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AMZN trade ideas

Amazon - Give me another -10%...NASDAQ:AMZN did not create a sustainable all time high yet and might head lower short term. Click image above to see detailed analysis Short term counter-trend moves are always very welcome because they allow you to enter trading opportunities within a major higher timeframe trend. After Amazon actually broke above the previous all time high but immediately closed back below, we knew that this was a false breakout. If we get a short term move lower, we might get another textbook trading opportunity. Levels to watch: $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
12
Amazon.com May Be OverboughtAmazon.com has rebounded from a drop, but some traders may think the e-commerce giant will give back some of its recent gains. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $181.87 level. It was the low immediately before earnings came out and represented the approximate high last week. Has old support become new resistance? Second, Wall Street wasn’t thrilled with the quarterly numbers. (Revenue and guidance were light.) AMZN had its biggest drop since April 2022 as a result. That could make some buyers wait for retests. Next, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition. Fourth, this month’s low and last week’s high could be mapping out the early stages of a falling channel. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) could be getting stuck below the 21-day EMA. That’s a potentially bearish short-term trend signal. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TradeStation
Enhancing Trading Proficiency: Top Educational ResourcesEnhancing Trading Proficiency: Top Educational Resources Staying abreast of the ever-evolving market trends and honing trading techniques are critical aspects of becoming a successful trader. Luckily, a plethora of educational resources are readily available to aid traders in enhancing their skills and decision-making abilities. In this FXOpen article, we will discuss the best websites, books, online trading classes, and other information sources that can help traders succeed. The Best Educational Resources for Traders We recognise the importance of having a readily accessible knowledge base to find prompt answers to your trading queries. Below, we have curated a list of the most sought-after educational resources for traders, covering a diverse range of topics, from technical analysis to risk management. 1. Investopedia: A highly popular website that offers comprehensive learning materials suitable for traders at any experience level. Alongside trading, Investopedia delves into investing and personal finance, presenting a vast array of articles, tutorials, and videos. 2. TradingView: This social platform is a haven for traders, providing access to various trading tools, including charts of a wide range of financial instruments from different trading platforms, as well as technical analysis tools. Additionally, it hosts a vibrant community where traders can engage in discussions and share educational ideas. 3. ChartSchool: Specialising in technical analysis and charting, ChartSchool presents articles covering essential topics such as chart patterns, indicators, and other technical tools. If you harbour an interest in technical analysis, this resource furnishes all the necessary information to deepen your understanding of various instruments. At FXOpen, we regularly update our blog with market analysis and educational articles for traders with any level of experience. Top Trading Courses to Be Aware Of Corporate Finance Institute: an online education platform that offers courses on finance, accounting, and investment banking. It provides in-depth knowledge and practical skills for traders. CFI’s courses cover topics like financial modelling, valuation, risk management, and portfolio management. Babypips: a platform that provides one of the best stock trading courses for traders. Any online trading course from this platform for forex trading education will be of great help. Babypips offers a structured curriculum and interactive quizzes. Coursera: an education platform that offers great trading courses. The courses taught by industry experts focus on financial markets, trading strategies, and risk management. Coursera trading courses are flexible, and there’s the possibility of self-study. Udemy: an e-learning platform that allows instructors to create and publish online courses. With Udemy’s course development tools, instructors can upload various materials — videos, audio files, source code, and PDF files — to enhance their students’ learning experience. Websites That Publish Economic News In this section, we’ll explore the top websites that publish economic news and highlight their key features. Here is a list of them: - Financial Times: a renowned news outlet. With a team of journalists, the Financial Times provides analysis and commentary on the latest economic events and trends. In addition to informative articles, the site offers market data. - Fortune Magazine: a platform that publishes articles on business news and technology. The website features interviews with top executives and entrepreneurs and lists of top companies such as the Fortune 500. It’s a must-read for anyone looking to stay ahead in the world of business. - Forbes Economy Market News: a well-known business and finance publication. The website has a special economic news section with articles about global financial markets. The site also provides tools like market data, stock quotes, and investment information. - SEC Website: a website of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The SEC is dedicated to protecting investors, ensuring fair and efficient markets, and promoting capital formation. The SEC seeks to create a marketplace environment that is credible to the public. - Yahoo Finance: a resource that helps traders effectively manage their investments and stay abreast of the latest market trends and news. The site provides current news, portfolio management tools, international market data, and social interaction — all designed to help readers manage their financial lives with ease. Books by Famous Traders In addition to articles and courses, we decided to gather a list of books that will be interesting to traders: - The Market Wizards – Conversations with America’s Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager - The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham - Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John J. Murphy - The Psychology of Trading by Brett N. Steenbarger - How to Trade In Stocks by Jesse Livermore If you are ready to try your hand at the real market, you can open an FXOpen account and check out our TickTrader trading platform. Our blog will also help you make rational decisions when trading. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by FXOpen
1
AMZN - BEARISH(CRPT FINANCE)Below, I will provide a very detailed analysis of AMZN using corporate finance Discounted Cash Flow Models - "A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates the value of an investment by predicting its future cash flows and adjusting those amounts to their present value using a discount rate. Essentially, it calculates how much future money is worth in today’s terms and sums it up to determine the current value of the investment." Total Variance - "Total variance in finance reflects the overall risk of an investment, combining both systematic and unsystematic risk. Systematic risk, which affects all investments due to market-wide factors, cannot be eliminated through diversification. Unsystematic risk, specific to individual investments or sectors, can be reduced by diversifying a portfolio." I have applied various types of Cash Flow Models so to provide a very broad view as to where the price of AMZN will reside. I applied a DCF model using data that I believed should be altered, and one in which was barely altered. Below are my results: DCF: 86.016(Firm Valuation), 67.40(Equity Valuation) ECF: 86.016(Firm Valuation, 92.92(Equity Valuation) Unaltered DCF: -366.23(Firm Valuation), 2.55(Equity Valuation) Firm and Equity Valuation simply refer to how the figure is obtained. Firm refers to the valuation of the company as a whole, and equity refers to the value of equity alone. An Excess Cash Flow model(ECF) differs in that it focuses solely on cash flows available to equity holders, whilst a DCF uses cash flows to represent the whole firm. As you can see, the unaltered DCF represents very different valuations. A negative value and a very low equity valuation. The reason I believe this occurred was because the unaltered DCF used a lower Beta, different risk free rate, and the absolute Working Capital. My data reflected a higher beta(higher movement aligned with the market), higher risk free rate(which should lower valuations), and I smoothed out the Working Capital. I noticed that in the year of 2022, (-8,602,000) AMZN's working capital was negative by a large margin. I assumed this may be an outlier and was potentially safe to manually alter the data so to reflect a data figure closer to the mean(7434000000). Models will obviously hold bias to a degree, though if we are very conscious of such bias, I believe it is okay, as long as its within sound judgement. I believe such is the case because a higher beta and a higher risk free rate would only provide a larger discount rate allowing a fairly generous valuation. Total Variance Model - Covariance between stock and market returns: 0.00010 Variance of market returns: 0.00007 Beta: 1.53875 Variance of stock returns: 0.00043 Systematic Risk: 0.00016 Unsystematic Risk: 0.00027 Systematic Risk as a Percentage of Total Variance: 37.46% Unsystematic Risk as a Percentage of Total Variance: 62.54% Our systematic and unsystematic risk helps us understand the risk that we are exposed to. Our risk is greater exposed to the companies business decisions(Unsystematic Risk %).
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by ddcakez
AMZN - Weekly Bearish SignsNASDAQ:AMZN ’s recent price action suggests that the stock may be poised for a further decline. After reaching the top of the long-term channel, Amazon’s price has pulled back and is now facing renewed selling pressure. This technical setup aligns with broader market concerns, particularly in light of recent economic data. The rise in unemployment claims and disappointing PMI data signal growing economic uncertainty, which could weigh on consumer spending and, by extension, Amazon’s revenue. As the market digests this data, the technical weakness in Amazon’s chart could be a precursor to a more significant downturn, especially if economic conditions continue to deteriorate.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Sober_Trading
AMAZON Only a break above the 1D MA50 remains. $240 on sight.Amazon Inc. (AMZN) spent the previous 2 weeks on a very strong recovery of the losses sustained in July - August, in fact those have been the strongest 2-week candles since October 23 - 30 2023. That was the previous bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up on its Higher Lows trend-line. Even though the stock broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (May 2023), it managed to hold the long term Support of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). As this 1W chart shows, the Higher Lows of this pattern are periodic and cyclical and you can see that clearly with the use of the Sine Waves (also evident on the 1W RSI, the green circle bottoms below its MA). Every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) following such a Low (3 times) it approached the top of the Channel Up. The first Bullish Leg peaked at +79%, the second at +69%. If this is a progressive sequence, then the third (current) Bullish Leg could be -10% less than the last, i.e. +59%. As a result, the 1D MA50 (which applied high selling pressure this week), is the final Resistance and bullish break-out confirmation the price technically needs before it targets $240.00 (+59% rise). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by TradingShot
Trading Amazon’s Negative GapNegative gaps leave lasting scars on price charts, often forming formidable resistance levels upon retest. As Amazon approaches the critical area formed by its August 2nd gap, let's explore two strategies for navigating this retest. Understanding Amazon’s Negative Gap On August 2nd, Amazon’s share price experienced a significant negative gap, opening over 12% lower than the previous close. This drop was driven by the company’s disappointing earnings report, which highlighted slowing online sales growth and increased competition from low-cost retailers like Temu and Shein. Despite strong results in Amazon Web Services (AWS), the market’s reaction was swift, as investors grew concerned over consumer trends and competitive pressures. The negative gap left a distinct resistance zone on the chart, marked by the gap’s top, which now coincides with several key technical levels, including the VWAP anchored to July highs and a descending trendline connecting recent swing highs. Amazon (AMZN) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Trade Amazon's Negative Gap Traders can approach Amazon’s negative gap with two distinct strategies, depending on their risk tolerance and trading style: 1. Aggressive Approach: • Entry: Wait for the price to close the gap by reaching the resistance zone near the top of the gap. • Confirmation: Look for bearish price patterns to form on lower timeframes, such as a small double top or a bearish engulfing pattern on the hourly chart. • Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above the descending trendline and use a multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) to account for short-term volatility. • Target: The target for this trade would be a retest of the August lows, capitalizing on the potential rejection from the resistance zone. 2. Less Aggressive Approach: • Entry: Wait for a break and close below the ascending trendline that has formed during the recovery rally. • Confirmation: This would signal the formation of a new lower swing high, indicating a potential reversal. • Stop Loss: The stop loss can be placed above the newly formed swing high. • Target: Similar to the aggressive approach, the target would be a retest of the August lows. Conclusion Navigating Amazon's negative gap requires a careful assessment of the price action that forms around the confluent resistance zone created by the gap. Whether opting for an aggressive entry near the gap top or a more cautious approach following a trendline break, understanding the technical landscape and implementing risk management is crucial in executing a well-informed trade. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Capitalcom