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BTC/USD Potential Rebound from Key Support Towards 106,268Bitcoin is currently testing the 104,895 support level after a sharp decline from the upper resistance at 108,468. The price action suggests potential stabilization above this key support zone. If the 104,895 level holds, we may see a bullish move targeting the resistance at 106,268, which aligns with previous price rejection zones. This area could act as the first profit target for intraday traders. A successful break above 106,268 could open the path for a retest of the 108,468 resistance level. However, if the price fails to hold above 104,895, the next critical support lies at 103,153, where we previously saw strong bullish momentum. This would be the invalidation zone for the long setup.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by piporia
BTC will botom now(sorry I wrote this took quite a long time so the price has moved first) Summary: The recent drop in Bitcoin is primarily due to geopolitical tensions specifically the conflict between Israel and Iran. This is interpreted as a short-term market shock rather than a fundamental breakdown. Structurally, the bias remains bullish with expectations of a near-term rebound. Why is BTC dropping? The sell-off is driven by global risk aversion due to the geopolitical escalation. Investors are temporarily fleeing into cash and defensive assets like gold. However, this behavior is emotional and not based on a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s outlook. Bullish Thesis: * Bitcoin’s recent decline is not structurally bearish; it's a reaction to short-term uncertainty * Historically, Bitcoin has shown strength and recovery following global shocks * The current correction may provide a setup for a relief rally before any further downside movement * Even if a deeper correction is ahead, the price is likely to move upward first to sweep liquidity or test resistance Technical View: * The current price level is a key area from a price action perspective * BTC is showing signs of rejection at this key support, indicating potential buyer interest * This level has acted as a significant pivot in previous swings, making it technically important for short-term direction * If this rejection holds, it may serve as the base for a short-term recovery leg Correlation Insight – BTC vs. Gold: * Bitcoin has been showing a moderate positive correlation with gold, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical risk * Currently, gold is approaching its major resistance or all-time high level * If gold reaches this zone, it may trigger profit-taking or sell pressure, prompting a rotation of capital out of gold into BTC * This potential rotation strengthens the case for a bullish move in Bitcoin, especially if BTC stabilizes around current support Expectations: * Near-term bounce or consolidation, followed by a potential breakout toward key resistance levels * A shift in capital from traditional hedges like gold to crypto could act as a tailwind * As volatility from the conflict settles, Bitcoin could regain its role as a risk-on asymmetric bet Conclusion: The pullback appears to be a temporary, sentiment-driven move rather than a trend reversal. BTC remains fundamentally strong, and the potential reversal in gold adds confluence to a bullish Bitcoin thesis. With price currently showing rejection at a key technical support level, this may be a strategic accumulation zone for mid- to long-term investors.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
BTCUSD Hey everyone, Taking a closer look at the BTCUSD chart, I've plotted some interesting price levels that could act as significant support and resistance in the coming weeks. This analysis aligns with what appears to be a trend-based Fibonacci time analysis, and I've also marked some crucial dates where we might see major market changes. Based on our observations, we're seeing a range of important price action. For instance, notice the cluster of highs around the 112,048 to 113,343 area. These levels, particularly those marked with an asterisk such as 112,167, 112,503, and 113,006, have previously shown strong upward movements, suggesting they could serve as notable resistance if price attempts to push higher. Conversely, on the downside, the levels from 111,952 down to 110,665, with points like 111,833, 111,499, and 110,832 highlighted, have historically seen bounces or significant slowing of downward momentum. These could very well act as crucial support areas, preventing further declines. As we move forward, it will be crucial to observe how price interacts with these levels, especially around the following dates where we might see major market shifts: July 4th, 2025 July 11th, 2025 July 26th, 2025 August 9th, 2025 August 16th, 2025 September 9th, 2025 The higher resistance points reaching up to 118,793 and lower support extending to 105,407 define a broader range we'll be watching closely. Keep an eye on these zones for potential reversals or breakthroughs, particularly around the dates mentioned, which could signal the next significant move for Bitcoin. As always, manage your risk accordingly. What are your thoughts on these levels and potential turning points? Share in the comments below! Want to Level Up? Join Shunya Trade’s Mentoring Program to master these strategies and sharpen your technical analysis skills. Your Feedback Matters! Let me know how this analysis works for you—your insights will shape future reports! Let’s navigate the markets together—wisely and proactively. Trade safely! