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BTCUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (RAED CAPTION)hi traders! share you opinion about this chart in comment section current price: 98020 after hitting highest of all time BTC has entered in sphere of retracement. all D1 candles of this week have established a bearish trend and market is trying to stabilize itself. currently market is working under parallel channel. if market rejects 98500 then its next move will be 94500. key points: resistance: 98500 and 99850 support zone: 94650 and 91500 demand zone: 94650 like, share and follow. thanks for your support
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Ibrahim_Gold_Traders
Btc/UsdtCOINBASE:BTCUSD --- **Bitcoin Analysis (H4):** The current price is in a **neutral zone** and could continue moving sideways between **$99,000** and **$94,800** for a while. ⏳ The **daily wick** at **$95,500** on the **D1 Kijun** is a **bullish continuation signal** 📈, suggesting upward momentum could follow. --- **Main Trend:** The **overall trend** for Bitcoin remains **bullish**. However, based on yesterday’s **daily close**, it might have marked a **local top** and the start of a **bearish correction phase**. 🚨📉 --- **RSI Indicators:** Both the **monthly** and **weekly RSI** are **overbought**, indicating a possible **correction** to test the next support zones: - **$90,200** - **$88,000** - **$84,000** - **$78,000** In the case of a **stronger bearish move**, the previous **ATH resistance** zone around **$68,000 - $72,000** should be closely watched. 👀 --- **Bull Market Behavior:** In a **bull market cycle**, a **20-30% correction** after a significant rally is **normal** before any further upward movement. 📊 As long as **Bitcoin consolidates** above **$78,000**, the **altcoin market** should continue to see growth over time. 🚀 --- **To Summarize:** - **Current price:** Neutral zone, expect some **pump and dump** actions in the short term! 💥 - **Key support:** The **$95,000** zone must hold on the **daily** chart. 🔑 - **Bearish correction:** Not to be ruled out, especially with the overbought RSI. ⚠️ - **Bulls need:** A **daily close above $99,500** for confirmation of continuation. 📈 - **Altcoin market:** Expect **huge volatility** during this period! 🔥 --- **Recommendation:** Given the **market instability**, it’s advisable to **reduce targets and risk exposure** for the time being. ⚖️ --- **Price Prediction:** I would be cautious about predicting a clear direction at this moment, as **Bitcoin's price action** could swing between the levels mentioned above. If we see a breakout above **$99,500**, that could signal another push upwards, but until then, volatility should be expected. 🧐 --- Overall, patience is key here! Let’s see how Bitcoin performs within these zones before making any major moves. ✨ Disclaimer:Not Financial Advice...
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Wolftrader1337
1
Between now & Inauguration: Dancing at 97.3K41 days is the time frame for this idea, aligning with the Inauguration date. BTC has been trading with $97,300 as a fulcrum point for movement. When it’s trading below that price, it acts as resistance; above that price, it becomes support. Pre-Inauguration: I've identified a bullish channel and believe steady gains are possible from now until the election. While this seems possible, there’s also a chance of BTC falling well below $90K, so buyers beware. Post-Inauguration: I’m very bullish on BTC and can envision a new price floor of $100K. The Trump administration is clearly favorable toward BTC, with many of his people having holdings. Additionally, NASDAQ:MSTR remains extremely bullish. From a recent TradingView article: " MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor is wasting no time, buying straight near the top… acquiring 21,550 Bitcoin last week at an average price of $98,783 per coin. " MicroStrategy uses BTC to enhance its earnings and treasury and is currently the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. The next 4yrs, at least, look very promising. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I’m currently holding a small position in $BITO. Hopefully, this thang tumbles a bit before Jan. 20 so I can scoop up more shares. I’m particularly drawn to BITO because of its impressive 52.87% dividend yield.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EconomicalJacket
1
