APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 213.58
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 208.03
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL trade ideas
AAPL Inside a Coil – Big Move Loading from the $200 Zone 🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment:
Apple (AAPL) is caught between tight gamma compression and heavy resistance.
The $205–$207 zone is packed with GEX9 and multiple Call Walls. This is the key ceiling that has rejected price repeatedly over the past week. On the other side, the Highest Positive Net GEX / Gamma Wall is just below at $202, acting as the current pivot level.
Support sits around $197.50, marked by the HVL zone and the lower end of GEX structure. Below that, $195 is protected by the 2nd PUT Wall — a critical gamma defense zone.
Implied Volatility Rank is 20.7, so options are still relatively cheap. Notably, we’re seeing a 5% PUT flow dominance, a subtle bearish tilt — not extreme, but worth watching.
🔧 Options Setup for Monday–Wednesday:
Bullish Scenario:
If AAPL clears $203.21 and holds, this opens up the play toward $204.98 (Gamma Ceiling), and potentially $207 if momentum builds.
You can consider a CALL debit spread, like 202.5c/205c or 205c/207c for July 3/5 expiry.
Stop out if price drops below $200.
Bearish Scenario:
If AAPL fails to hold $199.50 and breaks through $197.50 HVL, we may see a sharper unwind toward $195 or even $190 PUT wall zone.
Consider 200p or 197.5p for July 3 expiry.
Cut if price reclaims $202 with strength.
📉 1-Hour Chart Breakdown:
Price has been coiling in a symmetrical triangle just below the $203–$205 resistance supply zone. There’s a visible CHoCH just under structure, with multiple tap rejections from the overhead resistance.
The recent CHoCH printed after a bounce from minor demand, suggesting that sellers are still defending the top channel. Volume has been flat, but tightening price range signals an imminent breakout or breakdown.
As long as price remains pinned inside this triangle under the BOS and supply zone, this is a range-bound chop — not a trending setup yet.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$204.98 – Gamma ceiling and top of supply
$203.21 – Structure pivot, minor resistance
$201.17 – Local midpoint and breakout base
$199.50 – Demand edge, current support
$197.50 – HVL and gamma support zone
$195.00 – 2nd PUT Wall
$190.00 – Final gamma support if breakdown accelerates
✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan:
AAPL is one of the cleanest coil setups among the tech names heading into Monday. This type of structure doesn’t last long — expect expansion.
Wait for direction at open:
If we break $203.21 with volume, we ride toward $205–207 for a short-term gamma pop.
If price fails to break and loses $199.50, the fade to $197.50 or lower is likely.
This is not a time to anticipate — react to the move. Let the coil resolve and follow the breakout or breakdown.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence, trade with a plan, and manage your risk carefully.
Breaking out!The price breaks through the purple resistance and is preparing to start an upward movement.
A compression triangle formation is taking shape, with the lows resting on the underlying purple trendline.
At $203.3, the weekly 100-period simple moving average (SMA100, green line) is located. A close above this level would be an important confirmation of the bullish reversal.
Goes up to $220It is true that the trend is currently up and it is going to $210 and $220, but I expect it to react in these ranges and come down to $170.
But if you want to buy, it is better to wait for it to correct and come down to $170-180, then think about buying. It is too early to buy right now.
AAPL Significant Event NASDAQ:AAPL
1. Bullish Breakout :
In the daily chart bullish breakout has been seen. If the bullish momentum is strong, the price may follow the upward.
2. Target Price : Potential target price 214
3. Risk Factors:
A. Failure to breakout the resistance 206
B. Sideways trend may be started.
C. Broader market weakness or correction
D. False Breakouts
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Note :
If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your trading or investment decisions.
AAPL: Update - Key Levels to Watch for Price DevelopmentAAPL: Update - Key Levels to Watch for Price Development
Overall nothing changed and AAPL remains a valuable and strong structure
Apple's stock (AAPL) has been range-bound between $193 and $212.50 for the past two months, repeatedly testing support near $193 on three occasions.
Each time, the price has rebounded strongly, pushing back toward $212.50—the upper boundary of this trading range.
Given this pattern, the likelihood of another move toward $212.50 remains high.
If AAPL successfully breaches $212.50, it could signal a larger bullish breakout, with upside targets at $224.50 and $240, as highlighted in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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$AAPL In ConsolidationNASDAQ:AAPL is consolidating here in a wedging pattern. I do not know which way this will resolve. But, since I rarely if ever short, I am looking on the long side of a trade. The thing I like about a consolidation pattern like this is, you know when you are wrong very quickly. My plan is to take a ¼ size long position if / when it moves above the 50 DMA (red) with a stop just below the most recent low (which would also correspond to dropping below the lower wedging trendline.