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Price High Price Low 112048 111952 112084 111916 *112167 *111833 *112335 *111666 *112503 *111499 *112670 *111332 *112838 *111165 *113006 *110998 *113174 *110832 *113343 *110665 114017 110001 *114693 *109339 115372 108678 116052 108020 116734 107364 *117419 *106709 118105 106057 118793 105407
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by shoonya0000
$BTC Bounced from $103K – Hedge Short Still Active Bitcoin was supposed to break out, but fear of war changed the plan. Instead of pumping, BTC dropped to retest support around $102,700 — and bounced strongly. 🔸 Key Support Zone: $100K – $99K This area is holding well for now. But if BTC loses $99K, we could see a deeper drop. 🔸 Short from $108,500 is still open We’re using it as a hedge in case the market crashes. If the price drops more, we’ll take profit on the short. If BTC goes back up to $108K+, the short will be closed on entry. That’s the best-case scenario. 🔸 What’s Next? Everything depends on global news. If war fears grow, BTC may drop fast. If things calm down, we could see a strong recovery. ✅ We’re in a strong position — low risk, high reward. No panic. We’re ready for both outcomes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold? BTCUSD – Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold? 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook Bitcoin continues to face downside pressure after failing to hold above the key $108K resistance. Several macro factors are influencing sentiment: 📉 US bond yields are rising again, as markets expect the Fed to delay rate cuts. This adds pressure on risk assets like BTC. 🪙 Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows remain positive, but are currently not strong enough to counter short-term selling pressure. 💵 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is recovering, as investors flee to USD amid geopolitical volatility in the Middle East. 📊 Institutional liquidity is thinning across exchanges, adding to intraday volatility. 📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart 🔹 Trend Structure: BTC is now firmly in a short-term downtrend, trading below the descending trendline and all key moving averages (EMA 34, 89, 200). Rejection from every pullback suggests that sellers are still in control. 🔹 Key Price Zones: Bearish FVG Resistance: 106,096 – 107,004 First Support Zone: 102,821 Major Support Zone: 101,539 → 100,419 A clean break below 100K could open the door to 98,000 and below 🔹 Momentum: RSI is neutral, hovering around the mid-40s without strong divergence signals. Selling volume is increasing but not yet explosive — indicating the market may be awaiting a macro catalyst. 🧠 Market Sentiment Traders are currently in “wait-and-see” mode, eyeing the next round of macroeconomic data and potential Fed commentary. Short-term profit-taking is dominant after last week’s sharp rally. Overall sentiment: Bearish short-term – Neutral mid-term – Bullish long-term 🎯 Trade Setup Ideas 🔻 SELL if price retests FVG and gets rejected Entry: 106,000 – 107,000 Stop-Loss: 107,500 Targets: 102,821 → 101,539 → 100,419 🔹 BUY if price reacts strongly from 100,419 – 101,500 Entry: 100,500 – 100,800 Stop-Loss: 99,800 Targets: 102,800 → 104,400 → 106,000 Preference is given to selling the rally in the short term. Buying should only be considered on confirmed reversal signals at key support. ✅ Conclusion BTCUSD is currently in a corrective phase, with bears maintaining control. The key level to watch is the $100,419 support zone, which may determine whether Bitcoin maintains its medium-term bullish structure or breaks further. Discipline and confirmation are crucial in this volatile environment. 📌 Strategy Focus: Look to sell rallies toward resistance; buy only on confirmed bounce from strong support zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
BTC/USD – Bearish Continuation from Rising Channel BTC/USD – Bearish Continuation from Rising Channel 🚨🧱 This chart indicates a bearish market structure with the following key technical features: 🔍 Chart Analysis: Change of Character (CHoCH) 🔄 A shift from bullish to bearish was confirmed by a strong breakdown after the CHoCH marked at the top. This breakdown invalidated previous bullish structure. Bearish Flag Formation 📉📐 After the impulsive drop, price formed a bearish flag (rising channel), suggesting a potential continuation move to the downside. Resistance Rejection 🚫 Price is currently testing and rejecting the 105,800–106,500 resistance zone, previously a support turned resistance. The rejection from this level adds further bearish confluence. Downside Projection ⬇️📍 If the pattern plays out, the projected move shows a potential drop toward the major support zone at 100,000–101,000. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 105,800–106,500 🧱 109,500–111,000 🧱 Support Zone: 100,000–101,000 💚 🧠 Conclusion: The chart suggests that BTC/USD is in a bearish continuation phase, with strong rejection from key resistance and a confirmed breakdown from a bearish flag. Traders should watch for confirmation of continuation below 104,500 to target the 100k support level. Risk management is crucial near volatile zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
