abnb ideaidea about air bnb stock
there is bullish idea about air bnb stock that we will find in the next few days
either bullish or bearish
we can wait and see what can we do in the next few days
ABNB trade ideas
$ABNB sliding moat; slumpy housing market + recession incoming- NASDAQ:ABNB has a sliding moat problem
- slumpy housing market + recession incoming should lead to compressed multiple
- NASDAQ:ABNB used to be wall street poster child and commanded premium multiple but that moat is no longer here.
- NASDAQ:BKNG is the OG of travel booking.
- NASDAQ:ABNB is useful only when you are travelling in a big group where booking rooms in a hotel becomes expensive.
- Nothing unique about NASDAQ:ABNB , Verbo offers same thing and many hotel aggregator has started showing individual properties owned by owner.
- Regulation in cities in favour of long term tenants is welcomed as it will help in easing inflation for rental units which is always sticky.
- Technicals looks like a wedge which should break to the downside. Ideally, NASDAQ:ABNB should trade below $85 to look compelling investment.
- Otherwise avoid this stock
ABNB, ready for its next leg? Airbnb’s 50% fibonacci retracement coincides with the middle price of the previous year. Therefore, if we observe a significant increase above 144.81, it would make sense to consider taking a long position.
Airbnb Weekly Update (03/02/2025) - Inverse Head and ShouldersThe chart for Airbnb (ABNB) on the weekly timeframe suggests a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Formation:
The chart clearly outlines a left shoulder, head, and right shoulder pattern. This structure often signals a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
The neckline (blue resistance line) has been tested multiple times, indicating its significance. A confirmed breakout above this level could lead to further upside momentum.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes during the formation of the right shoulder suggest increasing interest from buyers. If volume increases during a breakout above the neckline, it would confirm the bullish bias.
RSI Momentum:
The RSI is currently around neutral levels (50.78), suggesting there’s room for upward movement before hitting overbought conditions. This supports the potential for further gains if momentum builds.
Ichimoku Cloud Support:
The price appears to be consolidating above the Ichimoku cloud, which often acts as dynamic support in an uptrend.
Upside Target:
If the breakout occurs, the measured move target can be calculated by adding the height of the head to the breakout point. This would project a potential target near $175–$180.
Airbnb Looking to RunAirbnb looks poised to run to $250. This company has very seasonal revenue so don't expect much for q1, but ABNB being in the INDS index, which is currently consolidating for it's bull run, means ABNB is likely to finally have it's day.
Good luck!
Research: Could Price Levels Be Predefined?Basis:
RESEARCH
Analyzing directional support and resistance through Fibonacci channels provides a systematic approach to understanding historical price movements and their impact on current market trends. Fibonacci ratios have long been essential in technical analysis, helping traders identify pivotal price levels where momentum shifts frequently occur. This research focuses on applying Fibonacci channels to ABNB, plotting major swing highs and lows to establish price zones based on key ratios (0.236, 0.382, etc.). By aligning past market behavior with these channels, we pinpoint critical support and resistance levels, assessing whether the current price aligns with historically relevant zones. The presence of a symmetrical triangle pattern underscores significant turning points where price action has consistently reacted. Meanwhile, integrating Fibonacci channels further illustrates how structured price movements adhere to these predefined levels, reinforcing their reliability. This methodology not only contextualizes current trends but also enhances forecasting accuracy.
$ABNB with a bearish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bearish outlook for NASDAQ:ABNB after a positive under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A .
AIRBNB’S Q4 2024—$ABNB SOARS WITH RECORD GROWTHAIRBNB’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:ABNB SOARS WITH RECORD GROWTH
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Airbnb’s Q4 2024 earnings dropped—$2.5B revenue, up 12% YoY, topping $2.42B estimates 📈🔥. Nights booked hit 111M, and a $14% stock surge shows the market’s love. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:ABNB ’s big win! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS
• Q4 Revenue: $2.5B, +12% YoY ($2.2B Q4 ‘23) 💥
• Net Income: $461M vs. -$349M loss last year
• EPS: $0.73, beats $0.61 est. 📊
• Adj. EBITDA: $765M, +4% YoY, 30.8% margin
• GBV: $17.6B, +13% YoY
Travel demand’s fueling the fire!
