BTCUSD testing ascending channel Fundamental:
Bitcoin reels from geopolitical shockwaves as markets brace for an escalation of Middle East tensions.
Meanwhile, spot bitcoin ETFs saw outflows exceeding 200 mln USD, reflecting weaker institutional appetite.
With global markets faltering, volatility remaining elevated, and sentiment fragile, risk assets like bitcoin face renewed pressure.
Technical:
BTCUSD retreated below the ascending channel's upper bound and is currently testing the channel's lower bound and Ichimoku Cloud. If BTCUSD breaks the channel's lower bound and psychological level at 100000, the price could extend its decline to the following support at 92500. Conversely, a rebound from the channel's lower bound and break above the resistance at 11200 could prompt a further rise toward the channel's resistance and Fibonacci Confluence levels near 120000.
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTCUSD 6/12/2025Here's a screenshot of current Price Action, at the level where we can anticipate Price to encounter its Bullish Continuation. I also made a video breaking down Bitcoins Price Action that somehow didn't upload here, but wait... It's uploaded on my YT so go Tap In!
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Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin.
K1 and K2 verified a potential strong support,
If the following candles K5 or K6 close upon the downtrend line like K2,
Another bull run will keep climbing up.
It will be a good place to buy it around the downtrend line.
If the following candles consolidate around the resistance to verify the bullish momentum,
It will also a good place to buy it around the resistance.
On the other hand,
If K5 or K6 close below K4 to verify the resistance,
The market will fall to test the support for more times,
I will try to buy it at about 100K area.
Long-101618/Stop-100618/Target-120K
Long-103188/Stop-102188/Target-120K
$BTC Post Market update - Bearish MenaceHello Fellow Gamblers,
In this video I talk about our current bullish scenario and bring back the bearish scenario that I shared with you a few days ago since they are both still at play.
- We need the 4h to close above 104k and to reject the trendline for the bullish scenario to play out. A close below 104k will take us to a really dangerous zone at that 101k and increase the chances for the bearish scenario to playout.
- Levels to watch: 110.5k, 106.8k, 104.3k, 101k.
BTC - No champange toast Well, that was unfortunate. BTC too the very beating that was forecasted. Demonstrating the power of the combined methods that I use. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and K wave ( Kumar Wave ) We have a small chance, in the low single digits to recover from this. But the Lions share of probability remains with the Re test down toward $84k. I will update more later. That chart is in my profile. Good luck.
Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 107,000.93
1st Support: 104,300.41
1st Resistance: 108,341.47
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Bitcoin’s Decentralization Is a Fairy TaleBitcoin was born as a revolutionary, decentralized currency, promising financial freedom and independence from traditional banking systems. Yet, as we analyze its real-world distribution, it becomes clear that Bitcoin’s decentralization is more myth than reality.
🔍 The Illusion of Decentralization
Bitcoin operates on a decentralized blockchain, meaning no single entity controls the network. However, when we examine who actually owns Bitcoin, we see a highly concentrated wealth structure that mirrors traditional financial inequality.
📊 Bitcoin’s Wealth Concentration
The top 0.01% of Bitcoin wallets control over 37% of total supply.
The top 1% of Bitcoin holders control over 40% of Bitcoin.
The top 2% of Bitcoin wallets control over 95% of total supply.
The bottom 98% of wallets hold less than 5% of Bitcoin.
The bottom 50% of wallets hold less than 0.03% of Bitcoin.
10,000 Bitcoin investors own 5 million BTC, worth $230 billion.
Institutional investors and early adopters dominate Bitcoin ownership.
This means that a tiny fraction of wallets dominate the entire market, while millions of small holders own completely insignificant amounts.
💰 Bitcoin vs Traditional Wealth Inequality
Bitcoin was supposed to be more equitable than traditional finance, but its wealth distribution is even more extreme than global financial inequality.
Bitcoin’s wealth gap is far worse than traditional financial inequality, proving that decentralization does not mean fair distribution.
📉 How Did Bitcoin Become So Centralized?
1. Early Adopters Accumulated Massive Holdings
Bitcoin’s first miners and tech-savvy investors acquired BTC when it was nearly worthless.
Many of these wallets still hold huge amounts, making redistribution difficult.
2. Institutional Investors Took Over
Hedge funds, exchanges, and corporations now control a massive portion of BTC.
Bitcoin ETFs and custodial wallets concentrate ownership even further.
3. Lost & Dormant Bitcoin Shrinks Circulating Supply
An estimated 29% of Bitcoin is lost or inactive, meaning fewer coins are available.
This makes the remaining BTC even more concentrated among active holders.
🚨 The Harsh Reality: Bitcoin Is Not Financial Freedom
Bitcoin was supposed to empower individuals, but in practice, it has become a playground for the wealthy.
Decentralization in theory ≠ decentralization in reality.
Institutional investors and exchanges hold a massive portion of BTC.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply (21 million BTC) makes redistribution nearly impossible.
Bitcoin is not the democratized financial system it was promised to be—it’s just another asset class where the rich get richer.
NASDAQ:MSTR NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:COIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:DXY NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:MARA
BTC 4-hour cycle bullish expectationsFocus on the point around 105000. This is the Fibonacci retracement of 50%, and it is also a demand area.
Observe whether there is a reversal signal, and try to buy.
Another important observation point is around 104200. This is the Fibonacci retracement of 61.8%.
BTCUSDEventually anything goes up sooner or later goes down especially speculative and high liquidity market this is the system or core process and nothing is impossible.
