AMD trade ideas
"AMD at a Crossroad: Order Block Pressure vs Buyer Strength"
🔍 AMD Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis – From 15m to Daily Confirmation
✅ 4H Timeframe – Bullish but Near Completion
On the 4-hour chart, AMD has shown a strong uptrend, with clear reaccumulation zones on both AO and RSI.
However, price is now approaching a Cloud Zone, suggesting the 4H structure is likely nearing completion.
Despite this, momentum remains strong—RSI is above 50 and AO is still in green territory → buyers are not exhausted yet.
🔁 Cross-Check with 15-Minute Chart: Is the 4H Reversing?
To validate a possible 4H reversal, we move to the 15-minute chart.
Here, price action is currently in a sideways bullish structure, and the Confirmation Trigger (ChoCH) has not been broken to the downside.
This tells us:
🔹 No major bearish reversal yet
🔹 Market is consolidating, likely preparing for a decision.
🔍 Daily Timeframe – Still Bullish, But Facing Volume-Based Resistance
On the daily chart:
AMD is clearly bullish and in a reaccumulation phase.
But it is now confronting a major order block, aligned with volume-based resistance, right at the Confirmation ChoCH level of the daily chart.
⚠️ Key Trigger Zones to Watch:
📈 If price holds above the daily Confirmation Zone (~$109) → the bullish trend continues.
🤔 If price stays below this zone → expect continued sideways action.
🔻 If price breaks below $99 → this may trigger a full bearish shift, opening the door to further downside momentum.
✅ Final Outlook:
4H trend is nearing exhaustion but not yet broken.
15m chart is still bullish-sideways → no confirmed reversal yet.
Daily trend remains bullish but order block pressure is real.
💡 Use ChoCH Confirmations + AO/RSI alignment on 15m and 4H to validate your entries.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Trend Reversal + AI Compute DemandOverview Summary
Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD is testing a structurally critical support zone following a prolonged correction from all-time highs. While short-term price action reflects macro uncertainty, long-term positioning across AI, data centers, and gaming chips sets AMD up for an asymmetric risk/reward play—especially as we head into a new semiconductor investment super-cycle.
Key Drivers of the Thesis
Fundamentals & Financial Positioning
Revenue: $22.7B (TTM), down YoY due to cyclical headwinds in PC and gaming sectors.
Gross Margin: Healthy at 47%, reflecting resilience in high-margin data center and embedded segments.
Cash & Liquidity: $5.8B in cash with manageable debt, giving AMD dry powder to continue R\&D and M\&A without over-leveraging.
Valuation: P/E 39, slightly elevated, but forward P/E compresses into the 20s on 2025 estimates as AI revenue kicks in.
Guidance: Focused on high-growth verticals—AI, HPC (high-performance computing), and adaptive SoCs.
Industry & Competitive Landscape
Tailwinds: Global AI boom, sovereign chip independence (U.S. Chips Act), hyper-scaled demand.
Competition: NVIDIA dominates GPU/AI inference, but AMD’s MI300X (AI accelerator) has gained traction with Microsoft and Meta.
Moat: Advanced chip architecture (Zen 5 roadmap), Xilinx acquisition, and new FPGA/AI product launches.
Risk: Intel rebounds, and Arm-based chip innovation is catching up. However, AMD remains competitively priced and positioned between Intel (volume) and NVIDIA (premium AI).
Trade Setup (If Support Holds)
Entry Zone: $90.00–$100.00
Target 1: $150.00
Target 2: $220.00
Invalidation: Weekly Close Below $80.00
Technical Analysis (Refer to Chart)
Long-Term Channel: AMD is currently bouncing from the lower trend-line of a multi-year ascending channel.
Demand Zones: Strong confluence around $80–$94 (historical support + psychological + FVG fill zone).
Volume Profile: Heavy accumulation volume around $90–100—likely smart money positioning.
