Bitcoin is approaching as the global liquidity explosion reachesThese fractal patterns don’t lie — Bitcoin has found its dip, and it’s time to reverse upward. We are ready for the explosion, because everything is repeating once again. The M2 liquidity index has reached a new level. Wish you success, Mr. Ghasemi.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the price movements observed throughout the week, Bitcoin has remained close to the previous Mean Support level of 85200 and appears poised to initiate an upward breakout, targeting the newly developed Mean Resistance level of 86400. This breakout may facilitate a retest of the completed Interim Coin rally at 88400, with additional expansions of targets also being a possibility. It is critical to acknowledge that potential for downward momentum may arise from a rechallenge of either the Interim Coin Rally at 88400 or the Mean Resistance at 86400.
Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?BTC/USD H4 Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?
📊 Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with price tightening ahead of a potential major breakout. The chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the triangle, supported by MA13 and MA34 from below.
Key resistance zones: 86,594 and the extended target zone at 88,753. A successful breakout above this region could trigger a strong rally toward 90,000+.
Key support levels: 81,397 – 78,725 – 75,102, acting as critical retracement zones in case of downside rejection.
The structure suggests two primary scenarios:
Bullish breakout to 86,594 → 88,753, followed by a pullback and continuation higher.
False breakout or breakdown, leading to a sell-off toward 78,725 and possibly down to 75,102 if market sentiment deteriorates.
🌍 Macro Context & Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment remains fragile, impacted by ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.
Altcoins are underperforming, signaling that capital rotation remains limited – often a precursor to short-term correction or distribution in BTC.
Volume is fading as price coils inside the triangle, typically a precursor to a sharp move in either direction.
🧠 Trading Strategy Ideas
Watch closely for price action near 86,594 – 88,753. If rejection or wick rejections occur, short-term pullback trades may be viable.
A breakdown below the triangle support (~84,000 area) could open up downside targets at 81,397 and 78,725.
A clean breakout with volume confirmation? Look for retest buys around 86k with continuation potential.
⚠️ Caution Advised
BTC is in a “calm-before-the-storm” zone. This is not the time to chase moves or overleverage. Let the market confirm direction and trade based on structure, not emotion.
💬 Are you leaning bullish or bearish on BTC’s next move? Will we see 90k or a drop back to 75k? Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
Next BTC Peak in Dec 2025?#Bitcoin Duration of Expansion Phases Above Previous All-Time Highs (ATH)
Historically, the time Bitcoin spends above its previous ATH increases with each cycle.
> In 2017, the expansion phase lasted 211 days.
> In 2021, it extended to 285 days, a 74-day increase (+29%).
If this trend continues, the current cycle’s expansion phase (starting Oct 2024) could last 425 days (+29% from 2021), projecting an end in Dec 2025.
BTCUSD: a pattern like 2017BTCUSD, as of 2025, resembles the price movements in 2017. In 2017, after Trump was sworn in in January, there was a 38% drop until July. The narrative around this decline is again tariffs. The FED was again coy about cutting interest rates, etc. But as it is now, first the global M2 liquidity increase, then the FED and other central banks started quantitative easing and the minting, and then the customs agreements, and the market boomed. Then there was a 172% increase until September. After a quick correction of 40% in the same month, the top of the cycle was reached, this time with a massive 562% rise.
I predict that we are likely to see similar stories, only the price increases will not be as high as they were 8 years ago. The correction after the swearing-in ceremony was around 32% this year. In terms of technical targets, I expect a summer peak around 146k, followed by another 30-40% correction and then a blow-off top between 206-266k with a final madness and an entry into the bear market. Of course, this is purely a guess, an “educated guess” based on past macro and technical movements and the current situation. The condition that would invalidate all this and make us say “we are entering the bear market early” would be a weekly-monthly close below the 2024 peak at 73.8k. Wick down from there would not break the bull structure, as long as there is no weekly/monthly close. For me, the confirmation on the indicator side is that the Alpha Trend on the weekly chart is not selling. AT has been in a “BUY” position since January 2023.