(3/9) – KEY HIGHLIGHTS
• Stock Surge: +14% post-earnings (Feb 14) 🌍
• Buybacks: $838M in Q4, $3.4B for 2024 🚗
• New Ventures: $200-250M investment in travel services for May ‘25 ✅
NASDAQ:ABNB ’s betting big on growth beyond stays!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: ~$102B, Stock: $161.2 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 48.87 vs. BKNG (23), EXPE (15)
• Outperforms: 12% revenue growth beats BKNG (6%), EXPE (2%)
Premium valuation, but $4.5B free cash flow says it’s earned!
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Economy: Retail sales dip hints travel cuts 📉
• Regs: NYC bans, Barcelona threats loom 🏛️
• Competition: BKNG, EXPE, hotels fight back ⚔️
• Costs: $200-250M spend may squeeze Q1 margins ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Growth: 12% revenue, $461M profit shines 🌟
• Cash: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B net, $4.5B FCF powers buybacks 🔍
• Tech: 535+ upgrades boost scale 🚦
NASDAQ:ABNB ’s a travel titan with muscle!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: High P/E (48.87), Q1 margin dip 💸
• Opportunities: New services ( SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + potential), LatAm/Asia boom 🌍
Can NASDAQ:ABNB turn expansion into gold?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:ABNB ’s Q4 rocks—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—Growth keeps climbing.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation caps it.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Airbnb’s Q4 dazzles—$2.5B revenue, stock soaring, new bets in play 🌍. Premium P/E vs. peers, but growth screams value. Risks lurk—regs, economy. Gem or peak?
ABNB time nowAfter a lot of waiting, it has momentum now.
I'm not trading this, I don't have patience for this crappy price action.
ABNB Back On My RadarA strong reaction to ABNB earnings put this ticker back on the map for me. Now lets see how it plays out.
Short term bullish momentum: We could see this week, (especially if the NASDAQ and S&P break through to ATHs), this continue up toward 169 before digesting some. If it does this, the retest could be at 161-163, the top of the breakout candle body or wick, or a bit further to the top of the gap at 157. Gap up to go up? Possibly.
Bullish after retest: If this retests just to the 155-157 area, I would deem this as a sign of strength, honoring the gap up without filling it.
Deeper pullback: A breakdown to 148 wouldn't invalidate this as a long position, but I'd want to see it hold up at that level. Otherwise it's back off my list.
As a short term rental owner, the fees have been forever climbing for me and my guests. So if I could get a good chunk back from a couple of plays on this name, I'd feel satisfied lol!
$ABNB going up on hopium; Fair value $100-120- NASDAQ:ABNB gave hopium of investing in different business for next 5 years which could grow into a billion dollars.
- Investors should not fall for hopium. Execution remains a challenge and money spent on that bet remains unseen and just a wild dream as of now.
- EPS growth of NASDAQ:ABNB is almost flat for next 2-3 years.
- Hotel industry has caught up to $ABNB. There's no USP ( unique selling point ) of $ABNB. Verbo offers exactly the same thing which NASDAQ:ABNB does.
- Tons of listing have cannibalized net revenue for the host.
- Short term rentals have caused havoc in the rental market for the long term tenants.
Fundamentals wise:
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 4.37 | 5.05 | 5.99 | 7.37
EPS growth % | 9.89% | 15.65% | 18.68% | 22.94%
For a company growing eps mid to high teens deserves a fair forward multiple of 20.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Stock price w p/e 20 | $87 | $101 | $119 | $147
However, many investors would be okay paying 25 times for a company with strong brand so.
Stock price w p/e 25 | $109 | $126 | $149 | $184
Bull Case:
Stock price w p/e 30 | $131 | $151 | $179 | $221
Recommendation:
Staying on the sidelines and waiting for the stock to disappoint and buy it close to instrinsic value represented by fundamentals
easy play on ABNBanother easy play, just for fun, on ABNB, how i said in the minds, EASY MONEY.
just follow the chart guys!
Incoming 50% collapse to $70 for AirBnb“Airbnb a tech company and its founder and CEO Brian Chesky isn't shy about that.”
source: hotelsmag.com
It’s an online letting agent!
A $86 billion one at that. Feels like WeWork Déjà vu all all over again. A landlord with a cool name and a website now becomes a tech company.
AirBnb was always on my list for accommodation searches when travelling. Today a hotel is almost always my first choice, even if that is for a stay of up to 10 days.
What changed?
1) Affordability. I draw the line when the cost of a mediocre “key-code” to enter AirBnb accommodation matches that of a 4 or 5 star hotel. I don’t know what hosts are thinking. One possibility is servicing overstretched mortgage costs.
2) Gentrification. Affordable housing has been swallowed up by landlords as they exchange from longterm to short term holiday lets in the pursuit of more money. The landlords can’t be blamed when interest rates have been so low, but the effect on city centres is evident. One city centre I visited a few months ago, the whole townhouse was AirBnb’d divided into several units. Depressing.
I think we’re now on the verge of a swell of those Landlords selling up as it becomes clearer with each month there are easier ways to make money whilst not holding onto an overpriced asset.
If I’m correct, the selling pressure will ultimately impact the business model, charging overpricd fees. Speaking of fees..
3) Cleaning fees. Don’t get me started.
Imagine checking out of a hotel “And your cleaning fee...”
The technical analysis
On the above weekly chart:
1) Price action and RSI support breakouts have printed.
2) Broken market structure. This is a perfect technical example of broken market structure confirming resistance from the last higher low. A trend reversal is now confirmed.
3) The Bear flag has confirmed. Past support confirms as strong rejection. Price action is forecast to strike $70
Is it possible price action continues to print upwards and onwards? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
ABNB Airbnb Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ABNB:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABNB Airbnb prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $20.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$ABNB Airbnb Inc - Support Test Key Support cluster tested once again today,
earnings to come on Thursday AH's and still below Its IPO Price range-
Those IPO Levels will be relevant in the event of a rally- take note - 📝
- $141.25/$144.71 /$46.00🎯
Doesn't look good going into earningsA rising wedge is forming and many analysts have been dropping the price target. If this plays out, $123 will be tested.
ABNB: Swinging accumulation on down channel rangeABNB: Swinging accumulation on down channel range
-ABCD pattern.
-Key level and demand zone support.
-Less supply volumes at the end of the accumulation range.
Upon breaking out of hard resisstence at 131.88, ABNB will fly!
$ABNB one more chart, D zoomed out, H&S patternI posted two charts from my phone over the weekend. I really like this for a short going into earnings and months to come. $110 then $100 is what I am looking for. Head and shoulders in my eyes.
WSL
And Bearish on AirBNB. ABNBA very suggestive constellation of factors here adding to the supposition of a harmonic triple drive forming. You can look at the candlestick cross of indicator lines, as well as stochastics and volatility data below. There is certainly confirmation of correction over the previous rally. Downward volume is dominating. Overall, this is a highly suggestive picture.
$ABNB $110 target; head and shoulders forming 1MAlmost a beautiful looking head and shoulders forming here on $ABNB. Honestly, as I sit here now, will the Los Angeles wildfires have any effect on NASDAQ:ABNB negatively or positively? Will hotels get a boost? Let’s think about how many Air BNB’s got burned away in the Hills? Interesting. I don’t have any beliefs in NASDAQ:ABNB $110 is the target and looking at April 17th. Also another revelation occurring.. Robinhood has April 17th as an expiration date but that’s a Thursday. What is going on?
WSL
$ABNB back to room service; $100 Downside trend. Just don’t believe in the company. I like $110 then $100. Earnings soon and could negate due to the unpredictable nature of this business.
WSL
ABNB bull or bearI am neutral on ABNB. bull thesis is triggered with price above volume shelf and upper AVWAP. Bear thesis triggered if price drops below lower AVWAP.
Why AIrBNB might be the company to watch in 2025Hello,
we see an opportunity for investors to buy Airbnb at the bottom. In this video we go a step further and try and explain why.
While the company's long-term prospects remain strong, short-term headwinds are likely to keep its stock price under pressure. As the travel industry gradually normalizes post-COVID, we anticipate minimal demand erosion for alternative accommodations from ABNB's existing customer base. However, the company's share growth in urban markets continues to lag behind its gains in non-urban regions in recent years, presenting a potential growth opportunity moving forward. In the near term, I anticipate AirBNB's share price will
continue its pullback to around USD 100. However, over the longer term, the company is expected to remain resilient, with an initial price target of USD 170 and a longer-term target of USD 220.88.
All the best & goodluck