Forecast Path: If this zone holds, AMD could revisit prior highs ($150), with $180–200 as a mid-term target and long-term possibility towards $250+ with broader tech rally continuation.
Market Sentiment & Macro Factors
U.S. Interest Rates: Peak rate environment could signal risk-on appetite ahead, benefitting tech.
AI Capital Flows: Institutional investors are rotating into semiconductor enablers of AI infrastructure—AMD is a clear beneficiary.
Global Supply Chain Stability: Any future China–Taiwan tensions could raise AMD’s premium due to U.S.-based diversification.
Risks & Challenges to Monitor
AI revenue upside may already be partially priced in short term.
Fierce pricing pressure from NVIDIA, Intel’s foundry expansion, and custom silicon from Apple/Google.
Continued weakness in PC market segment may drag performance despite data center tailwinds.
Technical invalidation below $80 would suggest structure weakness or macro risk-off phase.
Final Take
AMD offers a fundamentally sound, technically discounted, and thematically aligned play for investors looking to gain exposure to AI, HPC, and the broader semiconductor growth thesis. With structurally significant support aligning with longer-term mega trends, this is a forward-thinking asymmetric setup with intelligent risk controls and multi-year upside potential.
AMD Earnings About To PrintTechnical Analysis NASDAQ:AMD
RSI: 🟡 Near overbought but showing strength
MACD: 🟢 Bullish crossover in progress
Support: $96.84 → $93.64 → $90.00
Resistance: $100.75 → $101.72 → $103.96
Key Level to Watch: $100.75 (immediate resistance)
💰 Earnings Play
🎯 Trade Signal: BUY
✅ Justification
Recent uptrend confirmed by bullish MACD crossover with price action above key short-term MAs. Strong momentum heading into earnings with positive sentiment from analysts.
⚠️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: $93.64 (-5.2%)
Expected Range: $93.64 to $103.96
Best AI Generated Signals.
Stay Alpha
Amd Break Above $104 Long To The MoonI Know A lot of people Dont Like AMD lol But it Might Just Be there< Ready To Breakout!!!
Earnings And If Spy Holds and runs This Forcast Is Very Well in The Books for it
📈 AlphaPulse Multi-Timeframe Forecast: NASDAQ:AMD
📍 Current Price: $100.59
🔍 Active Patterns: True S/R Zone, Channel Upside Breakout, Overbought Channel Position
🔀 Recent Crosses: Bullish 8/21 EMA Cross
🌐 Market Structure:
• Primary Trend: Mixed/Slightly Bearish
• Trading Bias: Bullish (49.2% confidence)
• Ideal Timeframe: weekly (Strength: 8)
🎯 Bullish Price Targets:
• Conservative: $113.15 (+12.48%)
• Primary Target: $125.70 (+24.97%)
• Aggressive: $138.26 (+37.45%)
• Expected Duration: 2-4 weeks
📊 Technical Position:
• Weekly: Consolidation
• Daily: Bearish Consolidation
• Intraday: Range Bound
🔑 Key Levels:
• Strong Support: $98.80
• Strong Resistance: $101.72
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:0.6
📈 Current Market Action:
• Weekly: Strong Downward Movement (-19.3%)
• Daily: Strong Upward Movement (+20.3%)
• 5min: Strong Upward Movement (+20.3%)
⚠️ Signal strength: 49.2% - 1 historical patterns analyzed
Safe Trades As Always
AMD – The Underdog Nobody’s Ready For (Yet).NASDAQ:AMD just cleared $104 after-hours and it's still wildly underestimated. While the world chases headlines, AlphaPulse signals are quietly lighting up on what could be one of the biggest tech runners of the summer.
📈 $115? Just the warm-up. Real upside is MUCH higher.
Why AMD Could Explode This Summer:
RSI (14): Steady at ~66 — momentum building, not overbought. Room to run.
MACD: Clean bullish crossover just confirmed on daily and weekly — early stage trend ignition.
