BTC: What if the real bull run is just beginning?🚀 BTC/USD – Weekly buy signal on the way?
📈 EMA 7 / SMA 20 crossover validated on a weekly basis
✅ Long-term bullish trend
⏸️ Short-term trend neutral
In my opinion, a bullish continuation in the long-term remains possible, particularly via an AB = CD structure for patient investors.
Of course, in small time frames, volatility will be present, but the underlying trend remains positive.
📌 Pivotal zone to break:
104,432 – 109,396 USD
➡️ A break of this resistance would provide a real boost to the bullish trend.
Next? Let's close our eyes... and let the position run.
⚠️ Analysis for educational purposes – not financial advice.
💬 Do you believe this weekly signal? Or are you staying on the sidelines for now?
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC/USD -SMC IDEABTC/USD pair using the 1-hour timeframe, guided by Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
The market structure indicated a clear bearish reversal, as seen through a Change of Character (CHoCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), confirming the formation of lower highs and lower lows. A notable supply zone was marked between 103,900 and 104,300, aligned with a bearish order block and reinforced by a Fibonacci retracement at the 0.786 level. The price appeared to be retracing into this premium zone, suggesting a potential reversal upon liquidity sweep, especially with internal liquidity ($$$) formed just below the protected high. This protected high, located at 104,417, served as the designated stop loss level in the event of bullish invalidation.
The trade setup was structured with a pending short entry around 104,200 within the identified supply zone. The first take profit target was set at 102,550, positioned at a minor demand and liquidity zone, while the second take profit target was more ambitious at 100,756, corresponding to a stronger demand area and inducement level. The trade offered a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, estimated at 1.8R for TP1 and up to 4.5R for TP2. Before execution, confirmation such as a bearish engulfing candle or lower time frame structure break was required to validate entry. Risk management protocols emphasized a maximum risk exposure of 1–2% of trading capital, with plans to move the stop loss to breakeven once price dropped below the 103,000 mark. The trade was based on institutional price behavior, clear liquidity inducement, and technical alignment, making it a high-probability short setup.
BTCUSD 1H | Liquidity Grab + FVG Play Before Bullish Expansion📊 BTC/USD 1-Hour Smart Money Outlook — May 15, 2025
Bitcoin is setting up for a classic SMC combo move — targeting sell-side liquidity before flipping bullish and running for the buy-side liquidity at ~$106K.
Let’s break it down 👇
🧠 1. The Setup
Price broke structure to the downside ✅
Heading into a liquidity sweep of the recent lows around $100,000
Major Fair Value Gap lies between $98,100–$96,800
This gap aligns with the 61.8–70.5% fib zone — a premium rebalance area for smart money
🔍 2. Expectations
Short-Term Bearish into FVG → Sell-side liquidity gets swept
Then strong bullish reversal targeting:
🔹 First target: $103,000
🔹 Final target: $105,787 (Buy-side liquidity + Weak High)
Trade Idea: Long after FVG rejection confirmation
SL below $96,800, TP up to $106K — insane RRR of 1:4+
⚠️ 3. Risk Management
Wait for a bullish reaction inside the FVG zone
Protect capital if price closes below $96,800 → setup invalid
Look out for NY session volatility and CPI/FOMC-driven fakeouts
This is textbook Smart Money behavior: draw liquidity, rebalance price, and expand into inefficient price zones. If you're not trading with liquidity in mind — you're the liquidity. 🧠💸
💬 Comment “🚀” if you're long from the Fair Value Gap zone!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and smart money breakdowns!
BTCUSD -Bullish - Decision Zones📈 BTC/USD – Intraday: Bullish Bias Confirmed
🟢 Current Zone: 102,612 – 103,092
📍 Consolidation below key technical resistance
📌 Target: 105k+
🔍 Technical Analysis
Price is consolidating above the critical 102.6k zone, confirming a bullish intraday bias.
📈 A clean breakout above this level could trigger a strong move toward the 105k area.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch
✅ Technical Zone (Support/Resistance): 102.6k – 103.1k
📌 Psychological Level at 100k: strong fundamental support
🛡️ Technical Support Zone: 92.5k – 93.7k
📊 Trading Plan:
⏳ Waiting for a clear breakout above 103.1k
🟩 Bullish scenario remains valid as long as 100k holds
❌ Invalidation if price breaks below 99k with volume
🔔 Stay alert for upcoming macroeconomic catalysts.
