The decisive day of major data (BTCUSD)Yesterday, it was mentioned that the expectation of continuing to buy after a retracement of 96k was completely correct. Followers also made good profits.
BTCUSD bulls are still strong. The retracement is mainly long trading, which needs to be paid attention to at present. 96k/95k are both good buying opportunities.
TP98K-100K
BITCOIN trade ideas
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave “C” is not yet completed and consists of five waves.
I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
?BTC Intraday LongsTechnical analysis using ICT concepts.
A rally below the 12 am NY opening price to raid sell stops below previous day's Asian & London session.
CISD from a Bullish orderblock formed on Thursday NY am session.
Looking for Buy stops resting above Friday's highs.
* Note A 4hour BISI is below the reference range that could still be revisited.
Bitcoin is about to got Parabolic!Good Day, traders and investors,
You read that right, bitcoin is about to go parabolic!
How can I say this? I'm strictly basing it on cycle analysis.
This is a 2 week chart of Bitcoins Entire History.
I have broken down into phases 1 & 2 and cycles. Both phases are very distinct and have their very different characteristics. The RSI also helps distinguish the differences between the two phases.
So, first off the picture in black is the genesis fractal overlayed the latest bull run since 2023. It does rhyme fairly well with this bull run and points to a parabolic top into June 2025.
The RSI in phase 1 Shows bearish divergence the entire cycle as the price rises over the bull run with lower highs. At the same time the lows get higher and contracts then explodes into the final parabola and a blow off top, that leads into a higher high in price and RSI. This is the phase that is quickly approaching us. In the genesis cycle this parabola lasted for 5 2 week bars which is up to 10 weeks. In the phase 1 of the 2nd cycle it lasted for 6 2 week bars that converts up to 12 weeks. This could lead to the parabolic top into mid to late June. This is the phase is circled in the chart.
If June seems like an unlikely place to top for you, I say that it has once previously before, June of 2011.
The second phase although highlighted, I am not focusing on at the moment as it's irrelevant. The focus is Phase 1 and the RSI. Phase 2 is just there to show the difference and create some order in the chaos of the markets.
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BTCUSD Possible Move May 6th 2025🔻 BTC/USD – SHORT SIGNAL & ANALYSIS
📉 Signal:
Sell BTC/USD below 94,000 after a confirmed break and retest of the ascending trendline.
Target: 93,000 liquidity zone
Stop Loss: Above 94,400 (or structure high after retest)
Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2+
📊 Analysis:
Price has been in a descending channel, followed by a corrective structure forming higher lows.
Currently testing a rising trendline, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Clean liquidity pool rests around 93,000, likely to be targeted if structure breaks.
Expected flow:
Break below 94,000 trendline
Retest the trendline as resistance
Continuation to 93,000 demand/imbalance area
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
This setup aligns with bearish market structure and liquidity concepts. A breakdown from the trendline would confirm bearish intent, with 93,000 as the next logical draw on price.
BTCUSD Long Setup – Trading Within Ascending ChannelBitcoin is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 1-hour chart. Price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel and is showing signs of bullish continuation.
Entry: Around 94,400
Stop Loss: 94,250
Take Profit: 95,642
The price action shows a clear upward channel with consistently higher highs and higher lows. After the recent pullback, BTC respected the lower trendline support and formed a potential base for a new bullish leg.
Risk is well-contained below recent structure
As long as BTC remains inside the channel, upside potential remains valid
This is a simple trend-following setup with tight risk and clear upside structure.
BTCUSD – 5M Premium Zone Rejection | Short Setup Activated🧩 BTCUSD – 5-Minute Breakdown | May 4, 2025
The BoS has happened, but don’t let it fool you — price just entered the danger zone. This is where Smart Money loves to trap late longs and send price tumbling.
🧠 SMC Playbook:
🔨 BoS Identified: Minor bullish BoS after initial reaction from the previous low.
🟥 Supply Zone (Entry Area): 79%–100% retracement zone from the latest swing high to low.
🔄 Reversal Point: Entry just above the 79% zone (95,499–95,629).
🎯 Target: Weak Low = 95,200
🧼 Stop-Loss: Above 95,629 (structure invalidation)
📏 RR Ratio Potential: 1:3 to 1:4+
🔎 Narrative:
Price is engineered to grab liquidity before making the real move. The Strong High acts as protection — Smart Money is defending this area. Once the premium fills, we expect a clean breakdown back into the discount zone.
📊 Key Observations:
❌ Buyers are likely trapped.
📍OB tapped + Fibonacci 79–100% = High confluence.
💥 Expecting liquidity sweep → sharp sell-off.
⏰ Execution timeframe = M1/M5 confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, etc.)