Again, it's just simple prediction based on simple technical analysis there are so many other factors involve where to market would be next move means its only just forming not confirmed yet once again just scenario. NOT FA.
BTCUSD: Can it repeat the U.S. elections rally?Bitcoin is on a slight pullback, being only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.024, MACD = 1611.500, ADX = 23.439). Based on the 1W RSI we may be on the October 30th - November 4th 2024 pullback that preceded the U.S. elections. The decisive test will be on the 1D MA50 again, but as long as the S1 level holds, chances are we will see a similar +106.40% rally. We remain bullish on BTC, TP = 150,000.
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BTC: Elliot Cycle AnalysisA simple Elliot wave analysis of BTC's cycle. I predict we top out between 140-190k, before entering a bear market that will last ~12 months, likely ending early 2027. I can imagine that we form a massive H&S before we decline.
I believe the widespread adoption of crypto, BTC reserves, ETFs, etc. will serve as a bulwark against too harsh a winter. We perhaps drop to the 56k support, which would be an excellent buy-back opportunity.
Prepare to exit the market and remain tethered up for about a year or so. Don't get greedy. Things are gonna heat up real soon for the broader market.
Happy trading,
Melonfarmer
Nice bearish signal for BTC/USDFrom the chart you will understand that btc/usd is still consolidating for long bitcoin run, but before we are expecting a short term daily bearish run.
You can see that chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is also a good signal for bear movement before the long term bitcoin booooooooooooooooooom.
This will be a nice signal for you if you trade caution.
BTCUSD 6/12/2025UP UP & AWAY!!!! Get ready for this beautiful continuation!!!!
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_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTCUSD Trade Alert – SELL NOW Entry Point: 109,600BTCUSD Trade Alert – SELL NOW
Entry Point: 109,600
🎯 1st Target: 109,000
🎯 2nd Target: 107,000
🎯 Final Target: 105,000
📉 BTC showing signs of downward pressure
📊 Resistance zone forming near 110K
🔻 Momentum shift favors short setups
💼 Potential for high reward with smart execution
🧠 Risk Management is Critical
📍 Suggested Stop-Loss: Above 110,500
⚖️ Risk only what you can afford to lose
🔒 Never skip setting SL and TP
🧭 Be patient — don’t force the trade
⏱️ Let the setup confirm before execution
📌 Protect profits as you move toward targets
📊 Trail your SL as price moves in your favor
🚫 No overtrading — stick to the plan
✅ Stay focused, stay disciplined
📢 Trade the chart, not the hype!
BTCUSD SELL TRADE ALERT Entry Point: 107,500BTCUSD SELL TRADE ALERT
Entry Point: 107,500
🔹 Direction: SELL
🔹 Bearish momentum detected on higher timeframes
🎯 Target 1: 106,000
🎯 Target 2: 104,000
🎯 Final Target: 102,000
🛑 Risk Management Is Crucial
📉 Place stop-loss according to your risk tolerance
📊 Adjust position size based on your capital
💼 Capital protection > high risk profits
🧠 No emotions — trade the plan
⏱ Short to mid-term outlook on this move
🔍 Monitor price action and volume at key levels
🚫 Avoid over-trading
⚠️ Volatility can be high — use caution
🔒 Lock profits at each target if needed
📈 Trailing SL recommended after TP1 hit
📌 Setup based on technical analysis
💬 Stay disciplined. Stick to the levels.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #SellSetup #CryptoTrading #RiskManagement
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Pullback From Support
Bitcoin nicely respected a key horizontal support.
A breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern
provides a strong bullish confirmation.
I think that the price will go up and reach at least 108.320 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BTC/USD.1h chart patternBTC/USD 1-hour chart, we can see that MY continuing a bearish price projection, and the chart has clearly defined target zones based on structure and Ichimoku analysis.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is currently below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish bias.
A resistance retest has already occurred.
Price action suggests a clear break of structure, aiming lower.
Two horizontal target zones are marked below with a sharp projected drop (red path) and a blue downward arrow for emphasis.
---
🎯 Bearish Target Levels:
1. First Target: Around $104,000
This is your immediate bearish target.
Aligned with minor historical support and possible reaction area.
2. Final Target: Around $100,000–$101,000
This is the extended target and marked clearly on the chart with a bold arrow.
Likely represents a psychological level and strong liquidity zone.
---
✅ Conclusion:
Short-term bear bias remains strong unless the price reclaims and closes above the resistance/cloud zone (~$108,500).
Watch for potential reactions at $104K; if it breaks cleanly, $100K–$101K becomes highly probable.
Let me know if you want support/resistance zones or confirmations using volume or Fibonacci confluence.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BTCUSDOKAY DEGENS
BTC is on a growth cycle not an innovation cycle which means slower growth, extended top, hypercycle on the backside and no double top BS like last time. The market will act like it did in 2017 going parabolic in LATE OCT/EARLY NOV. My low end target is 140k but it works on a time fractal for a November exit, so if we ain't at 140k by AUG that will probably be the top in NOV. So readjust, but I am a degen so I will shoot for 180k unlike the tards going for 240k thinking this is 2017 expect 1000% gains, we are at the top of the stock to flow model... This means adoption is slower and at the price action we are at now it is more difficult to "make number go up." Muhammad can't through a 60$ 100x trade anymore on swaps to push the price. Imagine that 240k for fake internet money, WILD, anyway don't make your greed translate into stupidity. Trust me I know, alright then... going to hang out with my second ex-wife's boyfriend Tyrone, see ya fellas.
I would be happy to share my thoughts on growth models vs innovation models in the BTC market.
"Where are my kids?"
-KewlKat