Lessons from the Hawk Tuah Meme Coin SagaThe recent collapse of the Hawk Tuah meme coin offers several valuable lessons for crypto investors, particularly regarding the risks associated with celebrity-backed tokens and meme coins. Here's a comprehensive look at the event and its implications: What Happened? Haliey Welch, a viral internet personality known as the “Hawk Tuah Girl,” launched her cryptocurrency, HAWK, on the Solana blockchain. Initially, the token skyrocketed in value, reaching a market cap of nearly $490 million within hours. However, the excitement was short-lived as the coin's value plummeted by over 90% shortly after its peak, resulting in massive losses for investors. Investigations revealed suspicious activity, including a small group of wallets controlling 80-90% of the token's supply. These entities quickly sold their holdings after the price surged, a tactic commonly referred to as a Rug- Pull . Welch has faced accusations of orchestrating the scheme, although she denies any wrongdoing​ Key Takeaways for Investors 1. Avoid Hype-Driven Investments Meme coins often rely on hype rather than fundamentals. The initial surge in HAWK’s value was fueled by Welch’s popularity and aggressive promotion, which masked its lack of intrinsic value. 2. Beware of Celebrity Endorsements Celebrities frequently endorse or launch crypto projects, but their involvement doesn't guarantee legitimacy. Past incidents with figures like Kim Kardashian and Floyd Mayweather highlight a recurring pattern of failed celebrity-endorsed tokens​ 3. Understand the Token’s Structure The dominance of a few wallets in HAWK’s ecosystem made the token vulnerable to manipulation. Always investigate the tokenomics of a project , including the distribution and control of its supply. Recognize the Signs of a Rug Pull - Rapid price surges followed by sharp declines - Concentrated ownership by insiders or “snipers” - Lack of a clear use case or roadmap - Exercise Caution with New Tokens *Newly launched coins are highly volatile and prone to exploitation. In the case of HAWK, the lack of regulatory oversight compounded the risks​ Lessons for Regulators The Hawk Tuah incident underscores the need for stricter oversight of crypto markets, especially celebrity-backed projects. While decentralized finance (DeFi) promotes inclusivity, its openness can be exploited. Regulators like the SEC are already investigating such cases, which may lead to stricter rules on token launches and promotions​ Conclusion The collapse of the Hawk Tuah coin serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of speculative investments in unregulated markets. While the allure of quick profits can be tempting, due diligence, skepticism of promotional tactics, and an understanding of market mechanics are crucial for navigating the crypto space. Investors should remember: if something sounds too good to be true, it probably is . For long-term success in crypto, focus on projects with robust fundamentals, transparency, and proven utility.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
28
BTC/USD 4H Timeframe AnalysisBTC/USD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend: The price is in an uptrend but recently broke the minor key support at 99.000, touching the next minor key support at 93.000. Buyers briefly pushed the price above the minor key resistance at 97.000, creating strong buying pressure. However, the price has started to make lower lows and broke the previous key resistance, which is now acting as key support. Price Action Expectation: During the accumulation period, a bearish engulfing candle formed between the two minor key levels, signaling a potential short-term price reversal. Our objective is to wait for the price to return to the previous resistance, where we anticipate liquidity manipulation. Once the price moves downward and breaks our key support, we will enter the trade. Trade Setup: Sell Stop Entry: 96,593.20 Stop Loss: 92,314.80 (above the liquidity zone) Take Profit: 98,537.10 (next key minor support level) Risk: 1% Fundamental Outlook: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF: The sharp drop in BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, marking its largest decline in four months, has increased bearish sentiment around Bitcoin. This is adding downward pressure on Bitcoin's price as investors react to reduced confidence in institutional products linked to Bitcoin. Quantum Computing FUD: Concerns about quantum computing's potential impact on Bitcoin's cryptographic security are heightening market fear, contributing to increased volatility and bearish pressure in the market. The bearish engulfing candle combined with the fundamental news of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF drop and quantum computing FUD suggests that the price may continue its decline, presenting an opportunity to enter the market on the downside.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RebornFXTrader
Bitcoin Halving 4: The Dawn of a New Bullish Era with a $150,000Introduction The fourth Bitcoin halving, anticipated on April 15th, 2024, marks the beginning of a new era, reinforcing Bitcoin's deflationary narrative and catalyzing its cyclical market dynamics. With 90% of Bitcoin's supply already mined and a reduced block reward of 3.125 BTC, scarcity is set to increase, setting the stage for a bullish trajectory. Historically, Bitcoin’s halving cycles have driven predictable phases: bullish trends in the initial 70,000 blocks, bearish retracements in the next 70,000 blocks, and sideways consolidation in the final stretch before the next halving. As we step into the bullish phase of Halving 4, this analysis explores Bitcoin’s trajectory toward a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical patterns, logarithmic regression models, and on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio and z-score. Where Are We Today? Having experienced the lows of the third