finger movement path in the next wave.
We expected the movement to be a strong rise.
From the bottom breakaway, it is open up to the 2nd section,
and we will omit the detailed explanation.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
At the bottom left, with a purple finger,
I connected the long position entry section of 101,785.1 dollars that I had on the 15th.
The current position is the 30 + 1 section,
but since the 4 and 6-hour central lines were also touched at the same time,
the mid-term pattern is broken,
and the daily chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
The strategy is one-way, one-way,
I am explaining it only on one page of the 30-minute chart,
so it is limited, but I organized it as simply as possible.
*When the blue finger moves
Two-way neutral
Short->Long or long waiting strategy
1. 104,791.3 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. 103,241.8 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
After that, long position target price in the order of Good -> Great
-> Refer to pink finger simulation.
If it touches the top once or comes down right away from the current position,
it is the final long waiting strategy at the bottom section 2.
From the bottom section breakout,
it is open from 3 -> 99345.9 dollars.
Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Deeper retracement is possible. 104-105.2 for short entryMorning folks,
So, last setup worked just partially - action started from 101K as suggested but BTC completed only 1.27 butterfly target, showing sharp reversal.
Current reversal is important because market is neither on some target, resistance or overbought. It means that reversal is driven by external factors. Although our long-term bullish view is still valid, with "at least" 110K target, the road to the target might be bumpy, with moderate pullback first.
It means that right now weekly/daily traders should sit on the hands and wait when retracement will be over. While daily/intraday traders could consider short entry from 104-105.2K resistance area by our view.
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview
This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities.
🧱 Structure Breakdown
Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800).
This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum.
Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel.
Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish.
🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now
After the breakdown:
Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle).
This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short.
The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation.
🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias)
Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point)
Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure
Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area
This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry.
📊 Additional Technical Confluences
Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility.
Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility.
Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish.
RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest.
📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance
101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance.
The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely.
Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions.
⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts
This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation.
Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs.
Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance.
News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts.
🧵 Conclusion
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets.
✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
Bitcoin H4 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 99,502.40 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 92,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106,765.40 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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BITCOIN CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend in a narrowing
Bearish wedge pattern and the
Coin has reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 108000$
So IF we see a breakout from
The wedge a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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The Calm Before the Dump🧠 What we’re watching:
Trendline break from late March → backtest complete → potential rollover
Price is starting to form a lower high – classic reversal structure forming
MACRO support eyed at $91,429 (red zone) and then psychological $80K
Volume divergence + lower RSI highs pointing to exhaustion 🧯
🪓 The “90K zones again” annotation may become reality faster than bulls expect.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
$95,429 – liquidity sweep zone
$89,005 – strong structural support
Max fear level: $69,711 (previous macro floor)
❗ Caution: If BTC can’t reclaim and hold above $105K quickly, momentum could accelerate to the downside.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #BearishScenario #TA #BTCUSD
Bitcoin Retests Ascending Trendline After BreakoutBTCUSD daily chart shows price action respecting a rising trendline, following a successful breakout from previous pattern. This ascending trendline now acts as a key dynamic support and serves as a central guide for the medium-term bullish structure.
Currently, price is consolidating just below the $107,000 resistance area. There are two primary scenarios to consider:
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above the $107,000 resistance could trigger another bullish leg, targeting the next level near $120,000.
Mild Bearish / Pullback Scenario:
If the price gets rejected again, it may retrace towards the ascending trendline around $95,000, which aligns with previous horizontal support and could serve as a solid buy-the-dip zone.
Trade Plan:
Buy Entry Option 1: On a breakout above $107,000 → Target: $120,000
Buy Entry Option 2: On a bounce from the trendline near $95,000
Key Levels for the Week 19-25/05/2025 ∷BitCoin∷🐍 Key Levels Overview for the Week🐍
__________________________
Resistances🔀 107397 , 114115 , 117344 , 124086
Mids∷∷∷ 101045 , 106675 , 108456 , 114878
Supports🔀 110275 , 101388 , 99326 , 88341
Trend Base Lines
108442🐂113313🐂113737🐂119204
105301🏛107030🏛107311🏛111272
104554🐻101465🐻100878🐻99353
$BTC up to $107-108k?While I do think CRYPTOCAP:BTC will ultimately still see a larger correction, I can't deny that the chart looks bullish here.
I think we're likely to see a final move over the next week or two up to $107k-108k to retest the prior highs. I think the middle resistance at $108,183 is the most likely target for the move.
After we hit that, that's where I'll start to position short on BTC.
Let's see how it plays out over the next week or two.
Heading into pullback resistance?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which. is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 108,391.05
1st Support: 98,383.98
1st Resistance: 119,108.79
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_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTC/USD BULL ARE ACTIVE SOON BTC WILL FLYIndicators Used:
Smart Money Breakouts
Various trade analysis tools like BOS (Break of Structure) and CHOCH (Change of Character) are labeled on the chart.
📈 Technical Analysis Annotations:
Price Movement:
Historical data is marked with a BOS and CHOCH showing key market structure shifts.
Green “Target” labels highlight successful trade targets.
There's a price channel drawn indicating an ascending trend.
A forecasted path is sketched showing an expected continuation upward after a retracement.
📌 Trade Summary (Top Right Box):
Winning Trades: 138
Losing Trades: 131
The chart includes a risk-to-reward zone:
Green box: Projected profit zone
Red box: Stop-loss zone
💵 Current Price Info (Top Left):
Sell Price: $103,246.14
Buy Price: $103,246.14
Price Range Visible: ~$85,300 to ~$110,000
$BTC Bearish Divergence Confirmed | Correction ImminentBitcoin has formed a clear bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, accompanied by declining volume, an inverted hammer candlestick at resistance, and a MACD crossover to the downside. Price has also retested the upper trendline but failed to break higher.
Key levels to watch:
First support: $96,000
If broken, further downside to $80,000
Ultimate support around $60,000 if market sentiment weakens further
Also, be cautious as today's Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit may increase market volatility.
This presents a solid short opportunity if BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels.