AAPL Bullish Reversal – Is the Rally Just Starting?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook
📌 Current Price: $216.15
📌 Trend: Bullish Reversal with Smart Money Confirmation
📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour
Price Action & Market Structure
1. Bullish Breakout Confirmed – AAPL has broken above trendline resistance, confirming a shift in sentiment.
2. BOS Validation – The break above $215 confirms buyers stepping in aggressively.
3. Retest Zone Possible – Price may pull back to $215–$213 before continuing higher.
4. MACD & Stoch RSI – Showing strong momentum, but nearing overbought territory, meaning potential consolidation before continuation.
Key Levels to Watch
📍 Immediate Resistance:
🔹 $217.50 – 53% CALL Resistance
🔹 $220 – 3rd CALL Wall Target
🔹 $222.50 – Highest CALL Target
📍 Immediate Support:
🔻 $215 – BOS Retest Zone
🔻 $210 – Highest Negative NETGEX / PUT Support
🔻 $208.42 – Critical Demand Zone
Options Flow & GEX Sentiment
* IVR: 52.3 (Moderate Implied Volatility)
* IVx: 32.4 (-3.28%) (Declining volatility, favoring breakouts)
* GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bullish Shift Detected
* CALL Walls: $217.50, $220, $222.50 (Upside targets)
* PUT Walls: $210 & $208 (Demand zones)
📌 Options Insight:
* Above $217.50, expect a gamma-driven move toward $220+ if momentum sustains.
* Below $215, risk increases for a retest of $210 before bouncing back.
My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation
🚀 Bullish Case: If AAPL holds above $215, expect a continuation to $220–$222.50.
⚠️ Bearish Case: If AAPL breaks below $215, expect a retest of $210–$208 before another move higher.
Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes)
📌 Bullish Play:
🔹 Entry: Retest of $215 support
🔹 Target: $220–$222.50
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $213
📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea):
🔻 Entry: Rejection at $217.50
🔻 Target: $210 PUT Wall
🔻 Stop Loss: Above $218
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Final Thoughts
AAPL has confirmed a bullish structure, but $215 needs to hold as support for the next leg higher. A breakout above $217.50 would confirm a move to $220+, while failure to hold could lead to a pullback before resuming upward. Watch for a BOS retest for optimal entries.