📣 How to Trade It:
Monitor price action inside red zone (79–100%).
Wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, M1 CHoCH).
Short from ~95,500 with SL above 95,630.
TP at Weak Low → potential extension to 94,800 if momentum kicks in.
🧠 Chart Ninja Tip:
“Don’t chase price — trap it. Let price come to you and confirm. The premium zone is where trades go from good to god-tier.”
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’re watching this level too.
📈 Save this chart for your next sniper entry.
🔁 Share it with your SMC crew and ride the liquidity wave!
BTC/USD Analysis – Strong Demand Zone Breakout or Reversal Chart Timeframe: 15 Min
Indicators Used: LuxAlgo Supply & Demand, Visible Range Volume Profile
Current Price: $95,554
Support Zone: $95,631 - Key demand zone (highlighted in orange)
Resistance Levels: $96,786 and $97,727
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Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently sitting right at a high-volume demand zone ($95,631), which has acted as strong support recently. Price is testing this level aggressively.
Two possible scenarios are in play:
1. Bullish Reversal:
If bulls defend this zone, we could see a bounce back toward $96,786, and possibly a retest of the $97,727 supply zone. This area aligns with previous sell pressure and high volume, making it a solid take-profit zone for long scalpers.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A clean break and candle close below the orange demand zone may signal further downside, with the next logical support not shown on this chart (could be referenced in a follow-up post). Look for high-volume confirmation on the breakdown.
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Trade Idea:
Long Entry: On bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or demand hold at $95,631)
Target 1: $96,786
Target 2: $97,727
Stop Loss: Below $95,400 (depending on risk tolerance)
Bias: Neutral – waiting for confirmation
Market Reaction: Watch how price behaves in the next 2-3 candles at this key zone.
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 96,975.97.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 99,781.42 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Summary of the Bitcoin Market This WeekThis week, the Bitcoin market showed a trend of steady increase and broke through the key resistance level.👉👉👉
Technically, the MACD indicator on the daily chart shows a strong bullish signal, and the price has also held above the key moving average, confirming the short - to medium - term upward trend. Overall, market sentiment is relatively optimistic, and investors' expectations for it to break through the psychological barrier of $100,000 have increased. However, when Bitcoin approaches the $98,000 level, it may form a short - term resistance, and as the price gets closer to the $100,000 mark, the overly optimistic market sentiment also increases the risk of a pullback.
The better than expected performance of the US job market has alleviated recession concerns, boosted the sentiment of risky assets, and provided support for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the signs of easing in US - China trade relations have had a positive impact on the global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
This week, the Bitcoin market has performed strongly driven by various factors. Both on-chain data and market indicators have shown positive signals. However, during the process of price increase, it's also necessary to pay attention to the potential risk of a pullback.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📉 Price is currently moving within a small ascending channel after rejecting the red zone (IFVG 1D), but this move might be a bear trap.
⚠️ A downside breakout is likely, aiming to sweep liquidity lower.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🔍 The market could drop toward the grey support zone (below $91,500) before a potential bullish recovery.
📅 Overall structure remains dependent on a key macro catalyst, particularly Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟥 IFVG 1D: Clean rejection from this zone, increasing selling pressure.
📉 Suspicious ascending channel: Often a corrective pattern before continuation downward.
🟩 FVG 1D below: A potential liquidity zone, likely to trigger a reaction if tested.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Favored bearish scenario:
Channel breakdown
Liquidity sweep
Retest of the grey support area (~$91,000)
📈 Bullish reaction possible afterwards, depending on how price behaves at support and macro conditions.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: Highly anticipated by the market.
💸 A rate cut could support BTC, but short-term uncertainty keeps pressure on price.
🔎 Until then, expect high volatility as the market seeks clarity.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Current price action suggests a bear trap with a likely liquidity grab to the downside.
📍 Key levels to watch:
Grey support zone (~$91,000)
Green FVG 1D (~$89,000)
Market reaction post-FOMC
⏳ Until the FED decision, the market remains fragile and liquidity-driven.
BTC/USD a bullish breakout with a trade target
Key observations:
1. Current Price: The current price of BTC is $100,528, up +3,474 USD (+3.58%).
2. Time Range: The chart spans from mid-March to early May 2025.
3. Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: The chart shows multiple moving averages:
Red (likely the 200-period MA)
Yellow, blue, and possibly other MAs (e.g., 50, 20 EMA/SMA)
These are being used to indicate trend direction and potential support/resistance.
4. Support & Resistance Levels:
Several horizontal lines mark previous support/resistance zones.
Price recently broke above a significant resistance near $99,296.
5. Trade Setup:
A long position appears to be placed, indicated by the green/red risk-reward box.