🎯 Opportunity in progress. Strategy active.
BTC to between 207k-315k come octoberThis is solely a prediction for the coming cycle top. I am looking for a third trend touch that will occur between 3.618 and 5.618 of the previous cycle high to swing low. If the time frame cycle to cycle lines up at 47 monthly bars, cycle top will occur in third quarter, likely in october.
Summer time may be slow, but I think buying pressure will ramp up in the fall. This will lead to the eventual blowoff top that btc goes through each cycle.
Blow off target = 207k-315k
This is not financial advice, this is just a prediction I would like to publish to look back on.
Let me know what you think is going to happen by years end in the comments!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 4H Analysis
🧱 Accumulation Just Below ATH
We’re currently observing a tight consolidation phase, right above the bearish OTE (from the 109K → 74K retracement), and just below Bitcoin’s all-time high.
This is a powerful signal :
📌 Price is holding strong instead of retracing.
📌 Sideways structure in a high zone = strength, not weakness.
📌 This type of accumulation near ATH often precedes an explosive breakout.
🚀 What It Suggests
This current setup implies that BTC is absorbing liquidity, building strength, and likely preparing for a significant leg up, potentially a new all-time high extension.
If the price starts breaking out with volume above the consolidation range :
🎯 110K–115K becomes short-term target zone.
🧭 130K+ possible on longer-term Fibonacci extension levels.
✅ Summary
No sign of weakness.
Consolidating at the top = bullish intent.
Next ATH breakout could be imminent.
NEXTRA AIThis preset is built to visualize the core components of Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading — a methodology used by institutional-level traders to track liquidity flow and structural shifts in the market.
Included Indicators:
CHoCH (Change of Character) — Detects early signs of structural shifts before major trend reversals.
BOS (Break of Structure) — Confirms strength and direction of market momentum.
Order Blocks (OB) — Highlights institutional accumulation/distribution zones, ideal for sniper entries.
Liquidity Trap Zones — Identifies areas of engineered liquidity before reversals (EQH/EQL zones).
Premium/Discount Zones — Helps define whether price is in an optimal range for long or short setups.
Bitcoin will start an upward movement soonIf the lower green trend line is not broken, the existence of a descending triangle is confirmed. However, I don’t think this line will be broken because 4 triple waves have been formed so far and the fifth wave, wave E, is completing or may have already completed. So I think Bitcoin will start an upward movement soon.
Bitcoin Long: Wave 3 of 3 of 3; Target $148,000I've previously called to be neutral of Bitcoin after identifying a wave 5 up on 11th May. Now, I believe that it is once again time to long Bitcoin as I am expecting a wave 3 of 3 of 3 up.
The stop loss should be generous at $100,500 if you can afford it.
The price target if wave 3 = wave 1 is $130,000; The price target if wave 3 = 1.618x Wave 1 is $148,000.
Good luck!
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Bitcoin Breakdown: Heading for $97.5?Bitcoin Breakdown in the Making!
Bitcoin is shaping up for a head-and-shoulders** pattern on the 4-hour chart. All eyes are on the relative strength—if it dips below 42, or we see a breakout under 101.6, things could get interesting! The target? 97.6.
Of course, this is all speculation—let’s see how the market plays it out!
Bitcoin going to 98k ?There is a possible bearish move on the 1-hour timeframe.
There is rising wedge pattern using two converging yellow trendlines, this is a classic bearish reversal structure.
The wedge shows price making higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum.
Stop-Loss is marked above a recent swing high
Take-Profit is set near the lower ascending trendline, which aligns with the wedge’s breakdown target.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has remained tightly bound within our Mean Resistance level of 104000 and is positioned to retest the lower target identified as Mean Support at 99300. There exists a possibility of a further decline toward an additional Mean Support target at 94000. Nonetheless, it is crucial to recognize the potential for upward momentum from the current level, which may lead to a challenge of the Key Resistance at 106100. This could culminate in a retest of the previously established Inner Coin Rally at $108,000.