Volume Profile: Huge void above $116 → $126 = fast move zone once we clear $115.
200D MA: Reclaimed with conviction — bull cycle reinstated.
Fib Extension: 1.618 points to $131–$135 range from previous pivot base.
Options Flow: Institutional sweeps hitting $120+ calls — whales are positioning.
AlphaPulse Squeeze Signal: Triggered on daily & 4H. Coiled tight → ready to detonate.
Underdog Setup: Nvidia hogs the spotlight, but AMD has lower float, better consolidation, and is lagging = catch-up potential.
AlphaPulse Bot Fired:
"💥 Coil Break: AMD $111.5"
"🚨 Summer Momentum Mode Activated"
"🎯 Upside Target Range = $115 → $131"
📍 Target #1: $115
📍 Target #2: $125
📍 Summer Target: $131+
🛡️ Stop Loss: $102.50
⏱️ Time Horizon: 1–6 weeks swing
As always safe Trades
$NVDA In, $AAPL Out – AI Supercycle May Be Just Starting🚨 JUST IN: NASDAQ:NVDA surpasses NASDAQ:AAPL to become the second-largest company in the world, right behind $MSFT.
And if that wasn’t enough:
Trump calls Nvidia’s Huang "my friend"
Hints that Nvidia replaces Apple as his go-to tech ally
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports Nvidia could ship 500,000 AI chips yearly to the UAE until 2027 under revised export rules.
Jensen Huang also confirmed Saudi Arabia is building massive GPU factories, describing them as “energy in, intelligence out” systems.
⚠️ The market may be waking up to the reality that AI is not as cyclical as many feared.
🔍 On the chart:
NASDAQ:NVDA broke to a higher high (HH)
NASDAQ:AMD testing lower high (LH) breakdown resistance
Could AMD follow Nvidia’s breakout? The setup is there.
AMD’s New Bullish Cycle is Shaping UpWhat Price Action Says About #AMD
AMD’s recent price action shows a shift in how the market is viewing the stock. After falling sharply since March 2024, it found a bottom at $74.48. The strong rebound above the key $93 support confirms that the worst may be behind. A +30% recovery from the lows suggests the stock has started to reverse direction.
But the move higher still faces a key test. The $105 level remains strong resistance and will need to be cleared to open up more upside. If the stock can break above it—or keep building solid support in the $88–$93 range—it could mark the start of a new bullish cycle.
In simple terms, the bottom is likely in. Now the focus is on whether AMD can build enough strength to start trending higher again. Watching how it behaves around $93 and $105 will give clues about the next big move.
AMD UpdatePrice has managed to slowly continue grinding higher towards the target box. I have no reason at this time to believe it won't make it into the target area. MACD is slowly building bearish divergence setting up a move lower in the near future.
The question is what comes after this move higher. Is it the minor A of intermediate (B), or is it just another wave 4 of C of (A)? Unfortunately, we won't know for some time, I think. The key details to answer this question will come during the next move lower.
Should we still be in (A), then we will be visiting the $60's during the next move lower. If we're in (B) already, then the $82-$95 area will be our target depending on how high this current move takes us. Patience my friends. This job takes patience. AMD, IMHO, just isn't a good investment currently. Is there money to be made? Absolutely, but at what risk? When the pattern becomes this muddy and iffy, I stay out on the sidelines. There are plenty of other avenues to trade. Currently, I am watching Coinbase and Tesla the most. Coinbase, if I am right, will have a BIG opportunity coming up in the next few weeks. I'm talking $100+ PER share. Why would I waste my time taking undue risks on a shaky pattern? If you use common sense, it is a no brainer.
