BITCOIN trade ideas
BTCUSD| About Current Bullish Momentum and Key LevelsHello there,
BTCUSD H1—The 105,699 level is currently maintaining bullish momentum; therefore, BTCUSD is in an overall bullish trend on the higher time frame. The price may move up, spike up or down, or break the support line to test another support area below.
For now, the 110,000 level is open, and the 105,199 level is also open.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
Bitcoin 97k??(USD gaining strength)Good day traders, I’m back again with this beauty of a setup on BTCUSD, first things first on the daily TF price created a balanced price confirming our Thursday’s high as the high of the week.
On the 4H TF and this is where my focus is at, on the chart you can clearly see the levels that I would like to see price reaching to. The first one is my 4 hour FVG that I would like to see price leave open because of the second rectangle(1H BPR), to see how I came about this hourly balanced price range, you can just jump to the hourly and try to see how I got to that BPR for educational reward.
On the hourly if we take a closer look, we see that the 4H FVG and the 1 hour FVG are on top of each other again that’s a confirmation to consider. Back on this TF what I’m expecting to see is price try and fail getting to that 4H FVG and than shoot lower to our relative lows.
Bitcoin: Pizza Day ATHLast week was the celebration of the so-called Pizza Day, which represents an anniversary for the crypto community, as on this day the first bitcoin purchase transaction. This year, the anniversary was additionally celebrated as BTC managed to reach a fresh, new all time highest level at $111.636. Indeed, BTC holders had a day to celebrate.
Although the week started modestly above the $102K level, BTC swiftly turned to the upside, reaching its new ATH. The coin reverted a bit as of the weekend, but still manages to hold above the $108K during weekend trading. For the last two weeks RSI is moving in a highly overbought market side, indicating that the reversal might come soon. However, during periods of high market demand, the movement in the overbought period might be extended for a longer period of time. The MA50 crossed the MA200 from the downside, indicating a formation called “golden cross” in technical analysis, meaning higher potential for the trend change.
BTC reached a new milestone. Considering strong demand during the last two weeks, the price of BTC might hold at higher levels for some time. On the opposite side, the profit-taking might modestly impact the short term reversal. As per current charts, there is some probability for the levels around the $105K. However, if demand continues to hold, the BTC might also try to break the current ATH. Both scenarios currently have equal chances for occurrence.
BTCUSD – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout (Bullish Setup ActiveBitcoin has formed a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on the 30-min chart, signaling a potential short-term bullish reversal. The neckline has been tested and broken, confirming the pattern and initiating an active long trade setup.
🔹 Technical Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
🔹 Entry Zone: Near neckline breakout (~104,900)
🔹 Target: 106,842 based on pattern projection
🔹 Support Zone: 104,380 – 104,150
🔹 Trend Context: Recovering from recent decline, with bullish momentum gaining strength
Bullish bias remains valid as long as the price holds above neckline support. Momentum and volume confirmation could drive further upside. 🚀📈
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This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
BTC TO $74KPrice took off a strong bullish momentum from 74,500. Now buyers are beginning to show signs of weakness after a mitigation block triggered a market shift and we can finally see sellers stepping back into the market. If 108,000 holds as resistance, we will get a new trend and momentum to the downside to 75,000
I WILL RISK BIG FOR THIS BITCOIN BULLISH IDEAWhy this long setup “makes sense”
Retest of a Confluence Zone:
Price Structure: Earlier in the day, BTC was trading below 104,566, then broke higher, printed a small rally up to ~104,900. After that rally, it pulled back down to retest 104,566.
Volume Profile Support (VAL): The short-session Value Area Low (≈104,550–104,600) lines up almost exactly with that horizontal support. When price dips into a VAL and sees buying volume pick up, it frequently “re-rejects” downward and rallies toward the VAH/POC again.
Point of Control (POC) as Magnet:
Notice how the mini-profile’s POC sits around 104,650–104,700. If price is able to hold just above VAL and above 104,566, it often needs to re-test that POC (near 104,650–104,700) before building momentum toward higher value areas (105,000+).
Risk Management:
The stop at ~104,433 is placed just under the previous swing low and under the VAL. Should price break below that, it’s likely invalidating the bullish absorption you want to see here.
Conversely, targeting 105,627 (the next confluence of highs, mini-profile VAH, and the flat top of that small volume profile box) gives you a clean reward, because that level acted as short-term resistance earlier in the afternoon.