Entry seems to be near the breakout above $99,296.
Stop-loss is set just below the breakout, and the take-profit is much higher (target zone not clearly labeled).
6. Volume/News Icons: There are icons (lightning bolt and US flag), suggesting either news events or indicators relevant to the price movement.
Overall, the chart indicates a bullish breakout with a trade targeting further upside momentum above the $100,000 psychological level.
BTC Tests Key Resistance – Will $102K Give Way or Trigger a Drop⚔️📍 BTC Tests Key Resistance – Will $102K Give Way or Trigger a Drop? 💣📉
The BTC bulls have delivered 🔥 — pushing through the mid-channel resistance and now eyeing the psychological $100K milestone. This current structure remains extremely clean, moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-min chart.
🔹 Current structure highlights:
Midline support at $98,689
Lower boundary around $96,776
Resistance cluster at $100,001–$100,636
Key upside target: $102,774 (with a 60% confidence level)
Higher timeframe resistance potential: $113K
However, the market isn’t a one-way street. A breakdown below $97,400 shifts momentum bearish — triggering the 40% scenario where BTC could revisit the GETTEX:92K –$94K demand zone. 👀
🎯 This is a pivotal moment: Will BTC break and run to $102K+, or are we due for a cooling phase back toward macro support?
This chart is a playbook — stay tactical, stay sharp, and let structure lead the way. 📐⚡
Let’s see what the next 24–48 hours bring.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin Confirms Breakout — Bullish Trend Gains StrengthStair-Stepping Uptrend:
Bitcoin has confirmed a breakout above the critical $88,000–$90,000 resistance zone, forming a classic pattern of higher lows and higher highs. This technical structure signals a decisive shift in market sentiment.
Momentum Builds:
The breakout marks a clear resurgence in bullish momentum after months of consolidation following January’s highs. It suggests that the market is regaining strength and preparing for a sustained move upward.
Key Support Level:
As long as Bitcoin holds above $92,000, the bullish structure remains valid. This level now acts as a critical threshold for traders to manage risk and assess continuation.
Outlook:
With the trend now clearly favoring the bulls, Bitcoin is well-positioned for further upside in the near term. Continued strength could open the door to retesting previous all-time highs and potentially reaching new ones.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #CryptoMarket #SupportAndResistance #MarketUpdate #PriceAction
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100KThe current price of Bitcoin has soared all the way, breaking the 100,000 mark. Thumzup, a listed company on the US stock market, has announced its plan to raise up to $500 million for its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. Metaplanet, a listed company in Japan, has once again spent $53.4 million to increase its holdings of 555 Bitcoins. In addition, New Hampshire has become the first state in the United States to pass the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act, authorizing the state's treasurer to hold Bitcoins in a regulated reserve structure. This has led some local governments to regard Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset with long-term value. The Federal Reserve has announced that it will maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, which is in line with market expectations. Moreover, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes imply that interest rates may start to be cut in July, and the market has reacted optimistically to this, to a certain extent, driving up the prices of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
sell@101500-102000
TP:97500-98000
Bitcoin INSIDE SchemeFib channel config of uptrend fractal starting from 2020.
Testing QM principle of uncertainty of (upward and downward) spin of particle and relating it to the condition of the market where nobody can tell if the price goes up or down, thus we have similar setting of uncertainty with fib channels of upward and downward directions. Either way market goes, the price action will always react to the fib lines.
Hence, the levels where the fib lines cross produce set of probabilities. This will always be the backbone of my further works.
Scheme can be used to compare your targets and determine if they are justified by the laws of golden ratio.
Based on outcome of graph below:
Is growth over? What to expect next for Bitcoin ?In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Important support will be at 90k, the price may show a local rebound from the level before showing further decline within the correction
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
BTCUSD Short Setup Rejection from Major Resistance Targeting 89kThis BTC/USD chart shows a clear sell bias as the price repeatedly fails to break above a major resistance zone marked near the $95,500 level. Multiple rejections (highlighted with red arrows) indicate strong selling pressure. The suggested path shows a potential drop toward the 1st target around $91,530, and if momentum continues, further decline toward the 2nd target near $89,000, which aligns with a broader support zone.
Entry Zone:
Between $94,800 – $95,300 (inside the major resistance zone)
Stop-Loss (SL):
Just above the resistance zone, around
Take Profit Levels (TPs):
TP1: $93,200 – First minor support zone (lock partial profits, move SL to entry)
TP2: $91,500 – Key horizontal support (major reaction zone, good for larger partials)
TP3: $89,200 – Close to the lower support zone (final target for full exit)
This setup offers a solid Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3, depending on exact entry.