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals (5-min & daily): Bullish momentum (price above EMAs, positive MACD, RSI not yet overbought) Sentiment: VIX moderate, upcoming earnings adds uncertainty, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $100 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $3.80 Profit Target: +25%; Stop-Loss: −50% Confidence: 65%
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Intraday slightly bearish, daily bullish Sentiment: Earnings risk, mixed signals, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (90% confidence)
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Short-term bullish but near resistance, daily MACD bullish Sentiment: Elevated IV, earnings event risk, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence) Trade: No trade
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Moderately bullish across timeframes (price above key EMAs, positive MACD) Sentiment: Earnings caution, max pain at $98 may cap downside, premium high Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $109 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $1.00 Confidence: 70%
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong daily bullish, 5-min approaching resistance Sentiment: Muted post-earnings move, max pain at $98, high IV Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (confidence <60%) Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Mixed signals between intraday and daily timeframes Elevated implied volatility around earnings Max pain at $98 may exert gravitational pull High open interest in both deep OTM puts ($90) and calls ($105–$110) Majority of models favor waiting until after earnings or see no clear edge
Disagreement
Grok and Llama see a moderately bullish setup and recommend buying calls ($100 and $109 strikes) Claude, DeepSeek, and Gemini advise no trade because of earnings event risk, mixed technicals, and expensive premiums Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Neutral/Unclear Recommended Trade: None – conflicting signals, earnings overhang, and rich weekly premiums make a high-confidence single-leg trade unlikely before post-earnings clarity.
Entry Timing: N/A (no trade) Confidence Level: 90% in the decision to sit out this week’s expiration Key Risks and Considerations:
Earnings announcement can cause large gap moves Weekly options premiums remain elevated, requiring outsized moves to break even Max pain at $98 may pressure price if post-earnings reaction is muted or negative
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null, "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-06 15:09:34 UTC-04:00" }
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Leap for AMD to the upside?OptionsMastery:
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Analysis and Implications of AMD Fluctuations & Crab PatternIn the previous idea, we moved along with the buyers and progressed up to a price of $227.
Then, with the crab pattern, the decline in Micro stock began, and this drop is expected to continue down to $52. Afterward, we will once again align with the buyers through the crab pattern.
Let's talk about buying, FOMO, time line ,etcTo put things in context, the time frame you are looking to LONG a stock is important. If you are trading, be it day trading or swing trade for a few months then the entry price becomes more important.
In this chart, we can see that the price action has yet to breakout from the bearish trend line which means that could be a retracement coming up OR it could continue to rally and break out from it. So, we wait and not anticipate the market moves.
Let not the fear of missing out pressure you into buying. WHY? Say I am right/lucky and the price did retrace to say somewhere 103.16 but your longed at 117. That is a paper loss that you need to stare at daily , perhaps more than once. Now, if you are crystal clear why you go LONG on this counter, then fine! Short term , the market is a casino and longer term, it is a weighing machine ( I dunno who said that)
Therefore, the pre-investment HOMEWORK becomes essential than the clicking BUY button which takes less than 30seconds to execute. Now you see why some brokers have near instantaneous funds transfer and not 2-3 working days. This pause or window period is much like you going shopping and was so adamant to get that new dress/device/shoes whatever it is. Then you realised you have to rush off to somewhere and reminded yourself to come back hours/days later.
During this cooling period, your mind starts to rationalise or justify the reasons for buying. Have you done enough research? Is there a better company to buy? Is the price right ? Will I need the cash for something else ? And that should be the way especially if you are a responsible family man with 1 wife and 2 kids to take care of.
IT is hard, trust me to not be attached to a company, actually is the perceived profits making opportunity rather than the actual company itself. Be it Amazon or Dazon, if the company generates 20% profits for you every year, you would be biased and stay close to finding out as much as possible to accelerate your profits again.
FOMO - one of the worst thing that can happen in investment or trading .But FOMO happens everywhere . See the upcoming Christmas Sale, closing down sale, buy 2 get 1 free, exclusive membership, etc . All these advertisements have the effect of FOMO on consumers and the majority falls for it , never mind if they have now move to ONLINE model to entice you since Social media is now the norm.
So, let's wait a while...........take a deep breath , no rush ...........