Then if it can break out over the upper downtrend line, I will look to build out my position. I thought this would be a good one to put on your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own so that it fits within your trading plan.
AAPLApple shares trade in a consolidation zone after solid Q2 results—revenue at $95.4B (+5%), record services growth, and strong margins despite tariff headwinds.
Technically , indicators lean bullish, but resistance near $202–204 poses a short-term barrier. Market reaction to WWDC AI updates and further supply‑chain diversification will be key. On dips toward $196, there’s room for selective buying; if $204–214 breaks decisively, upside toward $235 could unfold . However, the lack of clear AI revenue guidance warrants caution, aligning with Needham’s cautious stance.
AAPL Options Sentiment (GEX) – Gamma Exposure Analysis* Gamma Wall / Call Resistance is forming between 213.55 – 216.23, aligning with major GEX levels (GEX7/8) and 2nd/3rd Call Walls. That area is a potential profit-taking zone or rejection spot for bulls if tested again.
* High Volume Level (HVL) at 202.5 is marked with strong support (from the green tag), meaning sellers must break below that level with force for a bearish continuation.
* Below that, we have layered PUT support walls at 200 and 195, reinforcing 198–202 as a major demand zone.
* Current IVR: 27.6, IVx avg: 31.4 — fairly low, suggesting neutral-to-slightly-bearish premium pricing.
* PUTs 3% weighted dominance also implies defensive positioning, but not aggressively bearish.
🔍 Options Insight:
If price stays under 213 and fails to reclaim 212.55–213.55 zone, the bias is toward a grind back toward 205–202.5.
Watch for volatility around July 11 expiration — if 202.5 fails, 200 strike puts may surge.
📈 Potential Options Trade Setup:
* Bearish setup (if rejection confirmed below 213):
* Entry: Near 212.5
* Target: 202.5
* PUT: July 12 or 19 $205P or $202.5P
* Bullish recovery scenario:
* Entry: Above 213.55 with strength
* Target: 216+
* CALL: July 12 $215C for short-term squeeze play
AAPL 1-Hour Chart – Price Action & Structure
* Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above 212.55 but was not sustained.
* Price is now pulling back from the mid-supply zone (purple box) and is attempting to hold above 209 support.
* Trendline support broken, and now retesting from below — suggesting a weakening trend unless 213 is reclaimed quickly.
* Major support at 199.26 aligns with a previous CHoCH zone, forming a clean demand zone.
* Volume is fading slightly on this decline, but there’s no strong absorption yet.
🧠 Intraday Bias Suggestion:
If AAPL can't reclaim 212.5–213 on bounce, the market may pull toward the HVL zone (205–202.5).
However, if we get a reclaim of 213.5 with volume, the trendline flip becomes bullish again — target 215–216.
Summary Recommendations
* For Options Traders:
* Favor PUT debit spreads or single directional PUTs if price stays below 212.5.
* Avoid naked CALLs until a break above 213.5 confirms strength.
* IV is low — good time to buy premium, not sell it.
* For Stock Traders (Intraday or Swing):
* Consider shorting pops into 213 with stop above 215.
* Look for long entries near 202.5–200 with tight stops if structure holds.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
Apple Stock in 10 years perspective: Stability or New Heights?The future of Apple stock remains a hot topic among investors and analysts. For today’s July, the company’s market capitalization has climbed to $3 trillion, up from $2.9 trillion (a year ago, on May 2024). But can this tech giant continue to deliver significant returns for shareholders over the next decade? Let’s take a quick look on it.
AI’s Take on the Future
Recently, ChatGPT highlighted Apple NASDAQ:AAPL as a top contender among stocks poised to generate substantial wealth by 2035, outranking peers like Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA . The prediction has sparked curiosity, but what do real-world experts think?
Analyst Perspectives: Strengths and Challenges
Opinions on Apple’s outlook vary. On one hand, the company boasts a robust financial foundation, steady revenue from subscriptions, and substantial cash reserves. On the other hand, some analysts argue that its current share price is overstretched. Apple’s forward P/E ratio—based on projected earnings for the next 12 months—stands at 27, compared to the S&P 500’s near 22, suggesting investors are paying a premium for future growth.
Additionally, Apple faces mounting competition and regulatory pressures. The key question is whether it can maintain its edge in a fast-evolving tech industry.