BTC/USD: Weekend Strategy AnalysisBitcoin is currently fluctuating around $105,500, with volatility mainly driven by Middle East tensions. After Israel's airstrikes on Iran, market panic spread, causing Bitcoin to drop below $103,000 yesterday. Over 250,000 leveraged investors worldwide were liquidated within 24 hours, totaling $1.16 billion in liquidations—predominantly long positions. In the short term, geopolitical conflicts have triggered capital flight from high-risk assets. Traditional safe havens like gold and crude oil have surged, while Bitcoin has been sold off. Uncertainties over whether the Middle East situation will escalate or involve the U.S. are suppressing prices. Long-term, institutions had forecast Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025 based on factors like the halving effect. Some listed companies and institutions maintain strategic positions. If the situation eases, prices may rebound. BTC/USD sell@106500-105500 tp:104000~103000 SL:107500 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by H_C_02
BTC: Is the other shoe going to drop?The move up from June 5th low has been in 3 waves. The current global economic situations have rattled the overall markets this week. Even though BTC is holding the 102k support so far, things are getting much weaker as time passes. If the 102 K support breaks, then we will most likely see a flush down to 95k-90k area. Personally, I will be cautious buyer there. Even a stroll down to 85k won't be super bearish long term. Anything below that might spell bad news. Starting small and assessing the situation will be key. I don't put stop loss on BTC. But, if price keeps getting lower highs, then, breaking 80k will be my signal to get out on the next spike and reassess the situation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mukit1
BTCUSD - LONGS📉 BTCUSD Reversion Setup – After the Drop This dual-timeframe view of BTCUSD shows how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy identified an excellent buy opportunity following a sharp selloff — with signals printing on both the 1H and 15min charts, offering strong confluence for a recovery play. ⸻ 🟢 Here’s What Happened: 1. High-Volatility Drop Into Oversold Levels BTC saw an aggressive downward move, likely driven by news or a liquidation event. Price pushed deep below the lower statistical deviation bands, entering a classic mean reversion zone. 2. 1H Timeframe – Strong “UP” Signal The 1-hour chart printed a clean “UP” signal right after the bottom formed. This confirmed that the move had extended far beyond normal volatility and that RSI was signaling exhaustion. 3. 15min Timeframe – Supporting Signal with Early RSI Recovery Shortly before the 1H signal, the 15min chart had already printed an “UP” signal of its own — with RSI sharply recovering from deeply oversold conditions. This served as an early entry signal, with the higher timeframe confirming the broader move. 4. Sharp Bounce Followed After the signals aligned, BTCUSD quickly rallied over $2,000 off the lows, offering a clean and profitable reversion move. ⸻ ✅ How to Use This Type of Setup: • Watch for aggressive price drops or spikes that push outside statistical volatility bands. • Look for an “UP” or “DOWN” signal on the lower timeframe (15min) for early entry opportunities. • Then look for confirmation on the higher timeframe (1H) to strengthen your confidence in the trade. • RSI recovery across both timeframes adds a momentum-based edge to the mean reversion logic. ⸻ 🎯 Why This Worked: This trade worked because multiple signals lined up at once: • Deep price extension • Oversold RSI • Volume-driven spike • Multi-timeframe signal agreement This confluence increases the probability of success and helps avoid false entries during volatility.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ElfieTrader
Favorite Fibonacci ChannelI posted about the Fibonacci Channel I regularly use to set my stop loss, mean reversal TP, and breakout TP. It's typically 0.5 for a mean reversion, and the breakout is typically confirmed with a strong move past the 1.27 or -0.27 threshold, with 1.88 as the expected move and Euler's e and Pi as the followed profit targets. The vice versa is true for negative Tp below the zero line. I trade it as low as the 1-minute time frame to as high as weekly, as it works very well, especially when it's preparing a squeeze.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by GabrielAmadeusLau