Boot2//@version=5
strategy("Auto Trader Bot by ZSoft ", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100)
// تنظیمات کاربر
vwmaLength = input.int(31, title="VWMA Length")
vwmaOffsetRatio = input.float(0.989, title="VWMA Offset Ratio")
emaBaseLength = input.int(19, title="EMA Base Length")
emaOffsetRatio = input.float(0.912, title="EMA Offset Ratio")
rsiThreshold = input.int(52, title="RSI Threshold")
ema15mLength = input.int(30, title="15m EMA Length")
tradeStartHour = input.int(9, title="Trade Start Hour")
tradeEndHour = input.int(19, title="Trade End Hour")
// اندیکاتورها
vwma = ta.vwma(close, vwmaLength)
vwmaLine = vwma * vwmaOffsetRatio
emaLen = math.round(emaBaseLength * emaOffsetRatio)
emaLine = ta.ema(close, emaLen)
rsiVal = ta.rsi(close, 25)
ema15m = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "15", ta.ema(close, ema15mLength))
// امتیاز سیگنال
score = 0
score += close < vwmaLine ? 1 : 0
score += close < emaLine ? 1 : 0
score += close < ema15m ? 1 : 0
score += rsiVal < rsiThreshold ? 1 : 0
score += rsiVal < 30 ? 1 : 0
// تحلیل زمانی
inTime = (hour >= tradeStartHour and hour <= tradeEndHour)
// آنالیز سود/ضرر روزانه
var float dayProfit = na
var int today = na
if na(today) or dayofyear != today
today := dayofyear
dayProfit := 0.0
// فقط وقتی روز جدید شروع بشه، سود روزانه آپدیت بشه
if strategy.closedtrades > 0
lastTradeDay = dayofyear(time )
if lastTradeDay == today
dayProfit += strategy.closedtrades.profit(strategy.closedtrades - 1)
// شروع ترید فقط وقتی:
allowTrade = (dayProfit >= 0) and inTime
longCond = score >= 4 and allowTrade
shortCond = score <= 1 and allowTrade
if longCond
strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long)
if shortCond
strategy.entry("SHORT", strategy.short)
// نمایش سود روز و امتیاز
plot(score, title="Signal Score", style=plot.style_columns, color=color.new(color.lime, 0))
plot(dayProfit, title="Daily Profit", color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), linewidth=2)
// نمایش روی چارت
label.new(bar_index, high,
text="Profit Today: $" + str.tostring(dayProfit, "#.##") + " Score: " + str.tostring(score),
style=label.style_label_down, textcolor=color.white, color=color.gray, size=size.small)
Brotfrom pyrogram import Client, filters
from flask import Flask, render_template_string
import threading
# تنظیمات API تلگرام
api_id = 1234567 # مقدار واقعی خود را جایگزین کنید
api_hash = "your_api_hash"
bot_token = "your_bot_token"
app = Flask(__name__)
# HTML رابط کاربری با تم ماتریکسی
html_page = """
FLASHMYWALLET
body {
margin: 0;
padding: 0;
background: black;
color: #00ff00;
font-family: monospace;
overflow: hidden;
}
canvas {
position: fixed;
top: 0;
left: 0;
z-index: -1;
}
.container {
padding: 20px;
}
button {
display: block;
margin: 10px 0;
padding: 10px;
font-size: 16px;
background: #003300;
color: #00ff00;
border: 1px solid #00ff00;
width: 100%;
}
FLASHMYWALLET
FLASH BTC
FLASH USDT
SELL YOUR PI COIN
FEES/ABOUT
const canvas = document.getElementById("matrix");
const ctx = canvas.getContext("2d");
canvas.height = window.innerHeight;
canvas.width = window.innerWidth;
const letters = Array(256).join("1").split("");
const draw = () => {
ctx.fillStyle = "rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05)";
ctx.fillRect(0, 0, canvas.width, canvas.height);
ctx.fillStyle = "#0F0";
letters.forEach((y_pos, index) => {
const text = String.fromCharCode(3e4 + Math.random() * 33);
const x_pos = index * 10;
ctx.fillText(text, x_pos, y_pos);
letters = y_pos > canvas.height + Math.random() * 1e4 ? 0 : y_pos + 10;
});
};
setInterval(draw, 33);
"""
@app.route("/")
def index():
return render_template_string(html_page)
# پیکربندی ربات
bot = Client("flashwallet", api_id=api_id, api_hash=api_hash, bot_token=bot_token)
@bot.on_message(filters.command("start"))
async def start(client, message):
await message.reply(
"""Hello dear
Welcome to FLASHMYWALLET bot
Please proceed with what you want to do:
FLASH BTC
FLASH USDT
SELL YOUR PI COIN
FEES/ABOUT"""
)
# اجرای همزمان Flask و Pyrogram
threading.Thread(target=lambda: app.run(host="0.0.0.0", port=8000)).start()
bot.run()