Services and Devices
In recent years, Apple has leaned heavily into services like subscriptions and digital platforms, delivering high-margin and recurring revenue. Yet, its core business still hinges on device sales, particularly the well-known iPhone. Without groundbreaking new products, the company risks getting stuck in a cycle of incremental updates, potentially slowing its growth trajectory.
Financial Resilience
Despite these challenges, Apple’s financial metrics remain impressive. Its market cap has risen to $3 trillion, and it continues to generate significant free cash flow. The company also offers modest dividends, making it attractive for those people, who prefer and seek stable returns.
What to Expect from Apple by 2035?
Apple stands as one of the most dependable long-term investments, but we shouldn’t expect the explosive growth, just like it was at their early years. Of course iconic brand, loyal customer base, and adaptability— is a strong side and support its stability. But the high share price, competitive pressures, and reliance on certain hardware components may limit and slow down its upside.
Can Apple make you wealthy by 2035? It depends on your goals, risk tolerance and the size of your investment. For those seeking stability and modest gains, Apple is a solid pick. But if you’re chasing rapid wealth, you might need to look elsewhere for higher-risk opportunities.
Apple: Next Week’s Long Trade Opportunity with Upside PotentialCurrent Price: $213.55
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $225
- T2 = $240
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $210
- S2 = $200
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple.
**Key Insights:**
Apple continues to lead the technology sector with sustained bullish momentum. Strong seasonal trends averaging 13.4% gains during July and August further underscore its upside potential. AI-driven product developments and its role in mega-cap leadership positions it for ongoing strength, though near-term overextension risks persist.
**Recent Performance:**
Apple gained 6% last week, spotlighting its dominance among mega-cap stocks as a leader of the broader tech rally. While the "Magnificent 7" stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla, showed mixed signals, Apple has preserved relative strength and upward momentum.
**Expert Analysis:**
Portfolio managers have expressed confidence in Apple as part of the "big three" tech stocks, favoring its innovation and operational strategies despite valuation concerns. The mixed sentiment, with mentions of potential put activity, suggests cautious optimism, but its breakout above $213 highlights stronger short-term opportunities.
**News Impact:**
Apple’s AI initiatives, such as outsourcing Siri's development, contribute positively to market sentiment. Additionally, anticipation of earnings season strength in late July adds weight to bullish strategies. As mega-cap stocks maintain leadership, Apple’s pivot into AI-driven innovation reinforces its critical role in technological advancement.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on robust performance trends, seasonal advantages, and a supportive macro backdrop, a LONG position on Apple offers strong upside potential with defined risk parameters.
AAPL - Weekly HV/IV PerspectiveGood evening —
I wanted to do one more write up with that being on NASDAQ:AAPL as we enter the week with futures just opening.
HV10 (16.58%) is trending -11.56% below IV (28.14%) showing a weekly price gap differential of -$2.89 on the stated implied move to what trending markets are doing. This current IV value entering the week sits 69% within the sliding year spectrum.
Now, with Apple consolidating in range for almost eight weeks after selling off when it reached its 4T milestone in December of 2024, has now begun advancing back upwards in price. The strength here is obvious and the quality of company is well, Apple.
My price targets on the week is first the upper band of stated IV ($220.58) then moving on towards the upper implied range of HV63 ($225.87). I believe the markets are going to push apple higher while balancing the indices out selling off in other areas. This would start to accelerate HV10, as it is now 91.23% coiled to its yearly lows and needs to unwind. Hopefully with a few short-term trending days increasing we find our regression.
Please come back next week and see how our position and volatility progressed forward.
$AAPL On The Run? NASDAQ:AAPL breaking out of the stage 1 and entering a stage 2 breakout back to prior support and resistance zones.
RSI is a little hot at 67.52 so it may trade sideways to allow a cooling off phase before grinding higher to reach its value. News is that it is investing in the USA.
Stop loss would be a trailing stop loss of $4.48.
AAPL LONG 05/07/2025Price has been moving inside a multi-year bullish tunnel, price has also broken a minor resistance level of 207$ with a nice bullish engulfing candle with some increase in volume on the last few daily candles.
Analysis HTF - Weekly
execution LTF - Weekly
Candle pattern - Bullish engulfing
Acceleration - Check
Volume - Check
Structure - Check
Moving average - X
Base rate - 70%(to hit stop loss)/30% to succeed
With the acceleration, volume pattern and strong multi year structure I suggest a base rate of 55%/45%(to succeed)
Good luck