15-Minute Candlestick Reaction:
Right at this moment you see a wick dipping into VAL/104,550, followed by a small bullish pin that closes off the low. That’s a sign buyers are absorbing. Once you get a full 15-minute candle close back above 104,566 (preferably with a little body rather than just a wick), that’s your trigger to pull the buy trigger.
3. Step-by-step execution plan
Wait for Confirmation Candle:
Let the current 15-minute candle close (around 9:30 PM on the chart). If it closes entirely above 104,566 (preferably with a bullish body), that validates support/VAL is holding.
Enter Long (Buy) at Market or on a Small Limit Order:
You can place a limit order at 104,566 exactly, or simply buy at market when you see the close. Either way, entry is once the bounce is confirmed.
Set Stop‐Loss:
Hard stop at 104,433 (≈130 pips below entry). This is below the mini‐profile VAL and the very recent swing low on the 15-minute chart.
Technically, any drop below 104,550 would already bug out the mini-profile support, so going a few ticks lower (to 104,433) gives a bit of breathing room without risking too much.
Set Take‐Profit:
Mark your TP at 105,627 (≈1,000 pips above entry). In practice, that level has already shown minor rejection earlier today and lines up with the upper boundary of that small volume‐profile box.
If price can clear 105,627 convincingly, you could even consider a trailing-stop strategy beyond that, but for now, treat 105,627 as your primary R:R target.
Track Price Behavior:
As soon as price moves +50 pips in your favor (≈104,800), consider moving stop to breakeven (104,566). That way you can eliminate risk on the remaining position and let the rest run to 105,627.
If price slices through the POC (~104,650–104,700) with conviction, that often signals enough short‐covering/bull momentum to push toward 105,000+.
4. If the trade goes south…
Invalidation:
Should price break below 104,550 (the VAL) and then keep selling into 104,400–104,350, your stop at 104,433 will get hit. At that point, the little “volume magnet” has failed and sellers are in control.
What to Watch Next:
If your stop is taken out, watch how price behaves around 104,300–104,200 (the next obvious swing low from earlier in the session). That could become the next short idea if bearish volume continues, but only after you’ve cut your losses here.
5. Why the Risk:Reward (≈1:4) is attractive
Risk (~130 pips):
One 15-minute candle’s worth of volatility around this mini-profile level is roughly 50–60 pips, plus some buffer. By placing your stop a bit lower (≈130 pips), you give the trade room to breathe under VAL.
Reward (~1,060 pips):
Getting back up toward the mini-profile’s VAH/POC cluster near 105,600–105,700 is a higher‐probability area for profit, since that zone acted as recent resistance. A ~1,000-pips upside vs ~130 pips downside gives an ~8:1 gross R:R before fees or slippage. Even if actual profit is slightly less, your risk is small relative to potential reward.
6. Key takeaways
Volume Profile + Value Area can help you spot where “big players” have put most of their orders. VAL often acts as short‐term support.
Confluence Zone: The overlap of “horizontal support” (104,566) and the mini-profile VAL (≈104,550–104,600) is what makes this a high‐probability long zone.
Discipline on Stops: Placing your stop below the VAL (104,433) ensures you’re out quickly if that support fails.
Aggressive R:R: Shooting for ~105,627 offers a large reward if price truly wants to re-test the upper volume/value levels.
Confirmation Is Critical: Never enter exactly when price first touches VAL—wait for a full 15-minute candle close back above the support line.
Next Steps
If you are demo-trading this setup: Practice waiting for the candle close, measure your exact pip risk, and note how price reacts when it revisits the POC (around 104,650–104,700).
If you go live: Size your position so that a 130-pip stop risk equals 1–2% of your account. For example, if 1 BTC = $104,000, each pip is $0.10 (on a 0.01 BTC position), so 130 pips = $13 risk. Make sure $13 is ≤ 1% of your trading capital.
That’s the essence of this 15-minute BTCUSD volume-profile long setup. You have a clear entry (≈104,566), a logical stop (≈104,433), and a well-defined profit target (≈105,627). Keep an eye on how price interacts with the mini‐profile Value Area Low and Point of Control—if buyers step up here, you’ll likely see a swift move back toward the 105,600 zone.
