$CCL Swing Trade AnalysisIn this post, I will be going in detail with regards to my view of $CCL from a technical perspective.
As of the time that I am writing this post, $CCL closed at $17.69 with a pre-market trading value of $17.75. Currently, I am bullish long-term on $CCL unless there are new developments that impact the fundamentals of the cruise industry negatively. I also have multiple entries on $CCL in which I averaged up to an average cost price of $16.02.
Technical Analysis
I believed that I have broken down the technical aspect of $CCL's chart quite clearly in the candlestick chart above, but just to add on a few things:
1. With regards to my price target, if an Ascending Triangle forms, I will take profit when $CCL breaks out towards the upside into the downtrend trading channel which I have drawn in the charts. From there, I may or may not re-enter a position. This will depend on how $CCL reacts to the channel.
2. With regards to my price target, if a Rising Wedge form, I will take profit when $CCL breaks out from the Rising Wedge towards the downside. However, because the downtrend that came before the Rising Wedge is a downtrend that was driven by COVID-19, a black swan event, it is likely that if market sentiments are bullish enough due to the wide availability of COVID-19 vaccines, positive news regarding the cruise industry, etc., prices could still break out towards the upside. As such, these require further monitoring.
3. However, if neither an Ascending Triangle nor a Rising Wedge form, where the market remains uncertain, I will likely hold my position while averaging up/down accordingly, PROVIDED that there are no fundamental changes towards the company and the industry itself.
Disclaimer
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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CCL1/N trade ideas
CCL HIDDEN bullish divergence in makingHello traders, CCL is continuing the rally and we are seeing a hidden continuation divergence in making. I am very optimistic on CCL from a technical and fundamental perspective. The moving averages look very healthy and looks like we are heading for a rally. Cheers!
CCL - Carnival Cruise Lines We haven't checked back in with the Cruise Industry in a bit so lets take a look at where we stand.
The Cruise industry was one of the hardest hit by Covid19 and to top it off they didn't receive any US stimulus relief money to keep them afloat, making them one of the riskier plays. As the saying goes, with great risk often comes great reward. That being said, if we're going into an already risky industry, might as well pick the company most likely to succeed. In this case, while so far most of the cruise lines are staying afloat, Carnival is the one most likely to make it out ok.
We went into this with more detail on our previous CCL posts, but to sum it up, they cover the most territories, have the largest fleet, have the most capital, and can survive the longest without sailings than its competitors. At the moment, the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) has announced the decision to voluntarily extend the pause in U.S. cruise embarkations until Oct. 31, 2020. CCL estimated its monthly cash burn rate for the second half of 2020 will be around $650 million, but they have also managed to raise over $10 billion through a series of financing transactions.
Technical Analysis:
At the moment, we're bullish long term on CCL unless something changes (increase in cases during winter, extended cancellations, etc.)
Targets:
1. $21.00
2. $25.30
3. $31.91
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Cheers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
UPDATE: CCL OCTOBER 16TH 17.5 COVERED CALL... with a cost basis of 23.98.
Notes: A continuation of a cruise lines trade I may have put on just a touch too early. (See Post Below).
Just doing some housekeeping here by moving some of my poo piles to the top of the ideas queue, so that I don't have to scroll through the entirety of my ideas to find them.
$CCL Carnival Corp Bullish Inverse H&S
Potential Inverse H&S forming, will look for surge in volume
upon breakout above neckline.
Upside Targets $17.56-$18.16 to Fibonacci retrace levels.
Volume resistance declines greatly and set up a potential run to $19-$20 as
long as the market rotation continues.
Previous rallies have been short lived so take care with increased exposure.