halving era, which began on May 11th, 2020, Bitcoin has successfully weathered the sideways phase characterized by market equilibrium. With the MVRV ratio at 2.24, Bitcoin is signaling fair value, poised for the bullish uptrend expected in the fourth halving era. Historically, Bitcoin’s market dominance reflects this cyclical behavior. During bearish and sideways phases, dominance often falls below 40%, but as the bullish phase takes hold, dominance surges to 70%, bolstering its influence over the entire cryptocurrency market. These dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is primed for significant price appreciation. Halving Cycles and Price Projections The logarithmic regression model shown in the chart encapsulates Bitcoin’s historical price patterns. The projected target of $150,000 aligns with the intersection of Bitcoin's parabolic uptrend and its logarithmic regression of highs. Key milestones include: Post-Halving Bullish Phase (0 to 70,000 blocks): Historically marked by exponential price growth. Bearish Phase (70,000 to 140,000 blocks): A retracement period, with average drawdowns of 80% from cycle highs. Sideways Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks): A period of consolidation, setting the stage for the next halving. For Halving 4, projections suggest: A high of $150,000 during the bullish phase. An 80% drawdown, positioning the bearish-phase low at $55,000. The MVRV Ratio: A Key Indicator The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a robust tool for assessing Bitcoin’s valuation. Current metrics indicate that Bitcoin is fairly valued, with room for substantial growth in the coming phase: Historical Extremes: MVRV > 3.7: Overbought conditions, signaling market tops. MVRV < 1: Undervalued conditions, signaling market bottoms. As Bitcoin transitions into the fourth halving era, the MVRV ratio’s current reading of 2.24 suggests equilibrium, with significant upside potential. Projected Timeline April 2024 (Halving): Bitcoin enters the bullish phase, with increasing demand outpacing diminishing supply. 2025-2026: Price targets of $150,000 are achievable as the cycle matures. Post-Bullish Phase: Expected retracement to $55,000, aligning with historical drawdowns. Conclusion Bitcoin’s cyclical nature, driven by its deflationary halving mechanism, positions it as a unique asset in the financial markets. As we enter the fourth halving era, the combination of historical data, on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio, and market dynamics underscores the potential for Bitcoin to reach $150,000. This analysis highlights Bitcoin's enduring appeal as a store of value and a driver of innovation in the digital asset space. While short-term volatility is inevitable, the long-term outlook remains bullish. Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are inherently volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Sources: Coin Metrics CryptoQuant TradingView Data Analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
Bitcoin: Are We Holding at $93K, $90K, $88K, or $83K?Good morning, trading crew. Bitcoin is pulling back, and we’re heading for one of these key levels: 1️⃣ $93K might be the first spot where it bounces. 2️⃣ If not, we’re looking at $90K next. 3️⃣ Below that, FWB:88K could be the level to watch. 4️⃣ And if things go lower, FWB:83K might be where it finally holds. Right now, it’s all about being patient and watching how it moves. Trade what you see, not what you hope for. What’s your call—where will Bitcoin settle? Drop your thoughts below, and don’t forget to like and follow to stay in the loop. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
5
BTC/USD Analysis: December 10, 2024.Current Price and Market Cap Current Price: $95,500 Market Cap: $1.89 trillion 24-hour Volume: $196.71 billion Recent Performance 1-day Change: -4.61% 1-week Change: -0.75% 1-month Change: +26.09% Year-to-date Change: +128.44% Technical Analysis Moving Averages: BTC/USD is currently trading below its 50-day EMA but above its 200-day EMA, indicating a potential bullish trend if it can reclaim the 50-day EMA. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is overbought at 76, suggesting a possible correction or consolidation. Support Levels: Key support levels are at $92,000 and $82,000. If BTC/USD fails to hold $92,000, it could trigger a downward move toward $82,000. Resistance Levels: The next major resistance level is around $116,000, with a potential target of $144,000 by March 2025 if it breaks above $102,000. Market Sentiment Recent News: Bitcoin recently hit a record high of $103,650 but fell over $10,000 in hours. The market is currently consolidating after a 50%-plus rally since November. Expert Opinions: Some analysts remain bullish, predicting further upside, while others caution about a potential correction in 2025. Trading Recommendations Short-term: Monitor the $92,000 support level closely. If BTC/USD holds above this level, consider long positions with a target of $116,000. Long-term: If BTC/USD breaks above $102,000, it could set the stage for another leg higher toward $144,000 by March 2025..
FX:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM