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BABA/N trade ideas

Alibaba (BABA) Shares Drop Ahead of Earnings ReportAlibaba (BABA) Shares Drop Ahead of Earnings Report Tomorrow, on 15 November, Alibaba (BABA) will release its third-quarter 2024 earnings report. Analysts forecast a drop in earnings per share to $2.11 from $2.26 in the previous quarter. Ahead of the report, Alibaba's share price has shown a downward trend, with a decline of over 20% from its October high. This drop is attributed not only to the waning of the strong bullish momentum seen in the Chinese stock market in September but also to increased competition from Temu and Pinduoduo. However, JP Morgan analyst Alex Yao predicts that "Alibaba will stabilise its market share in the coming years," potentially supporting its position as China's largest supplier. A technical analysis of Alibaba’s (BABA) price chart reveals that: → this autumn, the stock price broke above a multi-year descending trend line (in red); → signs of support lines and pivot points suggest an emerging upward channel that could gain relevance in the long term following the breakout. It’s evident that near the breakout of the red trend line (around $88), there were fewer sellers than buyers, suggesting sustained demand could support a bullish reversal if the price dips below $90. According to TipRanks: → 15 of 18 analysts recommend buying BABA shares; → the average 12-month price target for BABA is $124.4. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
2
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide. On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending. But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday. Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020. The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China. In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month. In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China. In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020. Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based. Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
NYSE:BABA
by moonypto
2
BABA LongWe are already positioned in this at a lower price, however a new opportunity has presented itself after the recent price action. We have a rising three valleys pattern indicating accumulation after this perfect bullish Gartley. Along with this Baba is showing clear bullish divergence and is currently backtesting the $78 zone which has been a historical key level. Sizing up risk with a SL below the low gives us a great RR and plays the pattern. Good luck and we will update. Earnings are in over a month which gives the stock some time to move before.
NYSE:BABALong
by SynergyTradingSetups
5
Important buying level for Alibaba - 9988Yes, it is sad to see what a nice rally for the China an Hang Seng market only to see it tumbling back down day by day , week after week despite the recent 10 trillion measures to curb the local government debts and property market. Apparently , many analysts feel the CCP has not release sufficient stimulus to shore up the market and the tech stocks , very much undervalued compared to its counterparts in US are still being sold down. I will be watching this level closely as we are coming to the end of 2024 and the CCP is running out of time to hit its 5% GDP target and failure to shore up the consumer confidence, the stock market will remain sideways or slowly come down .......... On one hand, I am thinking the efforts and face saving of the Chinese government, will they give up half way now that the whole world is looking at them? Plus, President Trump has only 4 years to run and knowing he would not be re-elected thereafter, he is going to go all out to save America and create history for himself. CCP is now in a desperate situation much like the ants in a frying pan , it has to think of creative ways to boost the market or risk losing the confidence of its people, international investors further away........
HKEX:9988
by dchua1969
3
Alibaba’s Short-Term Moves: Navigating Trump’s Policies and ChinWith Trump back in office, we’re seeing renewed tension in U.S.-China trade relations. Trump’s team is expected to restrict certain Chinese goods, which could pressure Chinese markets in the short term. In response, China has hinted at ramping up its economic stimulus by 10-20%, cushioning companies like Alibaba. In the immediate term, Alibaba might see a dip toward $80 as markets adjust. However, if China rolls out its stimulus plans, we could see Alibaba push up to the $120 range. The holiday season might amplify these shifts, given higher retail demand. Bottom Line: Keep an eye on trade announcements and China’s next economic moves. Timing here is key, and these actions could make Alibaba one of the more interesting plays this season.
NYSE:BABALong
by Charts_M7M
Baba long swing trade For my Alibaba (BABA) trade, I’m targeting a gain of just over 5%, using the 15-minute chart to monitor short-term price action closely. I’ve worked out a confidence of 84.06% in this trade, which reflects my analysis and conviction. If the market turns against me, I’m prepared to double down, adjusting my position to take advantage of any potential reversal and manage the trade more effectively. This approach helps me stay flexible and increase my exposure strategically while managing risk.
NYSE:BABALong
by Crypto4Craig
1
Why I am accumulating this stock ? 9988To the many institutional and retail investors out of China, Alibaba is a well known made in China brand. Jack Ma is often seen giving speech in the western countries in the past and so naturally , retail investors are familiar with this company. I spoke about stickability before and brand recall is important when time is of essence. Like now, when all the rage in town now is talking about buying China stocks. Naturally, BAT (Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent) , three giant techs of China will be highly sought after much like the magnificent seven in US. Please DYODD
HKEX:9988Long
by dchua1969
2
Alibaba seems to be mimicking itself in the runup to Trump 2016This is just something I noticed the other day when NYSE:BABA took off ... how crisply its price action has lined up with the last election, and how the uptrend seemed to start just a tad early, almost like the market knew in advance Trump would win that election. This time, we've similarly put in a longer base, with a higher low, and also broken above 2 visible pivot highs once again. Why would this be a thing? IDK. And maybe it's not. It could lead to a head fake or something. I don't have a position on it yet, but I will be watching this retrace and looking for an entry I recognize, and meanwhile I thought it was interesting enough to share. -Josiah Easycators.com/RelVol X thread on NYSE:BABA analog: x.com
NYSE:BABALong
by easycators
1
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup Entry Price: $99.13 Stop Loss (SL): $97.32 Target Levels: TP1: $101.36 TP2: $104.96 TP3: $108.57 TP4: $110.80 Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China. Technical Indicators: Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias. Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity. Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4. Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
NYSE:BABALong
by ProfitsNinja
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions. What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal. The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
NYSE:BABAShort
by signalmastermind