BTCUSD Weekend Possible Move 18-20 April 2025🔍 Key Levels
Immediate Support: $84,350 (lower trendline support)
Immediate Resistance: $85,250
Major Resistance Target: $86,000 – $86,250
Major Support Target: $83,000 and $81,400 below
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Green Path)
If BTC respects the lower trendline zone between $84,350–$84,550 and successfully retests it:
✅ Enter LONG on confirmation of bounce
🎯 Target 1: $85,250
🎯 Target 2: $86,000 – $86,250
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $84,200
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Red Path)
If BTC breaks below the trendline at ~$84,350 and retests from below:
✅ Enter SHORT on successful rejection
🎯 Target 1: $83,000
🎯 Target 2: $81,400
🛡️ Stop-loss: Above $84,700
✅ Signal
🔔 Watch for a confirmed bounce or break at $84,350–$84,550.
Buy above $84,550 after retest confirmation → Target: $86,000
Sell below $84,350 after breakdown + retest → Target: $81,400
Follow, comment, boost and share to show your support.
levels to watch The market has formed a W pattern and is currently trading above the neckline. The measured move from this pattern points to a target of 91,300.
What’s particularly interesting is that 91,300 also coincides with the neckline of a previous top, which could act as a significant resistance level — likely sparking a strong battle between buyers and sellers at that point.
If the market manages to reclaim and hold above 91,300, we could see a continuation toward the 108,000 and 125,000 levels.
I’m currently long on BTC from 78,000. My plan is to take partial profits around 88,130 and close the remainder at 91,300. From there, I’ll reassess based on the market’s reaction and look for the next directional cue.
Bitcoin Triangle Breakout Looms AheadHello traders,
4-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin/US Dollar) chart.
🧠 Key Chart Elements
1. Chart Pattern
A symmetrical triangle (white lines) "DIAMOND" - has formed near the top of the move following a double bottom breakout.
The triangle indicates consolidation after a bullish move — often seen as a CONTINUATION pattern, but it can also break either way.
2. Double Bottom
Clearly marked, confirming a reversal from bearish to BULLISH trend.
The neckline breakout led to a strong push upwards, followed by this triangle pattern.
3. Targets
Long Target: Above 91,000 to 93,000 zone — likely measured from the triangle breakout.
Short Target: Around the 75,000-76,000 support zone — below key ascending trendline.
4. 50 EMA (Green Line)
The price is above the 50 EMA, suggesting bullish momentum is intact unless the 50 EMA breaks down.
5. MACD Indicator
The MACD lines are slightly bearish right now — potentially signaling a temporary pause or dip, but not a strong downward trend yet.
📊 Prediction: Two Likely Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable – 60%)
Why: Price is above EMA, double bottom breakout, triangle after impulse move, volume likely compressing.
Confirmation Needed: A breakout above the triangle resistance (around $85,000–$85,500).
Target: Move toward the long target zone at 91,000–93,000.
Support: Horizontal green zone and EMA provide a cushion.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Less Likely – 40%)
Why: Weak MACD signal + triangle patterns can break either way.
Bearish Trigger: A strong breakdown below triangle support and EMA, especially a candle close below ~$83,000.
Target: Drop to the short target zone at $75,000–$76,000, possibly testing the trendline.
🔔 What to Watch For
A volume spike to confirm breakout direction.
MACD bullish crossover or continued divergence.
Candle close outside the triangle — do not preempt without confirmation.
📌 Summary:
The chart shows a strong bullish setup forming after a double bottom with consolidation in a symmetrical triangle. Most likely scenario is a bullish breakout targeting the 91K+ region, unless price breaks below ~ FWB:83K , which would invalidate the bullish thesis and open room for a deeper pullback to $75K.
More power to all your trades!
Intrepid Trader