Good luck trading! 🚀
BTC/USD Testing Resistance Near Downtrend LineBitcoin is currently approaching a descending trendline and horizontal resistance zone around $109,148–$109,177 on the 15-minute chart. Price has shown a steady climb, but is now testing a key level that previously acted as a supply zone.
If price fails to break and close above this level, a potential retracement toward the $107,437 area may follow. The setup displayed on the chart suggests a short-term risk-managed approach, with clearly defined zones for price reaction.
Volume remains steady, and this could be a decision point for bulls and bears in the short term. Watching for confirmation either way.
📌 For educational and charting purposes only.
BITCOIN Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 108,507.32.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 105,553.71 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Short BitcoinBitcoin surged to nearly $112K on strong economic data but quickly dropped after Trump announced 50% tariffs on the EU, increasing global risk. The price is showing a bearish reversal near major resistance (109.8K–112K), suggesting a potential false breakout. If resistance holds, BTC may range between 105K–110K. A confirmed breakout above ATH could signal new growth.
The Bank of Russia's decision to allow qualified investors access to crypto derivatives may boost institutional confidence in digital assets. This regulatory step adds legitimacy to Bitcoin, potentially increasing demand despite global uncertainties. If capital inflows from Russia rise, it could cushion BTC from external shocks like tariffs or geopolitical tensions.
On the bigger picture, we could see an historical correction to the $76k area.
BTCUSDT – Bear Flag Breakdown Imminent?Price is forming a textbook bear flag following the sharp drop from ~108.8K.
The structure shows rising lows in a tight channel, typically a pause before further downside.
📉 Bear Flag Anatomy:
Breakdown support: ~104,000
Measured move target: 98,810
RSI: 49.94 — hovering just below neutral, watch for dip <40 for breakdown confirmation.
Volume: Still low — waiting for a spike to confirm supply pressure.
🧨 Trigger Conditions:
4H close below flag support
RSI < 40
Volume spike above 20-bar average (~1.96M)
🎯 Short Plan:
Entry: Rejection from the fib golden pocket or flag support breakdown
TP: 98,800 (pattern target, confluence with prior support)
🔍 If confirmed, this breakdown could mark the start of a Phase E markdown in Wyckoff terms.
💬 Let me know your thoughts below — are you shorting this flag or expecting a fakeout?
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BearFlag #ShortSetup #Wyckoff #PriceAction #4HChart
sellers are getting absorbedin this chart you can see the CVD decreasing while price is increasing.
we also made a tridant structure
although these are all bead lows, that i would like to be swept absorption is happening and money is flowing in.
so im prepared in case it wants to make a sweep on CME market open.
but its an obvious long
BTCUSD INTRADAY supported at 103,330Trend Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in a bullish trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 103,330 (primary pivot), followed by 100,680 and 97,700
Resistance: 113,040 (initial), then 115,510 and 117,510
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 103,330 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 113,040, 115,510, and ultimately 117,510.
Conversely, a daily close below 103,330 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 100,680 and 97,700 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
BTC/USD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 103,330 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 113,040 area. A breakdown below 103,330, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC Last week I already indicated in my analysis of btc that an imbalance had to be filled on the 4h. In the meantime, it has been filled and we are trying to convert the previous resistance level into support, in other words, the bulls are trying with all their might to defend the 105k. If the bulls succeed in this, then in my view nothing will stand in the way of a run to the 115k. I still expect the bears to try to break through the level a few times and perhaps a double bottom will then arise, which is a good conformation for the way up. I will keep you informed. www.tradingview.com
BTCUSD | Head and Shoulders Pattern on 15m Chart Suggesting PoteBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe has formed a classic Head and Shoulders structure, a well-known pattern often associated with possible short-term trend reversals.
Key Details:
Pattern: Clear Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder formation.
Neckline Level: Around 107,437 – currently acting as a crucial support zone.
Trendline: Price has broken below a short-term rising trendline, confirming pattern completion.
Volume Analysis: Volume increased during the formation of the head, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Note: A confirmed close below 107,400 may attract further downside movement. Conversely, holding above this level could lead to consolidation or recovery.
This analysis is intended for educational purposes—please evaluate risk and confirm with your own strategy before taking any trade decisions.
BTCUSDT UP SIDE VIEW In resistance halt why if Market respect that level it will fall why market invite to retailer to sell their position here Market waiting for them is it trap yes exactly what am I saying it's a trap now our trade will activate when market breakout ok up side Seller so many sl Market wil hunt all sl.